John Dwyer

  • John Dwyer. Health Policy Reform Commentary – Part 2

    In the first part of my commentary on John Menadue’s Health Policy Reform in his blog, I discussed  the barriers frustrating any reform agenda. In this second part I will comment on John Menadue’s suggestions for “overcoming these obstacles to health reform” and provide my own thoughts on what a reformed health system might look like.

     

    In his blog he commented that “seldom do we stand back and ask the central issue: what do we need and expect from a health system”? For some years now I have presented the following answer to that question to professional and community audiences. We need, deserve and can afford a health system that—-

    Is focused on the needs of the individual, is resourced to maximise opportunities for avoiding illness (prevention), is demonstrably equitable, sustainable and provides evidence based quality care in a timely manner available on the basis of need not personal financial wellbeing”.

    A few years ago, thanks to an initiative of the Division of Primary Care at the University of Queensland, I had the opportunity to take part in a series of town meetings around Australia where we discussed what citizens wanted from their Health Care system. We dissected the elements of the above definition and each of the elements therein was readily appreciated and endorsed. The concept of a “medical home”, (recently discussed in Pearls and Irritations) as provided by an Integrated Primary Care model was often greeted with a “Why didn’t we introduce that ten years ago” question. I was interested in the acceptance by audiences that we may need to pay more for a better health system and the willingness to do so.

    I discussed the above definition and its ramification at a national meeting of the Australian Health Care Reform Alliance to which we had invited Tony Abbott, health minister at the time. He told us that he did not like to hear talk of “reform” when we already had the best health system in the world that only needed “a little tinkering at the margins”. I was reminded of this when reading John Menadue’s comment that reform “will be hard without political leadership and political will”. There are none so “non-reformist” as those who insist there is nothing to reform.

    What reforms would provide us with the health system we need and how do we overcome the political inertia? A single funder of our national health scheme remains the “Holy Grail” for most reform commentators. As John Menadue highlights the jurisdictional division of health care such that hospitals are the responsibility of the States while our Federal government funds Primary Care(GP’s and others) is the single largest barrier to both integrated and cost effective (sustainable) care. We are the only OECD country so burdened. Perhaps Federal and State governments think that the cost shifting and “blame game” that follows is politically attractive as the public may be unsure who is responsible for problems. No one is asking the Commonwealth to be the sole provider of health care. Rather we are suggesting that the Federal government fund providers that will, implement the health care model Australians and their government have agreed upon. However while we must not abandon the goal, the current reality is that neither major political party is interested in the single funder model.

    Looking at our needed reforms and learning from the experience of other countries that have modernised their health systems it is not difficult to provide a map for a reform journey.  As is true for any journey one must have a definite destination in mind. The journey may have its trials and tribulations but the destination is set. Our destination (the Health Care system we need and can afford) must be determined by in depth discussions with Australians about the need for change. Readily understood models must be put forward for analysis of their benefits as well as the associated ramifications. This is particularly important if more public expenditure is required to fund the new model.

    Apart from the old-fashioned “Town Hall” style meeting referred to earlier, there are numerous opportunities for providing information to and receiving feedback from the community.  I was most impressed with the quality of the discussions provided by “citizens juries” moderated by the much-missed Gavin Mooney.  All media outlets including social media would be utilised. I agree with John Menadue that the process of consultation and the formulation of the desired model and the elements it contains (our destination) should be overseen by a Health Reform Commission populated by independent professionals and community representatives so that it is demonstrably apolitical. The model must be “efficient and equitable”, efficient in that it provides the clinical outcomes desired in a cost effective manner and equitable in that its benefits are available to all Australians.

    While the longest journey starts with the first step, in this case it is the very first step that is likely to be most difficult. That first step requires us to break through the barrier of political intransigence.  International experience and a study of what I believe we need to do in Australia suggest that our journey will take about a decade to achieve the desired transformation. As John Menadue suggests it cannot be rushed. And there immediately is a political problem as increasingly short-term governments are disinterested in projects without imminent political kudos.

    However if we are ever to achieve political support for reforms we must be able to present a clear vision of what we want. Perhaps the most frustrating part of the present Government’s attacks on primary are is that it is devoid of any vision for improving outcomes and cost effectiveness.

    What follows is a summary of the initiatives and organisation we might see if the community and government were to want our health system to have the characteristics I described above.

    The Health Reform Commission would hand over reform implementation to a new statutory body; say the Australian Health Authority (AHA) and certainly not the Department of Health and Aging. This organisation must take us to our destination. It holds all the health care funds expended by the Commonwealth and States. It replaces nine departments of health. It mangers a series of necessarily central bureaucratic processes, such as the PBS, public health policy and interactions with numerous agencies in order to support the social determinants needed for a healthy community. It establishes a series of Regional Health Authorities (RHAs) dividing Australia into logical and manageable demographic clusters and provides each with funds based on a resource distribution formula that is responsive to local need and not just population numbers.  In this way the current problems created by State boundaries being artificial health boundaries are overcome.

    RHAs would seek providers for Hospital, Community and Primary Care services. The States may well seek funds to continue to manage their hospitals but the role delineation for such hospitals would be negotiated with the RHA. A number of Primary Health Care organisations will be funded in a region. (The current model of having a small number of PHOs replacing Medicare locals and responsible for improving care over huge areas but not actually offering direct care is fatally flawed}.

    Within RHAs Primary Health Organisations would act as hubs in a hub and spoke model directly offering primary and secondary services (In New Zealand they may run 23 hour wards and treat minor emergencies). PHO’s would offer a range of supportive services to affiliated primary care practices. These would include help via bulk purchasing, continue professional development, drug education, and IT management and, crucially, help with required data collection to document health outcomes.

    The preferred model of primary care supported by RHAs would feature the “medical home” model of Integrated Primary Care wherein funding is available to support teams of health professionals (including dentists and dental hygienists) working in the one practice to help enrolled patients with prevention strategies and early diagnosis and management of health problems that could result in chronic illness. In house teams would manage chronic and complex disease and care in the community for many currently sent to hospitals.

    In this model “Fee for Service” (FFS) payments would only be applied to “drop ins’ with short term self-limited problems. (John Menadue  accurately pointed out the perverse incentives attached with FFS payments and certainly young doctors contemplating a career as a GP are turned off by the thought of practicing “turnstile” medicine. (Some movement within the AMA to support a move away from FFS heartens me). Chronic disease management is covered by capitation funding with a bonus system for better health outcomes. A consumer controlled electronic health record facilitates integration of the care offered by all providers and hospitals.

    Best practice management in community and hospital settings is facilitated by the availability of standardised evidence based clinical pathways for a given problem These would be generated by “craft groups”, specialist doctors, nurses and allied health professionals working in a given field who “think globally for action locally”. Professors Kerry Goulston, Graeme Stewart and I set up such a process with excellent outcomes in NSW. The methodology is now applied more broadly by the Agency for Clinical Innovation. This provides a major weapon in the effort to reduce expensive investigations and procedures of little clinical value described in the first part of my commentary.

    In the light of these new directions medical education has to change and inter-professional learning curricula are necessary to prepare the next generation of health professionals for “Team Medicine”. Rural based medical schools with postgraduate specialist training available in rural settings is  necessary to solve the shortage of medical practitioners in rural Australia.

    John Menadue’s forecast that 15 billion dollars could be saved by health system reform is too modest. The above “imaginario” if implemented would save much more. Overseas experience suggests that we could expect a 30-40% reduction in hospital admissions over 10 years. Just before Christmas the UK government received a commissioned report indicating that by spending an extra 72 million pounds on improving primary care the health system would save 1.9 billion pounds by 2020.  By spending more on Medicare (now a specific health care program not a doctor’s bill payer) to implement these changes we could save many billions, as hospital care is so expensive. It is quite possible that the elimination of inefficient health spending as outlined in part one of this commentary could fund the changes.

    Lessons learnt from change management strategies in other health systems tell us that reform must be community supported and feature “bottom up” modelling. Clinicians would not be forced to adopt change with early implementation of the desired model involving a “coalition of the willing”. The latter should participate in establishing government funded “proof of concept” primary care services as described. How one laments that fact that the Super GP clinic money provided by the previous government could have readily funded a series of “medical homes”.

    For two decades John Menadue has championed the idea of a “proof of concept” demonstration of the value of whole of health care integration by creating a State/Commonwealth Health Commission in Tasmania to begin with,  wherein pooled funding would allow many of the above concepts to be trialled. Of course I would strongly support such an initiative for although, if successful, its importation to the mainland would leave us with many problems that could be solved by the re-alignment of health boundaries, patient focused integration and cost effectiveness would certainly be improved.

    I suspect that the Abbott government wants to reduce, as much as possible, its health footprint and would be happy to see health care handed over to the private sector. In every country where this has happened health expenditure has increased but not satisfactory health outcomes. The government’s initiation of a review of the benefits or otherwise of federalism may lead to a discussion of the possible assumption by States of all the public health care offered to their citizens. Any discussion that moves us away from the “status quo” is welcome. John Menadue’s three health policy reform blogs are informed and provocative and I hope will revitalise the reform debate.

    Medibank/Medicare was launched 40 years ago. It was designed to fund the health delivery system at that time.  We need now to address the basic issues concerning the way health services are delivered.

    I am grateful for the opportunity to add my comments.

    John Dwyer is Emeritus Professor of Medicine at UNSW.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

  • John Dwyer. Commentary on John Menadue’s blogs on the barriers to health policy reform in Australia.  (Part 1)

    As I suspected  would be the case with many readers who enjoy “Pearls and Irritations”, I experienced in equal measure, satisfaction and frustration as I absorbed John  Menadue’s informed and insightful analysis of the problems that beset our health system and prevent urgently needed structural reforms. His three essays accurately explore the major issues. He has experienced political power and politician’s motivations from the inside. Fortunately, his passion for good government has, for two decades or more, been particularly interested in improving our health system. Here too, importantly, he has had first hand experience of how the system works (and doesn’t work). His recent survey provides us with a very valuable document, as it is, in fact, a template on which we must build a reform agenda.

    What about my feeling of frustration engendered by these essays?  While comprehensively exposed and explained, few of John Menadue’s conclusions are controversial among would be health system reformers who have first hand knowledge of the issues and who are studying the results of health system reforms in other countries. As he highlights, we have benefitted from political leadership willing to embrace major reforms to our financial systems but both sides of politics in Australia have failed us leaving health reform in the “too hard basket”. I remember a conversation with health minister Roxon on the need to introduce Integrated Primary Care into Australia.  She appreciated the benefits but as such a reform would increase Medicare expenditure she told me, “like many good ideas this will just have to lie on the table till the time is right”. The time was right 15 years ago.

    The comments that follow presume that readers will have read John Menadue’s important analysis. In this first part I will address some of the issues he presented and in a second part expand on the strategies need to progress reforms and what those reforms should embrace.

     

    As highlighted, the power of vested interests to urge lay politicians, who don’t understand our complex health system anyway, to hold to the “status quo” is frustrating. Recently “Australian Doctor” asked doctors (mainly GP readership) who was the least competent of the last ten health ministers. Peter Dutton won in a landslide but I feel this was a measure of current frustration rather than an historical analysis of the question.  I would have voted for Kay Patterson. As the new century started health reform advocates were active and the then minister for health in NSW, Craig Knowles, listened and accepted our argument that the next round of negotiations re commonwealth funding of state public hospitals should include a reform agenda not just a dollar agenda. The States and Commonwealth agreed and 13 sub committees were established to prepare structural reform agendas on everything from indigenous health to the funding of prevention strategies. After months of work and legitimate expectations that we were entering a new era for health reform, Minister Patterson pulled the plug on the reform agendas and reduced the COAG negotiations back to dollars. Had those reforms and the methodology for creating those reforms been accepted we would have a far better health system today. As John Menadue has highlighted here was another example of vested interests derailing a most important initiative.

    John Menadue emphasised the importance of every Australian having access to Medicare funded Primary Care with ability to pay being irrelevant to the quality of the service received.  Rightly, he warns us of the possibility of Primary Care becoming a two-tiered service with better access and facilities being available to those with private insurance. Such an arrangement has destroyed equity in the US system and dramatically pushed up costs. The Abbott government does not seem to understand that inequity is not only “unaustralian” it’s also very expensive. In 1900 the average Australian died aged 56. Many deaths were attributable to unavoidable and untreatable conditions particularly those caused by infectious organisms. The great flu pandemics did not discriminate between rich and poor. Today we can avoid most of those causes of early death and we live remarkably longer. Disease patterns today focus on dangerous life-style choices that lead to the development of Chronic and Complex problems which kill us slowly and for too many rob their extended years of life of quality. With the exception of poor health caused by excessive alcohol consumption all the risk factors for chronic disease are more prevalent among socio-economically disadvantaged Australians. We only spend 2% of our health budget on trying to help people avoid lifestyle induced illness and so we all end up paying much for the care of our fellow Australians with advanced disease.

    We need new money to fund important structural reforms so it’s appropriate that John Menadue looks at dollars we use poorly in our current system. He correctly targets the lack of leadership that has us paying far more for drugs than other similar countries. The duplication of health bureaucracies (nine departments of health for 23 million people) cost us 3-4 billion dollars annually, while the estimated 600,000 admissions to public hospitals that could have been avoided if the infrastructure for management in the community was available would save us at least 15 billion dollars. Over servicing by my profession when performing non-evidence based investigations and procedures of low value is estimated to cost 20 billion dollars a year. And then there is the Private Health Insurance Rebate that John Menadue discusses in detail.

    With some means testing now the rebate probably will cost taxpayers this year closer to 5 billion dollars rather than 7 billion but there is no doubt that the amount of health available from this initiative is not worth the price. While the Insurance industry and government disagree two facts are indisputable. The first is that the rebate has not been responsible for a significant number of Australians taking up private health insurance. After the introduction of the rebate, health insurance rose by no more than2%. The stick that did increase coverage was the whole of life rating system and tax accountants telling clients they would pay more tax if they did not sign up. The second fact is that the rebate and indeed the increased uptake of PHI did not reduce pressure on public hospitals. As John Menadue rightly points out increased activity in Private Hospitals where 75% of the patients have surgical problems, has seen a loss of surgical capacity in public hospitals greatly increasing the ability of surgeons to charge more while public hospitals are swamped with chronically ill medical patients and not able to offer as much timely surgery as they would wish.

    An obvious but important point emphasised by John Menadue reminded us that the PHI rebate and the pressure to hold PHI is vey unfair to many rural based Australians for there are no private hospitals available in the majority of rural communities. In truth many health inequities are entrenched in rural Australia. The 35% of Australians who live in the country and supply 66% of the nations wealth have far poorer health outcomes than their city cousins. White Australians living in rural communities are likely to live 4 years less than average city dwellers. From depression to heart disease to infant mortality to cancer, outcomes are inferior in rural Australia. This gross inequity is not being addressed despite numerous enquiries highlighting the changes needed to reverse the situation.  (e.g. reducing dependence on overseas trained doctors by training more rural based students in medical schools established in a rural setting and (as John Menadue emphasised) far better use of the existing non medical workforce, and numerous other evidence based strategies.) How frustrating for country citizens that the National party promised major rural reforms if the coalition won the last election when, in reality, they have had no power to influence rural health initiatives.

    Talking of the better use of the non-medical workforce brings me to one point where I would place a caveat beside one of John Menadue’s recommendations. Pharmacists are men and women trained at university to understand scientific methods and appreciate the importance of evidence based Medicine. Indeed their professional charter demands they only offer medicines know to be clinically effective to their clients. Certainly they should be integrated into our Primary Care system. However there is a professional (commercial) cancer eating away at their integrity as they offer so many products that have no real value to customers. Their prescription services are usually assigned to the back of a shop in which 80% of the space is provided to offering health products that are no doubt lucrative but of little value. Recently calls for Pharmacists to rid their shelves of Homeopathic products following the NH&MRC report emphasising they can have no more than a placebo effect, have been rejected. Pharmacists should be telling clients that the 2 billion dollars spent each year on supplements and vitamins is largely a waste of money and that you can’t neutralise an unhealthy lifestyle with something from a bottle.

    In many countries any clinical observations made and the drugs supplied to an individual are entered into the persons electronic health record in real time. John Menadue criticises the Department of Health for failing to roll out an electronic health record for Australians, an initiative he describes as a minor reform.  In fact an electronic health record is a much-desired major reform and can be the lynchpin for much needed integration of patient focused care. Many countries are now reporting on a decade of experience with an electronic health record and the improvement in care made possible by this initiative and clinician and patient satisfaction with the system are most impressive. Kaiser-Permanente in the US is reporting that in the last decade it has turned two million face to face consultations into email consults. The organisation’s initiatives, which include major prevention strategies delivered via an Integrated Primary Care system, have seen it have the best health outcome results nationally in 10 of the 12 major indicators used to measure success in treating chronic diseases.

    So summarising John Menadue’s concerns, we have a health system that by international standards is not meeting our contemporary needs, is provider, disease, and hospital centric, held hostage by vested interested that dissuade governments from embracing structural reform, is very cost ineffective, does not focus on efficiency and equity while Medicare, which though in need of reform remains invaluable to Australians, is at risk.  In the second section of this commentary I will comment and expand on John Menadue’s suggestions for breaking the impasse and providing a structure on which we might be able implement needed change.

     

    John Dwyer is Emeritus Professor of Medicine at UNSW.

     

  • John Dwyer. Medicare changes – why on earth would a young doctor want to be a GP?

    In case you missed it, this is a repost of a blog that I posted on 12 December last year.  It is highly relevant to the continuing debate about copayments and general practice.  John Menadue.

    The most distressing feature of the government’s determination to have us pay more for a visit to our GP is its the total lack of vision for the structural reforms we should be discussing to provide Australians with Primary Care services that meet contemporary needs, are equitable and more cost effective. Instead of focussing on new models of care that around the world have been shown to achieve better health outcomes than we enjoy in Australia, the  $5 reduction in the remuneration for a standard GP consultation will make matters worse. The logic associated with this latest initiative is seriously flawed. Placing the money saved into a research fund means that the proposed reduction will do nothing for the budgets bottom line, the imperative presented to us in the May budget.

    The Government wants to send a “price signal” to Australians to remind us that no longer can we expect Medicare to be free. Australian taxpayers provide every cent of the 19 billion dollars we spend each year on Medicare. If you pay to join a tennis club but do not pay extra for having a game of tennis you don’t consider that game to have been free. There is in fact plenty of evidence that current additional expenses associated with Primary Care see many delay seeking help and unable to afford prescribed medicines. Our out of pocket expenses for health care top 29 billion dollars a year, on a per capita basis, second only to the United States.

    Australians on average, make five visits per year to a GP.  That does not suggest that we are abusing our entitlement to Primary Care services such that we need to be discouraged from visiting our doctor. With health expenditure at 9.3% of GDP there is no health budget crisis and there is time to make structural reforms that would achieve better outcomes and continue to make our expenditure sustainable.

    The truth is that many of us need to visit a GP more frequently if we are to avoid the pain and suffering associated with chronic disease, the problem that is eating up the majority of our health care dollars. Many rural Australians, whose health outcomes are disgracefully inferior to those of their city cousins, would willingly consult a GP more frequently if there were GPs to consult. If Rural Australians accessed Medicare funded services as frequently as urban Australians the cost to Medicare would be an additional two billion dollars.

    The future availability of sufficient numbers of general partitioners is already problematic. Only 13% of young doctors express any interest in becoming a “GP”. Only one percent are contemplating a career as a rural GP. Primary Care training is rigorous and GPs are true specialists. How does all the rhetoric from Canberra about the pivotal role they play sit with the proposed $31 fee for a standard consultation? Given the training required and the responsibility associated with medical care this fee is frankly insulting. The discrepancy in the income potential for GPs when compared to that of other specialists is now huge. No wonder young doctors considering career options are increasingly ruling out Primary Care. The ability of GPs to consider “bulk billing” the majority of their patients is only possible if the total remuneration they receive is satisfactory. Bulk billing doctors will not be able to absorb the five-dollar cut in the Medicare rebate and are appalled by the added levels of bureaucracy and paper work that the new arrangements will entail.

    Young doctors looking at the professional life of our GPs are uncomfortable with the current “fee for service” model which encourages “turnstile” medicine that is so professionally unfulfilling. Many GPs join corporate Primary Care providers preferring a salary. In New Zealand the government has facilitated 85% of the nation’s GPs moving away from “fee for service” payments. The same is true for 65% of US Primary Care physicians.  Throughout the OECD health systems recognising the perverse incentives associated with fee for service remuneration are exploring changes that increase a GP’s remuneration for keeping people well.

    Were it not for the destructive division of health care responsibilities shouldered by State and Federal governments, Canberra would not be looking at Medicare as if were in isolated from the rest of the health care system. Hospital expenditure, at more than 50 billion dollars per year, dwarfs Medicare spending and is increasing more rapidly. There is now abundant international evidence that we should be spending more on Primary Care services to reduce the spiralling cost of hospital services and at the same time achieving better health outcomes for the community. Just this week the UK government has been presented with a review that concluded that an extra 72 million pounds spent on improving Primary Care in the community would save the system 1.9 billion pounds by 2020! The future of quality hospital care in our country is totally dependent on reducing demand for hospital services through better Primary Care.

    A competent government would be looking at the way we can introduce the highly successful “Medical Home” model of Primary care where teams of health professionals populate a practice and are available to enrolled patients. The infrastructure is available to help people avoid illness, have potential problems recognised earlier, offer coordinated “in house” care for people with chronic problems and care for many in the community currently sent to hospital. But no, all we discuss is this five-dollar impoverished initiative. The Abbott government should abandon this latest plan and start a dialogue with health professionals and the community about needed structural reforms that would extract far more health from the available dollars.

     

    Professor John Dwyer is Emeritus Professor of Medicine UNSW.

  • John Dwyer. The structural reform of Medicare rather than its funding is the real challenge.

    Part 2: Attracting the future work force needed to provide Primary Care.

    There is another imperative for introducing Integrated Primary care (IPC),the new model of primary care described in part one of this review; the recruitment of the next generation of GPs.

    Recent surveys of the career intentions of medical graduates show only 13% are interested in a primary care career and only 13% of them have any interest in working in rural Australia. They see that 70% of GPs do not want to be tax collectors for the government and note that the Medicare rebate for a standard occasion of service has been reduced to $31.60. GPs are specialists aren’t they? This is not attractive remuneration especially when socio-economic circumstances leave 80% of GPs with little option but to bulk bill their patients. This in turn leads to “turnstile medicine: unsatisfactory to both practitioner and patient, and the well documented poorer health outcomes associated with this form of practice. Many GPs want to move away from the “fee for service” model and try to do so by joining the “corporate” GP world. There many are dissatisfied with the model of care imposed on them.

    On the other hand young doctors considering a career in primary care are attracted to the IPC model; after all they have seen team medicine as a normal activity in our hospitals.  In New Zealand 85% of GPs have voluntarily abandoned fee for service payment in favour of salaried or contractual payments.  The same is true for 65% of US GPs. Currently about 65% of GP practices in Australia feature three or fewer doctors. However good the care on offer these are not strong economic units. IPC practices, established as companies with community representation on their boards, offer great flexibility and the chance for the clinicians working in the clinic to develop equity in the business. This is important as our GP specialist on average earn far less that many of their colleagues.

    IPC Clinics also facilitate the introduction of other urgent reforms. Pre-agreed per capita funding for patients with defined chronic conditions, if established competently by peer review, offers opportunities for better outcomes to be rewarded. There is an excellent opportunity for the planned replacement of “Medicare Locals” with “Primary Care Networks” to facilitate the introduction of IPC into Australia. Current discussions suggest that there are to be 21 PHNs established across the country. There mission statements are yet to be clearly defined but the better integration of patient care will be a major focus. By sponsoring geographically local sub-units (Lets call them Primary Health Care “hubs”) within defined Local Hospital Districts, affiliated IPC clinics in the area could be provided with the centralised assistance needed to better operate their care model.  IT expertise, bulk purchasing, continuing education resources, in house review of new drugs, meeting with local hospital clinicians re patients frequently readmitted to hospital and many other initiatives could be available. Although the review commissioned by the government recommended that PHNs not engage in clinical work, a number of primary care hubs in New Zealand offer acute care services and even run observation wards where patients can be treated for many hours while a decision re the need for hospital admission is made.

    So can we afford to introduce these structural reforms? The reality is that we cannot afford not to. Hospital expenditure dwarfs Medicare expenditure and increases more rapidly. The future of affordable quality hospital care is inextricably linked to better primary care reducing the demand for hospital services.

    IPC would provide us with many more healthy Australians whom we are predicting will need to work longer .A 40% reduction in avoidable hospital admissions would save us at least $12.5 billion a year and reduce much personal suffering. It can be estimated that these results would require an additional $5-7.5 billion a year being spent on Primary Care by the time the changes are fully introduced nation wide. Diverting the dollars spent on subsidising private health insurance would almost supply the money needed but there are many other savings that would follow structural reforms. Increasing the level of health knowledge among Australians would see them stop looking for health out of a bottle and provide the almost $3 billion they spend on unnecessary supplements, vitamins and “good bacteria’ for better primary care help. Better attention of many doctors to the need for an evidence base for the care they give could save $20 billion spent on low value or no value procedures. Nine departments of health for 23 million Australians comes with duplication costs of at least $3 billion.

    The reality at this time of course is that the Abbott government has shown no interest in structural reform for our health system. The peak advisory body on Prevention has been discontinued. However we must continue to engage the community in a discussion of what they want from their health system and alert Australians to the benefits of IPC. Adequate penetration of the new IPC model with all the structural and cultural changes required would take at least a decade.  We can all live with this journey providing the destination remains clear. The journey needs public support and bottom up implementation from within the health professions themselves. Politicians need not fear the slowness of progress within the election cycle. These reforms are achievable as we can note from numerous successful implementations elsewhere. The community will applaud the political leadership that commits us to the journey and supplies the infrastructure to drive the initiative. Ideally a transition authority would be established to guide us on the journey. The challenge now is to find that political understanding and leadership that will help us take that “first step” that must start all journeys.

    John Dwyer is Emeritus Professor of Medicine UNSW

     

     

     

     

  • John Dwyer. The structural reform of Medicare rather than its funding is the real challenge.

    Part 1; The model of primary care we need for contemporary Australia.

    For months the federal government has been telling us that a mandatory co-payment for a visit to our GP was essential to afford the $19 billion we currently spend on Medicare each year and projected increases. There would be an added benefit in that the payment would send a price signal to remind Australians that such visits can no longer be free. Too many of us are visiting our doctors too often! Additional revenue would be generated by a seven-dollar co-payment for prescriptions, pathology and imaging. Given the above propositions it is confusing to say the least that our government now plans to put every penny raised by these co-payments into a medical research fund that should eventually be the largest such fund in the world. Perhaps Medicare spending is not so unsustainable after all. International evidence tells us that we should be spending more on Medicare funded services to reduce total health expenditure. How would this work?

    Medicare needs to evolve from a universal insurance entity that pays doctors bills to one that funds clinicians who will provide a specific model of care. An uncapped payment of doctors “fees for service” not tied to any health outcome measures is not a satisfactory way to use taxpayers health dollars. World wide the move is to achieve better health outcomes more cost effectively by focusing on delivering  “Integrated Primary Care” (IPC) available from a person’s “Medical Home”.

    In our doctor centric health system, Australians visit their GP when they have a problem. They do this, on average, seven times a year. Many should go far more often to improve their health and many who need care the most visit their doctor infrequently. The burden associated with chronic and complex and often-incurable disease, compromises the quality of life for too many Australians, dominates the care requirements of many GP practices and cost us all a fortune. Given that so much of this suffering is preventable why is their so little emphasis on prevention and the provision of the health infrastructure to facilitate prevention? Only 2% of the annual $180 billion health spend in Australia involves prevention.

    At the other end of the care spectrum our Primary Care system lacks the infrastructure to care for many in the community and thus avoid the need for hospital care. We have more inpatient “overnight” beds per capita than any other OECD country and yet at the moment we need more. We hear almost daily about access problems for patients stuck in Emergency Departments because there is “no room in the Inn”. What our government does not seem to appreciate is that annually some 600,000 of these admissions (cost $ 30 billion) could be avoided with an effective community intervention in the three weeks before eventual hospital admission. The University of Melbourne studied this matter and found that each year seven million bed days are consumed by avoidable hospital admissions. We spend more than $140 billion on public hospital care each year, seven times more than we spend on Medicare. If we had one level of government funding health care instead of our destructive jurisdictional division of government responsibilities (States for hospitals; Canberra for Primary Care) we would readily spend more on Primary Care models that would reduce the need for so many hospital beds.

    The preferred model of IPC involves establishing a practice (Medical Home) populated my clinical teams, (doctors, nurses, allied health professionals a dentist etc) in which patients enrol with the understanding that they and the team share the responsibility for keeping them well and providing the best possible care when they are ill. The psychology of enrolment is all-important as is the principle that the most suitable members of the team will care for one’s current specific needs. Health maintenance is regarded as an active endeavour. This is evidence-based personalised care. Health literacy and lifestyle analysis, and support for needed changes, might be facilitated by specialised nurses and nutrition experts. Continuity of care improves the chance of early diagnosis and treatment of problems that could become chronic (early signs of adolescent mental health issues for example).

    Team management of chronic conditions with a team based case manager and care for fragile members of the practice in the community by appropriate clinicians to reduce the incidence of hospitalisation are also important initiatives. There is one medical record and rapid access to team members is facilitated by IT connectivity.  Well-established IPC units in other countries have reported up to a 42% reduction in the need for hospital care. Such a model makes best use of the unique skill set different health professionals possess, so different from our current “silo” mentality that makes the integration of an individual’s care so difficult. So successful is this model that already universities around the world are concentrating on moving to inter-professional learning curricula, “Team learning to prepare for team practice”.

    This is “Managed Care”, a term that conjures up in the mind discredited model of care available in the US. There are three players making decisions in much of the US system, the patient, the care team and the patient’s insurer. The latter, famously documented in Michael Moore’s documentary on the issue, all too often interfere with care plans even vetoing them on grounds of affordability. We need to think carefully about the wisdom or otherwise of allowing our private health insurance industry (PHI) to cover members primary care expenses. I would be less worried about interference in care plans here than in the likely creation of a “two tiered” primary care system in which those who can afford PHI would enjoy much better primary care than those who could not. The resulting furtherance in the inequity palpable in our current system would not only be un-Australian but expensive.

    Part 2 of this series will be posted tomorrow. It covers the necessary changes in the health workforce. 

    John Dwyer is the Emeritus Professor of Medicine at UNSW.

     

  • John Dwyer. Primary healthcare in Australia reaches the crossroads.

     When I graduated some 50 years ago more than 50% of my class pursued careers as General Practitioners. In the last available survey of the career intentions of graduating medical students only 13% said they were interested in Primary Care and only 13% of those who would consider a career in rural Australia. Currently more than 45% of the General Practitioners available to rural based Australians are overseas trained doctors most of whom are working there as provider numbers were not available for metropolitan practice. The average age of working General Practitioners is 55 years.

    Young doctors considering vocational training cite positive and negative reasons for their disinterest in Primary Care. Many other career opportunities seem more attractive as they provide much higher average incomes and part time employment provides funds sufficient for many. General Practice training is equally as vigorous as that required for other specialities but “GPs” are not paid as specialists and often feel their vital and increasingly unique skills are underappreciated. Tales from GP land tell young graduates of practice subjected to stifling bureaucracy, the need to “bulk bill” and thus to practice “turnstile medicine” with short consultation times being unsatisfactory to both patient and physician. These and many other impediments place us in real danger of having far too few GPs to provide us with quality Primary Care in the near future.

    All this reality is addressed by rhetoric from government reassuring GPs that they are the “heart and soul” of the nation’s health care system. The fact that the Federal government is freezing cost of living adjustments to Medicare rebates for four years and considering strategies to reduce our 18 billion dollar annual Medicare expenditure should not be taken personally. As I have commented here previously, we should be spending more not less on Primary Care but Primary Care that is restructured to better meet contemporary needs. This would include reducing the seven million bed days utilised in public hospitals by avoidable admissions. Hospital expenditure dwarfs Medicare spending.

    Is it possible that the introduction of a new model of Primary Care could produce better, more cost effective health outcomes for Australians and at the same time attract a new generation of doctors to Primary Care? International experience would say the answer to both questions is a definite yes. We know what that new model should provide; infrastructure to support preventative strategies, early diagnosis of problems that, left untreated, could become chronic, team management of established chronic and complex diseases and care in the community for many who are currently being sent to hospital. The model described is usually referred to as “Integrated Primary Care”  (IPC) which, to use American parlance, provides individuals with a “Medical Home”.

    IPC is structured around teams of health professionals working in the one practice. It is not doctor centric and provides individuals who enrolled in the IPC program with access to doctors, nurses and a range of allied health professionals including dental hygienists. Doctors cannot provide all the services described above but here can concentrate on those things only doctors can do. Well run IPC programs in the UK, the US, New Zealand and many other countries have demonstrated their cost effectiveness, better health outcomes and fewer admissions to hospitals for the patients of such medical homes. Perhaps most importantly in our context, they attract and hold GPs who enjoy better job satisfaction in this form of practice. An international trend has IPC practices offering their doctors flexible arrangements for remuneration. Rapidly payments based on a “fee for service” (FFS) are giving way to “blended payment” options. What is this all about?

    Many Australian GPs want to move away from the FFS model with very significant numbers joining large corporation owned practices where they are salaried or paid on contract. FFS at bulk billing rates does not work well for patients with chronic diseases and complex needs. A number of countries are offering their GPs fixed annual payments for their care of complex patients while those seeking a “one off” service are still charged a fee. In New Zealand more than 85% of the GPs work in such a system with about 80% of their income fixed with the remaining 20% coming from traditional FFS payments. Such arrangements are in the medical news here in Australia as Minister Dutton has publically expressed cautious interest in seeing how this could work in Oz. In the US 60%of GPs are paid in this way and this is increasingly so in the UK. There is an abundance of data showing that blended payments within the IPC model produces better health outcomes with fewer hospital admissions.

    Overseas experience with this radical reform tells us that its implementation must be a “bottom up” one available to willing participants and never forced on the medical profession. Space doesn’t permit detailed discussion of the mechanisms involved in establishing this system but if we were to follow say the NZ model it would look something like this. Our Medical Locals would become Primary Health Care organisations and holders and distributors of a primary care budget provided after careful analysis of local needs. GPs or IPC practices would negotiate for a fixed payment for their care of their patients with chronic diseases and in return would provide quality/outcome data associated with the use of that money. Financial incentives are built into the contract to encourage “best practice” management.

    Our medical profession, government and citizenry, should not be concerned by the exploration of these changes. The evidence is strong that, done properly, the results are very positive and the model attractive to clinicians and patients alike.

    John Dwyer is the Emeritus Professor of Medicine at the University of NSW.

  • John Dwyer. Cutting waste and costs in health.

    Tactics and strategies for a six year journey to sustainable, equitable excellence

    (1) Move to a single funder for our national health scheme (The Commonwealth). The funder would contract with States and other potential providers to deliver integrated patient focused care. The health bureaucracy would be reduced by 80% with greater efficiency, better outcomes and less duplication saving at least $ 4 billion per year.
    (2) Remove Tax-payer support for Private Health insurance. Health Insurers are making large profits. Australians will retain their PHI as other sticks make that a certainty. The introduction of the subsidy saw PHI increase by only 2%.
    (3) Introduce peer and craft approved critical pathways to see more evidence based decision making re tests and procedures . Savings $20 billion per year.
    (4) Focus on reducing avoidable expensive hospital admissions ( more than 600,000 per year) through cheaper and better timely community interventions. Requires the introduction of Integrated Primary Care teams. Will need to broaden Medicare funding to cover health professionals other than doctors but net savings anticipated at least $7 billon per year.(5) Introduce slowly but steadily capitated funding for the management of”chronic and complex”diseases with mandatory reporting of health outcomes.

    Professor John Dwyer is Emeritus Professor of Medicine at the University of New South Wales.

  • The mooted $6 fee for GP visits trivialises the problem. Guest blogger: John Dwyer

    There is a lot that is disturbing about the federal government’s flirtation with a $6 co-payment for a service from a GP. Most commentators have rejected this approach as poor public policy as it will act as a deterrent for poorer Australians to seek the care they need to provide paltry savings in a 120 billion dollar a year health system. This policy will cost all of us dearly as avoidable chronic illness among those less economically secure already absorbs so many of our tax dollars. With the exception of illness caused by excessive alcohol consumption, all risk factors for serious disease are more prevalent in less advantaged Australians. Studies show that already too many patients delay seeking help and fail to take prescribed medications because of the costs involved. Health care in our wealthy country is distressingly and increasingly inequitable.

    However the major frustration with the current debate is associated with the lack of political understanding of the changes we do need to make to provide better health outcomes from a system that is financially sustainable. Cost effectiveness can only be tackled with a whole of system analysis not just a focus on the federally funded Medicare program that supports our delivery of primary care.

    The compartmentalisation represented by Minister Dutton’s focus on the cost of Medicare is the price we pay for the wretched jurisdictional separation of funding arrangements for Hospital and Primary Care services in Australia, the only OECD country so burdened.  Hospital expenditure dwarfs primary care expenditure so looking at the cost of funding Medicare divorced from a system wide analysis of health care costs is nonsensical.  In the actual health care delivery world the success or otherwise of our Medicare funded primary care system has a major influence on how much we need to spend on hospital care. Indeed the pertinent truth is that hospital funding into the future will only be manageable if a modernised and remodelled primary care system can reduce the demand for hospital admissions.

    We need and want a national health care system characterised by its resourcing of evidence based strategies that prevent avoidable illness and the provision, in a timely manner to those who are ill, cost effective quality care available on the basis of need and not personal financial wellbeing. These are not Utopian goals but their delivery will require additional spending in a number of areas. However there are major savings that can be made in our current system that would fund a remodelled health system.  For example, nine departments of health to service 23 million people are not only cost ineffective ($4 billion a year in duplication costs) but also makes proper integration of services impossible. 30 years of working closely with State and Federal health bureaucrats has taught me that the system sees good people more concerned about saving dollars in their patch and maintaining their power base than providing patient focussed integrated care. We need the Commonwealth to be the single funder for our public health system contracting with providers to deliver the integrated system describe above.

    Remodelled Primary Care with the infrastructure for the support of prevention programs is the most important initiative we need to implement in Australia. Around the world the trend is to establish primary care systems that encourage citizens to enrol in a wellness maintenance program and benefit from the delivery of health care by teams of health professionals working as “first among equals” in the one practice (Integrated Primary Care” (IPC). The psychology associated with voluntary enrolment is important .The philosophy involves acceptance of the concept that we need to take more responsibility for our own health but with personalised and ongoing assistance, when necessary, from appropriate health professionals. 85% of our New Zealand cousins are voluntarily enrolled in a “Primary Healthcare Organisation”.

    The Productivity Commission reports that between 600,000 and 750,000 public hospital admissions could be avoided annually with an effective community intervention in the three weeks prior to hospitalisation. An average hospital admission costs at least $5000 while a community intervention to prevent that admission would cost about $300. Primary Care infrastructure in Australia needs to resource the needed community interventions. The savings would more than cover the expense of introducing Integrated Primary Care into Australia.

    The introduction of IPC in Australia is likely to attract more medical graduates into a career as a GP.  Research tells us that only 13% of medical graduates in Australia plan a career in Primary Care. Remuneration is poor compared to other specialities.The need to bulk bill puts time constraints on episodes of care resulting all too often in “turnstile medicine “which is unsatisfactory for both doctor and patient. A young graduate will not be impressed with the Abbott government’s decision to cap Medicare payments to doctors for four years. Many younger doctors considering general practice would prefer to move away from the traditional “fee for service” payment system to salaried or contractual payments. Watching the journey that is leading to IPC in other countries can teach us a lot. In New Zealand over 85% of GPs have voluntarily forsaken “fee for service” payments in favour of guaranteed remuneration in a capitation model.

    The Abbott Government should commit to taking us on a health reform journey that embraces the above changes and the introduction of a single funder for our health system. To be talking about $6 is to trivialise a major policy challenge.

    Professor John Dwyer is the Emeritus Profess of Medicine at the University of NSW.

     

  • No vision for the health system we need. Guest blogger Prof. John Dwyer

    In this election the Coalition has provided dollar promises for worthy projects but no new health policy initiatives while only two of note have been forthcoming from the government; a long-term investment in stem cell research and the threat to remove family tax benefits from parents who put their children and the community at risk by not immunising them. Both are laudable but of greater interest to Australians would be our politician’s plans for solving the many problems that compromise the delivery of sustainable quality health care in our country. In a   recent survey “Research Australia” found that funding for health and medical research is a higher priority for Australians than immigration policy and border control.

    The current government has not focused on health system reform but rather reform of hospital financial arrangements with the States reinforcing the inappropriate hospital centric priorities of our health system. In reality financially sustainable quality hospital services are dependent on policies that will reduce the demand for those services. This will require real system reform. The National Press Club debate with Tanya Plibersek and Peter Dutton found them in furious agreement on most issues such as hospital funding, the importance of medical research and the need to emphasise prevention.  One was left with the impression that whoever wins the election it will be “business as usual” for our health system. That’s disappointing.

    Healthcare in Australia is beset with structural inefficiencies, inappropriate models of care for our times and cost increases that are producing major inequities that deny many the care they need and are promised by Medicare. This is particularly obvious in rural communities. Their problems did not get a mention in the debate. The major barriers to real change remain the opposition from those with vested interests in maintaining the status quo and the lack of political leadership to take us on a necessarily long (ten years or more) reform journey that doesn’t sit comfortably within current short election cycles.  If we take that journey its important to have a clear vision of what an appropriately reformed healthcare system should look like?

    Australia 2023. The Commonwealth has become the single funder of our public health system. An independent statutory authority has been established to fund a number of “Regional Health Authorities” (RHAs) charged with delivering the model of care the Commonwealth (Australian people) have embraced. It is described thus; Our health care system should be characterised by its resourcing of strategies to prevent avoidable illness and provide in a timely manner to those who are ill, cost effective quality care based on an individuals need not personal financial well being.

    These RHAs are funded on a per capita and local needs basis. No longer are state boarders a barrier to efficient health care. RHAs contract with a series of providers in their region to supply patient focused integrated hospital, community and primary care services. Quality and safety data are collected and published.

    A new model of primary care has been established with a strong focus on disease prevention. Australians are encouraged to enrol in a primary health care practice. Enrolment is significant in that it signals the creation of a partnership and shared responsibilities between patient and the practice’s health professionals.

    In the new model, primary care practices work under the umbrella of Primary Health Care Organisations (PHO). These support local GP led services wherein teams of RHA funded health professionals from a variety of disciplines work collaboratively to deliver a range of services to enrolled patients. (“Integrated Primary Care”) No longer do people only visit a medical practice when they are ill, they attend to work with appropriate health professionals to help themselves and their families stay well.  There is no more efficient use of health care dollars that ensuring that children get a healthy start to life. An obese 4-year-old child is very likely to be an obese adult. Continuity of care provides us with the best chance to detect early signs of mental illness when serious problems can still be avoided. Such team-based practices are not doctor centric. Nurses and allied health professionals deliver much of the prevention program. Most doctors dissatisfied with the “turnstile medicine” approach fostered by “fee for service” payments have accepted the opportunity for payment by contract with an RHA. GPs who, after all, are highly trained specialists but were not previously paid as such, are financially much better rewarded in this system. This, plus the attractiveness of working in the team environment, is attracting more medical graduates to primary care, in 2013 very few medical graduates were interested in such careers.

    Unlike the “old fashioned” Medicare Locals of 2013, PHO’s act as central service providers for linked, local and clinically autonomous practices. They themselves offer clinical services including acute services that do not require the facilities of a hospital sparing local emergency departments from inappropriate attendances and provide associated practices with business skills, bulk purchasing, continuing education, the collection of outcome data (now a mandatory requirement), and IT services including help with the further development of now popular patient controlled electronic health records. Primary, community and hospital care provided to an individual is seamlessly integrated.

    Also important has been the major revision of clinical training in the nation’s universities. “Inter-professional learning” wherein students of Medicine, Nursing, Dentistry and the Allied Health professions spend time learning together has produced a mutual appreciation of the specific skills of each group and how combining these skills in the “Team Medicine” approach can be so much more satisfying for professionals and patients alike. How different from the professional “silo” mentality of a decade ago. Medical schools in rural based universities with programs focussed on educating students with a strong rural affiliation and a desire for a rural based career are seeing significant numbers of graduates helping rural Australians. We are, at last, becoming less dependent on overseas trained doctors, many of whom are badly needed “back home”. Medical education has been shortened without any damage to required learning and is much less focussed on hospital-based rotations with more student time spent in community settings. The old mandatory Internship program has been abandoned in favour of immediate post graduation entry into vocational training programs.

    State governments are no longer receiving Commonwealth funds to run their hospitals but they do continue to own and operate them.  Funding required is supplied through a contract with a Regional Health Authority. The services to be offered by a particular hospital will be negotiated with emphasis on the quality rather than the number of services on offer. “Role delineation” for all hospitals within a given region will avoid duplication and avoid the old system where individual hospitals tended to be islands in an ocean of health care doing there own thing. Many private hospitals offer services to RHAs

    Back to August 2013.

    Given health care is one of the top three issues of concern for Australian voters, it’s disappointing that health system reform has so far received so little attention in the election campaign.

    We could reasonably expect our politicians in the last week of the election campaign to be seriously challenged to provide a detailed and clear vision of the health reforms they would pursue to create a more equitable and cost-effective health system that will met our future needs.

    But we will almost certainly not get this. And perhaps that says as much about the demise of decent journalism as it does about our politicians.

    This article was first published in The Conversation on August 30, 2013.

     

  • Health care reform remains a prisoner of Federalism. Guest blogger: John Dwyer

    The intractable problem that sees a very wealthy country unable to provide cost effective and equitable health care is a political one. We are the only OECD country in which the provision of health care is illogically and inefficiently divided between two levels of Government. The Federal government is charged with funding, but not providing, Primary and Community care. The State governments are both funders and providers of our public hospital system and endless arguments (“the blame game”) revolve around the adequacy or otherwise of the contribution to hospital care from the Commonwealth. So 22 million people are served by nine departments of health with duplication costing us about $4 billion a year!

    Our Health system is sickness and hospital centric and unlike much of the rest of the world we have not changed our Primary care system to provide Australians with a care model that focuses on prevention. Such a system provides the “Win Win” situation where Australians would be healthier and the demand for hospital services would be reduced. The Productivity Commission reports that each year 700.000 admissions to public hospitals could be avoided by an appropriate community intervention! The States cannot pull the leavers to improve Primary Care and so relieve pressures on their hospitals and the Commonwealth seemingly does not know how to do it. The Federal government has no experience in delivering health care.  At this time when health care should be patient focussed with the spectrum of care from the doctor’s office to the hospital totally integrated (seamless) how frustrating is it that COAG has actually enshrined the separation of Primary and Community care from Hospital care?

    It’s an election year and we should again be pressuring our politicians to embrace the only solution to all this inefficiency and inequity. The Commonwealth should be the single funder of health, providing our health dollars to a single agency with appropriate expertise that would contract with various providers to deliver the required integrated system characterised by the features described above. John Menadue’s suggestion for a trial of a similar approach at State level where an agency with pooled Commonwealth and State money delivers integrated cost effective health care makes sense but even this, perhaps less difficult option politically, currently has no traction around the COAG table. The Australian public would have applauded Kevin Rudd proceeding along these lines. That same Australian public must keep such health reform strategies on the election year agenda.

    John Dwyer