John Menadue

  • Worse than a defeat: shamed in Afghanistan.

    Current Affairs

    In London, I have been reading again some of the history of the recent UK military venture in Afghanistan. It is disturbing reading. Neither people in the UK or in Australia seem to want to learn from the disaster in Afghanistan.

    Only recently our Prime Minister and senior military officials have been telling us how successful we have been in Afghanistan. Just as in the UK I suspect that it is mainly puff to cover a failed venture.

    Australia’s war in Afghanistan was the longest national conflict in Australia’s history. Overall 40 Australians were killed and 261 wounded, to say nothing of the tragedy we inflicted on the Afghan people. We spent an estimated $8 billion on Operation Slipper.

    For what?

    The SMH Defence Correspondent David Wroe on 30 May reported:

    “The Afghanistan province where Australian troops were stationed for eight years and suffered most of their casualties is in danger of sliding back into Taliban control, Afghan sources and experts say. Eighteen months after ADF troops withdrew from their main base Oruzgan province, a power vacuum left by the assassination of a Western-back strongman has sparked an insurgency push that by some estimates, has put half the province in Taliban hands. The Australian ambassador in Afghanistan, Nasir Ahmad Andisha, confirmed there had been setbacks.”

    I have just finished re-reading the book review by James Meek in the London Review of Books in December 2014. He reviewed four books on the UK involvement in Afghanistan. Meeks said

    “The extent of the military and political catastrophe [in Afghanistan] it represents is hard to over state. It was doomed to fail before it began and fail it did, at a terrible cost in lives and money. How bad was it? In a way it was worse than a defeat, because to be defeated an army and its masters must understand the nature of the conflict they are fighting. Britain never did understand and now we would rather not think about it.”

    For James Meek’s review, see link below.

    http://www.lrb.co.uk/v36/n24/james-meek/worse-than-a-defeat

  • Brad Chilcott. Refugees, possibility before protest.

    Current Affairs.

    As founder and national director of Welcome to Australia my dream is that many thousands of refugees and other migrants arrive safely in Australia every year to be welcomed into a fair, diverse and inclusive society where they will live free from vilification, fear and prejudice.

    For asylum seekers and refugees themselves, the greatest risk of Labor’s upcoming National Conference is not the danger of an imperfect chapter in the Platform. It is the danger of Labor failing to deliver real and practical outcomes to help ease their plight, while causing them to endure the real-world impact of re-energising the politics of fear and vilification of the world’s most vulnerable.

    I do not believe this analysis should be dismissed as conceding the ideological argument to realpolitik. For as long as political leaders concentrate Australia’s attention on the irregular arrival of asylum seekers, asylum seekers will continue to suffer. The last fifteen years clearly demonstrate this truth.

    If Australia were bereft of conservatives willing to politicise the approach of each boat to our shores, if there was no aligned media hungry to demonise the asylum seekers on them, the current political strategy of some advocates would be validated. The relevant Platform chapter could reflect an Australia where the electorate sees images of desperate people risking their lives at sea on the evening news and responds by asking their Government to rescue, care for and house them.

    Unfortunately, the last 15 years of toxic debate have convinced Australians that “leaky boats” are a threat to our national security, that leadership is best measured in brutality and that people seeking our protection by crossing the ocean are of questionable integrity and intent. Measured public opinion demonstrates that 70% of Australians want us to continue our harsh deterrence policies – in fact, nearly a quarter of our community want us to increase our cruelty.

    But there is another statistic worth our consideration. Research by the Scanlon Foundation indicates that 70% of Australians have a positive attitude towardsrefugees and this number is growing.

    Put bluntly, for most Australian voters, refugees are welcome and the perception of porous borders is not. Or put another way, the public will not countenance any policy or proposition that appears to reopen the boat journey from Java to Christmas Island. This socio-political reality creates difficulties for any opposition and requires that Labor is strategic in its approach.

    Labor party refugee advocates have a choice. To precipitate a fresh round of fear-mongering and vilification of asylum seekers, providing the politics of prejudice and division with new impetus, by authoring a perfect Platform chapter that will never become Government policy. Or to set aside the deep disappointment regarding the Labor Party’s record in this area and unite behind a framework that could not only be realised as the policy of Government, but would also change the lives of thousands of asylum seekers and refugees for the better. In other words, to choose an approach that keeps the public onside, delivers significant outcomes, and detoxifies the rancorous political debate around refugees.

    Labor can be the one voice of progressive possibility – or another voice of progressive protest.

    A successful and progressive Platform chapter on asylum seekers and refugees would achieve five primary outcomes – and remain durable in Government without abandoning them

    1 )   Offer thousands more refugees the chance to belong and contribute to Australian society every year.

    2 )   Protect the asylum seekers currently in our community and onshore and offshore detention centres from harm, providing them with real opportunities to work, study and prosper.

    3 )   Neutralise a toxic, divisive and damaging public debate.

    4 )   Open up the policy, political and social space required to effectively build a durable regional resettlement framework

    5 )   Ensure excellence and effectiveness in Australia’s settlement services.

    Such a policy is not only conceivable – it would the best possible outcome for asylum seekers, refugees and Australia’s national character and one that progressives must advocate for.

    A truly compassionate Labor policy would immediately give people living on Bridging Visas the right to study and work and abolish Temporary Protection Visas; commit to transparent, independent oversight of all detention centres operated or funded by Australia; legislate for time limits on all forms of immigration detention; end the fast-tracking of asylum seeker claims; reinstate Government funded legal aid for asylum seekers; commit to closing the ocean route to Australia; and create a safe pathway to protection by increasing the humanitarian intake to 27 000 with a special focus on those displaced in our region.

    Labor in government would have a real opportunity to transform the lives of countless thousands while maintaining the confidence of a population committed to“stopping the boats”.

    It could be argued that there are more progressive policy positions. However, there are no more progressive possibilities. Labor’s National Conference can be used to demonstrate just how “perfect” it is when it comes to people seeking asylum, or can unite behind meaningful change in the right direction.

    Brad Chilcott is the founder and National Director of Welcome to Australia, a national movement of people working together to cultivate a culture of welcome in our nation. This article first appeared in The Chifley Research Centre. http://www.chifley.org.au/possibility-before-protest/

     

  • Walter Hamilton. Magna Carta and universality.

    Current Affairs. 

    Eight hundred years ago, this month, King John reluctantly signed Magna Carta, a form of peace treaty forced on him by rebellious barons. It is considered to have marked the beginning of the end of the age of despotism. Some also see Magna Carta as the extension into politics of Christianity’s leveling theology: no longer was there one chosen people (monarch); all humanity had access to salvation (the law).

    Durham Cathedral (one of the architectural marvels of the Christian tradition) holds a 1216 edition of Magna Carta, which is currently on display to mark the anniversary. It is a great privilege to lay one’s eyes on such a rich piece of history.

    At the heart of Magna Carta is a statement of universality that all ‘free men’, including the king, were subject to the law:

    No free man shall be seized or imprisoned, or stripped of his rights or possessions, or outlawed or exiled, or deprived of his standing in any other way, nor will we proceed with force against him, or send others to do so, except by the lawful judgement of his equals or by the law of the land. To no one will we sell, to no one deny or delay right or justice.

    Although ‘free men’ then made up only a small minority of the population, and Magna Carta would be variously ignored, amended or superseded in later years, this first stating of the principle of English liberty changed everything.

    To the extent that Magna Carta was created to constrain the monarch, it represented a devolution or decentralization of power, which is a highly topical subject in present-day Britain.

    The political map of the United Kingdom is now sharply divided, with the Scottish nationalists holding almost everything above the Tweed and the Conservatives dominant in the south. The North-South divide, itself, however, is nothing new. Elizabeth Gaskell’s novel North and South is just one nineteenth-century variation on a well-worn theme.

    Travelling from London to Yorkshire and Durham, and thence into Scotland, the modern-day visitor immediately hears the change, in the accents, and feels the climatic change. And yet many economic and social changes in the past fifty years have led Britain in the opposite direction, towards greater uniformity. Gone from the North are the industries that once defined its separateness from the South: coal mining and shipbuilding. Around Durham, for instance, the landscape is no longer dominated by the mounds of coal slag older residents still remember; Durham today is as green as Kent.

    Back to Magna Carta.

    While the celebration of the charter’s anniversary might give encouragement to present-day de-centralizers, the greatest idea it upholds, for me, is the principle of universality: that all ‘free men’ (which we can translate into the contemporary ‘all members of a democracy’) are equal before the law. From this equality, this universality, we derive the benefits of open discourse, of free trade, freedom of worship and ‘the brotherhood of man’.

    Magna Carta stands against modern trends that tend to atomize society through, among other things, the ascendency of single-interest group-ism that narrows interaction with others, a process increasingly enabled by the Internet and other new media.

    I was reminded of this trend by a recent news report on the proliferation of so-called ‘safe spaces’ on British university campuses. The idea of the university, as classically conceived, is to promote the exchange of ideas and knowledge across barriers of class, race and gender. ‘Safe spaces’, on the other hand, are exclusive to specific ethnic or gender groups, where they may exchange ideas ‘safe’ from dissent or contradiction. The promoters of ‘safe spaces’ say they are needed to protect marginalized minorities from the dominant culture; in other words, the imputed intolerance of others is appropriated to justify reverse intolerance.

    From ‘safe spaces’ to Scottish nationalism is not such a big leap.

    As I have been travelling around, taking in the opinions of the people I meet, the ghost of Magna Carta has stalked the contemporary debate about representation and autonomy. How, for instance, can one reconcile the referendum result that clearly endorsed Scotland’s remaining inside the United Kingdom, with the extraordinary success of the Scottish Nationalist Party?

    The answer partly, I think, is that Scots were nervous about economic separation from the union (notwithstanding that the SNP is now pressing for legislation that would give Scotland ‘economic autonomy’) and concerned at the way the referendum came to be perceived as an act of outright unfriendliness towards the English (contrary to the many family and business connections that people want to preserve).

    The big vote for the SNP in the subsequent parliamentary elections was the natural corollary to this. If Scotland is to remain inside the union, it wants its own voice and, more to the point, power over its own destiny. Labor, I have been told so many times, has always been the party of Scotland. No longer is that the case. The poisoned legacy of Tony Blair, ‘New Labor’, the Iraq War, plus the failure of Ed Miliband’s team to muster candidates in Scotland who had the respect of a restive electorate, all contributed to the result. Labor is gone in Scotland for the foreseeable future.

    But Scotland is not gone from the union. The forces of dissolution versus integration (or atomization versus university, as I have termed them earlier) are contending one against the other. It is a multifaceted contest and the likely outcome is far from clear. Under the June sunshine, amid the flocks of European tourists come to the Highlands for a milder form of summer, the hills and glens and the lochs remain for now firmly in place.

    Walter Hamilton is visiting Scotland researching family history.

     

     

     

     

     

  • Geoffrey Harcourt. Piketty, flawed, but not a light that failed.

    Current Affairs

    A review of Thomas Piketty, Capital in the Twenty-First Century.* Translated by Arthur Goldhammer, Cambridge, Mass and London: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2014. viii + 685 pp. ISBN 978-0-674-43000-6*

    *This is a smaller version of a review article to be published in the next issue of Economic and Labour Relations Review. The article contains a bibliography on which this version draws.

    At each end of the spectrum of responses to Thomas Piketty’s best seller are those of Paul Krugman and Deirdre McCloskey. Krugman pronounced it “the most important book of the year – and maybe of the decade”. McCloskey graded it as mistaken on most fronts. Bob Solow supports Piketty – “Thomas Piketty is right” – and provides the clearest account of the issues without leaving the realm of simple arithmetic.

    The book is nearly 700 pages long; it has been 15 years in the making. Piketty handsomely acknowledges his collaborators and his mentor, Tony Atkinson, who has devoted his working life to understanding inequality of income and wealth; Solow dubs Tony, “the pioneer and gray eminence of modern inequality studies” (2).

    Piketty started his career as a promising young French mathematical economist who was head-hunted to an American department. Tiring of American life and the narrow American approaches to economics, he returned to France where he is a Professor at the Paris School of Economics. He is both an economic historian and an economist who favours multi-disciplinary approaches to social sciences issues.

    The driving force behind his research is the tremendous growth in the last 40 years of inequality in income and wealth in advanced capitalist economies. Seeing this as a return to normal developments after a blip for part of the 20th century, Piketty went back to the preoccupations of the classical political economists and Marx with distribution and growth. He assembled long periods of data, from tax returns, including estate duty data, for a number of advanced economies. Piketty is inspired by their example, and by Simon Kuznets, to do for the 21st century what they did.

    His comments on how we should “do” economics could be the blueprint for the French and other undergraduates campaigning for pluralist approaches. But he uses an aggregate production function model to explain the Kaldor-like stylised facts his data revealed. He wants to be heard by the mainstream whose approach of choice it still is.

    To use it he conflates his concept and measurement of wealth with those of capital in his theoretical arguments. Wealth thus includes land, housing, financial asset holdings as well as capital goods.

    Piketty’s explanation of his findings is presented as three “laws”: 1) the rate of profits is greater than the rate of growth; 2) the capital to income ratio tends to rise; 3) the share of profits in income tends to rise. Together, they imply greater and greater concentration of wealth amongst relatively fewer people, a cumulative causation process leading to “the resurgence of patrimonial capitalism”, and “the triumph of the rentier”, as opposed to Keynes’s prediction of that class’s euthanasia.

    His theories do not imply inferences that match his main findings. To do so, the value of the elasticity of substitution between capital and labour must be greater than unity, for him reasonable, but most empirical studies suggest it is usually less than unity.

    So what of the use of the aggregate production function and the marginal productivity theory of distribution? Piketty is aware of the polemical debates between the two Cambridges about capital theory. His reading of the issues and the outcome is wrong. First, Piketty does not correctly identify the theoretical and empirical issues at stake. Secondly, his claim that MIT eventually won is wrong. Alas, the profession subsequently chose to pass by on the other side.

    The most serious theorists moved onto a different terrain – can the initial results vitiate the most rigorous form of mainstream theory? What has happened so far suggests “Yes”.

    Piketty does not understand that the principal issue is not capital’s measurement but its meaning, i.e., what ‘vision’ of the economy has the analyst in mind? There are two main claimants: the mainstream, whereby the consumer queen is the driving force of development with all other agents, and institutions serving to help her maximise her life-time expected utility. The other “vision” arises from the classical political economists and Marx: the ruthless swashbuckling capitalist class rules the roost; other classes in the economy and its institutions dance to its tune as it endeavours to achieve the behavioural requirements of money-making and accumulation.

    The economists involved in the debates were clearly aware of this distinction. Economists on the Cambridge UK side who early on perceived what was at stake include Amit Bhaduri and Anwar Shaikh. Anwar criticised the arguments and practices of Solow’s 1957 article, which spawned the literature on the relative contributions of deepening and technical progress to the growth of overall productivity. There have also been internal critiques on how stringent the conditions are for aggregation and how inappropriate such an endeavour is because the empirical specifications are manipulation of identities.

    Piketty attached himself to a Say’s Law world over the long term, ruling out the insights of Marx, Keynes, Kalecki and Pasinetti being brought to bear on historical findings. Some base their criticisms of Piketty’s approach around this. Properly worked out, Piketty’s model may result in the euthanasia of the rentier, or a steady-state, or the triumph of the rentier, Piketty’s claim. Including the gang of four provides a rich, relevant analysis of Piketty’s findings.

    Keynes has shown us that there is no automatic tendency for capitalism to attain and sustain full employment. Marx argues that the capitalist class will always take steps to make sure there exists a reserve army of labour, to “discipline” the wage-earners by making the sack an effective weapon.

    This argument came into the modern era through Kalecki’s classic 1943 article, “Political aspects of full employment”. Balogh and Kaldor pointed out in the 1970s that Monetarism was “the incomes policy of Karl Marx” — the shift in economic, political and social power from capital to labour over the long boom ceased to be tolerated by the capitalist class the world over. Add to this the inexorable rise of large multinational oligopolies dominating markets (and governments) and we may understand recent events as a concentrated attempt to create worldwide, cowed, quiescent work forces to allow large increases in the spheres of production of potential surpluses available for accumulation in the spheres of distribution and exchange.

    An unintended consequence of this was often sluggish overall demand.“Animal spirits” were dimmed and the potential surplus was not realised because of sluggish rates of accumulation, or was only realised if governments stepped in with increased government expenditure. The actual outcomes of these factors at work in conjunction with Taylor’s analysis constitutes a more plausible narrative with which to interpret Piketty’s findings than does Piketty’s neoclassical fairy tale.

    Piketty is a progressive social democrat who wants, like Keynes, to save capitalism from itself. He is not a member of any political party, he is first and foremost a scholar deriving evidence-based accounts of the motions of society and suggesting, for others to take up, positive policies with which to tackle malfunctions uncovered. He advocates a world-wide wealth tax and/or for individual countries, progressive income taxes, measures any non-militant progressive would agree with. They would also agree with Piketty that, in the current world political climate, they are utopian proposals. Piketty does also point out that major historical reforms have not come about primarily by well-trained civil service technocrats designing them, that often wars and revolutions were the necessary impulses needed to get them off the ground; and that people like Piketty have to start the debates going.

    His admirable highlighting of the extent and causes of growing inequalities the world over have, because of its timing, struck a responsive chord, resulting in his rise to mega star status, with reviews of his book by many leading economists and a symposium in the Journal of Economic Perspectives (2015). There, Piketty defends his major themes but does have some second thoughts. There have been also many discussions in media outlets around the world. His data base and the full accounts of its sources and limitations, within the book and on his website, are major contributions of enormous help to like-minded researchers.

    I close with comments and criticisms, including limitations associated with his data sources. First, his concept of wealth includes not only houses and land but also financial assets. Because of double entry bookkeeping, financial assets reflect real capital goods which are also included in the totals, of necessity valued at market prices. Does this mean that double-counting may be part of the overall totals?

    Secondly, if the distribution of income is to be explained by the use of ‘capital’ and ‘its’ marginal product, this requires that ‘capital’ be measured in a unit independent of distribution and prices. But outside an all-purpose one commodity world, valuation is required and the prices used include profits and rate of profits components, leading to arguing in a circle.

    Thirdly, there are limitations associated with use of taxation reports and the impact on them of historical cost accounting conventions and procedures. This issue was discussed in the 1960s to 1980s. If an accountant were to be let loose in a Golden Age where expected and actual rates of profit coincide because expectations are always realised, the accountant, using his/her tools, could give very misleading answers as to what the rates of profit were; the discrepancies between the accountant’s measure and the true figure could be very large indeed. As there are no rough rules of thumb to correct for these effects, we can only take Piketty’s findings on trust.

    To sum up: McCloskey goes far too far in her negative evaluation and her asymptotic approach to a Panglossian view of the merits of capitalism even when it is red in tooth and claw. The profession and countries world-wide are much in Piketty’s debt for raising in a readable way fundamental issues facing the modern world and providing much of the necessary empirical material for others to use in alternative approaches to understanding what has been discovered and what is likely to happen. Capital in the Twenty-First Century cannot be classed as a light that failed but as vital illumination for us all to get on with it.

    * Translated by Arthur Goldhammer, Cambridge, Mass and London: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2014. viii + 685 pp. ISBN 978-0-674-43000-6*

    G.C. Harcourt is Emeritus Reader in The History of Economic Theory,Cambridge 1988,Professor Emeritus,Adelaide 1988;Visiting Professorial Fellow UNSW Australia.

     

  • Max Bourke. Northern Australia – the fantasy continues

    Current Affairs

    The White Paper on Northern Australia. ( www.northernaustralia.dpmc.gov.au accessed June 19, 2015)

    The cover of this Report features, a slightly sick (ironically seems to have a fungal disease), young seedling growing in rich black soil. The seedling well reflects the issue, the black soil does not.

    When white settlers landed in Australia at the end of the 18th century they brought the techniques and understandings they knew from Europe to farming, the climate and the environment. What else could they do? It has taken over 200 years for many Australians, and some clearly still do not, to understand that the climate, soils, landscapes of Australia are profoundly different from Europe or Asia. The recently released “White Paper on Northern Development” June 2015, suggests we still have a long way to go.

    In 1839 the Kew Gardens appointed a plant collector and vegetable gardener who tried growing crops on the Cobourg Peninsula, which sadly failed quite quickly. Since then there has been a long history of hubris about agriculture and development in northern Australia. Boosters almost invariably ignore two major and fundamental problems, soils and temperatures of northern Australia.

    Yes there is a lot of “undeveloped” land there but the dry tropics (most of the region) are largely, lateritic soils in a very, very hot climate. So hot that very few of the crops either westerners or people of Asian background currently eat, can be grown there. There are a few limited exceptions to these generalisations but nothing on the scale that is usually trotted out by the boosters.

    In 1965 Bruce Davidson in his The Northern Myth, traversed many of these issues. Davidson, an economist with CSIRO, was prevented from publishing his work and resigned. But his core arguments persist, that only with heavy government subsidy, could intensive agriculture succeed in northern Australia (such as on research stations) and now even that seems dubious.

    Two extremely well written papers have traversed the issues and both are utterly ignored, not even cited, in the current White Paper. History sadly, and perennially repeats itself.

    In 2002 John Woinarski and Freya Dawson surveyed the sorry tale very well, see reference 3. They worked hard to get to the root causes of the problems mitigating against northern agricultural and forestry development. Reviewing 150 years of agricultural developments in the north they concluded, p 104, “Although these developments have inevitably led to personal and environmental casualties such losses have been deemed bearable in the context of a government drive to dominate or stake a claim on these lands, and the pervasive perception that environmental costs weigh little against the land’s limited value and its excessive extent”.

    In 2009 a superb review of the science of research in the north and its outcomes, was written by Dr Garry Cook of CSIRO (ref 1 below). It is worth reading alone for its photos of Parliamentary Inquiries and other matters over the last 100 years.

    But reviewing the scientific agricultural research over the last 150 years Cook concluded: “At the same time as food and production security concerns are causing growing pressure on the north, there is also growing pressure for land managers to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increase carbon sequestration. The outworking of these factors is by no means certain, because they will be driving the system in differing directions. Concerns about food security will create pressure for land clearing and agricultural development, as happened throughout the 20th century, but concern about carbon emissions has already led to changes in tree clearing legislation and limited the ability of land holders to develop land. Climate change itself is likely to increase variability in an already highly variable climate and increase the risk to agricultural enterprises. Currently a growing tide of extinctions and range reductions are affecting native fauna across the north (99). Strategies to ensure their conservation will add further complexity to the outworking of development pressures.”

    The current White Paper appears to totally ignore history. Maybe that is our fate.

    Twenty pages of the document are devoted to listing projects, reports, studies that might, though not necessarily, have some bearing on northern Australia and which are already under way. Either this is padding for the report or an exercise in advanced cynicism!

    Fifteen years ago the author attended a northern Australia research conference in Darwin representing one of the Federal agricultural R&D corporations. Many fine words were said then about “moving Australian R&D to the north”.

    In 2009 the Commonwealth Government produced another report, “Sustainable Development in Northern Australia” (ref 2). In the conclusion to that paper it was stated:

    “The north is not a vacant land. It needs to be actively managed for resilience and sustainability, based on a contemporary and informed understanding of the complexities of the landscape and its people. Contrary to popular belief, water resources in the north are neither unlimited, nor wasted. Equally, the potential for northern Australia to become a ‘food bowl’ is not supported by evidence.” Joe Ross, 2009, Chair Northern Australia Taskforce.

     

    Max Bourke AM has a background in agricultural research and public administration. As well he has been Chairman of one of Australia’s largest farming investment businesses and manager of the New Crops programs for the Rural Industry Research and Development Corporation. He has spent much time in Northern Australia in various roles.

    Refs:

    1.Cook, G “ Historical perspectives on land use development in northern Australia: with emphasis on the Northern Territory, Northern Australia Land and Water Science Review full report October 2009

    1. “Sustainable development in Northern Australia”. Northern Australia Land and Water Task Force. Department of Infrastructure, Transport, Regional Development and Local Government, 2009
    2. Woinarski, J.C.Z., and Dawson, F. (2002).Limitless lands and limited knowledge: coping with uncertainty and ignorance in northern Australia. Ecology, Uncertainty and Policy: managing ecosystems for sustainability. (eds J.W. Handmer, T.W. Norton & S.R. Dovers) (Prentice-Hall.)
  • Robert Manne. Papal Encyclical and Cardinal Pell

    Current Affairs

    In The Monthly on 31 October 2011, Robert Manne recalled the efforts of Cardinal George Pell to discredit the case of those who were concerned about climate change. Cardinal Pell said that Robert Manne was following fashionable opinion on the subject. Extracts from Robert Manne’s article follow below. John Menadue. 

    In the Sydney Morning Herald of October 28, Eugene Robinson, a columnist with the Washington Post, reported the findings of the most comprehensive study of the Earth’s temperature ever undertaken. The study had been conducted by the Professor of Physics at University of California, Berkeley, Richard Muller. His team had collated 1.6 billion temperature readings. Interestingly, Muller had begun his study as a climate change “sceptic”, mocking Michael Mann’s “hockey stick” graph; sympathetic to those responsible for hacking the University of East Anglia ‘Climategate’ emails. The “denialists” were confident that Muller’s study would produce results favourable to their cause. Muller even received a grant of $150,000 from the great sponsors of US denialism, the fossil fuel industry-based Koch brothers. As it turned out, however, the study confirmed earlier findings. Since the 1950s the Earth’s temperature has indeed risen by about 1°C.  Muller argued in the Wall Street Journal: “When we began our study, we felt that sceptics had raised legitimate issues, and we didn’t know what we’d find. Our results turned out to be close to those published by prior groups.” He concluded: “You should not be a sceptic, at least not any longer.” Of course these results were immediately contested. Muller was once a climate change sceptic. His new enemies are climate change denialists. Nothing illustrates the distinction between climate change scepticism and denialism more neatly than the differences that are presently opening up between Muller and his critics.

    Although the Australian is owned by the same corporation as the Wall Street Journal it chose not to publish Muller’s seminal opinion piece. Instead, on October 27, it published a somewhat less significant article by that well known climate scientist Cardinal George Pell. The article revealed that Pell presently regards himself as an authority on climate change. He informed his readers that, unlike him, many politicians had not investigated what he called “the primary evidence”. Had they done so they would have learned, as he had, about the inadequacies of both the “evidence” and the “explanations” being offered by the climate scientists with regard to global warming. Pell expressed strong disagreement with something I had written. “Recently”, he argued, “Robert Manne, following fashionable opinion, wrote that ‘the science is truly settled’ on the fundamental theory of climate change; global warming is happening; it is primarily caused by the emission of greenhouse gases, especially carbon dioxide; and it is certain to have profound effects in the future.” Pell complained about the fact that I appealed to something called “‘the consensual view among qualified scientists’”. For him, such an appeal was “a cop out, a way of avoiding the basic issues…” Indeed, to write of the core conclusions of the climate scientists as “settled science” or as the “consensual view” represented what he called “a category error, scientifically and philosophically.”

    There are many ways of demonstrating the existence of this scientific core consensus, about whose non-existence the Cardinal seems to me entirely wrong. One obvious way is to provide a brief account of some of the statements released by some of the world’s most important scientific academies in recent years.

    In 2007, the presidents of the Science Academies of Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russia, South Africa, United Kingdom and the United States published a common statement. In part it read: “[C]limate change is happening …[A]nthropogenic warming is influencing many physical and biological systems. Average global temperatures increased by 0.74°C between 1906-2005 and a further increase of 0.2°C to 0.4°C in the next twenty years is expected. Further consequences are therefore inevitable, for example from losses of polar ice and sea-level rise.” In October 2009, the presidents of eighteen relevant scientific associations in the United States, led by the American Association for the Advancement of Science, signed a joint letteraddressed to every member of the US Senate. “Observations throughout the world make it clear that climate change is occurring, and rigorous scientific research demonstrates that the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities are the primary driver. These conclusions are based on multiple lines of evidence, and contrary assertions are inconsistent with an objective assessment of the vast body of peer-reviewed science.” And in November 2009 in the United Kingdom, the Met Centre, Hadley Office; the Natural Environment Research Council; and the Royal Societyreleased a joint statement. “Climate scientists from the United Kingdom and across the world are in overwhelming agreement about the evidence of climate change, driven by human input of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.” The meaning of these statements seems clear.

    The existence of a core scientific consensus on human-induced climate change has also been proven by surveys of climate scientists. The results have been published in three recent academic articles each using a different methodology. In Science in December 2004 Naomi Oreskes published an article that showed that of the 928 peer-reviewed articles published in relevant scientific journals between 1993 and 2003, not one “disagreed with the consensus position” on the reality of anthropogenic climate change.  In 2009 Doran et al in EOS, The Transactions of the American Geophysical Union, asked 3146 Earth scientists whether they thought human activity was “a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures”. While only 77% of non-climatologists thought it was, among the climatologists who published in the field of climate science, 97.4% agreed. In 2010 in PNAS, The Proceedings of the National Academy of the Sciences of the United States, Anderegg et al conducted a survey of the peer-reviewed articles of 1372 climate scientists who had signed public statement either for or against action on climate change. Their conclusion? “97%-98% of the climate researchers most actively publishing in the field support the tenets of anthropogenic climate change outlined in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.” The conclusion to be drawn from these academic studies is clear. About 97% of climate scientists actively publishing in peer reviewed journals support the idea that global warming is happening and that it is primarily caused by human activity. If that does not constitute a scientific consensus I am at a loss to know what would. Yet Cardinal Pell characterises all of this as something as frivolous and as politically determined as “fashionable opinion”.

    Pell is not only wrong to deny the existence of a core consensus among the qualified climate scientists about global warming and its human cause. He is also wrong to believe that laypeople, like himself (and me), can arrive through uninstructed reasoning or speculation at our own conclusions about climate science. Commonsense ought to tell us that those without the requisite training or understanding have no rational alternative but to accept the conclusions of the scientists. In this area of highly sophisticated science, as in so many other similar examples, as Clive Hamilton once wisely put it, our problem is not what to believe but who. This situation of course is not without serious potential problem. If the climate scientists were divided on the core questions of climate change, laypeople would simply have no way of knowing what to believe. Fortunately, however, the scientists are not divided. They accept the fact of a rise in the temperature of the Earth in recent decades; the role played by human activity in that temperature rise through the burning of fossil fuels; and, in general, the kinds of grave potential danger posed. While concerning the precise pace at which the different outcomes of climate change will occur in the future there is no scientific consensus, on these core questions, consensus among the climate scientists undoubtedly exists. Consensus, of course, is not the same as unanimity.

    If Cardinal Pell believed he was able, through intuition, to understand particle physics better than the particle physicists or evolutionary biology better than the evolutionary biologists, his hubristic self-confidence would be merely absurd. He is however living at a time when fossil fuel corporations and other vested interests are seeking to create public confusion about the likely impact of increasing greenhouse gas emissions and when people are searching rather desperately for rationalisations that will allow them, in good conscience, to preserve their way of life by denying the need for radical action to reduce emissions from the burning of fossil fuels. Climate scientists are telling us that the future for humans and other species is imperilled. In combination with the current deluge of similar pieces by the expanding army of climate change denialists, Pell’s pronouncements have influence on public opinion and thus the potential to do real harm. In my view, he has used the authority bestowed upon him by high office in the Roman Catholic Church imprudently and irresponsibly.

    Cardinal Pell apparently believes that someone like himself – without scientific training; without scientific publications; without the capacity to read and understand academic scientific literature; without even the capacity to pass a first year university examination in one of the relevant climate science academic disciplines – is in a position to disregard the conclusions of 97% of climate scientists actively publishing in peer-reviewed journals which have been supported by the world’s major scientific academies. In denying the existence of a consensus among the climate scientists on core questions, and in arguing that laypeople without scientific understanding or expertise can come to their own conclusions on global warming, as if it were all merely a matter of opinion, Pell has committed what he might call a category error but which I prefer to call a cardinal mistake.

    Robert Manne is Emeritus Professor and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at La Trobe University and has twice been voted Australia’s leading public intellectual. He is the author of Left, Right, Left: Political Essays, 1977–2005 and Making Trouble. 

     

    In the Papal Encyclical on Climate Change, Pope Francis writes at paragraph 217

    It must be said that some committed and prayerful Christians, with the excuse of realism and pragmatism, tend to ridicule expressions of concern for the environment. Others are passive; they choose not to change their habits and thus become inconsistent. So what they all need is an ‘ecological conversion’, whereby the effects of their encounter with Jesus Christ becomes evident in their relationship with the world around them.

    I wonder if Cardinal Pell takes Pope Francis’ comment to heart.

    I will post a following blog by Father Bruce Duncan on the Pope’s Encyclical ‘Laudato Si’.

    John Menadue.

     

     

  • Michael Wesley. The Dangerous Politics of National Security.

     Policy Series

    In January 2013, as she launched her government’s National Security Strategy, then Prime Minister Julia Gillard proclaimed that Australia’s decade of terrorism was over. Her argument was that al Qaeda had failed to regenerate after being degraded in the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, and that there were other more conventional security issues, such as the rise of new Asian great powers, that would dominate the forward security agenda. 

    It was a bold call; and in the close aftermath of attacks in Paris, Ottawa, Montreal, Copenhagen, Sydney and Belgium, clearly a mistaken one. But one can admire her intent: to make clear calls, establish clear priorities, and place the management of national security within a clear, predictable framework. Gillard’s intent has not only been mugged by reality; it’s been overwhelmed by an inexorable muddying and politicization of the national security space that should be of concern to all Australians. 

    It’s easy to be seduced by the parochialism of the present, but in recent decades our security policy has become tangled in a proliferation of security vectors and actors. Once security referred to defence from attack from without and subversion from within; now security can refer to a broad and widening array of concerns: pandemics, climate change, natural disasters, asylum seekers, water shortages. The acme of this process was Kevin Rudd’s national security statement to Parliament of 2008, which adopted a truly all-hazards approach to keeping Australians safe. 

    The problem with applying the concept of “security” to everything is that eventually it will signify nothing at all. We have long realized how bureaucratically potent the word “security” is: a security threat is by definition existential, and therefore trumps all other policy concerns in the battle for cash, staff and bureaucratic priority. The result is a proliferation of people and government agencies responsible for national security and governments that lurch from one security preoccupation to another. Casualties along the way are an increasingly febrile media and a public that is both cynical and defensive. 

    Of course our politicians have not missed the powerful political capital that national security can build. John Howard showed all his successors just how potent a well-played national security hand can be. The result has been a national security politics that is at the same time supine and pointlessly partisan. On the one hand, oppositions are petrified of criticizing the national security posturing of the government in the wrong way at the wrong time and being forever labeled “soft” on national security. On the other, they wait like coiled snakes for the slightest whiff of government gaffes or mismanagement of the national security space. The result is a national political debate that is utterly incapable of holding governments to account on the vital substance of national security policy, but poisonously partisan and divisive at the edges, where it doesn’t really matter. 

    Meanwhile, in the tangled thicket that has become the national security space it is almost impossible to develop a clear sense of proportion and set of priorities. Quite simply everything slightly menacing or tragic becomes framed in a national security logic, with screaming headlines, solemn pundits and instant intelligence briefings. Governments that have played the “strong on security” card can’t afford to look slow or cautious in their responses. In a world where everything is of the highest priority, governments are finding it harder and harder to set priorities and make hard choices. How does a government plan a defence budget when Islamic State and China’s assertiveness and asylum seekers are of the very highest priority? How does it design a legislative regime when cyber crime, homegrown radicalization, Chinese espionage, foreign fighters, transnational crime, and opposition to the death penalty are all non-negotiable issues for the government? 

    In this frantic atmosphere government and community seem to have lost sight of exactly what it is that national security policy is designed to keep safe. Speeches and policy documents stolidly set out what our core national values are – safety, prosperity, independence, freedoms, cohesion – but there is little sense in the day to day waging of national security that there is much awareness of the careful balance that needs to be struck between security and the fundamental values it is meant to be keeping safe. When for example the government discusses the stripping of citizenship from Australians who fight in Syria and Iraq, who is asking the questions about the effect of this on community cohesion and on Australia’s international role in playing its part in dealing with the transnational phenomenon of radicalization? 

    One shouldn’t think that all of this is having no impact on public attitudes and opinions. Indeed there is a remarkable bifurcation developing, between the educated elite that is increasingly cynical about national security, and partial to hysterical conspiracy theories; and the majority that is demanding a tougher and tougher government response by the day. The result is small-mindedness among both groups: an unwillingness to contemplate different opinions among the former; a defensive xenophobia and intolerance of difference among the latter. Along the way, observe yet another paradox: despite the fevered security consciousness of the public, governments of both sides that seem unable to adequately explain national security measures and build public support behind what really does need to be done. 

    Finally, national security is changing the very structure of our Westminster system of government. It is hard to have watched the past two decades of national security policy and to deny that there has been a steady “presidentialisation” of our government, mainly under the impetus of national security. The Prime Minister’s Department has grown inexorably, as has the office personnel. There are very few issues even vaguely with a security tinge that the PM is not centrally involved in. He or she has direct personal relationships with the heads of all of the national security, policing and intelligence agencies. Apart from growing power and personnel, the presidential prime ministership demonstrates its sway by structuring and restructuring national security agencies: creating, spinning off, merging and co-ordinating in a dizzying display of apparent urgency. There is no one to think about and caution over the effects of this on the logic and effectiveness of these changes to a presidential prime minister. 

    It is hard to watch all this and be comforted that we are safer, more cohesive, and secure in our values as a result of these trends. One wonders whether it is any longer politically feasible to put an end to this bipartisan rush for the national security mantle. If anyone is, here’s a few pointers. First, security is not an all-hazards policy space, it is about existential threats. Other issues are important, but they are not security issues and should never be framed with that logic. Second, security is a powerful but dangerous logic. Any discussion of security must include strong and reasoned debate about the balance between security and the values it is seeking to keep safe. Third, acknowledge that the national security structures and agencies have kept us safe for half a century: leave them alone and let them do their jobs. Fourth, the PM’s office and department have a legitimate role in national security, but it should never be a central, directing role. And fifth, nothing is more security-eroding than a sense of constant panic; and nothing more security-building than a sense of calm resolve. 

    Real leadership, on both sides of politics, must begin with an acknowledgement that national security policy is important and potent, but ultimately dangerous to the values it seeks to protect, if not handled in a considered, calm and non-partisan way. 

    Michael Wesley is the Director of ANU’s Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs

     

  • John Menadue. A night with the Vice Chancellors – the export of education services.

    Current Affairs

    Education services earn an export income for Australia of over $16 b. p.a. Those export services are expected to increase to $31 b. p.a. by 2020 from about 600,000overseas students. Education is now our fourth largest export behind iron ore, coal and natural gas. It is our major services export, ahead of tourism.

    The benefits from our export of educational services have been spread across Australia. It is estimated that each international student spends over $40,000 p.a. in fees and living expenses. Chinese and Indian students represent over 30% of overseas students. The top 10 source countries for overseas students are all from our region. The growth has been extraordinary and is likely to continue.

    This spectacular increase in education exports is far beyond anything that we imagined when we first considered this subject in the Department of Trade in 1984.   As a percentage of total exports they hardly appeared on the graph.

    With our export of education services in its infancy we examined in the department our poor performance in exports generally and how we could respond. We continued to rely on resources booms every decade or so. The inflated dollar had put our manufacturing sector under great pressure. Between 1965 and 1982 we had not created one new job in manufacturing. Our economy as well as our society was insular and inward looking.

    Whilst we had a large services sector in Australia, particularly in education and health it was overwhelmingly focused on the domestic market. Our exports of services were very low in world terms. Yet we had world-class education institutions and the middle class of Asia was growing. We were not taking advantage of that opportunity and we compared very unfavourably with educational institutions in the US and UK who were performing much better than we were in expanding their role in our region.

    In the Department of Trade we could see clearly that we were missing out and we focused our attention on how we could lift our exports from our well-reputed institutions and particularly our universities.

    In addition to seeing the possible economic benefits of expanded education exports, I also saw increased numbers of Asian students as a way to improve Australians attitudes to Asia. As a student at a university college in Adelaide, I had roomed with students from Malaysia. They changed my attitudes on White Australia and relations with our region. My experience with these and other students who came to Australia under the Colombo Plan was I believe an important factor in helping to transform community attitudes about Asia and opposition to White Australia. Until those Asian students came to Australia there was a fairly widespread view of Asians as poor and unskilled and a threat to our living standards. But the Asian students studying here in the 1950’s and 1960’s were young, well educated, spoke good English and not at all threatening.

    So I saw Asian students at our universities and schools as offering both economic and social benefits.

    But to get the ball rolling we had to convince Australian universities about the possibilities of substantially increased Asian students on their campuses. In my autobiography in 1999, ‘Things you learn along the way’, I wrote about my first approach to Australian Vice Chancellors.

    ‘In the department in 1984, we commenced a study on the export of educational services. After we had completed the study, I spoke at a dinner with 19 vice-chancellors of the major Australian universities in the Scarf Room at the ANU about our thinking and plans for the export of educational services. I outlined ways in which I thought we could promote education services offshore and encourage more Asian students to come to Australia. The Americans and British had been doing it very successfully. We were not serious competitors. With the universities under financial pressure, this was a commercial opportunity for them. It would also transform university campuses and, hopefully, student attitudes towards Asia.

    The dinner turned out to be a frost. The vice-chancellors were not impressed with my commercialism. My main critic was Professor Peter Karmel, Vice-Chancellor of the ANU. He had been my mentor from Adelaide University days. We held similar views on most public issues but we didn’t agree on this one. He was upset at commercially exploiting educational services on such a scale. After the dinner, Karmel buttonholed me on my proposal. His concerns also came back to me through an old friend, Frank Hambly, Secretary of the Vice-Chancellors’ Committee: ‘What is Menadue up to in advocating selling overseas educational services in this way?’, he had asked his colleagues.

    You always remember the speeches that don’t go well but in retrospect it helped quicken reform. In the mid-1980s education exports were minimal. They now have grown to $3 billion annually with almost 150,000 foreign students in Australia each year, mainly from Asia. The Australian International Education Foundation estimates that educational exports will be worth $5 billion in 2001.’ (p.245-6)

    In fact in recent years there have been over 600,000overseas students in Australia each year, earning $16b pa for the Australian economy.

    The remarkable growth in education services has not been trouble free. With cutbacks in government funding mainly for our universities, institutions have become too dependent on fee-paying overseas students. In some cases I think academic standards have been compromised.

    But in 1984, when I spoke to the 19 Vice Chancellors, I could not have envisaged the dramatic changes that were to come. The seed I sowed with the Vice Chancellors fell on stony ground but it survived and flourished.

    John Menadue was Secretary Department of Trade 1984-86.

  • Nikki Marczak. History repeats for Christian Assyrians

    Current Affairs

    As ISIL continues its brutal rampage across Iraq and Syria, a recent United Nations report found that ethnic and religious minorities are facing crimes against humanity, and even genocide. For Christian Assyrians, these atrocities evoke terrible memories of the genocide their ancestors endured under the Ottoman Government (‘the Young Turks’), known by the community today as Seyfo, or “the sword”. Prevention of genocide can only be effective if patterns are identified early, and if the world is willing to intervene when the warning signs become clear. Strong parallels in both ideology and strategy between the Young Turks and ISIL are a significant indicator of potential genocide.

    The Assyrian Australian community, which numbers more than 30,000, has asked the Government to take concrete action to assist persecuted minorities in Iraq. However, the Australian contribution to the meeting of the Small Group of the Global Coalition to Combat Daesh (ISIL), held on 2 June in Paris, appears to have been limited to reiterating Australian support for the Building Partner Capacity initiative, and an $8m increase in humanitarian aid. And although the Prime Minister called on our regional partners to work collaboratively on counter-terrorism at last week’s Countering Violent Extremism Summit in Sydney, a strategic political solution for protecting Iraqi minorities from potential genocide seems ever more elusive.

    The Assyrian community is one of the world’s most ancient nations with a deep connection to its indigenous territory of the Nineveh Plain, which fell to ISIL in 2014. Just as Assyrians were marched out of their villages a century ago, hundreds of thousands of Assyrians have today been exiled or fled from ISIL-controlled territory under threat of death, perhaps never to return. Other crimes against humanity including massacres and abductions, forced conversions and sexual violence, form an overall picture of genocidal intent, based on religious hatred and a desire for an ethnically homogenous region. All of this mirrors the Assyrian genocide of 1915.

    In August last year, when the severity of ISIL’s crimes against minorities became clear, the Australian Government announced that both Yazidis and Iraqi Christians would be added to the eligibility list for special humanitarian program visas, though it refused to increase the number of places. Since the UNHCR is now giving out assessment dates as late as 2021, surely this cannot be the extent of Australian assistance. And although an increase in visas would be welcome, it would not address the root cause of the humanitarian crisis.

    While the Assyrian community is often subsumed within the broader category of ‘Christians’ their plight is not purely based on religious persecution. The community must be allowed to practise its religion, of course, but it also asserts the right to its historic homeland, resisting the relocation of civilians as a permanent solution. Assyrian Australians are calling on the Australian Government to support the establishment of a safe haven in the Nineveh Plain, along with self-administration and autonomy for the Assyrian community.

    A number of defensive militias are preparing to retake towns in the Nineveh Plain, once Baghdad moves to expel ISIL from Mosul and surrounding areas. At the meeting of the Global Coalition to Combat Daesh, Iraqi Prime Minister al-Abadi reportedly outlined a plan for recapturing ISIL-controlled territory. However, specific strategies to ensure the rights of Iraqi minorities do not appear to have been developed. Such rights are, in fact, guaranteed by the Iraqi constitution and must form part of any long-term vision developed by the Global Coalition.

    Finally, cultural destruction and plunder are often harbingers of genocide (and, once again, these were employed systematically by the Young Turks). ISIL’s strategy of looting, trading or obliterating priceless archaeological treasures simultaneously achieves enormous financial profits and the demoralisation of minority communities.

    Mr Joseph Haweil of the Assyrian Church of the East Relief Organisation explains that witnessing black ISIL flags billowing on the tops of Assyrian churches in place of the Christian cross is all the more devastating since these places of worship are the focal point of community life, having been built from the ground up over countless generations. “Without a swift international response,” fears Mr Haweil, “ISIL’s genocidal terror could spell the end of Assyrian continuity in lands they have inhabited since time immemorial.”

    Last month, the UN passed a non-binding resolution condemning ISIL’s tactics of cultural destruction, though unfathomably describing it as a “new phenomenon” and in doing so, ignoring the widespread cultural and religious destruction that accompanied the Assyrian genocide a hundred years ago. In light of the UN’s call for all states to support Iraq in preventing the trade of stolen artefacts, the Australian Government could take the concrete action of raising with its Turkish ally, the issue of looted property finding its way over the Iraqi-Turkish border, not to mention ISIL recruits crossing into Iraq from Turkey to commit crimes against humanity.

    Australia’s position on the Global Coalition to Combat Daesh should not be wasted, and discussions being held with our regional partners must keep in mind the pressing concern of protection of minority groups in Iraq. Australia can help to ensure the contemporary pages in the long Assyrian story tell of a free and flourishing community, rather than one that is quickly disappearing.

    Nikki Marczak is a research, writer and policy analyst in Holocaust and Genocide Studies. Nikki’s area of focus includes women’s experiences of genocide, the Armenian Genocide, current persecution of ethnic and religious minorities and Holocaust memory work.

     

     

  • John Menadue. How the Australian Bishops and Rome ignored the warnings.

    Current Affairs. 

    We were warned about events such as in the Ballarat Catholic Diocese. But they were even worse than what we expected. Bishops have been warned for a long time but they have ignored the warnings. See article below that I posted on 22 February 2013.

    Bishop Geoffrey Robinson, formerly Auxiliary Bishop of Sydney (1984-2004) has consistently and firmly drawn attention to the damage that sexual abuse was wreaking on individuals and the integrity of the Catholic Church.

    As early as 1997, when launching ‘Towards Healing’, Bishop Robinson called on Pope John Paul II to commission a church-wide study of clerical sexual abuse. He was ignored and increasingly side-lined.

    Geoffrey Robinson has publicly said that he had suffered from sexual abuse. This made him more demanding of the Catholic Church in this area. He was also greatly influenced by the stories he had heard since 1994 when he had been appointed to the bishops’ national approach to what were called “Special Issues”. This subsequently became the Professional Standards Committee to develop procedures to respond to sex abuse complaints. This work culminated in ‘Towards Healing’. I am told by very well-informed sources that in this work on the committee he encountered both scoffing and disbelief from some bishops, including archbishops. He incurred the wrath of the Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith and Cardinal Ratzinger personally for his supposed disloyalty and dubious orthodoxy.

    Unfortunately for the Church, Bishop Robinson resigned in 2004, soon after he had finished his term on the Towards Healing committee. His resignation was for health reasons. He is now ‘Bishop Emeritus’.

    After his resignation as Bishop, he commenced work on the book which he published in 2007 ‘Confronting Power and Sex in the Catholic Church’. That book highlighted two things. The first was that sexual abuse was an awful but only one expression of the endemic abuse of power generally in the Catholic Church. Second he highlighted that if the sexual abuse crisis was to be effectively addressed, the Catholic Church needed to make fundamental and far-reaching changes. He stressed that sexual abuse was at the core of the Church’s ugly culture and anti-humane procedures. In such a situation he insisted that the process of scrutiny and reform must go wherever the truth leads.

    In May 2008, after the publication of his book, the Australian Catholic Bishops’ Conference issued a statement critical of the book and Bishop Robinson. The statement said

    ‘…The book’s questioning of the authority of the Church is connected to Bishop Robinson’s uncertainty about the knowledge and authority of Christ himself. Catholics believe that the Church, founded by Christ is endowed by him with a teaching office which endures through time. This is why the Church’s Magisterium teaches the truth authoritatively in the name of Christ. The book casts doubt upon these teachings. This leads in turn to the questioning of Catholic teaching on, among other things, the nature of Tradition, the inspiration of the Holy Scripture, the infallibility of the Councils and the Pope, the authority of the Creeds, the nature of the ministerial priesthood and central elements of the Church’s moral teaching.’

    Take that, Bishop Geoffrey Robinson, for telling us some unpalatable truths!

    Before a proposed visit to the US shortly after the launch of his book he was asked by Cardinal Giovanni Re, Prefect of the Congregation for Bishops, to cancel his tour because ‘some bishops in the United States are concerned that you have been invited by some organisations that are not in communion with the Catholic Church’.  Bishop Robinson went ahead with the tour.

    Bishop Geoffrey Robinson has paid a price for telling the truth. In his own archdiocese of Sydney he commented ‘I have been excluded from a number of ceremonies usually performed by bishops. On the other hand, I have been overwhelmed by an outpouring of support from Catholic people’.

    The world Catholic Church and particularly the Church in Australia owes Geoffrey Robinson a great debt for his integrity and courage in the face of clerical bullying. He still has a lot to contribute, perhaps more than anyone else I know in the Catholic Church in addressing its present crisis.

    If only the bishops in Australia and Rome started listening to him way back in 1997 when he went public for the first time on the issue of sexual abuse in the Catholic Church.

    (I should add that I have not spoken to Bishop Geoffrey Robinson either directly or indirectly on these matters. I have only met him once and that was quite briefly and casually six or seven years ago.)

    John Menadue

  • John Menadue. Early tax avoidance: the window tax

    window_taxHolidaying in Bath, I came across an early example of tax avoidance. A window tax was introduced in the UK in 1696. It was believed to be a progressive tax on the assumption that the wealthy property owners had larger houses and more windows. But the tax avoiders found a way around the problem…fill in the window spaces with masonry and avoid the tax even if it looked very ugly. Wealthy property owners don’t often have good taste or care about neighbours. The tax was abolished in 1851.
    Tax avoidance is now largely conducted in secret and the scale of it by such companies as News Corp, Westfield Glencore, Google, Apple and the Big Pharma multinationals puts the tax avoiders in Bath in the shade.

     

  • John Menadue. Catholic bishops keep saying sorry, but avoid structural and cultural reform.

    Current Affairs.

    Catholic bishops keep telling us that they didn’t know and how sorry they are about the horrific events in Ballarat and in many other  parts of the Catholic Church before that. We all know how terrible these events are, but what have the bishops done  to address the opaque governance structures and cultural problems  that have contributed to this abuse. The Catholic Church is still run like an absolute monarchy. Sexual abuse of children is an appalling abuse of power but it is only one form of  abuse of power in a hierarchical and clerical system.In the selection of bishops for example the laity have little or any role at all.It is a rigged system.The laity who would know about sexual abuse are isolated and passive. There is a massive governance problem in the Catholic Church.

    Kevin Rudd said sorry to the Stolen Generation but very little changed. The same is true in the Catholic Church.

    Together with friends, I made a submission to the Royal Commission into Institutional Responses to Child Sexual Abuse. This submission was on 11 November 2013. It focused on the lack of accountability, the abuse of power, the problems of governance and a clerical culture that contributed to current problems.

    Our concerns were identified earlier by the Murphy Commission which was concerned with the Archdiocese of Dublin. That Commission found that the ‘structures and rules of the Catholic Church facilitated the cover-up’.

    The Victorian Parliamentary Enquiry into the Handling of Child Abuse by Religious and Other Organisations handed down its report ‘Betrayal of Trust’ on 13 November 2013. This report said ‘No representatives of the Catholic Church directly reported the crimes committed by its members to the police’. (p.170) The Committee found ‘that there is simply no justification for this position’. It said that in not once instance of the 307 cases involving the Diocese of Ballarat, Sale and Sandhurst did the bishops report directly to the police. That is extraordinary, even though the church cooperated once police enquiries were afoot.

    The submission to the Royal Commission can be found in the following link.

    https://publish.pearlsandirritations.com/religion/html_files/Royal_Commission.html

     

    The submission can also be found on the Royal Commission website under the item ‘Towards Healing issues paper’.

  • John Menadue. Risk-averse business.

    Current Affairs

    The Reserve Bank has pushed interest rates to record lows but business continues to be reluctant to invest.

    Capital investment will fall by a record 25% to $104 b. in 2015/16 compared with what companies expected to spend a year earlier. In the March quarter of this year spending by companies on new equipment and buildings fell 4.4%, the sharpest fall since the global financial crisis.

    In this blog on 30 October last year, see below, I wrote about how Australian business was becoming risk-averse – rather than investing in new ventures it was handing money back to shareholders in share buy-backs and generous dividends. This was at a time when corporate profits were high, but apparently the animal spirits of business was in short supply.

    The Reserve Bank governor, Glen Stevens, has been repeating his frustration about the timidity of Australian business.

    The head of Corporate and Investment Banking at Citi said in the AFR on 21 May this year that the Australian share market has shrunk considerably over the last decade. He said that the All Ordinaries market capitalization had fallen from 1.2% of GDP a decade ago to 0.9%. He commented ‘Australian shareholders focused on getting their money back rather than reinvesting it. … There has been a loss of mojo in Australian boards. There is a conservatism compared to what we see in the US but also a short termism of our fund management industry. … The Australian Bourse is now a capital returns exchange and not a capital raising exchange.’

    It is also significant that a lot of money is being made in property and not in areas such as manufacturing, services, transport, biotechnology and telecommunications. The recent 200 Rich List showed that almost half of our 200 most rich people were in property, retail and financial services. Almost a quarter of the richest 200 were in property. Clearly a lot of money is being made in the low value-added end of the business spectrum. It is often easy pickings for the rent seekers in the property sector to secure favourable zoning outcomes.

    Business will claim that political uncertainty is the problem. And there is some point to that with the lack of credibility in the government’s budget repair policies and the highly political nature of so much of its infrastructure funding.

    But a real problem is the short termism and lack of risk in large parts of our business sector. The frustration of the Reserve Bank is understandable that having pushed interest rates so low, the business sector is not responding with investment.

    Repost: Australian business is ‘too risk averse’ (posted 30/10/2014)

    In August this year the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Glen Stevens, told a Parliamentary hearing that Australian companies were being ‘too risk averse’ by focusing on sustaining a flow of dividends and returning capital to shareholders rather than investing in future growth.

    Research by Credit Suisse shows that non-financial companies in the ASX increased dividends by $5 billion in the twelve months to June 2014 and cut capital expenditures by $7 billion in the same period. This month the Boston Consulting Group in a new report said that ‘Australian companies paid out twice as much in dividends as their global peers in 2014’. It also commented that ‘Australian companies have been increasingly paying higher and higher dividends over the last four years and therefore investing less over time in their businesses’.

    But these higher dividend payouts are only part of the story. Instead of investing in future growth major Australian companies are engaged in large scale share buybacks. Companies like Telstra, Suncorp and Westfarmers have all been handing back money to shareholders in buybacks.

    These trends in increased dividend payments and share buybacks suggest too much of a focus on short-term returns and lost opportunities for growth.

    A major driver of these increased payouts to shareholders have been executive pay schemes in which remuneration packages are linked to short term business performance and share options. The same phenomenon has been occurring in the US. In the Harvard Business Review of September 2014, Professor William Lazonick at the University of Massachusetts said

    ‘Five years after the official end of the great recession, corporate profits are high and the stock market is booming. Yet most Americans are not sharing in the recovery. … The allocation of corporate profits to stock buybacks deserves much of the blame. Consider the 449 companies in the S & P 500 Index that were publicly listed from 2003 through 2012. During that period those companies used 54% of their earnings – a total of $US2.4 trillion – to buy-back their own stock. … Dividends absorbed an addition 37% of their earnings. That left very little for investments in productive capabilities or higher incomes for employees. … The Chairman and CEO of BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager wrote in an open letter to corporate America in March “too many companies have cut capital expenditure and even increased debt to boost dividends and increased share buybacks…. Why are such massive resources being directed to stock repurchases? Stock based instruments make up the majority of the pay of [senior] executives and in the short term buybacks drive up stock prices. As a result the very people we rely on to make investments in the productive capabilities that will increase our shared prosperity are instead devoting most of their companies’ profits to uses that will increase their own prosperity.”’

    The showering of shareholders with increased dividends and share buybacks is not helpful to the long term development of new capital investment and new jobs, but it provides enormous benefits to senior executives with shares or share options.

    It is called CEO capitalism.

     

     

     

  • John Menadue. Is war in the American DNA?

    Current Affairs

    In his book ‘Dangerous Allies’ Malcolm Fraser warned us how we can be drawn into US conflicts that are of no immediate concern to us. We have seen that in recent decades in following the US into wars in Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq. He spoke of ‘dangerous strategic dependence’

    The US has a long history of involvement in wars. In the Washingtonblog.com in May 2014, and which was carried by the SMH, it showed the number of wars that the US had been involved in since its independence in 1776. The data was well documented. According to this report, the US has been at war 93% of the time since 1776. It adds –

    • The US has never had a decade without war.
    • The only time the US went five years without war (1935-40) was during the isolationist period of the Great Depression.
    • The US has launched 201 out of 248 armed conflicts since the end of WWII.
    • The US is responsible for 41% of the world’s total military spending. The next largest spenders as a proportion of GDP are China 8.2%, Russia 4.1% and the UK and France 3.6%.
    • The US maintains over 700 military bases or sites around the world in more than 100 countries.

    Take two examples. In 1953 the US ,with British collaboration overthrew the democratically elected Mosadeq government in Iran in the cause of oil interests. Just think how the region might be now if that had not happened. A year later the US engineered the fall of the Guatamalan government in the interests of the United Fruit Company

    The US  has espoused anti colonialism but  the Philippine American War 1898-1903 was a classic attack on a republic that was turned into a US  colony.As American Indians tell us ,Americans speak with forked tongues when it comes to honouring treaties.

    And the same war story goes on today. The US has spent over $3 t in Iraq,made the situation worse and destabilised the whole region.

    In 1961 President Dwight Eisenhower warned the US about the threat to democratic government posed by the military-industrial complex, a union of defence contractors and armed forces. He said ‘In the councils of government we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex. The potential for disastrous rise of misplaced power exists and will persist.’

    The result is that profits and jobs depend heavily on America being at war.

    In 2010, speaking at the Eisenhower Library, the former Secretary of Defence, Robert Gates, a Republican, said ‘Does the number of warships we have and are building, really put America at risk when the US battle fleet is larger than the next 13 navies combined – 11 of which are our partners and allies? Is it a dire threat that by 2020 the US will have only twenty times more advanced stealth fighters than China? What it takes is the political will and willingness, as Eisenhower possessed, to make hard choices – choices that will displease powerful people both inside the Pentagon and out.’

    Add the powerful domestic gun lobby to the powerful military-industrial complex spread across the country and it is not surprising that the US, even with its many admirable qualities, is geared to almost perpetual war and violence. We should stop pretending otherwise.

    It is even more worrying that the belief is widespread in the US that American  actions in the world represent Gods’s will  in pursuit of it’s ‘manifest destiny’.

    The US is a dangerous ally as Malcolm Fraser warned us. Too often we get caught in its slipstream as appears to be happening in the US relationship with China.

    And it is not just politicians who join the US cheer squad. I fear that senior Australian officials and advisers  ,who should know better are also doing so.

     

  • Fred Chaney. The challenge of providing fairness, opportunity and security for Indigenous Australians.

    Policy Series

    It is unlikely that at any time since 1788 a sample of Indigenous Australians would agree they have enjoyed fairness opportunity and security.

    It is similarly unlikely that any Minister responsible for Indigenous Affairs, past or present, would claim as much progress in achieving those objectives as hoped for. The now obligatory annual report card delivered in Parliament by the Prime Minister of the day confirms the slow and irregular progress in closing the gaps in economic and social circumstances.

    Any snapshot of the circumstances of indigenous Australians at any time post settlement will reveal our failures. But a longer view, a 50 year perspective, suggests dramatic changes and progress. Post 1788 saw dispossession and dispersal, denial of property and other rights, attitudes and policies forged in an age of overt racial discrimination, effective exclusion from citizenship and participation in social and economic life.

    The history is well known enough not to need repeating here. What is relevant to this series is the direction of travel over the last 50 years or so and the efficacy or potential efficacy of current policy settings.

    The direction of travel is positive. Until 1960 Australia was a segregated country. What are some of the markers of our direction of travel as a country over that time?

    • Voting rights legislated for in 1962;
    • the unprecedented level of support for the 1967 referendum which afforded Indigenous Australians the dignity of being counted in the census;
    • the Gove land rights case 1971 which, while denying recognition of native title, set the intellectual framework for recognition of Land Rights;
    • the Woodward reports on the implementation of land rights in the Northern Territory in 1973 and 1974 supported across the Parliamentary divide;
    • all party support for the Racial Discrimination Act 1975;
    • all-party support for the establishment of Land Rights in the Northern Territory culminating in the Land Rights (NT) Act 1976,
    • the subsequent establishment of Land Rights regimes in the majority of Australian states during the 1970s and 80s;
    • the establishment of the Council for Aboriginal Reconciliation in 1991;
    • the High Court’s Mabo judgement in 1992;
    • Keating’s Redfern speech in the same year;
    • the Native Title Act 1993;
    • the bridge walks for reconciliation in 2000
    • the establishment of Reconciliation Australia in 2001;
    • Prime Minister Rudd’s national apology in 2008; and
    • All party support for constitutional recognition.

    To this list can be added endless expressions of good intentions over that period by governments of all stripes, Commonwealth and State.

    Of these changes the High Court Mabo judgement is the most significant. What the High Court did in Mabo was to give Common Law recognition to the connection between Indigenous people and their land as established through their own law and custom. For the first time since 1788 Indigenous people come to the table with governments and industry as people with rights rather than as supplicants. This was the most significant shift in the balance of power between the settler society and indigenous society since settlement. The major agreements made and being made with native title groups, Indigenous collectives defined by Indigenous law and culture, by governments and corporations reflect a new legal reality, the continuing legal economic as well as cultural relevance of Australia’s first nations.

    From a policy perspective we are more conscious of what is wrong than what is right. Rates of Indigenous imprisonment alone are a reminder of the intractability of disadvantage. But the past is a foreign country. Today Indigenous people enjoy full de jure citizenship. The civil and political rights that were denied are available to them. More Australians than ever before are lining up to support Aboriginal endeavours to achieve social and economic equality.

    There is widespread community support and engagement with Aboriginal and Islander people and their issues. There are around 600 reconciliation action plans involving the majority of the great companies in Australia, with another 400 in the pipeline, with countless individual and community initiatives in education health employment sport and culture, Aboriginal people have never had more allies.

    These significant events do not plot a straight-line graph of progress. Over the same period there are numerous markers of the old attitudes and of resistance to the recognition of Indigenous interests. None of the gains were easily won.   Land rights were bitterly contested in some States. The current all party support for constitutional recognition does not mask the strong negative influences which will contest any proposal which is not assimilationist and which envisages continuing Indigenous collectives as part of the national fabric. Each gain was the product of intense and, usually, contested effort.

    Now, after years of political attention and concerns about the continuing social, economic, and legal status deficits, there is a degree of public bewilderment about inadequate progress. Why do the gaps persist in the face of significant public expenditure and apparent government goodwill?

    This is not a new question. Over the period of positive effort there has been a considerable degree of experimentation with different policy approaches. Assimilation was replaced by self-determination which became self management and spawned Aboriginal controlled bodies like the Aboriginal Development Commission and then ATSIC and the funding of thousands of Indigenous organisations. Too often a start again approach was adopted when an iterative approach might have been more productive.

    What have we learned over 50 years?

    There is a lot of common ground about what works among academics, bureaucrats, and the Productivity Commission. But the past suggests that the failure of funding agencies, whether they are an ATSIC or a line department, to apply what has been learned is a consistent issue. How to do it is written down but governments have not acted in accordance with what is written down.

    As Westbury and Dillon pointed out in 2007, “What has not been recognised (at least within government) has been the extent to which government funding arrangements have reinforced community and organisational dysfunction” (Beyond Humbug P 191)

    The Productivity Commission sets out in its reports what are the preconditions for success:

    • Cooperative approaches between Indigenous people and government – often with the non-profit and private sectors as well.
    • Community involvement in program design and decision making – a ‘bottom up’ rather than ‘top down’ approach.
    • Good governance – at organisation, community and government levels.
    • Ongoing government support – including human, financial and physical resources.

    It observes that the lack of these factors can often contribute to program failures.

    There are few if any authorities which would challenge that analysis. With wicked problems, multi factoral problems affecting the disadvantaged such as health education and employment, solutions require the involvement and participation of those for whom the program is established. But few if any Indigenous communities or individuals would claim that their experience of dealing with government has been in line with those preconditions.

    The Commonwealth has acknowledged in the past the interconnectedness of the problems it seeks to address and concluded whole of government approaches are required. Two Management Advisory Committees (made up of heads of departments) have described the changes in organisation and processes that were essential if whole-of-government was to work. This included five basic imperatives:

    • Substantial initial cross-agency/stakeholder agreement about the broad purposes to be pursued;
    • Use of the outcomes budget framework to pool resources and to create appropriate accountability frameworks;
    • Lead-agency staff empowered with sufficient authority to manage whole-of-government settings and to lead the engagement of local stakeholders;
    • Empowering these same managers to engage with relevant individuals and interests;
    • And finally ensure the individuals engaged in these latter roles have the appropriate networking, collaboration and entrepreneurial skills. 

    This is an internal high level Commonwealth assessment not some external critic, these are the people with administrative skin in the game. It seems that these imperatives have never been met in the past and are still not being met.

    In the 2014 budget the Government announced a new Indigenous investment strategy to begin on 1 July 2014 as follows:

    “Under the strategy, more than 150 individual programmes and activities currently being managed by the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet are being replaced with five simple, streamlined programs worth $4.8 billion over four years. They will focus on achieving results in the government’s key priority areas in indigenous affairs of getting children to school and adults to work and making communities safer.

    • Jobs, Land and Economy: this will support adults into work, foster Indigenous business and assist Indigenous people to generate economic and social benefits from effective use of their land, particularly in remote areas;
    • Children and Schooling: this will focus on getting children into school, improving education outcomes and supporting families to give children a good start in life.
    • Safety and Wellbeing: this programme is about ensuring the ordinary law of the land applies in Indigenous communities, and that Indigenous people enjoy similar levels of physical, emotional and social well-being enjoyed by other Australians;
    • Culture and Capability: this will support Indigenous Australians to maintain their culture, participate equally in the economic and social life of the nation and it sure that organisations are capable of delivering quality services to their clients; and
    • Remote Australia Strategies: this program will support flexible solutions based on community and government priorities and support remote housing strategies.

    This came with a promise to end unnecessary red tape and remove duplication so that reductions in expenditure can be made without reducing impact on the ground. This last point is contested by many of the organisations affected by reductions in expenditure and is very optimistic.

    At the same time the strategy is to be supported by the establishment of a new remote community advancement network which will move to a regional model of administration rather than the current State and Territory based management arrangements “so decisions can be made closer to the people and communities they affect.” Additionally the Government announced that “staff in the remote community advancement network will spend more time engaging with communities to negotiate and implement tailored local solutions designed to achieve results against government priorities”.

    The ideas behind this restructuring reflect the lessons drawn from past efforts. Whole of Government approaches, local solution brokering, the possibility of pooled funding are positive. But the administrative complexity of what the Government has undertaken and the management of it is a challenge not met so far. It was supremely optimistic to take 150 existing programs which involve some 1400 organisations and redirect expenditure into five broad streams while at the same time changing the geographic and hence jurisdictional basis of the administrative framework in the space of a year. An additional challenge was to develop the skills required to carry out the admirable intentions, to engage with communities to negotiate and implement tailored local solutions, providing opportunities for communities to contribute to the design and delivery of local solutions to local issues. The skills required for this difficult work are largely absent from the APS and there is no training program to learn those skills.

    An additional challenge is that State and Territory Governments are essential players in all of the priority areas, so it is incumbent on those implementing the new arrangements to work not only with the local communities but with those other governments which are so central to service delivery.

    There is a considerable risk of unintended consequences as tectonic shifts in administration are in train. The risk of value destruction in the course of implementing new approaches is real. The current challenge for Government is whether it can construct the capacity to deliver on its large and complex agenda and avoid the further disillusion flowing from yet more top down changes.

    The proposal to recognise indigenous Australians in the Constitution remains a work in progress. Parliament has yet to decide on what particular proposition should be put to the electorate. Whether the all party support for recognition will persist in the face of any particular proposal is yet to be seen. There are at least three critical factors at play. Broad indigenous support for the proposition will be essential to success. What the proposition should be is still a matter of debate and discussion among significant Indigenous participants in the process. The absence of a determined and respectable opposition to the proposal is also vital, and the content of the proposal will determine whether significant opposition will emerge. The third factor will be the standing of the Government. At the time of the referendum an unpopular government may be seen as fiddling while Rome burns if it is pursuing a constitutional change which is not relevant to the core concerns of the broad community.

    What is generally agreed is that a failed referendum would be a very large setback. A guarantee of success is difficult to achieve.

    On all fronts Indigenous Affairs is a work in progress.

    Fred Chaney AO was former Deputy Leader of the Liberal Party, Member of the Federal Parliament for the seat of Pearce, Minister for Aboriginal Affairs 1978-80. Until April 2007 he held the position of Deputy Chair of the Australian Native Title Tribunal. He is on the Board of Directors of Reconciliation Australia.

  • Robert Manne. Human Rights Commission and Gillian Triggs.

    Current Affairs

    The Australian government and The Australian are at it again, attacking Gillian Triggs. I re-post below an article by Robert Manne from earlier this year.  John Menadue

    Readers of John Menadue’s blog will be aware that a vile attack is at present being launched against both the Human Rights Commission and its President, Professor Gillian Triggs.

    The Australian has been the media orchestrator of the campaign, led by its editor-in-chief, Chris Mitchell, legal reporter, Chris Merritt, and its reactionary columnist, Chris Kenny. The Australian has clearly been orchestrating the campaign in close collaboration with the Abbott government. Last week the Prime Minister recovered from his near-death experience to label the most recent report of the Human Rights Commission a political “stitch up”. His Attorney-General, the once-liberal George Brandis, has more or less admitted that as a consequence of this report he has called upon the President of the Human Rights Commission to resign.

    It is strange, and probably impossible for those who have not lived in this country for the past twenty years to believe, that the cause of the attack on the Human Rights Commission and its President is the fact that last year, on the tenth anniversary of an earlier report into the same question, the Commission decided to investigate the harm inflicted on children by onshore and offshore indefinite mandatory  detention–the internationally unique manner in which Australia treats those asylum seekers who arrive by boat without valid visas.

    There is no question that raises the issue of the respect for human rights in Australia more profoundly than this country’s imprisonment of thousands of children over the past twenty years. As a consequence, there is simply no question more appropriate for the Human Rights Commission to investigate than the impact on these children of their detention in Australia and the offshore processing centres.

    Readers of this blog will be aware that—as a result of the lethal dangers of the boat journey from Indonesia and the many hundreds of drownings, as well as the rapid escalation of the numbers of asylum seekers arriving by boat in 2012-13—I no longer find the question of asylum seeker policy morally or politically straightforward. (See  https://publish.pearlsandirritations.com/blog/?p=2006) However it is obvious that no matter what one’s views on the future direction of asylum seeker policy, it is impossible to feel easy about a longstanding and bipartisan policy practice that has wholly or partly destroyed the lives of thousands of children.

    Like individuals, nations have moral characters. As with individuals, nations’ moral characters develop over time. With regard to some questions, for example family violence, the nation’s moral character has become finer. With regard to other questions, like the treatment of asylum seekers, the national moral instincts have gradually grown coarser.

    We have now arrived at a situation where it is possible—and where for many citizens it does not seem grotesque—for Australia’s government and its leading national newspaper to launch a bullying attack on the Australian Human Rights Commission and its President for no other reason than they think it their duty to draw the attention of the nation to the spiritual, mental and physical wellbeing of the thousands of babies, infants, children and adolescents that our asylum seeker policy has placed behind barbed wire in many cases not for weeks or months but for years.

    The attack on the Human Rights Commission and its President represents in my view an attack on the liberal tradition in Australia. It is an attack on that liberal tradition in two quite distinct senses.

    The liberal tradition rests on the state’s willingness to respect the independence of certain institutions it funds. With the attack on the Human Rights Commission that dimension of Australian liberalism is under threat. If that form of liberalism was still alive to us we would treat the Attorney-General’s admission that he has called for the resignation of the President of the Human Rights Commission as a consequence of her decision to investigate the impact of indefinite mandatory detention on children as evidence of his obvious unfitness for the office he holds.

    The liberal tradition also embodies the idea of respect for the dignity of all human beings. If that dimension of the tradition was fully alive in contemporary Australia we would see, without any need for reflection, that a Prime Minister who launches an attack on the Human Rights Commission and its President as a consequence of the decision to investigate the incarceration of asylum seekers’ children is unworthy of the leadership of the nation.

    In the life of a nation there are certain crucial, culturally defining moments. The attack that has been launched on the Human Rights Commission and its President by the Australian government and The Australian newspaper is one such moment. It will be a bitter blow to the idea of liberal Australia if the attack on the Human Rights Commission and its President is allowed to succeed.

     

     

     

     

     

     

  • Peter Cosier. A Healthy Environment and a Productive Economy

    Policy Series

    Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists[*]

    When faced with significant environmental challenges in the past, Australian governments, businesses, communities and individuals have shown their capacity for responding creatively and energetically to environmental challenges, with positive outcomes for the health of the environment and economic productivity. While there are thousands of examples across Australia every day where individuals, communities and businesses strive to live sustainably, too often, despite best intentions, we place short-term interests over long term benefits.

    The consequence is that as a nation, we are taking more from our environment than can be replenished, and that by any definition is unsustainable. The destruction of native vegetation, over-extraction of water, degradation of agricultural soils, and poorly planned urban and industrial development are driving the continued, long-term degradation of the Australian landscape.

    As our population and incomes continue to grow, these assets will come under even more pressure. Climate change will exacerbate many existing challenges. The continent will continue to get hotter and experience changes in rainfall patterns, more droughts, and higher bushfire risks. Agricultural productivity is likely to be diminished by decreased rainfall and soil water availability, and urban and coastal assets will be at increasing risk from more intense storms, sea level rise and floods.1,2

    The problem is the narrative: jobs or the environment.

    In recent times, national policy has been plagued by short-term vested interests striving to shift the public dialogue to a position that we must sacrifice the environment to pursue a growing economy. We have witnessed the winding back of national water reform; the repeal of the emissions trading scheme; constant attacks on the Renewable Energy Target; the approval of thousands of coal seam gas bores across the landscape without proper assessments of their cumulative impacts on water resources, agricultural land or native vegetation; the Commonwealth seeking to give away responsibility to protect matters of national environmental significance; and very significant cuts to scientific research and national environmental programs.

    This myopic attitude flies in the face of both good science and it flies in the face of good economics because, in the long run, we cannot have a prosperous society if we continue to pollute our environment and degrade our natural capital.

    Conservation of natural capital is a universal human value that should underpin all political philosophy. The great Republican President Theodore Roosevelt once said: “Of all the questions which can come before this nation, short of the actual preservation of its existence in a great war, there is none which compares in importance with the great central task of leaving this land even a better land for our descendants than it is for us.”3

    Generations of Australians have overwhelmingly supported this philosophy. For the past three decades, The Australian newspaper has commissioned Newspoll to survey the issues that Australians consider important in Federal politics. In every opinion poll conducted since 1993, the majority of Australians have said they considered the environment as a very important public policy issue.4

    A sustainable economy

    Productivity is the key to long-term economic growth. It is also a pillar of sustainability, because people can create greater value using less materials and less energy, with less impact on the environment.

    If more people are to benefit from industrialisation, the world will need to produce more energy. How this energy is produced will be critical to achieving a sustainable economy, because the world needs to reduce greenhouse emissions by at least 50 per cent within the next 40 years to avoid the most dangerous consequences of climate change.5 This will require developed countries such as Australia to reduce net greenhouse emissions by more than 95 per cent over the next 35 years.6

    If Australia chooses to act now in our own long-term self-interest, we can achieve that target without fundamental changes to the economy, through a combination of energy efficiency, low carbon electricity generation, and carbon farming.7 Carbon farming is particularly important because not only does it provide an economic mechanism to help offset Australia’s existing greenhouse gas emissions, it also provides an economic foundation for the restoration of degraded land across the continent.8 This is because natural landscapes and healthy agricultural systems store vast quantities of carbon.

    Federation and the role of science in public policy

    The health of the natural environment matters because it affects the wellbeing of people. The Australian Treasury defines wellbeing in terms of the total stock of capital – human physical, social and natural – that is maintained or enhanced for current and future generations.9 If we are to improve the stock of natural capital to enhance the wellbeing of current and future generations, we need to ensure that sustainability principles are embedded across all sectors of the economy, and for this we need science.

    Australia’s Federation has by any measure been an extraordinary story. It has underpinned the development of one of the most successful and stable democracies in the world, which now sees us enjoying a remarkable 24 years of uninterrupted economic growth. This history has also positioned us to take advantage of the rise of the Asian century, creating a vast array of new economic opportunities.10

    The conservation of natural capital however, did not factor prominently in the creation of our Federation or our constitution – and herein lies our problem. We built our political and economic institutions at a time when the natural world seemed endless – where land clearing was part of a heroic vision to develop the nation – where fresh water flowing to the sea was thought to be wasted – and where coal was the great new energy source that would power the industrial revolution.

    With a new century come new challenges – challenges that our founding fathers could not have dreamed of. Today’s challenges of climate change, food security, the increasing scarcity of fresh water resources, the loss of biodiversity, and the increasing cost of natural disasters,11 are the defining issues of our age that will increasingly challenge our notion of progress.

    These challenges require a new set of skills and institutions built on an understanding not only of market economics and social sciences, but also the natural processes that drive our ecosystems, such as the water cycle and the carbon cycle, and through maintaining the capacity of ecosystems to provide the goods and services that underpin our society and our economy.

    The challenge and the opportunity

    The challenge we all face is that the economic transformations needed are far beyond the ability of any individual or company to address on their own. The current government’s intentions to reform both Federation and the tax system present a golden opportunity for us to put in place practical, forward-looking reforms that embed sustainability throughout the economy, so that everyday actions also lead to the conservation of our natural capital.12

    So how do we bring the economy and the environment together? The Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists, in consultation with experts in economics, land use planning and land and water management, has put forward what we believe are five interconnected, long-term economic and institutional reforms that will lead to a healthier environment and a more productive economy:13

    1.  Modernising Australia’s reactive land and water use planning systems  

    Ineffective land use and infrastructure planning is not only a drag on economic growth – delays, uncertainty in development approvals, congestion, and damage from extreme weather events – it is also the driver of long-term environmental degradation because it fails to take into account the cumulative impact of development on the long-term health of environmental assets. It also causes significant economic costs. According to a report by Deloitte Economics, ineffective planning currently costs the Australian economy over $6 billion a year to repair damage from floods and storms, and without substantial reform, these costs are forecast to increase to over $2 billion per annum over the next 35 years.14,15

    Australia sits on the edge of the most rapid economic expansion in human history.10 This will create a vast array of new economic opportunities. Such an expansion in combination with an expected 60 percent growth in Australia’s population in coming decades also means that competition for and conflict over land and water resources will continue to grow.

    Major public investment in a new generation of land use and infrastructure plans will not only help manage these pressures, they will improve the livability of our towns and cities and because they are more efficient, will also help secure Australia’s economic prosperity long into the future.

    2. Using markets to finance conservation.

    Many market activities damage the environment, but this is often not reflected in the market price of the goods or services these activities produce.16 For example, industries will continue to emit excessive greenhouse gases if there is no market value placed on a stable climate system, and farming may cause land degradation if there is no market value placed on the ecosystem services they provide to society.

    Often these problems arise because many aspects of the environment have public good values – that is, because no individual or company owns them, these values are not priced by the market, and are often used without regard to the costs that may be imposed on others. It is therefore in the public interest for governments to create the economic conditions for these impacts to be incorporated into the cost of doing business.17

    Our proposition is a simple, but fundamentally important one: remove subsidies from activities that pollute the environment and create economic incentives for business and consumers to restore and maintain environmental assets that have been degraded in the past.

    One way of doing this is to put a price on carbon and use carbon offset markets for the reasons described earlier: healthy landscapes store vast quantities of carbon. Another way is to eliminate fossil fuel subsidies and tax expenditures that are costing the economy in the order of $8 billion a year[†], and use some of these savings though an equitable, broad-based land tax to pay farmers, indigenous communities and other landholders to restore degraded environmental assets.

    As a package these measures in combination with a price on carbon, would go a long way to restoring and maintaining the nation’s natural capital long into the future.18

    3.  Conserving Australia’s natural capital.

    On our watch,[‡]19 the clearing of native vegetation, pollution of rives and estuaries, over extraction of water, introduction of weeds and feral animals, and inappropriate fire management, has resulted in the listing of over 1,600 species of native plants and animals as threatened with extinction.20

    We can turn around this systemic decline in Australia’s natural capital by: closing the gaps in our public and private reserves; connecting these across the landscape; and committing to a long-term plan to conserve our native plants, animals and ecosystems. In doing so, we will also create wealth and employment opportunities for more people, because access to nature in an increasingly congested world will be valued more highly by Australians and attract growing numbers of international visitors.

    4. Regionalising management of Australia’s natural resources

    In recent decades Australia has adopted a regional model for identifying investments in natural resource management.21 We are not proposing a fourth tier of government. What we are advocating is that all three levels of governments work more effectively with Australia’s existing regional natural resource management bodies, so that public and private investments lead to more effective management the Australian environment.[§]

    The benefit of a regional model is that investment decisions are underpinned by an understanding of how landscapes function. It is also an effective mechanism for aligning government policies with peoples’ expectations and values.22 It is able to do this because it operates at a scale large enough to manage the pressures on our landscapes, yet small enough to use local knowledge to tailor solutions that suit those landscapes.  

    5. National environmental accounts.  

    At its most fundamental level, many of our environmental problems arise because we only measure half the ledger. We have sophisticated economic accounts that measure benefits of economic growth, but we do not account for the depletion of natural capital.

    It is not possible to manage our economy without economic accounts. Neither is it possible to manage the environment without accounts that measure the condition our natural capital.

    If Australia is to become a sustainable society – one that creates wealth without degrading its natural capital – a most fundamental reform is to create a system of environmental accounts that measure the condition of environmental assets (such as rivers, soil, native vegetation, fauna, and estuaries) appropriate to the scales at which economic and policy decisions are made.23 When we do it will change the way we manage Australia.

    We all have a role …

    The twenty first century goal of promoting economic growth has for too long been framed as a trade-off between the economy and the environment. We must move on from this phase of our industrial history.

    We live in an extraordinary country. Our natural heritage is truly breathtaking. We enjoy one of the highest living standards of any nation – ever, and our prospects for the future seem endless.  

    There is no reason why the Australia of today cannot grow the economy, create jobs and maintain a healthy environment. But to do so, we have to stop kidding ourselves that the short term decision-making that is pervading public policy today is not having a negative long term impact on our environment and our economy. And we have to stop kidding ourselves that the small handful of people who are responsible for managing Australia’s vast land and water resources have anything like the resources to do it without financial support from the rest of the community.

    If we want to leave our world in a better condition than the one we inherited, it is incumbent on each of us, no matter where we live, to participate actively in public processes to plan for these long-term outcomes, and then take action so that they take us on a pathway where a healthy environment becomes a natural by-product of our economy – a partner to economic growth, rather than a competitor.

    With land use plans that promote development and protect the environment, long-term emissions reduction targets to address climate change, the elimination of fossil fuel subsidies that cause pollution and their replacement with a tax system that finances conservation, it is possible to have a productive economy and a healthy environment.

    When we do these things, we will create a truly sustainable society, because the market will direct investments that grow the economy and protect the environment.

     

    The Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists is an independent group of Australian scientists, economists and business people whose objective is to help policy makers identify solutions to the long-term conservation of Australia’s land, water and biodiversity assets.

    Current Members of the Group are Mr Peter Cosier, Dr Richard Davis, Professor Tim Flannery FAA, Dr Ronnie Harding, Dr Terry Hillman AM, Professor Lesley Hughes, Professor David Karoly, Professor Hugh Possingham FAA, Mr Robert Purves AM, Dr Denis Saunders AM, Professor Bruce Thom AM FTSE, Dr John Williams FTSE.

     

    References

    1. CSIRO and BoM, Climate change in Australia: projections for Australia’s NRM regions. 2015, Australia Government. p. 218.
    2. Department of Climate Change, Climate change risks to Australia’s coast: A first pass national assessment. 2009: Canberra.
    3. Slack, M. From the archives: President Teddy Roosevelt’s new nationalism speech. The White House Blog, 2011.
    4. Newspoll Political issues and trends: Importance of federal issues. 2015.
    5. Meinshausen, M., et al., The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300. Climatic Change, 2011. 109(1-2): p. 213-241.
    6. Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists, Submission to Garnaut Climate Change Review: Science based emissions targets will require far deeper cuts. 2008.
    7. Denis, A., et al., Pathways to decarbonisation in 2050. Initial Project Report. 2014, ClimateWorks Australia: Melbourne, Victoria.
    8. Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists, Optimising Carbon in the Australian Landscape. 2009, www.wentworthgroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Optimising-Carbon-in-the-Australian-Landscape.pdf.
    9. Australian Treasury, Australia to 2050: Future challenges. 2010, Australian Government: Canberra.
    10. Australian Government, Australia in the Asian Century: White Paper. 2012: Canberra.
    11. Productivity Commission, Natural Disaster Funding Arrangements. Inquiry Report No. 74. 2014.
    12. Institute of Chartered Accountants Australia, An economic policy platform for the next term of government. 2013, www.charteredaccountants.com.au/futureinc.
    13. Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists, Blueprint for a Healthy Environment and a Productive Economy. 2014.
    14. Productivity Commission, Barriers to Effective Climate Change Adaptation. 2012, Report No. 59, Final Inquiry Report: Canberra.
    15. Deloitte Access Economics, Building our Nation’s Resilience to Natural Disasters. 2013, Australian Business Roundtable for Disaster Resilience and Safer Communities.
    16. Australian Treasury, Australia’s future tax system: Report to the Treasurer. Part Two, Volume 2: Detailed Analysis. 2010: Canberra, ACT.
    17. Australian Treasury, Australia’s future tax system: Report to the Treasurer. Part One: Overview. 2010: Canberra, ACT.
    18. Australian Treasury, Australia’s future tax system: Report to the Treasurer. 2010: Canberra, ACT.
    19. McGraw Hill, McGraw-Hill Dictionary of American Idioms and Phrasal Verbs. 2002, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
    20. State of the Environment 2011 Committee, Australia state of the environment 2011. Independent report to the Australian Government Minister for Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities. 2011, DSEWPaC: Canberra.
    21. DEWHA and DAFF, Regional Delivery Model for the Natural Heritage Trust and the National Action Plan for Salinity and Water Quality. Audit report No. 21. 2007, Department of the Environment, Water, Heritage and the Arts and Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry: Canberra. p. 130.
    22. Natural Resources Commission NSW, Progress Towards Healthy and Resilient Landscapes: Implementing the Standard, Targets and Catchment Action Plans. 2010.
    23. Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists, Accounting for Nature: A Model for Building the National Environmental Accounts of Australia. 2008: www.wentworthgroup.org/blueprints/accounting-for-nature.

     

    [*] This paper is based on the Blueprint for a Healthy Environment a Productive Economy produced by the Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists in association with Dr Guy Fitzhardinge AM, Prof Quentin Grafton FASSA, Dr Ken Henry AC, FASSA, Mr Max Kitchell, Prof Darryl Low Choy AM, MBE, RFD, FEIANZ, Ms Ilona Millar, Dr Jamie Pittock, The Hon Paul Stein AM, QC, and Mr Martijn Wilder AM.

    [†] Primarily from exemptions provided to some industry sectors through fuel tax credits and reductions to the Commonwealth fuel excise, accelerated depreciation for fossil fuel assets, and the failure to index fuel excise for inflation since 2001.

    [‡] ‘On our watch’ is an expression that means while someone is on duty; while someone is supposed to be in charge of a situation.

    [§] There are 54 Regional Natural Resource Management bodies across Australia that work with governments, farmers, indigenous communities, and community groups who have a passion for public land conservation.

  • Garry Everett. Who’s Messing with marriage?

    Current Affairs

    A response to the Australian Catholic Bishops Conference’s Pastoral Letter entitled “Don’t Mess With Marriage”, May 2015.

    The Australian Catholic Bishops Conference issued this Pastoral Letter with three purposes in mind: to engage in the current debate about marriage equality; to present the Catholic Church’s teaching on marriage; and to explain the position of the Church to the wider community. The letter does not succeed as it should on any of the three nominated purposes.

    The letter is a curiously constructed document basically in two parts. The first part attempts to set out the Church’s views about marriage and marriage equality (“same sex marriage”); the second part provides a long list of undesired, and perhaps unintended outcomes, in other countries, of legislation which impinges on marriage equality. In essence, the Bishops re-state that marriage can only be between a man and a woman; that every child deserves to be raised by a mother and a father; that it would weaken the institution of marriage to share it with homosexual couples; and finally, they warn that marriage equality will lead to the erosion of long held freedoms of conscience, belief and worship.

    In setting out the Church’s teaching on marriage and same sex marriage, the Bishops restate certain philosophical-theological argument about treating like with like, concluding that a heterosexual marriage is not like a homosexual marriage, and therefore the two should be treated differently, and certainly not be identified by the same term, ”marriage”. “To do so would be unjust” the Bishops argue. Much of this part of the Pastoral Letter depends upon the definition of marriage. The definition advanced by the Bishops is: “A covenant between a man and a woman, to live as husband and wife, exclusively for life, and be open to the procreation of children.” In entering the debate the Bishops have argued that supporters of same sex marriage are trying to re-define marriage. However, the same charge could well be brought against the Bishops.

    In the mid-1960s, the Catholic Church held a Council known as Vatican11. The Church is still struggling to agree upon significant parts of the documents which emanated from that Council. In one document, the Council made an historic decision to change part of the church’s understanding of marriage. For centuries the Church had taught that there were two ends to marriage: having children (the primary end) and nurturing the love of the couple (the secondary end.) The Council removed the distinction between primary and secondary ends, thus rendering both ends as of equal significance. The Council went further acknowledging that “authentic married love “ was at the heart of marriage. Given this historic change, it is curious that in the definition of marriage provided by today’s Australian Catholic Bishops, makes no mention of the word” love”.

    This is significant, because their limited definition forces the Bishops to resort to a justification of marriage, based on “difference and complementarity”. These terms are explained as basically biological or anatomical concepts, indicating that men and women have different sexual organs, and that there is a natural fit (complementarity), which is not possible for homosexual couples. One cannot deny this argument, but it is not sufficient in itself to support a full definition of marriage. Most people would accept that marriage is the result of love. The usual sequence is: two people fall in love; they decide to marry; they decide whether to have children or not, and if so how many. The basis of marriage is both a reality and a mystery: love. To deny this is unjust and illogical.

    This leads us to consider the second aspect of the Bishops’ definition of marriage, namely having children (the Bishops use the religious term ”procreation”). Generally societies everywhere acknowledge that marriage provides a safe and suitable environment for the rearing of children. Again, research in the area of families tells us that a loving, nurturing, self-sacrificing family environment is what contributes most to the healthy development of young people. The Bishops argument is essentially that such an environment can only be provided by a mother and a father.

    Unfortunately, we know that this not always true. We also know, from a smaller set of cases, that homosexual couples can provide, and can fail to provide, such an environment. Successful child raising does not appear to flow from the genders of the parents, but rather something that is achieved through the love of the couple raising the children. This further underscores the centrality of the significance of love in any definition of marriage. As Fr. Richard McBrien in his classic text Catholicism puts it: “Consummation (intercourse) without love, is without meaning.”

    The Bishops also indicate that the notion of marriage equality as proposed, will de-stabilise marriage, and change retrospectively, the basis on which all existing heterosexual marriages exist. This is akin to saying that: “You can only make your candle glow brighter, by extinguishing the candle of another.”

    The concluding part of the Bishops’ letter provides a long list of undesirable outcomes which they claim flow directly from accepting same sex marriage. These are prefaced by a statement warning that “freedom of conscience, belief and worship will be curtailed in important ways.” In fact all the examples are cases of either poor legislation or its interpretation/application, or of both. It is indeed unfortunate that such incidents as those mentioned by the Bishops occurred, and the Bishops are right in drawing to our attention the need to be clear on how any new piece of legislation is framed in relation to existing legislation .The Australian Human rights Commissioner, Tim Wilson, makes an astute observation in this regard. He says: “ Conservatives rightly debate whether any change to marriage could lead to a slippery slope, particularly opening the door to polygamous marriage. But the two are not comparable……… The present push for same sex marriage has gained support precisely because it is a fulfilment of conservative expectations about the role of stable relationships as an essential building block of society, and a form of private social welfare through mutual dependency.”  Creating fear, by listing examples as the Bishops do, is not a defensible tactic.

    If we are to have a mature debate about the topic of same sex marriage or marriage equality, then all parties should show a willingness to listen compassionately and genuinely to the other’s experiences. Love not fear should be the guiding principle of the debate. The parties should be seeking a common solution, not a partisan victory. All this is part of the long evolutionary journey of our understanding of marriage. The term is resilient, and has shown an irrepressible ability to be modified and accommodating, in surprising ways.

    Garry Everett is a Catholic layman. He has been an adult educator for more than 40 years. He has a strong interest in Church, Theology and Scripture.

  • Glenn Withers. A Smarter Australia

    Policy Series

    Knowledge capital is the real wealth of nations. If you stop to think about it, what matters more for opportunity, fairness and security than the skills, talents and ideas of the people? Yes, other things matter, but in the long haul they are way back in second place. And, yes, we do a lot already to foster our abilities, but we could be even smarter in this endeavour.

    Education Structures

    In Australia, growing our knowledge capital starts at the beginning. Child development is the foundation. It is well established that getting early childhood development right makes a lot else work well in later life. Nobel Laureate James Heckman established some time ago that the real rate of return could average 60% for early childhood investment programs. When many other investments are lucky to clear reasonable hurdle rates of 5-10%, this is, or should be, a no-brainer. Of course such quantification demeans the intrinsic worth of the endeavour, but it is interesting how readily an early childhood advocate adopts the trappings of an economist when he or she learns of such reality.

    In terms of the cycle of life, the work accomplished in pre-school and child care is next sharpened by schooling. In Australia recently we have had some healthy debate about how that is best accomplished. Our unusual mix of private and public secondary schooling sharpens that debate here and points to the distinctive “Australian Way” of combining government and private provision. This model is also to be found in child care and in tertiary education, especially in vocational education and training. It is not unique to education either, as it operates in everything from superannuation to health and from electricity provision to imprisonment.

    Whether the mix is optimal or not is a big debate and getting the balance right is not easy. For example, the Lomax-Smith Base Funding Review of 2011 struggled long and hard to define the right mix of private benefit and public good emerging from higher education but, given the difficulties of quantifying the public good component, ended up with rules of thumb. However, putting aside the precise metrics, it remains true that it is this principle of blending that has allowed Australia to enjoy one of the lower government outlay shares for industrial countries, despite the protestations of classical libertarians who would wish it lower still.

    The great Australian statistician, Colin Clark, who pioneered notions of national income, once suggested that detriment would follow when government share of GDP exceeded 25%. Although this has happened, Australia has become one of the world’s most wealthy nations, sitting closely alongside the Scandinavians who breach the Clark rule in spades.

    With public expenditure share at around a third of GDP Down-under (as opposed to Scandinavian models of over 50%), there is scope for correction, including through a greater public outlay share if we have got the balance wrong in our public-private partnership model in specific areas of provision. This applies in much of Australian education these days, and advocates of a free, fairer and more prosperous Australia should not step back from saying so until that is recognised.

    Indeed, contrary to much conventional political wisdom, it is clear from studies that seek to ascertain willingness to pay for policy reform that the public is amenable to seeing more go to education and to paying for that through taxes if necessary. This includes higher education, often seen in politics as not carrying votes, even though such learning is central to the future for young people and appreciated as such not only by them, but also by their parents and grandparents.

    In addition to increased undergraduate enrolment, the growth of postgraduate courses and executive programs is a major transformation of the modern university – further engaging many mainstream voters. Opinion surveys show that higher education can sway votes, particularly given the growth of the non-aligned voter phenomenon.

    The “Australian way” of public-private partnership in schooling was at the core of the so-called “Gonski process”. The examination of what base-level provision was essential and who should pay for it involved the investigation of arrangements for this, the one major component of the education sector where overall and public funding meets or exceeds OECD averages (which is not so for earlier childhood funding nor for tertiary outlays, at least as regards the formalised sectors).

    Beyond the formal government accreditation systems, there is much that goes on in professional and personal development on the education side and in external research and development on the innovation side. This includes family, corporate and community activity of a kind not normally pursued through ongoing official data collection. How Australia fares here is accordingly less clear.

    In such matters we are at one with the drunk who looked for lost keys under the streetlight, not because that is where they were dropped but because the light was better. More could be done to learn of such things beyond the current focus that occupies most analysis and data. But in the funding battle between Big Science* (and indeed STEM** overall) and other research, such modest projects in the humanities and social sciences seem to get somewhat marginalised.

    To the economist this is passing strange since value for dollar, including for producing simple citation metrics, is often greater for the cheaper projects. Indeed in terms of the discipline rankings Australia is at the top of its game globally in such fields as philosophy and international relations, and they cost peanuts, relatively speaking. But in academic matters value for money is often subordinated to other cultural and power forces when total subvention is artificially constrained.

    The resultant research battle is bizarre, given the opportunities for good, productive research across the spectrum. Only 15-20% of current well-attested projects receive funding under nationally competitive grants schemes (with many more accordingly discouraged) when the real rate of return from such research is estimated to be on average 20% or more. This return exceeds most commercial business project outcomes, and yet we continue to restrict support which costs under half of the return. Both STEM** and HASS*** research support can be enhanced. Cultural explanation of public decision-making must be sought as to why this does not happen, not rational economic and business understanding.

    Higher Education

    In the most recent public debates in Australia, higher education reform has been at the forefront of debate in this broad field of knowledge capital. Though the Abbott government had flagged that its approach to universities was intended to be one of “masterly inactivity” with a more general policy philosophy of “no surprises”, the 2014 Budget encapsulated some rather dramatic and therefore largely unanticipated reform proposals for that sector.

    The so-called “Pyne reforms” sought the following as their original ambition:

    • Expansion of the system through demand-driven funding for sub-bachelor degrees;
    • Restructuring of the pattern of funding by field of study and for infrastructure;
    • Deregulation of undergraduate degree fees and lighter touch quality regulation;
    • Introduction of greater competition from non-university higher education provider access to subsidies; and
    • Increased private financing through reduced per-student grants, new doctoral fees and reduced grant indexation.

    Amongst the cut and thrust of privatisation and competition, the irony of a new mandated scholarship scheme to come from deregulated university fees and paid to lower socio-equity students, was lost.

    Most attention has focussed on the deregulation of undergraduate fees, the $100,000 degree possibility and the “threat” to fiscal consolidation of the greater provision of demand-driven places. Less attention has been placed on the slow undermining of educational quality from reduced per student funding, reduced indexation of grants and the diversion or diminution of infrastructure funding. The gradual rise of student-staff ratios in depreciating facilities and what this means for quality of learning and the learning experience, is ignored. And our decision-makers wonder why our nation’s productivity is declining!

    There may be greater awareness if, as is now happening, other international student competitor nations start to take higher shares of the global market as our student experience deteriorates relative to theirs. But for now the bounce-back from the disastrous Indian student crisis, caused by poor migration regulation and poor community integration for international students, hides any such problems.

    The way to square the circle on this is to understand the aspirations of voters and respond to that by a commitment to a narrative of investing in our future and ensuring that in higher education we aspire to an equal and shared partnership between public and private funding. The benefit to the economy, let alone beyond that, would more than pay for the cost.

    A proper restructuring of government Budgets to distinguish recurrent from investment outlays would allow the public and the politicians to appreciate this payoff. As indicated, aspirational votes are there to be tapped. If, however, short-term “deficit fetishism” still prevails, some leadership on tackling the long list of well-known rorts in capital gains taxation, asset exemptions from means-testing, negative gearing, family trusts, GST exemptions, and more, would manage the transition well.

    Taking the public into your confidence can work wonders as the micro-economic reform era indicated to governments of both persuasions,. More recently, Premier Mike Baird in NSW has turned around resolute opposition to privatisation and won handsomely.

    Vocational Education

    A big elephant in the room remains in the form of vocational education and training. It is not far-fetched to say it is in crisis. It suffers from divided responsibilities across governments of a kind that begs for federalism reform in Australia. Popular attention focuses on how this produces variant approaches to policy across jurisdictions, but probably the biggest consequence is the under-funding that results. The Commonwealth controls the nation’s public finances. It can – and does – under-fund the States and territories for their functions. It can – and does – opportunistically engage or withdraw from those areas through the specific purpose payments mechanism.

    A classic case in point is the 2014 Coalition budget reduction in previously anticipated health and education spending from the Commonwealth to states and territories of $80 billion over the decade to 2025. It is precisely this withdrawal, plus bracket creep in income tax, that allows the Government to claim it is addressing the deficit – for the Commonwealth!

    One crucial consequence of such legerdemain has been slow growth in public funding of vocational education and training. VET is the true Cinderella of education with substantial restriction on per student funding. One device for dealing with that, in turn, was for states and territories to open up training subsidies to a cheaper private sector and, as elsewhere in education, use some public subsidy to encourage wider private provision alongside basic public provision.

    However the implementation process has been fraught. National regulation has proven to be flawed, particularly its very mechanical “tick a box” process focus and limited examination of education and training outcomes. States and territories’ funding regimes have been problematic. Most recently in 2015, for example, South Australia announced an intention to significantly reduce private provider access to publicly funded places, reserving most for TAFE, a move objected to by the Commonwealth government.

    A potentially productive model in the Australian tradition has been compromised by poor implementation, and by failure to negotiate politically bi-partisan commitments to longer-term arrangements. Changes of government have changed the settings dramatically.

    Such policy shifts and uncertainty over future settings, combined with basic underfunding of the public benefits from this education, even apart from equity and access issues, have been a recipe for a growing degradation of what is actually a jewel in the Australian crown.

    Alongside Germany, Australia has actually been a global standard setter in technical education. Countries in our region have looked to adopting our ways and seeking our advice, and thereby allowing us to lock in major trading advantage and influence. This achievement is under threat.

    Australian higher education was revitalised and put on sound foundations by the 2008 Review of Australian Higher Education. The further reforms contemplated today still build on that. Such a review for vocational education nation-wide, more than most reviews that we could think of, would help set a better path for a smarter Australia.

    Within such a review the relationship with higher education would be an issue that could at last be systematically examined as part of the process. Various governments have had ambitions to tackle this, but they have largely fallen foul of the federal-state divide and not proceeded.

    The mutual responsibility issue for employers has largely gone through to the keeper. Industry advice is sought and indeed privileged, but business support and facilitation of training is sometimes less forthcoming. One result has been a rigid rather backward looking conception of skills, when a more flexible future oriented approach is needed.

    To go back to basics and see what type of vocational education and training we need for the future, how it should be funded and how it should be provided, is a long overdue exercise, made even more necessary by the short-sighted abolition of the Australian Workforce and Productivity Agency by the incoming Abbott Government. Perhaps the Council for the Australian Federation or an independent think tank such as the Grattan Institute could begin such a process.

    Conclusion

    The case is strong for ongoing investment in our future through a fair balance of public and private funding plus ongoing reform of the structures for delivery.

    Seeking Budget economies by reducing investment in a smarter Australia is a false saving. The government and the private sector, and possibly the community sector too, are under-investing.

    Greater deliberation over the systems for education and training delivery is also essential to guide future investment, including how to better build resilient, adaptive skilling for the future.

    * ‘Big Science’ is a term used by scientists and historians of science to describe a series of changes in science which occurred in industrial nations during and after WWII, as scientific progress increasingly came to rely on large-scale projects usually funded by national governments or groups of governments.

    ** STEM refers to the disciplines of Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics.

    *** HASS refers to the Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences.

     

    Glenn Withers is an honorary Professor at the Australian National University and Tongji University Shanghai and President-Elect of the Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia. He is also Advisory Board Chair of Blended Learning International and was previously the founding Chief Executive Officer of Universities Australia.

  • Pearls and Irritations – Policy Series and Current Affairs.

    Fairness, Opportunity and Security.
    Policy Series edited by Michael Keating and John Menadue.

    With many other people, we are concerned about the policy vacuum and the poor level of public debate on important policy issues. We began a series of articles on policy issues in Pearls and Irritations on 11 May. They have now all been posted.  There are forty-nine articles on fifteen policy areas from over thirty contributors. They are linked to the contributor’s name (below).

    This now completes the series. In August, we plan to publish these articles in a book in order to continue the debate for better public policies for Australia. 

    We will keep you posted.

    To all the contributors – thank you very much for your excellent contributions. John Menadue, Michael Keating.

    Introduction.
    Ken Henry. ‘I can’t recall a poorer quality public debate, on almost any issue, that we have had in recent times in Australia.
    Democratic Renewal
    .  Vested interests (John Menadue 2), ‘Vested interests represent a growing and serious corruption of good governance and the development of sound public policy’
    .  Loss of trust (John Menadue 1), ‘We need political reform to restore trust in our political system and our polity.’

    .  Post majoritarian future. (Ian Marsh 1), ‘It is unlikely that in the future Australian governments will have majorities in both Houses of Parliament’.
    .  Policy-making practice. (Ian Marsh 2) ‘Policy reform may well depend on reforms to our political system and decision-making processes.’
    The Role of Government
    .  The importance of values. (John Menadue), ‘Good government must be based on some broadly shared values that inspire and enthuse us.’
    .  Role and responsibilities of government. (Michael Keating), ‘In practice, the responsibilities of governments have changed little in the last thirty years.’
    .  Role of government. Ian McAuley) ‘Australia and similar democracies have done well because economic progress has been a shared venture between the public and private sectors.’

    Foreign Policy
    .  Security in the region. (Stephen FitzGerald), It is remarkable the headway that Paul Keating and Gareth Evans made in South East Asia … in gaining acceptance of Australia as one of them.
    .  Australian foreign policy (Cavan Hogue), ‘Countries don’t have friends, only interests. The United States has always remained fiercely independent and has followed policies which served its own interests first.’
    .  An independent Australian foreign policy. (Richard Butler), By relying on ‘great and powerful friends’ we have acted in a way that has ‘substantially compromised our independence and … exposed ourselves to increasing danger.’
    .  What Australia’s foreign policy should look like. (Stuart Harris), We must be careful to avoid ‘a choice between the political and economic relationships with the US and China.’
    .  Australia, the US and Asia. John McCarthy. In recent years Australia has superceded both Japan and the UK as the US states’ closest ally.
    The Economy
    .  Fixing the budget (Michael Keating 1)  ‘Why did the government break so many promises and insist that the unfair cuts in last year’s budget were absolutely necessary and any opposition was irresponsible.’, Michael Keating 2) The government’s plan to balance the budget by 2019-20 is not credible.

    .  Taxation Reform (Michael Keating) ‘Encouraging unrealistic expectations of tax cuts is only making government more difficult.’
    .  Federalism (Michael Keating) ‘It will be necessary to continue the reforms started by the Hawke-Keating governments.’  (John Menadue) One way to make federalism work better in the health field is to pool commonwealth and state funding and agree to a state-wide health plan in any state that is prepared to cooperation with the commonwealth.’
    .  Job Creation and Participation  (Michael Keating) The best way to promote greater employment participation is to increase the investment in education and training to improve the skill base and employability of disadvantaged people.
    .  Productivity (Michael Keating) Most important is the creation of an innovative culture through support of research and development, education and skills and forging close links between the scientific community and industry.
    .  Innovation (David Charles) We need to transform from an economy largely driven by investments in the minerals and energy sector to one which has a wider spread of investment drivers.
    .  Transport and Infrastructure (Michael Keating and Luke Fraser) Australia is racking up very substantial debts to finance unreformed infrastructure. It is scandalous that infrastructure investment escapes proper scrutiny.
    Retirement incomes
    .  
    A fair, effective and sustainable system. (Andrew Podger) We need to draw together all the threads of the retirement system, particularly pensions and superannuation.
    Population/migration/refugees (Peter Hughes, Arja Keski-Nummi, John Menadue),  .  Immigration Part 1, Australia has a great record in nation-building, but benefits achieved cannot be taken for granted in the future.
    .  Refugees Part 2,  How to move from toxic politics to a humanitarian policy once again.
    .  Settlement Part 3 Successful nation-building needs good settlement services to support new arrivals.
    Communications and the Arts
    .  Cultural Identity (Julianne Schultz) We need to draw together diverse cultural policies to better serve our national interests.
    .  Arts. (Kim Williams) We have eroded the standards and reduced public support for the arts.
    .  Media Regulation in Internet World (Terry Flew) How media convergence is driving the need for regulatory and policy change.
    .  NBN. (Rob Nicholls) We need to target the NBN rollout in line with what our major trading partners are doing,

    Security – internal and Human Rights (Spencer Zifcak) We have draconian laws but inadequate safeguards. (Susan Ryan) We need to revive the Human Rights Act campaign of the 1980s.
    Security, both military and soft power
    .  (Michael Wesley) The politicalisation of security is endangering our safety
    .

    Health
    .  Part 1 Problems (John Menadue) Medicare was established forty years ago but is badly in need of reform. 
    .  Part 2 Health reform opponents (John Menadue) ‘Health ministers may be in office, but seldom in power.’
    .  Part 3 Health solutions (John Menadue) We need new processes, governance and policy directions to move us beyond the present inertia, incrementalism and tinkering.
    .  Health workforce (Jim McGinty) The emphasis in health workforce reform must mainly be about nurses.
    .  Co-payments (Jennifer Doggett) We have amongst the highest out-of-pocket health costs in the world. They lack logic, efficiency and equity.
    Development of our human capital in the fields of education, science, innovation, research and development
    .  Knowledge capital. (Glenn Withers) Knowledge capital is the real wealth of nations.
    .  Eroding Human capital. (Chris Bonnor) Differences in education outcomes seem to be increasingly the result of differences in wealth, income, power or possessions. Let’s hear it for Gonski and My School.
    Environment and climate change
    .  (Ross Garnaut) It would be wise to supplement an emissions trading scheme linked to Europe with regulatory action. 
    .  (Peter Cosier) Ways to combine a productive economy with a healthy environment.
    .  (
    Jon Stanford) Will Australia rise to the occasion in the Climate Change Conference in Paris in December. 
    .  (Brendan Mackey) Reconfiguring human endeavour to live within the boundaries of a finite planet.
    Indigenous affairs
    .  (Fred Chaney), Some progress in closing the gap – but a long way to go.
    .  (Michael Gracey) Indigenous health requires a much broader definition of the meaning of ‘health’ and local empowerment.

    Welfare and families
    .  (Andrew Podger) Current arrangements are overly complicated, inconsistent and incoherent, overly means-tested, and without sufficient regard for efficiency.
    Inequality and the Australian welfare system
    .  (Andrew Podger, Peter Whiteford), In reducing inequality, priority should be given to promoting employment and addressing specific weaknesses in the tax and transfer system.
    .  (Ian McAuley) The conservative slogan that a ‘rising tide lifts all boats’ is not working for the poor.

    Media enquiries. johnmenadue@staging-johnmenadue.kinsta.cloud.

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  • John Menadue. Health Policy Reform: Part 3 – Principles for reform

    Policy Series

    In Part 1 of this series I described the areas in our health sector that need reform. In Part 2 I spoke of the obstacles, particularly those imposed by vested interests in the health sector to protect their own interests by delaying or stopping reform. In this article, I will be suggesting ways in which we can overcome these obstacles to health reform. But make.

    Don’t rush the process

    The political process encourages parties seeking election or re-election to address problems with high political salience – waiting lists in public hospitals, needs among certain groups with chronic illness, and identified funding gaps. The political response is to develop specific proposals, usually involving carefully calculated budgetary costs.

    Such a process, while providing short-term solutions to proximate problems, fails to address the structural problems identified in Part 1 – the fragmented nature of our health care arrangements, inequities, gaps in services, such as dental care, the allocation of resources towards high-cost hospital interventions at the expense of promotion, prevention and primary care, and the distortions associated with private health insurance.

    It also privileges those vested interests outlined in Part 2, who can mobilize resources to block all but the most minor reforms.

    System-wide reform takes time. And it takes open minds. Governments need to realize that even when they can set aside their own financial or professional interests, “insiders” find it hard to imagine any significant departures from existing arrangements. That was a major shortcoming of the Rudd Government’s Health and Hospital Reform Commission. Outside perspectives are essential.

    In order to lift the process beyond immediate concerns, those pursuing reforms need to set out basic principles, and, in a well-managed consultation process, inform the community of options, and invite the community to discuss and agree or amend these principles. Such a path to reform contrasts with the quick-and-dirty proposals which emerge from processes such as the Abbott Government’s Commission of Audit. Rather, reform can draw on the tradition of white paper – green paper policy development and the reform process pursued by the Hawke-Keating Government. The Senate Committee system should also be utilised.

    Guiding principles

    As in any public policy the basic principle should be pursuit of efficiency and equity. Contrary to some simplistic notions, there is not necessarily a trade-off between these principles. An inefficient system is a high-cost system, and a high-cost system generally tilts the balance towards those who have most ability to pay. That is the basic failure of the United States system.

    Economic considerations should extend beyond governments’ own fiscal costs. Rather they should take into account costs and benefits throughout the community. There is no benefit in saving people $1.00 in taxes through Medicare if the result is that they have to pay $1.25 for the same or inferior services in private markets through PHI.

    In efficiency we fall well short as a result of the $10 b p.a. taxpayer subsidy to high cost PHI which makes it more difficult for Medicare to control costs; the perverse incentives in FFS which reward doctors when they treat sick people rather than keeping people healthy; a health workforce which is riddled with restrictive work practices and demarcations and an MBS and PBS which are not rigorously and regularly reviewed. Clinicians are broadly agreed that there are more than 150 services in the MBS which are of doubtful value. There is a rigorous process for getting drugs onto the PBS but little attention to getting some drugs off the PBS. We also need an independent pricing authority like in NZ to reduce the high price for generic drugs and the inefficiencies of drug pricing generally.

    Equity should be concerned with ensuring that income, wealth or personal influence does not give individuals preference in treatment, displacing those with greater needs but lesser means. In equity, we fall short as a result of out of pocket expenses that are amongst the highest in the world; a $10 b. subsidy for PHI which goes mainly to higher income people who can then jump the hospital queue; the plight of people with mental health problems, indigenous people and country people. Dental /oral health care is excluded from Medicare.

    A related principle should be one of solidarity or social inclusion. In social inclusion we are falling short by steadily moving towards a two-tier health system with Medicare becoming a safety net for the poor. We have a two-tier legal system with a safety net called the Legal Aid Service. But that service is not as good as the top tier private offering. Just as a two-tier legal system does not serve the poor adequately, neither will a two-tier health service .All should have access to the same high-quality services. We should resist most strongly the conservative notion that Medicare should be reduced to a safety net for the poor. The same high quality service should be available for all .While people with different means may make different payments, they should all be using the same services. The present “two tier” arrangements, where those with means are more likely to use subsidised private hospitals, violate this principle.

    Within such a shared system, there should be scope for users to exercise autonomy and choice, so long as these do not impose costs on other users. Financial incentives on providers and users should not detract from the principles of personal responsibility.

    Health care services need to be perceived as components of a set of policies promoting good health. In this regard, the community’s health should be seen as an asset worthy of attention in all government policies – taxation, urban design, trade agreements (patents), labour relations and wages policy, social security, environmental protection, sport etc. Public health should be of concern across all portfolios. Health ministers, state and federal, should have the same standing as Treasurers. Unfortunately we are more concerned about health services than health. An obvious example is our failure to address the enormous damage that alcohol, sweet drinks and junk food is inflicting on the health of Australians.

    The government should consider alternatives to fee-for-service remuneration for primary care and other services. The New Zealand Government, for example, pays episodic care by doctors on a fee-for service basis but chronic care is paid on an annualized basis.

    Health programs should have a user focus, rather than a provider focus. The user drawing on different services should not have to confront multiple institutions with their own funding arrangements, records and protocols of care. Policies should aim to integrate and not merely coordinate medical services, pharmaceutical care, hospital care and rehabilitation. Instead of a user focus, successive governments and DHA have failed to break the grip of providers. Our health service is structured to serve the convenience and interests of providers not users.

    Such flexibility should be guided by the principle of subsidiarity. That is, services should be managed at the most feasible local level, provided such autonomy does not conflict with needs for central standards in important areas. We fall short in subsidiarity by neglecting primary and general practice care which is close to the patient. Instead we favour the clamour of the hospital sector.

    Funding needs to be based on a judicious balance between individual (“out-of-pocket”) payments and pooled payments. While a lack of means should never present a barrier to those who need care, there is no reason why those with means should not make personal contributions. The balance between individual and collective funding is one which needs community consultation. There are arguments for a completely free, tax-funded system, and there are arguments for more individual payments where price signals play a role. But the choice needs to be put to the community in a way that explains the costs and the benefits of each method of payment. Most probably the community, presented with an informed choice, will opt for some balance.

    One option to consider is the Nordic model whereby, subject to means tests, all people pay for their healthcare up to a certain amount before their universal system or Medicare in our case, kicks in. The Nordic health systems are effective in balancing individual responsibility wherever possible with patients with high needs and limited means. The very high and unfair costs of out of pocket expenses in Australia must be addressed.

    For that proportion of costs the community chooses to share, this sharing should be through a single national insurer, with the capacity to use its purchasing power to keep costs under control, and guided by principles of ensuring access for those with limited means and covering all against high expenses. As with other high-cost and heavily-subsidised industries, such as clothing and footwear, the $10b plus per annum subsidy to PHI should be steadily phased out. If people want private health insurance that is their right but there is no reason for the taxpayer to provide a subsidy.

    While the government should take responsibility for pooled funding, provision of health services should allow for both government and private involvement. In regulated markets private providers should be assured of reasonable returns on their investments (including their investment in human capital), but they should not be permitted to take advantage of any privileged position in the market.

    All systems of remuneration, to private or public providers, should be subject to full accountability, and all services should be subject to the general principles of competition policy but without promoting competition where it serves no public purpose, such as a proliferation of look-alike high-cost private insurers. Accounting systems should expose all instances of cost-shifting – from Commonwealth to state governments, from governments to individuals, and from present outlays to future outlays. While there may be reasons for costs to be reallocated between different parties, such reallocations should be for reasons of equity or efficiency, and not for budgetary impression management.

    All health care services should be subject to professional governance and accountability, with clear charters of responsibility but at arm’s length from executive government. We really don’t know much about how well doctors perform in private practise. We hear about occasional mal practise but very little about general performance and competence. We fall short because Medicare data which would show, for example, under and over servicing by local government areas, is not available. Such localised data would show areas of unfairness and sometimes abuse. Just as we are now developing a My School data base, we should develop the same for ‘My Hospital’ or ‘My GP Clinic’. Subject to some confidentiality issues, ‘open data’ should be publicly available on incomes and performance across the health sector.

    The related issue of Commonwealth-state relations-the blame game- needs resolution. One possibility is for health services to be administered by joint Commonwealth-state commissions in each state, with pooled Commonwealth and state funding. Tasmania with its small and comparatively aged population could provide the basis for a trial.  This issue is canvassed further in my article Making the Federation work better which was posted on 20 May 2015.

    An efficient national and integrated electronic health system would also significantly contribute to a national health service. It would maintain an up to date health record for every person and make unnecessary so many repeat referrals and examinations. It would improve the quality of care and reduce costs. DHA has failed in this field as in so many others.

    The role of institutions

    Health reform is too important to be left to health departments particularly DHA and bodies with superficial mandates such as the recent Commission of Audit.

    Fortunately the Commonwealth has bodies such as the Productivity Commission, an organisation with not only technical expertise to analyse policy proposals, but also with the capacity to sound out those with policy interests. Most important, it can bring an “outside” view to public policy, addressing questions and options that may be beyond the imagination of “insiders”.

    While the Productivity Commission can bring forth practical recommendations, the questions in health reform are so basic; however, that they require a wider and continuing process before specific issues can be addressed. Questions such as how costs are shared, and how scarce resources should be allocated, particularly for high-cost interventions with minor benefits, involve moral considerations.

    One possibility is to establish a Health Reform Commission composed of independent and professional people to inform and lead public discussion and advise on important health reform issues. Clinicians should be included, but none of the vested interests. The Law Reform Commission established by the Whitlam Government in 1975 is an example of how enquiries and consultations can be conducted with the community in order to make recommendations to government that are well-informed. The Law Reform Commission estimates that over 85% of its reports have been either substantially or partially implemented making it an effective and influential agent for reform. The Reserve Bank is another example of how a respected, professional and independent body can be a leader in public discussion of important issues. A major objective of a Health Reform Commission would be to outflank the vested interests and carry an informed discussion with the community, particularly of the key principles that should drive health care. Ahead of establishing such a commission in government it would be useful to establish an interim group of professional and independent people who can facilitate informed public discussion and provide advice.

    A general remit to the HRC would be to encourage service cost discovery, price discovery and quality discovery, integrity (fraud and abuse) and fairness (access to care regardless of means or location)

    In addition to these general responsibilities there could be specific referrals to the HRC or the interim body, e.g.

    • Ways to phase out PHI and introduce a dental/oral health scheme within Medicare.
    • How to establish ‘medical homes’ in primary care which include both private and public clinics that provide a range of services.
    • Remove perverse incentives for the remuneration of doctors.
    • Reshape the health workforce to the needs of the 21st

    There are various ways to deal with public participation but the basic approach and method is that communities should be consulted to find what they want, and in successive rounds experts should analyse and report back on the costs and consequences of their proposals. For example, explaining that a completely free system would involve higher taxes and may involve greater waiting times.

    One other model is the “citizen jury” – so named because the citizens to be consulted are selected on a random basis, and are informed by professional and independent experts. They could be asked to provide their advice back to government on such key issues as: to what extent do we want to share the costs of healthcare and how co-payments should be reformed. End of life issues could also be canvassed as well as many expensive interventions that have limited effectiveness. These citizens’ juries in health could be important vehicles for an informed national conversation on health, a conversation that we do not have at present.

    I see parts 1,2and 3 on Health Policy Reform as outlined as, hopefully, the means to put the debate on health reform onto a more constructive and pragmatic path. Unless we get our processes working more effectively and particularly how to bypass vested interests, reform will continue to be very difficult. When we improve our processes we can be more confident of addressing the particular policy issues outlined in these three papers.

    Unless we address the issue of power and how and who exercises that power in the health sector we will not achieve worthwhile reform. Power is in the hands of providers. It is not really in the hands of the community, patients or even governments. That is the key issue. We need leadership, institutions and processes to focus on how we overcome this central issue.

    Ministers of Health may be in office but they are seldom in power.

    John Menadue chaired the NSW Health Council 2000 and the SA Generational Health Review 2003.

  • John Menadue. Health Policy Reform: Part 2 – Why reform is difficult. Health ministers are in office but not in power.

    Policy Series.

    In Part 1 on health policy reform I outlined the main areas where health reform is necessary. In Part 2 I examine the reasons why I think health reform is so hard. In part 3 I will consider ways in which the necessary path of health reform can be quickened.

    The major barrier to health reform is the power of providers or at least their assumed power. The most recent budget showed that yet again.

    A succession of Australian health ministers may have been in office but they have not been in power.

    Aneurin Bevan who launched in the 1940’s in my view the best health service in the world knew a few things about health but more importantly he knew much more about political power and how to exercise it in the public interest. He drew on the strong support of the community, a minority of doctors and the majority of nurses. He won the day and not surprisingly the UK National Health Service was the centre piece at the London Olympic opening ceremony in 2012.

    The power of insiders – or the faintheartedness of politicians

    Reform disrupts established arrangements. In general, the longer those arrangements have persisted, the greater becomes the pent-up need for reform, meaning that reform is going to be disruptive to existing interests. By the same token, as arrangements become more entrenched, the more do those who benefit from them feel threatened, and the more political clout they develop to resist reform.

    That resistance is often based on financial self-interest, but it also aligns with a general fear of change and professional conservatism. It is difficult for those who are “inside” a system – be they administrators, professionals or policymakers – to conceive of other ways of delivering services. Institutional inertia is a strong force. And in health care it is easy to lose sight of the fact that delivering services is not, in itself, the objective. That objective surely is serving the community by helping to keep the population healthy.

    One group with a stake in maintaining current arrangements are those who administer health services. Health is a highly technical, large and complex field that is difficult for outsiders to come to grips with. This gives disproportionate power to health administrators on the inside to manipulate ministers.

    “Joined at the hip” with these administrators are much the same vested interests (rent seekers) that batten on the health service and dominate the public debate. These are much the same vested interests who so selfishly and ferociously led the opposition to Medibank in 1974. They are still with us today but in a different guise. The AMA has a long and dubious history in opposing key health reforms going back to its opposition to the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme In 1942.

    These vested interests include the AMA, the Australian Pharmacy Guild, the private health insurance funds, Medicines Australia and the state and territory health department bureaucracies. In addition, there is a general “pro-business” push to open up all aspects of health care more to the private sector, particularly pathology and radiology.

    Where possible, financial incentives should encourage practitioners to keep people healthy, rather than to deliver services to the sick. The perverse incentives in FFS come to play particularly strongly when health care takes on a corporate structure, where business objectives such as return on shareholders’ funds displace professional service objectives traditionally associated with medical practices. Businesses operate on the basis of expanding their markets, not on the basis of telling customers they may be over-using their services. The AMA, however, is turning a blind eye to the growing corporate takeover of general practise and the associated vertical integration into radiology and pathology.

    The Pharmacy Guild strongly defends the privileged position pharmacists have gained through political influence. On the one hand the Guild strongly defends the many restrictions on competition enjoyed by pharmacists – prohibition on pharmacies in supermarkets, prohibition on price advertising, restrictions on location and ownership of pharmacies and exclusive rights to sell many non-prescription medications. On the other hand it does little to encourage integration of pharmacy with general practice.

    It is not only in retail pharmacy that Australians are overpaying. Governments are also generous with taxpayers’ money for the mainly foreign pharmaceutical firms who are able to exploit their power in patents. Medicines Australia, the body representing manufacturers and distributors of drugs, has successfully lobbied the Commonwealth to pay high prices for prescription pharmaceuticals. Australia pays top prices: for pharmaceuticals. We pay $2 billion per annum more than New Zealanders pay for equivalent drugs. The last budget failed to properly address this overcharging.

    The private health insurance companies are expensive financial intermediaries, receiving a $10b annual taxpayer subsidy through the rebate, and additional support in the form of the Medicare Levy Surcharge, which subsidises those with high incomes to hold PHI. Not even at the height of manufacturing industry protection were people actually given cash subsidies to buy Holdens and Falcons.

    Private insurers don’t deliver any health services; they are simply high-cost financial intermediaries taking commissions. As I outlined in Part 1, PHI benefits the wealthy and most importantly weakens the power of Medicare to control prices. Now the private insurers are edging their way into general practice. The Managing Director of Medibank Private also reportedly told doctors that private health insurance policy holders should have priority in public emergency departments.

    Government subsidized private insurance is a major threat to health care in Australia. At first sight it may appear to relieve public budgets and to take pressure off public hospitals, but that’s not the way it plays out. It actually sucks resources out of the public hospitals. The remuneration of most specialists in private hospitals is multiples of the remuneration of specialists in public hospitals. And as PHI pushes up costs, governments, still left with funding a large part of health services, find that they become passive players, accepting prices set by private service providers and insurers.

    Yet in spite of this economic danger, and the example of the clearly dysfunctional American system, governments in this country – Coalition and Labor – have been reluctant to take on the PHI industry. Before the 2007 election Kevin Rudd wrote to the industry assuring it that their taxpayer subsidies would continue. The industry never publicly defends its $10 b pa subsidy. It is too ashamed. Instead it lobbies in private.

    In an economy where many traditional industries, from manufacturing through to print media, are facing huge competitive pressure and disruption, health care is seen as one last remaining growth sector, offering easy picking for business.

    Those are the private vested interests. We also have eight state and territory health department bureaucracies supported by their ministers. In a nation where state governments feel that more and more financial and political power is accruing to the Commonwealth, it is natural that they defend their shrinking turf. Such considerations override any concern to see an integrated national system. In response, the Commonwealth is reluctant to stare down the parochialism of the states.

    Reform is possible

    Australian governments have a strong record in economic reform. In the 1980s the Hawke-Keating Government took on vested interests, and negotiated a wide-ranging set of reforms in the manufacturing, transport and financial services industries. Earlier, in the mid-1970s, the Whitlam Government, when it introduced Medibank, successfully stared down the AMA and the health insurers. Although the Fraser Government unwound many of these reforms, the Hawke Government successfully resurrected universal public insurance in the form of Medicare.

    But there has been no significant reform of the health sector since then. In 1997 the Productivity Commission recommended a comprehensive inquiry into health financing, but no government has initiated such an inquiry. Corporate interests have become more involved in health care, and PHI has become embedded once again.

    Governments generally over-estimate the power of lobby groups. They can make a lot of noise – particularly when, as a result of successful rent-seeking in the past, they have accumulated large funds to spend on scare campaigns .But the capacity to make noise does not equate to a capacity to influence voters. Opinion polls consistently show that the public believe Coalition governments are too much influenced by big business, which means reforming governments should be able to gain electoral advantage from standing up to rent-seekers.

    The problem is not just about financial self-interest, however. It is also about the inertia of established practices, and an incapacity of those on the “inside” to imagine any significant variation on current arrangements. Practices such as the separation of pharmacies from medical services, fee-for-service funding, the dependence of private hospitals on private insurance, the separation of medical from hospital services in private hospitals, and so on, have become entrenched in the thinking of policymakers, politicians and many journalists. There is a deficit of imagination, an incapacity to think beyond the present.

    A part of the problem lies in the Commonwealth bureaucracy. Commonwealth Ministers for Health are very dependent on the Department of Health and Ageing, particularly, as is often the case, when ministers are not across the issues and don’t have a clear policy program themselves. Aneurin Bevan showed how important political leadership is.

    DHA is ill-equipped for policy reform. Rather, its objective seems to be to keep the peace with provider lobbies, and to keep the minister out of any public brawl or argument.

    The Department is structured in ways that reflects the interests of providers such as doctors and pharmacists, rather than on the basis of community interests, such as acute care, chronic care or demography. It has expertise in administering existing programs but it has little economic expertise. Fiscal concerns tend to crowd out any consideration of economics.

    In fact the Department doesn’t even effectively integrate the Commonwealth’s own major programs, let alone make any real progress in bridging the Commonwealth and state divide.

    Late last year in its Capability Review of DHA, the Australian Public Service Commission said that the Department ‘is hierarchical and siloed, … the Department does not have a high level strategic policy framework … policy discussions are largely constrained within work silos … there is reluctance from the Department to consider new and changed policy directions’.

    The Australian National Audit Office has also just reviewed the Fifth Community Pharmacy Agreement. It reported ‘Six broad principles and objectives were included in [this agreement] … The Department is not well positioned to assess whether the Commonwealth is receiving value for money from the agreement overall “               

    The Ministerial/Departmental model in health has failed. It is incapable of contesting the power of the rent seekers. The community is effectively excluded.

    Unless the health debate is taken to “outsiders”, away from the insiders – the rent seekers and vested interests– we are unlikely to see significant progress in health reform. The vested interests invariably win out over the public interest.

    Political struggles between the public and rent-seekers are not uncommon, but there are reasons why in health care the public interest has a hard time securing a voice. Most of the public most of the time have little contact with health services. The intense users tend to be the chronically ill (who are reasonably active but do not constitute a majority) and those who are nearing the end of their lives and are not in a position to exert political influence. It is unlike services we all experience such as education or transport, where strong public lobby groups naturally arise. Also, health lobby groups are able to exploit the public’s trust in health care provider’s services – a trust which is well-justified on the grounds of professional competence, but which should not logically extend to trust on financial or political matters.

    With a few exceptions the media does not really understand health issues. Press releases from pharmaceutical firms, pathologists and health insurers and other rent-seekers provide easy material for under-resourced journalists. It is easy for governments and so-called “business interests” to rise scare campaigns about the affordability and performance of government health services.

    The power of vested interests in health must be strongly contested.

    In Part 3 I will address governance and issues of process which are necessary to break through the inertia and counter the power of the vested interests that batten on the health system.

    John Menadue chaired the NSW Health Council 2000 and chaired the SA Generational Health Review 2003. 

  • John Menadue. Health Policy Reform: Part 1 – Why reform is needed

    Policy Series

    I will be posting three articles on health policy.

    This article outlines the priority areas where reform is necessary.

    Part 2 will explain why reform is so difficult but not impossible.

    Part 3 will be about processes and governance issues that are necessary to move us beyond the present inertia, incrementalism and tinkering, with suggestions for policy directions. I will not be proposing specific policies.

    The Rudd-Gillard Government – lost opportunities

    Traditionally, in Australia and elsewhere, Labor and similar governments have been the initiators of health reform. Conservative governments, in general, have opposed or wound back health reform.

    In Australia the Labor Party, guided by principles of universalism, equity and economic efficiency, gave us publicly-funded health insurance – initially through Medibank and then through Medicare.

    In spite of high expectations in health reform, however, in its 2007-2013 period in government Labor really did little more than muddle through. The Rudd Government established a National Hospital and Health Reform Commission (NHHRC), but it was composed largely of health insiders who seemed to be incapable of seeing health policy from a broad perspective and who failed to grasp the basic economics of health care.

    To its credit the Rudd and Gillard Governments had one major policy achievement – plain-packaging of cigarettes, and before it lost office was making progress on other aspects of prevention and public health.

    Indigenous, mental and rural health all remain in a parlous state. Health programs operate in isolation from one another. The funding of health care through multiple public, corporate and private channels results in serious inequities. And, in general, there are administrative inefficiencies and a poor allocation of scarce resources.

    Since 2013 the situation has worsened. The Abbott Government has abolished the Australian National Preventive Health Agency and Medicare Locals, has foreshadowed deep cuts in funding for state hospitals, and put up ill-considered proposals for GP co-payments. The new Minister for Health fiddles around the edges.

    Getting the most from what we have

    In considering health reform, we need to start with an appreciation that we have one of the best health services in the world in both efficiency and equity, thanks to Medicare. But Medicare was established over 40 years ago. There is little coherence or consistency in what we have at the moment. Our health care arrangements could not be called a ‘system’. They have no clear and underlying principles or philosophy.

    As a result of that lack of coherence and fragmentation there is waste in our health care arrangements. When we discuss health care we discuss parts of it, medical services, pharmaceuticals, hospital and mental health. But seldom do we discuss the ‘system’.

    Nurses, doctors, paramedics and others are all working hard and professionally, but they work in silos. I have estimated that reforms would result in a saving of at least ten per cent of our health bill or about $15b to $20b in today’s costs. Abolition of the taxpayer subsidy of over $10b per annum to private health insurance would represent about half of these savings. See my blog of 17 March 2015 on PHI and funding a Medicare dental scheme.    

    But a big waste is in misallocation of scarce resources-a $10b Private Health Insurance subsidy and serious underfunding of mental and indigenous funding. Governments seek savings in public health and primary care – savings which are more than offset by higher needs for hospitalisation and high cost specialist care.

    Seldom do we stand back and ask the central issue: what do we need and expect from a health system? That question should be a starting point for reform.

    The concerns of health policy – a system approach

    Reform needs to cut across programs, and concerned with the following six issues.

    1. Primary care. Primary care has been largely ignored in health reform. It should be the starting point. Early interventions and health check-ups can head off costly and debilitating illnesses. But unfortunately the financial incentives are against primary care and in favour of expensive specialists.

    We have an obsession with hospitals. But hospitals should be the last resort rather than the first. Countries such as the United Kingdom and New Zealand have high quality care, in part because of the philosophy underlying their systems, but also because those systems are grounded in primary care, which is the most efficient and equitable way to deliver health services for all regardless of income. It is where care is best integrated.

    Fee for service (FFS) remuneration in primary care has encouraged “turnstile medicine”, excessive treatment and increasingly the corporatisation of general practice. FFS is a major barrier to reform in primary care. FFS may be appropriate for episodic or occasional care for walk-in patients but it is not appropriate for chronic and long term care, particularly mental and indigenous health care. Our governments have failed in this key area. Increasingly physicians in Europe and elsewhere are taking salaried positions where they are supported in practice medicine in a collegiate environment where the time for team review of patient management is a routine part of care, not something that is seen as an irritating waste of time with poor remuneration. FFS encourages over-investigation and over-treatment. Doctors respond to financial incentives just as other people do and this is not always in the interests of patients.

    A major barrier of course to improved health services through primary care is that the Commonwealth funds GPs and other medical services, other than those in public hospitals, while the states operate public hospitals. There are substantial savings in keeping patients out of hospitals but with different funding steams there are few incentives to do so. In fact, when the Commonwealth is more concerned with its fiscal balance than with sound economics, it has every temptation to skimp on primary care, essentially imposing higher costs on the states and poorer health outcomes on the community. The Commonwealth’s fiscal obsession has outweighed any sense of economic responsibility.

    The trends in General Practise are disturbing. In 1999 45 % of doctors were GP’s it is now less than 38%.The earnings of GP’s are substantially less than specialists. It is more attractive financially for medical graduate to become specialists

    In this blog, John Dwyer (See ‘Commentary Part 1‘ and ‘Health Policy Reform Part 2‘) argued persuasively for an integrated primary care system in Australia. It would provide a ‘medical home’ for a wide range of patients with diverse health problems.

    2.  Workforce. Health is the largest and fastest growing sector of the Australian economy. Its structure and workforce are riddled with 19th Century demarcations and restrictive work practices. For example there are several hundred nurse practitioners in Australia when there should be thousands. About 10 per cent of normal births in Australia are delivered by midwives: in New Zealand that figure is over 90 per cent.

    We don’t have a shortage of doctors so much as a misallocation of doctors. Nurses, allied health workers and ambulance staff are denied opportunities to upgrade and realise their professional potential and improve services.

    Pharmacies should be providing more basic health services for the community and should be active partners with doctors in primary care.

    As Minister for Health, Nicola Roxon enabled some nurse practitioners and midwives to access the Medical Benefit Scheme but the access was quite minor. The MBS can be the lever for major workforce renewal.

    It is quite remarkable that we have endless talk about the need for workforce reform everywhere but in the health sector. The restrictive work practices and demarcations in the health sector are a disgrace. Jim McGinty will be writing further on health workforce reform in this policy series.

    3. Program structures. If we go to a garage to service our car we expect the garage to take responsibility for the whole car. But not in health. We have to go to different professions for different services, suppliers and interest groups all with their separate billing and regulations. Health services are structured and funded around providers – medical services by doctors, pharmaceuticals through big Pharma and the Pharmacy Guild, and hospitals through state governments and private agencies. The Department of Health and Ageing reflects this provider focus rather than a focus on consumers.

    Such a provider-based structure, rather than a user- or customer-based structure, is reminiscent of corporate structures abandoned in the private sector a half-century ago, and is inconsistent with the “outcomes” focus of public sector reforms of the 1980s. Yet it survives in the health sector with the only institutional recognition of consumers is through the Health Consumers Forum of Australia, a body funded by the Commonwealth and which seems more like a marketing arm of DHA than a group representative of consumer interests. Patients are invariably last in the queue.

    We need to progressively change the focus of health programs to serve the community rather than providers. One possible structure would be around types of users – acute, chronic and occasional. It would help reduce the competition between different provider areas for limited resources. DHA shows little interest in consumers but together with the Minister always seems to have an open door for the rent seekers such as the Pharmacy Guild and the AMA.

    4. Funding. Funding of health services is a mess, resulting in serious inequities, high administrative costs, and misallocation of scarce resources. Some services, financed either through private health insurance or Medicare, are free at the point of delivery, while others can leave consumers with massive out-of-pocket expenses.

    We have some of the highest co-payments in the developed world. They also lack rhyme or reason. ” with the level of government subsidies varying enormously. Some co-payment arrangements work on a safety-net basis, while others, such as for psychologists, leave the consumer bearing open-ended risks. The Abbott Government’s “reforms”, if implemented, would make the situation worse. Medical and pharmaceutical co-payments have little in common, and dental services are much more poorly funded than medical services. The safety nets are unfair and lead to abuse.

    Persons on high incomes should pay more for health services through efficient and defensible co-payments. A “universal” service does not necessarily mean it should be free. Subject to a means test, there needs to be more discipline by consumers in their use of health services. There is no sign that the Commonwealth is concerned about the problem however, even though most other countries have better models to emulate. The Nordic countries, for example, insist on a single public funder and universality but with efficient and equitable co-payments. Jennifer Doggett will be writing further about co-payments in this policy series.

    The other great funding distortion in Australian health care arrangements is private health insurance (PHI) – essentially a high-cost mechanism which allows some, particularly those with high incomes, to jump the queue for hospital services, thus worsening waiting times in public hospitals by diverting resources to private hospitals, contrary to the claim that it takes pressure off public hospitals. PHI penalises country people because there are few private hospitals in the bush. Australia’s arrangements also mean that private and public hospitals operate on different funding streams and with little integration of services.

    The government, through means testing rebates for PHI, has removed some inequities, but PHI remains a costly and inequitable way to do what the tax system and Medicare do much better. Also, PHI is administratively inefficient with bureaucratic costs including profits about three times higher than Medicare.

    Private gap insurance promoted by PHI has facilitated enormous increases in specialist fees. Most importantly, the expansion of PHI progressively weakens the ability of Medicare to control costs. The evidence world-wide is clear that countries with significant PHI have high costs without any better health outcomes.

    The stand-out example of PHI causing high costs and poor outcomes is the United States. President Obama may have substantially achieved universal coverage, but PHI with its lack of cost control will ultimately cripple and finally destroy his reforms. Warren Buffett has described PHI companies as the “tape worm” in the US health sector.

    The Commonwealth already has a sound model of a single payer operated through the Department of Veterans Affairs – a model which retains the strong control of a single payer accountable to the community whilst allowing private practise involvement in service delivery.

    The Commonwealth has failed to understand the damage that PHI is already doing in Australia. PHI is a Damocles sword hanging over Medicare. We must assert the key importance of a single public funder.

    The $10b plus per annum taxpayer subsidy to PHI is more than would be required to fund a Medicare dental/oral health scheme and significantly improve the funding of mental, indigenous and rural health

    This subsidy of $10b is the most critical issue in health care. The nettle must be grasped!

    5. Defining Medicare. This great Labor monument needs a review. Medicare has become a passive but efficient funding mechanism, providing a partial subsidy for certain health expenses, rather than the public insurer it was intended to be. After all, it is still called the “health insurance commission”, but it is nothing of the sort, and it is not even within the health portfolio.

    Medicare has a remarkable database which should be used to highlight and inform policy concerning over and underutilisation of services across the country. Why for example do rates of caesarean section vary enormously across the country and why are Australian rates very high in world rankings? There are many other large variations in clinical procedures that must be made public and explained. Medical services should be subject to the same rigorous cost-benefit examination as pharmaceutical services. Medicare is not doing it.

    Even more potential lies in the use of that database for research into efficacy of treatments. This was an intention of Medicare’s designers, who envisioned the day when computing power could extract clinical information from that database. That day has arrived, but the government, although willing to invest billions in some areas of medical research, shows no interest in using this valuable resource, or in the integration of MBS and PBS data which would provide rigorous pharmaceutical evaluation at a tiny fraction of the cost of clinical trials.

    6. Cost and blame shifting. Governments, more concerned with their fiscal balances than with economic efficiency, try to shift costs on to other governments, Commonwealth to state and vice versa, on to individuals, or on to future generations for example in neglect of public health. Attempts to resolve the Commonwealth/state blame and cost shifting have been largely unsuccessful and certainly expensive with the Commonwealth succumbing to state political pressure without fixing the lack of integration.

    In Part 2 I will be looking at the major obstacles to health reform, including the influence of the vested interests who are concerned to protect their own territory rather than serve the public interest.

    John Menadue chaired the Report of the NSW Health Council 2000 and the SA Generational Health Review in 2003. 

  • David M. Neuhaus SJ. The Holy See and the State of Palestine.

    Current Affairs.

    Last week’s headlines about the Vatican’s recognition of ‘the State of Palestine’ don’t do justice to the rich and complex history of the Church’s commitment to the Holy Land, its people and places, says David Neuhaus SJ. He describes how the Holy See’s discourse on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has developed over nearly 70 years.

     

    In recent days, Palestine and Palestinians have been very present in the Vatican. On 13 May 2015, the Holy See announced that the comprehensive accords with ‘the State of Palestine’ were being submitted for ratification to the respective authorities after the bilateral negotiations between the two sides had achieved their goal. On 16 May, President Mahmoud Abbas visited Pope Francis and was received as a head of state. On 17 May, Pope Francis canonised the first two Palestinian saints of modern times, Carmelite Mary of Jesus Crucified (Mariam Bawardi) and Marie-Alphonsine Ghattas, foundress of the Sisters of the Rosary.

    Some have rejoiced with the Palestinians, seeing these steps as important progress in recognising the suffering of the Palestinians and their legitimate rights. Others have been dismayed at the consequences these events might have for relations with the State of Israel and the implications for dialogue with Jews. It is important to put the events of the past days into historical perspective, recognising the development of the Catholic Church’s position on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The Catholic Church has been following closely the developments in Israel and Palestine for decades.

    After 1948, the Holy See repeatedly expressed deep concern both for the status of the Holy Places and the destiny of the Christian Palestinians, many of whom lost their homes alongside their Muslim compatriots in the first Arab-Israeli War in 1948. When Pope Paul VI visited the Holy Land in 1964, meeting with both Israeli and Jordanian political authorities, he made no explicit mention of the State of Israel or of the Palestinians. The Second Vatican Council inaugurated a new age of dialogue with the Jews; Nostra Aetate clearly explained: ‘(I)n her rejection of every persecution against any man, the Church, mindful of the patrimony she shares with the Jews and moved not by political reasons but by the Gospel’s spiritual love, decries hatred, persecutions, displays of anti-Semitism, directed against Jews at any time and by anyone.’ The document made no reference to the contemporary political realities in the Holy Land.

    As dialogue with the Jewish people developed, the demand by Jews that the Church recognise the State of Israel was insistent. However, the Church pointed out that while it understood the ‘religious attachment which finds its roots in Biblical tradition’, Catholics need not make ‘their own any particular religious interpretation of this relationship’. ‘The existence of the State of Israel and its political options should be envisaged not in a perspective which is in itself religious, but in their reference to the common principles of international law.’

    Pope Paul VI was the first pope to affirm explicitly the Palestinians as a people rather than simply as a group of refugees. In his Christmas message in 1975, he said: ‘Although we are conscious of the still very recent tragedies which led the Jewish people to search for safe protection in a state of its own, sovereign and independent, and in fact precisely because we are aware of this, we would like to ask the sons of this people to recognize the rights and legitimate aspirations of another people, which have also suffered for a long time, the Palestinian people.’

    Although Pope John Paul II received Chairman Yasser Arafat, leader of the Palestine Liberation Organisation in a private audience in 1987, it was the beginning of the peace process between Israelis and Palestinians in the early 1990s that led the Holy See to establish diplomatic relations with both the State of Israel (in 1993) and the Palestine Liberation Organisation in lieu of a future State of Palestine (in 2000). It seemed then that the conflict was ending and that soon the two sides would agree on the permanent and internationally recognised borders of the two states, Israel and Palestine. Alas, it was not to be.

    Before hopes for a resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict were yet again dashed with the entry of Prime Minister Ariel Sharon into the Haram al-Sharif, the precincts of the Al-Aqsa Mosque, and the beginning of the Second Intifadah in September 2000, a Basic Agreement was signed by the Holy See and the Palestine Liberation Organisation in February 2000. The agreement called, ‘for a peaceful solution of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, which would realize the inalienable national legitimate rights and aspirations of the Palestinian people, to be reached through negotiation and agreement, in order to ensure peace and security for all peoples of the region on the basis of international law, relevant United Nations and its Security Council resolutions, justice and equity.’

    Pope John Paul II’s visit to the Holy Land in March 2000 was ground-breaking as it set in place the gestures that were repeated by the pontiffs who followed in his footsteps. John Paul II was concerned with expressing the fullness of what had been achieved in the dialogue with the Jews, the fruit of Nostra Aetate, without forgetting the Church’s concern for the Palestinians and the commitment to working for justice and peace. The pope not only visited Israeli and Palestinian leaders, Jewish and Muslim shrines, but also went to Yad VaShem, the monument that commemorates the victims of the Shoah, and Aida Refugee Camp, where Palestinians have been languishing since 1948.

    Pope Benedict XVI, during his visit in 2009, further developed the conceptual clarity of the Church’s teaching on the conflict that has afflicted the Holy Land for almost seven decades. Without flinching, he evoked over and over again the Church’s vocation to build bridges rather than walls. In clear words he addressed the distressing reality of the Holy Land where walls are more in evidence than bridges: ‘Let it be universally recognised that the State of Israel has the right to exist, and to enjoy peace and security within internationally agreed borders. Let it be likewise acknowledged that the Palestinian people have a right to a sovereign independent homeland, to live with dignity and to travel freely. Let the two-state solution become a reality, not remain a dream.’

    Pope Francis, following in the footsteps of his predecessors, came to the Holy Land in May 2014. In Bethlehem, he captured headlines when he referred to his host country as ‘the State of Palestine’ rather than simply referring to the Palestinian people. However, this was no innovation but rather a consequence of the Holy See’s support for the November 2012 decision of the United Nations to admit ‘the State of Palestine’ as an observer member. This formulation, ‘the State of Palestine’, surprised some when it appeared in last week’s announcement that the Bilateral Commission of the Holy See and the State of Palestine had reached a proposed comprehensive agreement following the Basic Agreement that had been signed in February 2000.

    The Holy See has developed over the past decades an important discourse on the conflict between Israelis and Palestinians, a discourse that takes into account the Church’s commitment to the Holy Land and its Holy Places, to the Christian communities, to a theological understanding of the Biblical tradition, to the dialogue with both Jews and Muslims, and to the Church’s mission to promote justice and peace. The Church continues to seek a way to proclaim the gospel values of justice and peace, reconciliation and pardon in Israel and Palestine.

    This might indeed be the time to remember the words spoken by Pope Francis as he played host to Presidents Peres and Abbas in the Vatican last Pentecost:

    We know and we believe that we need the help of God. We do not renounce our responsibilities, but we do call upon God in an act of supreme responsibility before our consciences and before our peoples. We have heard a summons, and we must respond. It is the summons to break the spiral of hatred and violence, and to break it by one word alone: the word ‘brother’. But to be able to utter this word we have to lift our eyes to heaven and acknowledge one another as children of one Father.

     

    Fr David M. Neuhaus SJ serves as Latin Patriarchal Vicar within the Latin Patriarchate of Jerusalem. He is responsible for Hebrew-speaking Catholics in Israel as well as the Catholic migrant populations. He teaches Holy Scripture at the Latin Patriarchate Seminary and at the Salesian Theological Institute in Jerusalem and also lectures at Yad Ben Zvi.

    This article first appeared in ‘Thinking Faith’ on 21 May 2015. 

     

  • Peter Day. Grappling with same sex marriage

    Current Affairs. 

    Human sexuality is a complex and fragile thing – far greyer than black or white. It is best tended to by gentle, wise, and humble hands.

    There hasn’t been much gentleness or wisdom surrounding the same sex marriage debate.

    Like most issues of public importance, we tend to be led to the voices of fear that inhabit the extremes, and both extremes certainly have fiery preachers who are skilled at trotting-out the emotive and incendiary; all taken-up with alacrity by a mass media and consumer market that revels in confrontation – confrontation that is too often devoid of intellectual rigour, dispassionate reasoning, and wisdom.

    Those for same sex marriage have cleverly positioned themselves under the canopy of equal rights, of marriage equality: “Thus, if you oppose us, you are not only homophobic, but support continued discrimination as well.”

    While those against counter with the not so clever approach that involves wielding a bible as though it were a hammer: “Adam and Eve, not Adam and Steve”.

    No wonder there is little mutual respect.

    There are many layers to a good debate, to prosecuting a good argument. The ancient Greek philosopher, Aristotle, held to three: logos (reason), pathos (emotion) and ethos (credibility); each complementing the other in striving for wisdom and truth. In the case of same sex marriage, however, discussion has tended to gravitate towards the pathos only, hence the emotion and pique.

    Each of us comes to life matters informed by different experiences and realities: gender, sexuality, atheism, belief, politics, religion, family, humanism, anger, fear, and so on. If each is honoured with a voice, then, in time, logic-pathos-ethos are given room to gently sort out the wheat from the chaff, and the common good is more likely to emerge.

    “If we are to understand someone else, we must know of what they are afraid,” so said English philosopher, Iris Murdoch.

    No one can tell me who to love

    So, what are the fears and assumptions that underpin those who support same sex marriage? Fundamentally, they centre on discrimination, on challenging and eradicating social and institutional prejudice. Thus, marriage is laid-out before us as a civil rights test: Are you for equality, or for continued discrimination?

    American writer Andrew Sullivan speaks for many when he says: “The Constitution guarantees the right to marry to murderers, to prisoners, to people with a history of neglecting their children, to people who have married 10 times … If all these people have a fundamental civil right to marry, as I think they do, we do too.”

    What Sullivan and others say has power because they are emerging from a longstanding and documented history of marginalisation, brutally so in many instances; one that is still quite pervasive. And churches of all persuasions need to reflect on their contribution to this injustice.

    Given this painful historical backdrop, the civil rights approach is both compelling and persuasive. After all, who wants to wear the responsibility of saying yet another “No” to those who have been marginalised and refused entry into much of the mainstream for so long?

    Same sex marriage is a bridge too far

    And what about the fears and assumptions that underpin those who oppose same sex marriage? Most tend to be shaped by religious affiliation – e.g. fidelity to scripture and dogma, the fear of secularism (modernity) eroding traditional values, and the rights of children to be raised by their biological parents.

    In regards to the latter, Canadian ethicist Margaret Somerville also speaks for many:

    “By institutionalizing the relationship that has the inherent capacity to transmit life, marriage symbolizes and engenders respect for the transmission of human life.

    “Advocates of same-sex marriage argue … that the inherently procreative relationship between a man and a woman means that opposite-sex couples who cannot or do not want to have children should be excluded from marriage; or, more extremely, that only a man and a woman who produce a child should be allowed to marry.

    “Even if a particular man and woman cannot or do not want to have a child, their getting married does not damage this general symbolism. The reproductive potential of opposite-sex couples is assumed at a general level and is not investigated in individual cases. To do otherwise would be a serious and unjustifiable breach of privacy.”

    Critics of these generally faith-based voices tend to dismiss them as out-dated, conservative, and intolerant: “Just more prejudice from believers fearful of difference, fearful of change.” The inference being that those who support same sex marriage embrace difference and, in so doing, are better able to tread the path of tolerance which is more readily countenanced within open-minded modernity.

    Yet, as the Dominican priest and author Timothy Radcliffe muses, “Is modernity so very tolerant after all? Lots of sociologists like Richard Sennett, argue that modern society is so fluid and mobile that we fear to really engage with difference. We have to pretend that we are all the same.”

    Whatever one’s take, in order for this debate to move beyond the superficial noise and emotional peaks and troughs that prevail, it behoves us all to listen with humility, even to positions that are antithetical – yes, even repelling, to ‘my worldview’.

    So where to from here?

    While the refrains, “marriage equality” and “no one can tell us who to love,” are compelling pathos, they are more sound bite than substance, and should not be allowed to stifle our collective grappling. Marriage is far more than just an expression of love between consenting adults; as for the accusation that it is inherently discriminatory until available to same sex couples, well, that also needs a lot more attention and rigour than is currently the case.

    Similarly, the issue cannot be hijacked by the intellectual mediocrity of those purveyors of religious bigotry and fundamentalism who retreat from reason and compassion, thus, undermining thoughtful, credible, and respectful debate. The same sex community has been shunted and bullied and belittled by irrational fear-mongers and brutes for too long.

    Australian journalist and author Paul Kelly invites us beyond the pathos to consider some of the ramifications that might otherwise go unnoticed:

    “The intellectual truth … is that this project is about changing the concept of marriage as the core institution of our civilisation. It needs to be addressed at this level.

    “The proposal is to strip from the law the idea of marriage as a union between a man and a woman and substitute two people. This means the removal of the concepts of motherhood and fatherhood from law … in favour of parenthood. Once enshrined in law, the education systems from primary schools upwards will teach your children the ideology of marriage equality, namely equality of homosexual and heterosexual unions, as the foundation for cultural norms, and a philosophy of family that is dictated by constantly evolving social behaviours and fashions.

    “This is a vast change in Australia’s secular and cultural values … [a] change [that] will institutionalise a new division: the state’s concept of marriage will stand in conflict with the church’s concept of marriage.”

    To discriminate v discrimination

    “In whatever context it arises, and always respecting the appropriate manner of its expression, love between two persons, whether of the same sex or of a different sex, is to be treasured and respected.”

    (Cardinal Basil Hume)

    A discriminating person is a person who can detect differences. In its basic sense to discriminate is to recognise and acknowledge difference. The problem arises only when we discriminate in order to advantage some and disadvantage others. Then we speak of discriminating against certain groups or certain people. This misuse of discrimination endangers all our institutions. Recognising and acknowledging difference is basic to medicine, as without it diagnosis would be little more than guesswork. It is basic to law, as without it verdicts would be arbitrary. It is basic to the whole scientific endeavour. The problem does not lie with discrimination (we should recognise differences), but with the purpose behind discriminating, and what it is used for.

    When we reflect on the fact that committed relationships are at the heart of a healthy society, we realise how important it is to respect, encourage, and celebrate the giving and receiving of love between heterosexuals and same sex couples. We must also dialogue with the hope of deepening our understanding of experiences that are foreign to us. The loving commitment of same sex couples to each other needs the kind of protection and support that heterosexuals have taken for granted.

    Surely we can achieve this while recognising that the two forms of union, heterosexual and same sex, are different, and significantly so. All societies, including our own, acknowledge the importance of heterosexual unions for the very continuance of the society. We call it ‘marriage’, and, as acknowledged earlier, while not every heterosexual union leads to procreation, the union, of its nature, is geared to it. This is not true of same sex love.

    Of course, a same sex couple can love and care for children whose nurturing is a fruit of their love. Children, however, do not come into existence as a result of their sexual union. And surely, as much as is possible, children have an inherent right to be nurtured by their biological parents?  If this has merit, one needs to consider the potential for same sex marriage to further entrench the separation of children from their natural parents, a separation that is becoming more and more prevalent thanks to new technologies, a prevailing individualism, and a collective infatuation with the self: “If I want it, I should have it; that’s my right.” The danger is children can become commodities to meet the social and emotional whims of adults; something for which we are all responsible.

    For the sake of the child and ultimately for the dignity of all, it needs to be clearly understood that one does not have a right to a child, whatever underpins one’s aspirations for parenthood.

    The committed love between same sex couples must indeed be “treasured and respected”, and while it is also a creative and nurturing reality for those involved, it has neither the biological complementarity, nor pro-creative capacity, that is inherent in a heterosexual union. It is a different expression of love and it should be treated and honoured differently. Thankfully, in relation to legal protections, same sex couples have been afforded what is justifiably their civil rights. 

    “But,” as former Chief Rabbi of the UK, Jonathan Sacks says, “our compassion for those who choose to live differently should not inhibit us from being advocates for the single most humanising institution in history. The family, man, woman, and child, is not one lifestyle choice among many. It is the best means we have yet discovered for nurturing future generations and enabling children to grow in a matrix of stability and love …

    “Those who are privileged to grow up in stable loving association with the two people who brought them into being will, on average, be healthier physically and emotionally. They will do better at school and at work. They will have more successful relationships, be happier and live longer.”

     

    Peter Day is a Catholic Priest in Canberra.

     

  • Budgets and Women at Work

    Current Affairs.

    Since 1984 Federal Governments have produced a Women’s Budget Statement as one element of the official Budget Papers. The present government discontinued this practice last year.

    In response, the National Foundation for Australian Women together with others took up the task of analysing the implications of the budget that were of particular interest to women. See link below for this analysis.  John Menadue.

    http://sydney.edu.au/business/research/wwrg/budget

  • Peter Day. It’s hard being a Catholic today.

    The gut-wrenching  accounts coming out of Ballarat this past couple of  weeks are enough to bring a man to his knees: stories of young people crippled by sexual abuse; stories of utter betrayal; stories we would rather not hear – stories we must hear.

    It is hard being a Catholic today.

    It is hard being a Catholic priest today.

    Our collective shame is deep, for some, even overwhelming, because good people are being condemned by association. But we must not fall prey to self-pity because as hard as it is for us, we are not nearly as innocent, or as damaged, as the children who are only now being given a voice.

    It is a time to listen to them;

    It is a time to be overwhelmed for them;

    It is a time to seek the truth with them.  

    Amid the carnage, it behoves us all in the church to be agents of change: to ensure that Christ’s exhortation to ‘wash feet’ is not left marginalised, but is embraced as a central and non-negotiable quality in our church leaders. 

    When all is said and done, it is better for a man, for a church, to roam the streets destitute, foraging for the bread of truth; than to roam the corridors of power feasting on privileges and food that does not last. For ours is a profound responsibility: to humbly and gently walk alongside others, especially the most vulnerable, no matter the cost.

    Peter Day is a Catholic Priest in Canberra.

  • Rob Nicholls. NBN

    Fairness, Opportunity and Security
    Policy series edited by Michael Keating and John Menadue.

    The policy rationale behind a national broadband network would appear to be a simple one. The objective would be to part subsidise the construction of a national network that ensures two policy elements would be achieved. The first is a broadband infrastructure that ensures that Australian homes and businesses have broadband at a level that does not limit the national competitiveness compared to its trading partners. The second is to ensure that this broadband service is universal.

    The policy challenge is that this was never the original policy rationale and that current policy positions in the national broadband network are inconsistent with a deregulatory stance.

    The policies associated with the national broadband network are trying to solve a very broad range of problems and moist of these do not fit in with delivering a telecommunications network. Even the title of the policy is misleading. The term “national” is associated with universality. However, the national broadband network is actually a set of access networks and the connectivity between these access networks is provided by commercial players.

    It’s worth looking at how we go to the current situation. To do this, there is an overview of technology and then a look back at the start of national broadband network planning as an outcome of the 2007 election.

    Technology

    One of the problems with policy clarity is that there are technology debates which can cloud matters. There are two ways in which broadband services can be delivered. These are fixed line and wireless. In the wireless space, delivery can either use a territorial system, in the same way that mobile broadband is delivered or via satellite. Fixed line delivery uses a combination of optical fibres and (optionally) copper wire of some type. Current ADSL (which is a mercifully short acronym for asymmetric digital subscriber line) uses the copper pairs that historically delivered telephone services. The closer the fibre is to the premises, the higher the bit rate that will be able to be delivered. This is a result of the fact that copper pairs are not good at supporting big bit rate services. Coaxial cable is much better at delivering services over longer distances.

    These issues lead to a set of acronyms and the need for standardisation. The existing Telstra copper network has two segments. The first is between the exchange building and the pillar in the street. The pillar typically provides about 300 copper pairs for about 150 premises. These premises are the “distribution area” (DA). The copper between the exchange and the DA is usually in very good condition as the cables are kept pressurised with compressed air to prevent water ingress. The copper in the DA may well have moisture issues and these can limit the data rates that can be delivered. When the fibre runs all the way to the premises, the technology is called “fibre to the premises” or FTTP. If the fibre runs to a new box of electronics serving a DA, this is “fibre to the node” or FTTN. If the last part is coaxial, using the cable which can deliver cable television, then this is a hybrid of fibre and coaxial or HFC.

    A FTTP network uses one fibre that feeds a splitter which provides service to up to 32 premises and is normally designed to deliver to half that number. As a practical matter, co-locating ten splitters per DA – usually in the pavement near the pillar is a practical solution.

    The FTTN solution requires power to be delivered to the electronics in the node. This is awkward as there is rarely a meter available.

    History

    The original approach for national broadband network planning sometimes known as NBM Mark I was for a limited government subsidy of a broadband network that would provide 12 Mbps downstream and 1 Mbps upstream. The requirement was set out in a tender process in 2008. The likely (and assumed) technology was fibre to the node, which is described below. The government offer was $4.7 billion and the tender process was designed to be in the form of a least-cost subsidy auction. That is, the winner would provide “best bang for the buck” without the government paying for the whole of the network.

    The bids were expected to be a mixture of a little FTTP, mainly for new construction areas (greenfield sites) and FTTN in established neighbourhoods (brownfield sites). In practice, Telstra’s bid was only 12 pages long and was knocked out because it did not have the required industry plan. Telstra’s more detailed proposal was not submitted as Telstra was seeking assurances that there would be no structural remedies (specifically, structural separation) applied. Other bidders put in bids which were conditional on access to elements of Telstra’s network. This NBN Mark I process led to a report to the Minister in January 2009 that none of the other bids was appropriate.

    In April 2009, the government announced that it would form a government business enterprise (now NBN Co) and invest $43 billion to roll out an FTTP network to 90% of homes and businesses, with the balance receiving broadband services using wireless technologies. The investment was critical to making sure that the project was “off balance sheet” for budgetary purposes. Over subsequent years, and specifically in a Shareholder Ministers’ Statement of Expectations in December 2010, the technology mix was changed to 93% FTTP, 4% terrestrial wireless and 3% satellite wireless.[1] There was also a policy requirement that there should be uniform national wholesale pricing. That is, the price should not be determined by the cost. This is important when NBN Co planned a $3.5 billion capital expenditure to deliver wireless services to 200,000 homes. Its subsequent review realised that this plan underestimated demand and costs meaning that the cost per premises will fall but the absolute costs will rise.[2]

    The effect of the policy was that NBN Co was mandated to cross-subsidise regional and remote services from the lower costs in metropolitan areas.

    There was also a concurrent policy which gave Telstra the choice between voluntary structural separation and legislated functional separation. However, it was barely a choice as the consequences for failing to “volunteer” included preventing Telstra from accessing spectrum, the lifeblood of mobile services and requiring it to divest its interest in box Foxtel and the HFC over which some viewers receive subscription television.

    The reviews after the 2013 election have changed the fixed line technology to a mix of FTTP (26%), FTTN (44%) and HFC (30%).[3] Seven per cent of premises will still be served by wireless. This is the current government’s multiple technology mix.

    The policy challenges

    The most major policy challenge is the fact that deploying a different technology mix in response to a new government’s Statement of Expectations[4] is not a rapid process. The agreements between NBN Co, the government and Telstra, which took more than a year first time around, were more complicated given that each of Telstra and Optus were selling their HFC networks to NBN Co. The previous deal had provided a “disconnect fee” when customers were moved from HFC to the national broadband network.

    Another issue is that technology marches on. This aspect of productive efficiency has three implications. The first is that the expectations of consumers change. When NBN Mark I was released, the iPhone 3GS was months away and the iPad had not been launched. The consumer expectation of multiple devices using fixed and mobile networks was in its infancy. Now consumers expect to get 25 Mbps from their 4G mobile devices and for this to remain a target for fixed broadband seems odd. After all the US Federal Communications Commission has raised the minimum bit rate in their definition of broadband to 25 Mbps.[5] The second problem is that the best technology is always the next one. NBN Co is proposing to use a standard called DOCSIS 3.1 for HFC services and this will deliver near fibre bit rates. However, it requires significant expenditure on “node splitting” in the deployed cable network and will only work when there are commercial quantities of DOCSIS 3.1 modems. In an irritating twist, this will be after the election that is most likely to take place in 2016.[6] The third effect of productive efficiency is that it is not a government monopoly. When TPG decided to use its a lower cost technology to extend its network to blocks of units using a variant of FTTN called fibre to the basement (inevitably, FTTB), the Minister for Communications imposed a new licence condition on fixed line carriers requiring that they offer wholesale services for FTTB to try and dissuade TPG from competing with NBN Co.[7] This is an odd course of action for a government that favours free markets. However, it reflects the continuing policy of implicit cross-subsidisation from the metropolitan areas to the bush.

    Form an economic perspective, there is no real rationale as to why this subsidy should come from telecommunications users, rather than consolidated revenue. If there needs to be a policy to provide telecommunications services into remote areas, and this type of universal service policy is widely adopted on a global basis, then there is no reason why the subsidy could not be explicit (a line item on a bill) if it is not to come from Treasury. The newly established Bureau of Communications Research at the Department of Communications will be looking at this issue.[8] However, there is a technological matter which will change the economics.

    When the first Shareholder Ministers’ Statement of Expectations was issued, this mandated NBN Co not to bid for spectrum in the 700 MHz band. We now have a situation where NBN Co is in the process of building 1,400 base station sites using 2.3 GHz spectrum which is not optimised for coverage. There are two parameters in designing a fixed wireless network, coverage and capacity. Coverage determines who will receive a service and capacity is based on how many people use that service concurrently. For most applications, spectrum below 1 GHz is best for coverage and above 1 GHz for capacity. The reason that the 700 MHz spectrum was not made available to NBN Co was that its value (in terms of budget estimates) was too great. In practice, there is spectrum that was unsold at auction which could be used to provide NBN Co services, Public Safety Mobile Broadband services and still have value for its use in supplying consumer mobile broadband services.

    Solutions

    It’s clear that trying to solve universal service policy matters at the same time as limiting the competitive effect of Telstra and rolling out a network whose design parameters are constantly falling behind the Pareto curve established by productive efficiency is problematic. There are areas where there is poor or no broadband. This is not tolerable in an advanced economy, ever. Solutions that simply transfer consumer wealth to incumbent operators are not the solution. Perhaps it’s time to take another look at what government intervention (financial or regulatory) is required to deliver a tightly specified outcome. This might mean making some subsidies explicit and it might also mean that spectrum which holds a valuation set by the previous government is reassessed for use in delivering that outcome.

    At the end of March 2015, there were 389,000 premises actually connected to the national broadband network.[9] That’s not a lot to show for a process that started seven years earlier.

    There are a few approaches that the parliament could take which actually reflect the rapid changes in technology and the cross-subsidisation issues. The first is that the Statement of Expectations should not be based on bit rates in election years. Far better to follow the approach pioneered by David Murray in the Financial Systems Inquiry and have a target which moves with either the OECD or, and this is a much tougher ask, in line with our major trading partners. The target should be a basket of service (expressed as an average bit rate served and amount of data served, a set of service levels and retail price). In line with the final recommendation, meeting this target need only be subsidised in the areas where commercial offerings have not kept up. The second is a rationalisation of universal service. It does not make sense to mandate that NBN Co should be the wholesaler of last resort in remote areas and Telstra is the retailer of last resort and then to require that both use different delivery technologies. The third is to provide those subsidies that are needed for the rationalised universal service from consolidated revenue, rather than in the form of cross-subsidies from metropolitan areas. Once this is done, the final approach is logically to target government subsidies at the under-served suburban and regional areas where current broadband access is poor. In this environment, it will not matter that TPG has a better fibre to the basement solution than NBN Co; there will be no need for special licence conditions. Instead, just let the market do its job. If this means that we end up with FTTP networks deployed by Telstra and others because people want to watch more than one Netflix ultra-high definition streaming service, then intervention by government will be fruitless.

    Dr. Rob Nicholls is a Research Fellow at each of Swinburne University of Technology and the Centre for International Finance and Regulation. He is a visiting fellow at UTS Sydney Law. He is the Independent Telecommunications Adjudicator in a regime established to deal with wholesale disputes arising over both legacy services and migration to the NBN.

     

    [1] At http://www.nbnco.com.au/content/dam/nbnco/documents/statement-of-expectations.pdf accessed 5 May 2015

    [2] NBN Co, Fixed Wireless and Satellite Review, NBN Co http://www.nbnco.com.au/content/dam/nbnco/documents/NBNCo_Fixed_Wireless_and_Satellite_Review_07052014.pdf (2014) page 9 accessed 5 May 2015

    [3] NBN Co, Strategic Review – 12 December 2013, NBN Co http://www.nbnco.com.au/content/dam/nbnco/documents/NBN-Co-Strategic-Review-Report.pdf (2013) page 19 accessed 5 May 2015

    [4] At http://www.communications.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0014/221162/SOE_Shareholder_Minister_letter.pdf accessed 5 May 2015

    [5] At https://www.fcc.gov/document/fcc-finds-us-broadband-deployment-not-keeping-pace accessed 5 May 2015

    [6] At http://www.nbnco.com.au/corporate-information/media-centre/media-releases/nbn-co-to-unleash-fibre-speeds-for-cable-customers.html accessed 5 May 2015

    [7] The condition is at http://www.comlaw.gov.au/Details/F2014L01699 and the consultation at http://www.communications.gov.au/consultation_and_submissions/consultation_on_draft_carrier_licence_condition accessed 5 May 2015

    [8] At http://www.communications.gov.au/the_bureau_of_communications_research accessed 5 May 2015

    [9] NBN Co, National Broadband Network – Rollout Information, 23 April 2015, NBN Co http://www.nbnco.com.au/content/dam/nbnco2/documents/nbnco-rollout-metrics-23042015.pdf (2015) page 3 accessed 5 May 2015

  • Terry Flew. Regulating Convergent Media: An Ongoing Policy Challenge.

    Fairness, Opportunity and Security.
    Policy series edited by Michael Keating and John Menadue.

    In the 2013 Federal election, neither of Australia’s major political parties took forward a detailed media policy. This was surprising as one of the main features of the Gillard and Rudd Labor governments was significant attention being given to reviews of media and communication law and policy, particularly between 2011-2013. The Convergence Review was established in 2011 to ‘review the current policy framework for the production and delivery of media content and communication services’ (Convergence Review Committee, 2012, p. 110), and presented a comprehensive roadmap for media policy reform in April 2012. It was accompanied by a series of other media-related policy inquiries during 2011-2013, including the Finkelstein Review of news media regulation (Finkelstein, 2012), and the Australian Law Reform Commission (ALRC) reviews into the National Classification Scheme (ALRC, 2012) and Copyright and the Digital Economy (ALRC, 2013). These media-related reviews occurred in the context of Labor’s commitments to develop a National Broadband Network (NBN) as an enabling technological infrastructure for wider forms of innovation in the digital economy, in the cultural and creative industries, and in delivery of government services.

    There is considerable merit in Labor revisiting these media inquiries as it seeks to develop a comprehensive media policy framework for a future Federal government. In particular, the issues identified by the Convergence Review around the need to develop a regulatory framework sufficiently robust for the next 20 years continue to warrant a response. The Convergence Review argued that ‘many elements of the current regulatory regime are outdated and … other rules are becoming ineffective with the rapid changes in the communication landscape’ (Convergence Review Committee, 2012, p. 1). In particular, it was argued that ‘Australia’s policy and regulatory framework for content services is still focused on the traditional structures of the 1990s—broadcasting and telecommunications. The distinction between these categories is increasingly blurred and these regulatory frameworks have outlived their original purpose’ (Convergence Review Committee, 2012, p. vii).

    Similar observations have been made elsewhere about how existing laws, policies and regulations lag behind the technological, economic and socio-cultural changes associated with the Internet and media convergence. The European Commission has observed that ‘lines are blurring quickly between the familiar twentieth-century consumption patterns of linear broadcasting received by TV sets versus on-demand services delivered to computers’, and that ‘if, in a converging world, linear and non-linear provision of similar content were to be treated as being in competition, then the current differences in [regulatory] regimes could clearly distort that relationship’ (EC, 2013, pp. 1, 11). The Media Convergence Review conducted in Singapore in 2012 found that ‘policy and regulatory frameworks which were designed for traditional media platforms and industry structures are no longer able to cope with the characteristics of the converged media environment’ (MDA, 2012, p. 5).

    Media convergence has been central to driving the need for regulatory and policy change. Convergence refers to the combination of computing, communications and content around networked digital media platforms. It also refers to the rise of new, digitally based companies such as Google, Apple, Microsoft, Netflix and Amazon, the rapid growth of social media platforms such as Facebook, Twitter and YouTube, the proliferation of user-created content, and multi-screen accessing of media content (e.g. accessing TV programs from tablet computers). Media convergence occurs in parallel with a series of other changes in the global media and communications environment that include:

    1. Increased access to, and use of, high-speed broadband Internet;
    2. The globalisation of media platforms, content and services, meaning that digital media content can be sourced, distributed and accessed to/from any point in the world;
    3. An acceleration of platform and service innovation that makes it increasingly difficult to define the ‘industry’ that major digital companies are operating in (e.g. is Google a media company?);
    4. The proliferation of user-created content, and the associated shift of media users from audiences to participants, resulting in the blurring of a once relatively clear distinction between media producers and consumers;
    5. The blurring of public-private and age-based distinctions, as all media content is increasingly distributed and consumed online, in environments that are public in terms of their access platforms yet private in terms of their consumption.

    How such developments impact upon existing forms of media law and policy are many and varied. The Australian Communication and Media Authority (ACMA) identified a series of what it termed broken concepts, where ‘regulation constructed on the premise that content could (and should) be controlled by how it is delivered is losing its force, both in logic and in practice’ (ACMA, 2011a, p. 6). An example would be the ’75 per cent audience reach rule’ for commercial broadcasters, that seeks to limit the leading players to the capital city markets, and enabling regional ownership of TV stations. Such a rule presumes that we only access television content from television stations, whereas we now access it online, whether from the networks themselves (e.g. ABC iView), from YouTube and like services, or from the IPTV providers such as Netflix, Stan, Presto etc. This is not to say that catering to specific regional markets is no longer important – it is – but rather that the instrument chosen of restrictions based on geographical reach is no longer fit for purpose.

    In an environment of dramatic change in the media landscape, what are the enduring concepts that continue to shape regulation? For libertarians such as the Institute for Public Affairs (IPA), there are none: technological change and limitless consumer choice render the need to regulate media content or protect audiences redundant. To that end, the IPA have recommended abolishing the ACMA and the Classification Board, as well as privatising SBS and breaking up the ABC (Roskam et. al., 2012). But no other country in the world is approaching media convergence in that way, and the digital media players themselves expect some form of media regulation to continue in the future. To take one example, Google recognises the importance of Australian content rules for the maintenance and strengthening of a diverse national cultural identity, even if it wishes to debate the best means of achieving such goals (Flynn, 2012).

    The ACMA (2015) has identified a set of 16 enduring concepts that continue to provide public interest principles around which regulation of media industries, markets, content and services can be evaluated. They are a mix of traditional media policy goals and principles that have become increasingly important in the digital environment, and include principles pertaining to market standards, social and economic participation, cultural values, and community safeguards. These principles cover: questions of market access and standards, including consumer rights for complaint and redress; social and economic participation, including the equitable provision of digital services, digital literacy, and the need to safeguard content diversity in a pluralist democracy; cultural values, including support for Australian content, community standards provisions, localised services, and media ethics; and safeguards, such as access to emergency services, protection of children from potentially harmful content, and privacy provisions for the management of digital data.

    Such core concepts provide the basis for identifying principles-based regulations that can be durable and enhance Australian media and its contribution to citizenship, culture and public life at a time of rapid changes associated with digital convergence. In relation to cultural values, for instance, it is apparent that many of the provisions that have existed to support Australian identity, community values, localism and ethical standards have only applied to the dominant platforms such as broadcasting and, to a lesser extent, print media. Developing policies that would, for instance, support Australian content on IPTV services or the multichannel services of commercial broadcasters, promote local community identity through online media, or ethical standards among bloggers and online-only services, requires new approaches to regulation that are developed in consultation with the community and with the providers themselves. It also requires consideration of what constitutes a “media company” of sufficient audience reach to warrant regulation of its conduct and policies to promote socially desirable forms of media content, and how this is undertaken without inhibiting freedom of personal communication.

    In balancing the relationship between competitive markets and community safeguards, the ideal policy setting would be that of platform neutrality, where rules are based on media content rather than upon platforms or delivery technologies. A good example of the risks associated with treating content differently based upon its platform was the long prohibition on R18+ computer games, that was finally overturned in 2013, and which had left Australian games regulations at odds with the rest of the world, as well as creating regulatory anomalies that generated uncertainty in a fast growing industry. This would be applied in a manner that was gradual and not necessarily rigid: the community has greater expectations of the accuracy of content appearing on the ABC web site, for instance, than it does of personal blogs. But principles such as protection from harm and community standards remain important regardless of the delivery platform, or indeed whether the provider is locally based or part of a global platform, and it is appropriate for government to work with the major digital media platform providers to ensure that they meet minimum safeguards.

    The positive role of such principles in promoting quality, diversity, Australian content and localism also points to a central role in the 21st century for public service media. The ABC and SBS have become multiplatform content services, and have been important innovators in the convergent media environment. They will continue to face the challenge of how to provide the content that is central to their Charter obligations (accurate and comprehensive news services, educational content, multicultural content etc.), while also opening up their platforms in order to enable greater community access, diversity of voices and public participation. In order to do this, and to promote digital citizenship in the 21st century, governments will need to ensure that they are adequately resourced and not artificially inhibited from being innovators in the convergent media environment.

    In advancing an agenda for media policy reform, the challenge is that the same media outlets that are affected by legislative change are those who also provide public information about it. The extreme disjuncture this can produce was seen in the previous Labor government, when Senator Conroy’s proposals to amend communications legislation in order to establish a Public Interest Media Advocate to strengthen the requirements on news media outlets to conduct themselves in an ethical manner saw him compared to Joseph Stalin and Kim Jong-Un on the front page of the Sydney Daily Telegraph (Hobbs and McKnight, 2014). Added to this is the propensity for media incumbents to seek policy outcomes that best suit their own interest: News Limited favours a self-regulatory Australian Press Council that it funds itself, rather than a government-supported entity; the commercial TV networks wish to see the three-station rule preserved into the indefinite future; and so on. There is also the long history of Australian media proprietors being close to the conservative political parties, perhaps best seen in recent times with Rupert Murdoch and then Opposition leader Tony Abbott sharing the podium at the 70th anniversary dinner of the Institute for Public Affairs in April 2013. The lessons for Labor of the period in office from 2007 to 2013 may lead some to view media policy as something that goes in the “too hard” basket: you end up making political enemies for little tangible electoral return.

    But important reforms to media legislation have been passed by Labor governments before, and could be again. The Hawke and Keating governments oversaw the creation of a new Broadcasting Services Act in 1993, as well as the Telecommunications Act 1989 and the Classification Act 1995. There is little doubt that the urgent need for change is felt in the relevant industries, in light of the forces associated with next-generation media convergence discussed above. It is also apparent that public expectations about getting better quality media and about ethics and standards in the media remain high, and the Internet and social media have made it much easier for all sections of the community to make their voices heard when they are dissatisfied with the Australian media’s performance. By taking a principles-based approach to amending media legislation, and being committed to open and public consultation rather than a “closed door” approach to consultation, a future Labor government could make lasting and important changes that would have important benefits for a democratic and diverse Australian culture, as well as enabling Australian media to be at the forefront of digital innovation, rather than simply seeking protection from global media platforms.

    References Cited

    • Australian Communications and Media Authority (2011) Broken Concepts: The Australian Communications Legislative Landscape, Melbourne: ACMA.
    • Australian Communications and Media Authority (2015) Evidence Informed Regulatory Practice—An Adaptive Response, 2005-15, Melbourne: ACMA.
    • Australian Law Reform Commission (2012) Classification – Content Regulation and Convergent Media, ALRC Report 118, Sydney: ALRC.
    • Australian Law Reform Commission (2013) Copyright and the Digital Economy: Final Report, ALRC Report 122, Sydney: ALRC.
    • Convergence Review Committee (2012) Convergence Review: Final Report, Canberra: Department of Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy.
    • European Commission (2013) Preparing for a Fully Converged Audiovisual World: Growth, Creation and Values: Green Paper, COM(2013) 231 final, 24 April, Brussels.
    • Finkelstein, R. (2012) Report of the Independent Inquiry into the Media and Media Regulation, assisted by M. Ricketson, Canberra: Department of Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy.
    • Flynn, I. (2012) The Convergence Review and Media Policy – The Missed Opportunities. Telecommunications Journal of Australia 62(3): 47.1-47.9.
    • Hobbs, M. & McKnight, D. (2014) “Kick This Mob Out”: The Murdoch Media and the Australian Labor Government (2007 to 2013). Global Media Journal – Australian Edition 8(2), http://www.hca.uws.edu.au/gmjau/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/GMJAU_Kick_this_mob_out.pdf, date accessed 3 May 2015.
    • Media Development Authority (2012) Media Convergence Review – Final Report. Singapore: MDA.
    • Roskam, J., Paterson, J. & Berg, C. (2012) Be Like Gough: 75 Radical Ideas to Transform Australia. IPA Review 64(2): 6-11.

    Terry Flew is Professor of Media and Communications at the Queensland University of Technology. He is the author of six books, including The Creative Industries, Culture and Policy (Sage, 2012), Global Creative Industries (Polity, 2013), New Media: An Introduction (Oxford, 2014) and Media Economics (Palgrave, 2015, co-authored with Stuart Cunningham and Adam Swift). He is a member of the Australian Research Council College of Experts, and an International Communications Association (ICA) Executive Board member. In 2011-12 he was seconded to the Australian Law Reform Commission, chairing the National Classification Scheme Review.

     

     

  • John Menadue. Failed policies have made us a larger terrorism target.

    Current Affairs. 

    The major drivers of Islamic terrorism are a century of Western policies in the Middle East that have colonised, expropriated and attacked the people of the Middle East. Those suffering from these policies are overwhelmingly Muslim. Add to that the continued and current meddling of Western powers in the Middle East and it is not surprising that we have a surge of young Muslim misfits who have a sense of resentment and grievance against the West.

    But we want to avoid the truth about the awful consequences of what we have inflicted on the people of the ME. The government tries to do this by endless talk about death cults. An analysis by Fairfax Media shows that since September last year Tony Abbott has referred to the IS ‘death-cult’ 346 times! By contrast, he referred to domestic violence only 43 times. Yet domestic violence takes the life of over 100 people in Australia each year. We have had only two deaths as a result of ‘terrorism’ by an apparent ‘weirdo’ and a botched rescue operation– the Lindt Café.

    Domestic violence is a far greater threat to our society than IS.

    In his budget Joe Hockey said that ‘The threat of terrorism is rising and ever evolving and our response must be swift and uncompromising’. He proposed an extra $1.2 billion on top of an additional $1 billion last year to make Australia ‘safer from terrorism’. But funding to combat domestic violence is miniscule.

    The government clearly believes, probably correctly, that it can play to its political strength on national security and frighten the community about the death cult IS as it has done over asylum seekers. It will help divert attention from  failures elsewhere.

    Our ‘terrorism industry’ is booming. Our security agencies have no difficulty gaining large and increased budget funding. Terrorism and security consultants are thriving. Academics are joining the rush. I suspect that a lot of the comment from this terrorism industry is recycled and untested speculation. This industry is very incestuous.. From personal experience I am very sceptical about most so called ‘terrorism experts’ It was failed intelligence that got us into this mess in Iraq in the first place.

    Western policies, including our own, continue to fuel terrorism.

    With the breakup of the Ottoman Empire at the end of WWI there was a scramble by the colonial powers, particularly the UK and France to divide up the Middle East for their imperial purposes. The West has continued to prop up authoritarian and corrupt governments like those in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the Emirates. The West continues to plunder Middle Eastern resources and particularly oil. In 1953 the CIA overthrew the democratically elected Mosaddegh government of Iran for the benefit of the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company, now BP.

    The US and its allies, including Australia, have deployed more than 2.5 million troops to Afghanistan and Iraq since 2001 and spent more than $1 trillion on these conflicts. Hundreds of thousands have died, mainly the people of the Middle East, yet the security situation is now worse than it was in 2001. The US Secretary of Defence told us only yesterday, after the fall of Ramadi, that ‘Iraqi forces lack the will to fight’.

    The West speaks endlessly about the IS ‘death-cult’ but ignores the US drones, directed by CIA operatives in Langley, to fire hellfire missiles that invariably kill  innocent civilians. We focus on possible atrocities on our home soil but ignore the tragedy that we have helped inflict on people in the ME and elsewhere.

    What arrogance it is to think that we can successfully intervene in a region that is wracked by centuries of tribal and sectarian disputes. We are quite ignorant of the cultures in the ME but we act as if we know what is best for them.

    Not surprisingly many young Muslims, some social misfits, some wanting to demonstrate their manhood, respond to this tragic history of Western colonisation, plunder and aggression against Muslim people and their lands.

    Some are apparently wishing to return to Australia.. If on checking they seem genuine we should be supportive Careful monitoring would be essential. Families and communities as well as government agencies would need to be actively involved in the de radicalisation process.

    The most effective way to discourage more IS recruits is to let them hear from returnees that they have made a mistake. Nothing would better undermine Islamist propaganda.

    The Chilcott Enquiry in the UK was told by the Head of MI5 that UK participation in the Iraq War substantially increased the threat6 of terrorism in the UK. A former head of the AFP in Australia told us several years ago that we face the same risk because of our involvement in Iraq. And we are back in Iraq again!

    Western and Australian policies in the Middle East have made us a large and high profile target for Islamic terrorism. It should not surprise us.

    We need to address not only terrorism itself, but the causes of terrorism. And the causes have been a succession of Western policies which have brought humiliation and anger to the people of the Middle East.

    Our policies continue to nurture terrorism.

    The Australian Government is spending enormous sums to ‘keep us safe’. In fact its policies have put us in greater danger. And the opposition meekly falls into line.