John Menadue

  • David M Neuhaus SJ. The Future of Christians in the Middle East. Part 2.

    Christian institutions and discourse

    In the Exhortation of Pope Benedict XVI, ‘The Church in the Middle East,’ the Pope pointed to the preeminent role of the Christian institutions in the mission of the Christians in the Middle East.

    “For many years, the Catholic Church in the Middle East has carried out her mission through a network of educational, social and charitable institutions. She has taken to heart the words of Jesus: ‘As you did it to one of the least of these my brethren, you did it to me’ (Mt 25:40). The proclamation of the Gospel has been accompanied by works of charity, since it is of the very nature of Christian charity to respond to the immediate needs of all, whatever their religion and regardless of factions or ideologies, for the sole purpose of making present on earth God’s love for humanity.[iii]”

    Hundreds of Christian institutions are spread across the face of the Middle East: schools and universities; institutes for the frail, the elderly and the handicapped; hospitals; and other institutions that offer social and educational services. Almost all of them are characterised by their devoted service to the societies in which they were established and by their openness to all: Muslim and Christian, as well as other minorities. These institutions reveal the face of a Christian presence that seeks to serve not only Christians but society at large.

    These institutions represent a very important Christian outreach beyond the hold of fear and isolation. Particularly notable are those institutions that serve almost entirely Muslim populations, showing the face of a Church that seeks to contribute to building up a society based upon conviviality and respect. In the Gaza Strip, 98% of the pupils in the Christian schools are Muslims. It is significant to note that after the Ba’athi revolutions in Iraq and in Syria, almost all the Christian institutions were nationalised, leading to the disappearance of this form of Christian presence in society. Perhaps the present catastrophe is related to this fact.

    Christian institutions, particularly schools, universities and hospitals, are often places where Christians and Muslims not only rub shoulders but where relationships are established and discourse on diversity and respect is developed. It is through these institutions that the Christians can and do leave their mark on society.

    The continued promotion of Christian institutions at the service of the entire population must go hand in hand with the development of an appropriate Christian discourse about the world in which Christians live. It is this discourse that must also distinguish the Christian as a voice for justice, peace, pardon, reconciliation and selfless love. Fear often provokes the development of a discourse that is reactive and insular, closing Christians off from their neighbours. The support and development of the Christian institutions which are at the service of all must be accompanied by the cultivation of a language spoken by Christians which opens them up to those with whom they share their daily lives. Faced with Muslim extremism, the Christian is called to discern, making distinctions between Muslim extremists and those Muslims who are friends, neighbours and compatriots, between extremism and those manipulated by the extremists. The Christian is also called to remember that Christians are no strangers to extremism, the toxic confusion of religion with political interests and the manipulation of God-talk in order to justify self-interest and greed.

    The Christian presence in the Middle East is not and will not be measured by its statistical importance but rather by the significance of its contribution to society, particularly in its service of education, health and relief work and in its language of love.

    Faith against fear

    In the face of fears that Christians will continue to suffer as the Middle East continues to be shaken by instability and chaos, the only Christian antidote is faith. Christians are named for their Master who did not promise a bed of roses. Christ said to his followers: ‘If any want to become my followers, let them deny themselves and take up their cross and follow me. For those who want to save their life will lose it, and those who lose their life for my sake, and for the sake of the gospel, will save it’ (Mark 8:34-35). These are words that have guided generations of Christians who have laid down their lives in faithful witness to the Gospel. It is perfectly understandable that many balk at these words, preferring to guarantee a better future for their children in a world that seems more secure in Europe, the United States or Australia. A Middle Eastern Christian diaspora can even be a support for those who consciously choose to stay behind as well as those who simply have no possibility to leave.

    However, those that inspire by their courage, determination and faith are the ones who, despite everything, stay in their ancestral homelands because they know that it is their vocation and mission to bear witness to Christ in the lands he knew best. These are the Christians whose sense of mission secures the future of the Church in the Middle East. They have put their hand to the plough and do not look back, nor do they flee. They do not fear nor do they accuse, they do not isolate themselves behind denominational walls, they do not remain paralysed in bitterness, but rather they look ahead, attempting to discern the way forward. Faith is the only sure way beyond fear and isolation to openness and service, seeking Christ and following him as he goes out in ever-widening circles. Faith is the deep-rooted sense that the victory has already been won in the resurrection, and that no matter what crosses are encountered on the way – extremism, hatred and rejection – the forces of death have been overcome in Christ’s Cross and life reigns supreme.

    The renewal of faith in the Middle East among sorely tired Christians surely brings about a greater sense of Christian unity, overcoming the divisions of the past. Pope Francis has pointed repeatedly to the ‘ecumenism of blood’, as he did in his discourse in front of the Holy Sepulchre in Jerusalem, flanked by Greek Orthodox Patriarch of Constantinople Bartholomew.

    “When Christians of different confessions suffer together, side by side, and assist one another with fraternal charity, there is born an ecumenism of suffering, an ecumenism of blood, which proves particularly powerful not only for those situations in which it occurs, but also, by virtue of the communion of the saints, for the whole Church as well. Those who kill, persecute Christians out of hatred, do not ask if they are Orthodox or Catholics: they are Christians. The blood of Christians is the same.[iv]”

    This renewal of faith likewise brings a commitment to dialogue with Muslims (and Jews in the Israel-Palestine arena) in a frank and honest call to mutual respect and shared labour in building up a society free from oppression, ignorance and fear. It also strengthens the demand to be equal citizens, fully enfranchised and willing to bear the same obligations.

    It is this voice of faith that is heard in the statement of the Holy Land Commission for Justice and Peace when they say:

    “We pray for all, for those who join their efforts to ours, and for those who are harming us now or even killing us. We pray that God may allow them to see the goodness He has put in the heart of each one. May God transform every human being from the depth of his or her heart, enabling them to love every human being as God does, He who is the Creator and Lover of all. Our only protection is in our Lord and like Him we offer our lives for those who persecute us as well as for those who, with us, stand in defense of love, truth and dignity.[v]”

     

    Fr David M. Neuhaus SJ serves as Latin Patriarchal Vicar within the Latin Patriarchate of Jerusalem. He is responsible for Hebrew-speaking Catholics in Israel as well as the Catholic migrant populations. He teaches Holy Scripture at the Latin Patriarchate Seminary and at the Salesian Theological Institute in Jerusalem and also lectures at Yad Ben Zvi.

    This article has been published in Études and La Civiltà Cattolica.

    [i] Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem, Michel Sabbah, ‘Pray for Peace in Jerusalem’ (1990), §51.

    [ii] Communiqué of the Catholic Ordinaries in the Holy Land and Justice and Peace Committee,‘Are Christians being persecuted in the Middle East?’ (2 April 2014).

    [iii] Pope Benedict XVI, ‘The Church in the Middle East’, (2012), §89.

    [iv] Address of Pope Francis, Church of the Holy Sepulchre in Jerusalem, 25 May 2014.

    [v] ‘Are Christians being persecuted in the Middle East?’

     

     

  • David Neuhaus SJ. The future of Christians in the Middle East. Part 1.

    Christians in the Middle East must be a voice for justice, peace, pardon, reconciliation and selfless love. The fear that dominates the experience of many Christian communities can only be overcome by understanding, dialogue and faith, all of which are necessary to maintain the Christian presence in the Middle East.

    In one of his pastoral letters to the Christian faithful in the Holy Land, Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem Michel Sabbah wrote:

    “Your first duty is to be equal to the situation. However complicated or difficult it is, you should try to understand it. Take all the facts into account. Consider them objectively, calmly but courageously, and resist any temptation to fear and despair.[i]”

    Fear

    Any discussion of the situation of Christians in the Middle East today must begin with the reality of the fear that has gripped Christian communities as they watch the horrific scenes broadcast from Iraq and Syria. It is not insignificant that on 31 October 2010, a few days after the closure of the Extraordinary Synod on the Church in the Middle East, convened by Pope Benedict XVI in the Vatican, an attack on a Syrian Catholic church in Baghdad left 58 dead. The subsequent surge in acts of violence directed against various ethnic and religious minorities in different regions of the Middle East is one result of the toppling or destabilising of regimes that kept the Arab world in an iron grip for decades. In Egypt, Iraq and Syria, Christians watched in horror as the authentic and deep-rooted desires for human dignity, democracy and freedom that took shape in what became known as the ‘Arab Spring’, were transformed into a chaotic and mostly brutal struggle for power. Diverse extremists, freed from decades of forceful suppression by secular dictators, emerged from the underground into the light of day.

    Since 2010, thousands of Christians have been driven out of their homes in Iraq and Syria. Christian roots and heritage have been wiped out by hooded terrorists speaking in the name of Islam and calling for the establishment of an Islamic Caliphate in the lands that have been home to Christians since the very beginning of the Christian faith. Hundreds of thousands of Christians have left behind their homelands not only in Iraq and Syria, but also in Egypt, Palestine, Israel and elsewhere, and emigrated to the West, to the New World, to more welcoming Arab countries like Jordan and Lebanon, in the wake of the collapse of a known political order.

    Fear is linked to a term on the lips of many who observe what is happening: persecution of Christians. There is no doubt that some Christians have been killed because their Muslim extremist executors see them as infidels, polytheists or Western spies. However, as the Justice and Peace Commission of the Assembly of Catholic Ordinaries in the Holy Land pointed out:

    “In the name of truth, we must point out that Christians are not the only victims of this violence and savagery. Secular Muslims, all those defined as ‘heretic’, ‘schismatic’ or simply ‘non-conformist’ are being attacked and murdered in the prevailing chaos. In areas where Sunni extremists dominate, Shiites are being slaughtered. In areas where Shiite extremists dominate, Sunnis are being killed. Yes, the Christians are at times targeted precisely because they are Christians, having a different set of beliefs and unprotected. However they fall victim alongside many others who are suffering and dying in these times of death and destruction. They are driven from their homes alongside many others and together they become refugees, in total destitution.[ii]”

    It is also true that the term ‘persecution’, when it is used uniquely to describe Christian suffering in the contemporary Middle East, is often being manipulated within the context of a particular political agenda whose aim is to sow prejudice and hatred, setting Christians against Muslims.

    Fear of what?

    Fear is a bad teacher. In order to face fear and overcome it, it needs to be understood. Christians are a particularly vulnerable sector in the Arab world as for the most part they have consistently refused to organise themselves along denominational lines as political parties or militias. For decades (since the end of the nineteenth century), the Christians who were politically and socially motivated invested their energies in the development of Arab secular nationalism in various forms. In this project, they worked alongside similarly motivated Muslims and members of other minority communities. What came to be known as the ‘Arab awakening’ was successful as Arabs developed a sense of their identity, based upon the Arabic language, the Arab-Muslim civilisation and a vast geographical region that served as a centre for the ancient civilisations that gave the world Judaism, Christianity and Islam. In the wake of the 1948 War in Israel/Palestine, in many parts of the Arab world, the monarchic regimes were toppled by Arab nationalist revolutions. Subsequently, however, these nationalist regimes, often strongly supported by the army and the police, were transformed into dictatorships that used systems of control that brutally suffocated any opposition. Among the victims of these regimes were the members of movements that sought to strengthen Muslim identity and develop anti-Western, Islamic models of government.

    The Holy Land Justice and Peace Commission document, formerly cited, stated:

    “Christians had lived in relative security under these dictatorial regimes. They feared that, if this strong authority disappeared, chaos and extremist groups would take over, seizing power and bringing about violence and persecution. Therefore some Christians tended to defend these regimes. Instead, loyalty to their faith and concern for the good of their country, should perhaps have led them to speak out much earlier, telling the truth and calling for necessary reforms, in view of more justice and respect of human rights, standing alongside both many courageous Christians and Muslims who did speak out.”

    It seems the worst Christian nightmares have become reality as the relatively secular dictatorial regimes were challenged by political Islam. The emergence of political Islam provokes a legitimate fear on the part of Christians who, at best, would be marginalised in a political system that insists on denominational identity and defines society in denominational vocabulary. At worst, Christians have been murdered, displaced from their homes, deprived of their rights, forced to submit to extortion and humiliation.

    Fear does not know fine distinctions, however. It is essential that Christians study each current of political Islam in detail. The Islamic movements in Iraq and Syria are diverse and divided; these movements cannot be simply assimilated to the Islamic movements in Egypt and Palestine. Murder and programmatic displacement of Christians cannot be assimilated to demands that Islamic symbols be respected and prioritised; emptying Mosul and the plain of Nineveh of Christians is not the same as Muslims demanding that their daughters be allowed to wear a head covering (hijab) in Christian schools in Jerusalem. Fear must be overcome as Christians not only address directly the leaders of the diversity of currents of political Islam but also challenge them to reflect on the consequences of their ideologies and visions. In fact, some Islamic currents have begun to reflect on the challenge of denominational diversity and have begun a dialogue with Christians. Fear motivates a perception that all Muslims are partisans of one vision in which Christians have no place, but overcoming fear means seeing the diversity and complexity within the complex world of Islamic resurgence.

    Overcoming fear and isolation

    A first fruit of fear is the tendency to isolation. A visible tendency among Christians in the Middle East is to isolate themselves in their own neighbourhoods, institutions and clubs. After decades of refusing isolationist tendencies in politics, some Christians are now proposing that Christians need their own political parties. More extremist Christians are proposing a Christian identity that no longer includes the Arab component, its language and civilisation. According to this view, Christians are Arameans, Phoenicians, Copts or Chaldeans, but not Arabs.

    Overcoming fear and its offspring, isolation, must take the Christians out of their self- imposed ghettoes in order to discover all those within the larger Arab world that are similarly threatened by monolithic Islamic visions that threaten the very composition of Middle Eastern society. First and foremost, it must be recognised that the first victims of Islamic extremism are Muslims who do not agree with the vision of the extremists. More Muslims than Christians have been murdered by the extremists; more Muslims have fled in fear. Secondly, other minorities, for example Yazidis, Druze and Alawis, are at greater risk than Christians because their religious faith and practice are seen as beyond any acceptable Muslim vision of diversity. Thirdly, the various currents within political Islam are far from united by a singular vision of relations with non-Muslims, and Christians must seek out those within these currents who are willing to engage and dialogue.

    A national dialogue based upon shared visions of society and its future opens up communities to interact. The Holy Land Commission for Justice and Peace proposed in its recent document:

    “Christians and Muslims need to stand together against the new forces of extremism and destruction. All Christians and many Muslims are threatened by these forces that seek to create a society devoid of Christians and where only very few Muslims will be at home. All those who seek dignity, democracy, freedom and prosperity are under attack. We must stand together and speak out in truth and freedom (…) We, alone, can build a common future together. We have to adapt ourselves to our realities, even realities of death, and must learn together how to emerge from persecution and destruction into a new dignified life in our own countries.”

    Christians, in overcoming their fear, reawaken to a sense of solidarity with their compatriots in the broader Arab world. Whereas many are inviting them to abandon their homes and their identity in this time of crisis, church and civil leaders are inviting them to remain faithful to their homeland and national identity, and to be a leaven of hope amidst the tragic dramas of today.

    Fr David M Neuhaus SJ serves as Latin Patriarchal Vicar within the Latin Patriarchate of Jerusalem.  He is responsible for Hebrew-speaking Catholics in Israel as well as the Catholic migrant populations. He teaches Holy Scripture at the Latin Patriarchate Seminary and at the Salesian Theological Institue in Jerusalem and also lectures at Yad Ben Zvi.

    This article has been published in Etudes and La Civilta Cattolica. 

    Part 2 will be posted tomorrow.

     

  • Walter Hamilton. Ships and Boats and Please Explains

    If the main aim of building ships in Australia for the Royal Australian Navy were to keep locals in work, then the South Australian-based Australian Submarine Corporation (ASC) would be a pretty good model. It spent around $400 million on salaries last year, about half its budget. If the aim, however, is to build on time, on budget, and to obtain value for money for Australian taxpayers, ASC would be a terrible model.

    South Australian spruiker Senator Nick Xenophon and others are on the warpath against competition from Japan, ahead of the long-delayed decision on supplying the next generation of submarines for the RAN. Xenophon thinks the government-owned ASC (formerly Australian Submarine Corporation) is the ticket. He claims the ASC-built Collins-class subs are now “very good” at what they do­­––proof that local know-how is perfectly able to meet the Navy’s future requirements.

    Defence Minister David Johnston intemperately (though not unreasonably) claimed last year that ASC couldn’t be trusted to “build a canoe”––and lost his job for saying so.

    Who is right?

    ASC exists to fulfill two major defence contracts: for the 6 Collins-class submarines currently (or at least sometimes) in service and the 3 Air Warfare Destroyers (AWD) now under construction.

    The company’s performance delivering and maintaining the Collins submarines was, until recently, woeful. The final report of the Coles Inquiry into the debacle, issued last year, said there had been “remarkable progress” in several areas, with reduced breakdowns and speedier maintenance. The Navy was pleased to say now that 2, and often 3, of its 6 subs were available to put to sea at any time. If that sounds less than spectacular, consider this: there were times after the Collins-class subs came into service when none was available to defend the country.

    The first subs ASC built were too noisy to avoid detection and so prone to engine failure due, among other things, to “poor design and manufacture”, it was felt in 1999 they would never meet the standard for military operations. Retrofits and redesigns have brought the subs up to scratch, but this laborious process (“ASC is a learning organisation” says the company’s annual report) has taken 27 years of a 35-year life of project, i.e. from contract-signing to when the subs will have to be replaced. The Navy began its search for a replacement submarine several years before the Collins class started delivering on its original promises.

    Now, if ASC is, at it says, a “learning organisation”, given the experience with the Collins project, one might expect it to do a lot better with the more recent AWD project. Unfortunately it has not. The first of the destroyers was due for delivery last December. The deadline came and went unfulfilled. The project is running 3 years late (for the 3rd ship) and hundreds of millions of dollars over budget. In 2013-14 the project crawled from 70% complete to 73% complete. ASC admitted to “significant challenges” in the program. Once again, the government has had to devise a rescue plan for ASC in a bid to prevent another gap opening in the country’s defence capability. This is not the “old story” of the Collins debacle, that defenders of ASC would have us discount; it is the current state of affairs in the biggest naval project Australia has ever undertaken. Who would not wish that things were different, and we were able to sing the praises of an Australian success, but nothing is gained by hoodwinking public opinion with cheap, unsubstantiated claims of a “secret” Abbott-Abe deal to give the next submarine project to Japan.

    I am, of course, not privy to the discussions taking place, though I have written here before about the close interest shown by both Tony Abbott and the now former Defence Minister Johnston in Japan’s submarine capability and, therefore, I have no doubt that Canberra would be well disposed to such a result, if it happened. But this is a far cry from the uninformed, jingoistic claptrap that is overtaking the debate on radio talkback, etc.

    Here are some facts to consider.

    The Defence Department and the RAN began scouting for Australia’s next generation submarine in 2007 and continued the process under the Rudd-Gillard-Rudd governments.

    One of the major lessons the Navy learnt from the selection process used for the Collins contract was that an open tender proved more open to political influence and fudged specifications than to public, or even departmental, scrutiny. The term “open tender” was a misnomer. European consortiums either joined the bidding with designs for “export only” submarines they had never ordered for their own navies or with designs that required significant modifications to meet Australian requirements. This flawed process greatly contributed to the project’s chronic problems.

    Navy and Defence decided that a better approach would be to survey what capabilities existed here and overseas to actually deliver to performance specifications that, on this occasion, would be defined more precisely than they were for the Collins project. They did not want to invest in another unpredictable and costly “learning curve”. Time went by, governments came and went, and by 2014, seven years into the study program, it became apparent that, at this rate, there was a risk the Collins-class subs would be obsolete and unserviceable before a replacement could be delivered––especially if a design were chosen that required major modifications and the fitting out of a completely new manufacturing operation.

    From the beginning, the Japanese were in the periscope sights of the RAN, because of the widely held opinion in international defence circles that their non-nuclear powered submarines are second to none. They are reliable and run almost noiselessly: two key requirements. Back when the Collins project was being tendered, Japan was not in the business of exporting military technology. Once that changed the Japanese automatically became front-runners. It did not take any “secret deal” to bring this about. The Sōryū-class diesel/electric submarine is the model being assessed. A sale to Australia––which could easily involve a major component of local manufacture and maintenance––would undoubtedly be a feather in the cap for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, a proponent of a greater Japanese defence capability, but news reports this week that Japan’s Defence Ministry was thrown into confusion by the Abbott leadership challenge were sheer hyperbole, presumably intended to bolster conspiracy theorists like Xenophon and his ilk.

    It reminds me of the way the Japanese proposal for a Multifunction Polis in the 1980s was exploited by an ignorant commentariat––until the controversy, among other things, derailed the 1990 election campaign of Andrew Peacock (who fell for the “Japanese invasion” rhetoric). If the submarine project is swept up into the maelstrom of Liberal Party politics once more, with the enthusiastic encouragement of Labor and the Greens, etc., a rational decision-making process may prove to be impossible. Better to scrap the whole project if it means building subs that arrive late and incapable to a future conflict.

    Walter Hamilton is the author of “Children of the Occupation: Japan’s Untold Story” and “Serendipity City: Australia, Japan and the Multifunction Polis”.

     

     

     

     

     

     

  • Feathers ruffled in the Department of Immigration nest.

    In the e-magazine, The Mandarin, Stephen Easton has reported that ‘highly experienced bureaucrats have vacated the Department of Immigration and Border Protection since its amalgamation with Customs began last year. … There are signs confidence in the Department is low among Immigration bureaucrats, including some of Australia’s most committed and experienced experts. Deputy secretaries Liz Cosson, Wendy Southern and Mark Cormack have all handed in their resignations. … At least two First Assistant Secretaries have also jumped ship.’ This story can be found by clicking on the link below.

    http://www.themandarin.com.au/21226-feathers-ruffled-hawks-take-immigration-nest/

  • John Menadue. The nonsense about Free Trade Agreements

    In his tormented defence of his government’s performance, Tony Abbott highlighted some of his so-called achievements.  They included the Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) with Japan, ROK and China.

    Most of the work in preparation for these agreements had been done by the Rudd and Gillard Governments, but the Abbott Government was so  politically driven to get some achievements on the board that it eagerly signed up to these three agreements.

    Andrew Robb, the Minister for Trade, described these three agreements as ‘The biggest transformational initiatives in public policy since the floating of the Australian dollar thirty years ago.’  It is hard to beat that for sheer hyperbole. I hope he doesn’t believe it!

    In several blogs over the last year, I have expressed my doubts about these types of trade agreements.

    The 2010 Report of the Productivity Commission said that it had received ‘little evidence from business to indicate that bilateral agreements to date have provided substantial commercial benefits’.  It said that while bilateral trade agreements could ‘reduce trade barriers and help meet other objectives, their potential impact is limited and other options often may be more cost-effective’. It continued that FTAs ‘lack transparency and tend to oversell the likely benefits and that pre-negotiation modelling should include realistic scenarios and be overseen by an independent body’.

    A Senate Report from the Joint Standing Committee on the FTA with Korea, chaired by a Liberal/National Party member in September last year said ‘The World Trade Organisation cautions that, although such agreements can complement the multilateral trading scheme there are a number of concerns.’ The report then elaborated on its serious concerns about trade diversion and confusing country-of-origin rules.

    The most explicit example of a failed FTA is the Australia-US Free Trade Agreement that was negotiated in great haste by the Howard Government to ingratiate itself with the Bush Administration. Shiro Armstrong, the Co-Director of the Australia/Japan Research Centre at the Crawford School of Public Policy at the ANU has pointed to the extremely disappointing results from this agreement with the US.  In the AFR on 9 February this year he said

    ‘The critics were right. Ten years after the Australia-United States Free Trade Agreement came into force, new analysis of the data shows that the agreement diverted trade away from the lowest cost sources. Australia and the United States have reduced their trade by $A68 billion with the rest of the world and are worse off than they would have been without the agreement. When the Howard Government was putting the agreement in place, there were serious concerns about whether it would distort trade and impose costs on the Australian community rather than expand and lower the cost of trade. … Enough time has now passed and there has been enough data … to update the Productivity Commission’s model estimate on the effect of the Australia-US Free Trade Agreement on trade. The agreement was responsible for reducing or diverting $US53.1 billion of trade with the rest of the world by 2012. … Trade agreements that introduce distortions and discriminatory treatment mean that winners and losers are largely determined by preferences and privileges assigned by negotiated treaties. The US agreement carries important lessons for Australia in its future trade and foreign policy strategy. Deals that are struck in haste for primarily political reasons carry risk of substantial economic damage.’

    Despite the rhetoric of the Howard Government, the FTA with the US turned out to be a real dud.  The FTA’s with Japan ROK and China will be better than the dud deal with the US but we should be very careful about the wild claims made today about new FTA’s.

     

  • Greece didn’t fail, but the EU’s debt moralising did.

    It is often said that if you owe the bank $1 million you have a problem.  But if you owe the bank $1 billion, the bank has a problem!  The EU has that sort of problem with Greece. Joseph Stiglitz, in a recent article (see link below) sets out the problems which the EU now faces. This article was originally published in AlterNet.   John Menadue

  • John Attia, John Duggan. Why the government would have us pay more for poorer health.

    The Coalition government has been claiming that Australia’s public health system is unsustainable since the 2014 budget. But its plans for the health system actually reflect the underlying belief that user-pays health systems are better – despite evidence to the contrary.

    Less than a year and a half into the Abbott government’s first term, we’re on our second health minister and the third iteration of some kind of plan to introduce a co-payment for seeing a doctor. Despite widespread and vocal opposition to its plans, the government remains committed to introducing this price signal into the public health system.

    Underpinning this move is the government’s commitment to a user-pays health system. But there’s now a large body of evidence showing such systems not necessarily great for the nation’s health. Here are four common ideas about market-based health systems and why they are not true.

    Myth one: market forces increase efficiency

    The administrative costs of Australia’s public health system are considerably lower than that of the private health insurance sector. So while this cost for Medicare is around 6% per year, the 2012-13 private health insurers’ annual report estimates that 15% to 18% of private health insurance premiums go towards administration.

    Both these figures are similar to those in the United States, the country with the most expensive health-care system in the world. Figures from the OECD estimate that, in 2011, the per capita health cost in the US was US$8,508 (A$10,912) per head or 17.7% of GDP, compared to Australia, where the figure was US$3,800 (A$4,875) per head or 8.9% of GDP.

    But the US figure quoted above is effectively still an underestimate. The premiums for about half the Americans who have health insurance are paid by their employer; they are essentially a business deduction underwritten by the taxpayer.

    The inefficiencies of the market-based system are also apparent when comparing costs for similar conditions. Health insurance industry figures from a 2013 report show the average total reimbursement for a private hospital appendectomy in the United States is A$17,770 (US$13,851), while the cost for the same procedure in Australia is A$5,467.

    Both the former and current Coalition health ministers – Peter Dutton and Sussan Ley – have insisted on introducing a price signal for GP visits. Gary Schafer/Alan Porritt

    Myth two: market forces increase quality

    There’s no lack of evidence showing the market forces operating par excellence in the United States offer inferior health care when compared with public health systems. OECD data comparing mortality rates in member countries between 1980 and 2005, for instance, show only Portugal has had a smaller fall in adult mortality rates than the United States.

    And although it spends the highest proportion of GDP on health internationally, the United States ranks 19th in infant mortality, 43rd in female mortality and 36th for life expectancy.

    This is not to say that US health care cannot be outstanding; it just comes at a price rendering it grossly inequitable. Consider this 2008 study of 121,092 Americans admitted to hospital with bleeding from liver cirrhosis. It found likelihood of death was significantly higher for certain groups.

    By contrast, a 2011 English study of gastric bleeding in 245,438 patients found that, once hospitalised, the risk of bleeding and mortality was independent of social class. So in England, an unemployed street sweeper with gastric bleeding faces a similar risk of death in hospital as a stockbroker. But the stockbroker would have a much better outcome in the United States.

    It’s also important to remember that more care does not necessarily equate to better quality care. The Institute of Medicine recently estimated the excessive annual cost of systemic waste in the US health-care system at US$765 billion. This is almost 30% of total health expenditures.

    Over-servicing is a big problem in private health-care systems, where profits can create a perverse incentive to treat. Indeed, they potentially create a conflict with purely medical reasons for treatment.

    A landmark 1970 analysis (not available online) comparing surgery and surgeons in the United States and in England and Wales showed that the former, with its fee-for-service system, had twice as many surgical procedures as the latter places, both of which have public health systems. A 1973 analysis found a similar doubling of discretionary surgical rates in fee-for-service Canada compared to the United Kingdom.

    Myth three: public health care is unaffordable

    A number of studies indicate that it is actually private health care that’s unaffordable. It’s estimated that almost two million people in the United States declared bankruptcy due to medical bills or conditions in 2013.

    Despite widespread and vocal opposition to its plans, the government remains committed to a price signal for GP visits.NEWZULU/PETER BOYLE

    That makes health care one of the biggest issues affecting bankruptcy in that country. Worse still, the majority of these bankruptcies were expected to affect people in the prime of their working lives, between the ages of 35 and 55.

    Worse still, the problem may be snowballing: a 2009 study found medical reasons for bankruptcies had increased from 46.2% in 2001 to 69.1% in 2007. Most medical debtors were well educated, owned homes and had middle-class occupations, and 75% had health insurance.

    Despite the Coalition government’s warnings to the contrary, health-care costs are not spiralling out of control. According to an Australian Institute of Health and Welfare report on health spending for 2012-13, growth in health expenditure was the lowest since the mid-1980s.

    In fact, the average health expenditure per person fell from A$6,447 in 2011-12 to A$6,430 in 2012-13. This puts Australia’s health spending as a proportion of gross domestic product at 9.4% in 2012, just above the OECD average of 9.2% – and much lower than the cost of the US market-based system.

    Myth four: price signals work

    Indeed, the government’s commitment to price signals is itself rather problematic. Price signals temper consumption by making people consider whether what they are about to buy is worth the cost. This makes them ill-fitted to the health-care sector, which is not an optional commodity subject to the same thinking that influences decisions to buy a television or a pizza.

    The latest evidence about co-payments comes from the introduction of the 2005 Deficit Reduction Act in the United States, which allowed states to introduce emergency department co-payments for non-urgent visits. A very recently published analysis of figures from eight states that charged a co-payment and ten states that didn’t showed no difference in annual number of emergency department admissions, visits, or inpatient days.

    Evidence to date is overwhelmingly against the privatisation of medicine. By pulling together in a public system, citizens get better value and the government gets better outcomes.

    Along with education, health is a basic pillar of a just society. It represents government investment in the country’s social capital – its people. Failing to provide these adequately and equitably will reduce Australia’s productivity, competitiveness and, in the end, the sense of social cohesion that comes from equal access and equal opportunity.

    John Attia is Professor of Medicine and Clinical Epidemiology at University of Newcastle.  John Duggan is Conjoint Professor at University of Newcastle. This article first appeared in The Conversation, 5 February 2015.

  • Rosemary Breen- Living water in Myanmar

     I listened to Rosemary Breen  from  Inverell speak at my local church about the work she is doing in Myanmar to help poor villagers get access to clean water.  She was inspiring and challenging. We all know that polluted water is a cause of dysentery, diarrhoea, infant mortality and early deaths across all age groups. Rosemary Breen decided she would do something about it. 

    If you could help financially you could greatly improve the health of many young people and reduce the death rate. My own parish contributed well over $20 000 in a Christmas appeal. As each tank costs about $US 2 000 that gift will bring clean drinking water to over 10 villages.

    Rosemary Breen gives her time freely and pays for her own travel expenses.

    Can you help?       John Menadue. 

    Rosemary tells her story below.

    I began going to Myanmar in 2004, having been asked by some sisters of an international religious community to research the possibility of their starting a community there.  Eventually this happened and I would return to stay with the sisters in Yangon and help with a teacher-training course.

    About four years ago, I worked with a young woman, Maw Maw, who was trying to get a scholarship to train in early education in the USA.  This didn’t eventuate and she finally got her training in Manila.  On her return, she told me of the great need for clean water in what is known as the Dry Zone in Central Myanmar where she was going to be living and where, eventually she hoped to open a small school .Her teacher was Saya Toe, who became the organiser of the water-tank project which grew out of this tiny seed which Maw Maw had planted in my mind and heart.

    Screen Shot 2014-11-26 at 1.58.46 pm

    I had been involved in a small way in water projects in Africa and felt strongly that clean drinking water was one of our basic rights and I had already financed the building of a water-tank in the southern part of Myanmar after a cyclone had hit that part of the country.  And so it started!

    Various friends donated generously to this project. I spoke at meetings and groups and then received a very generous donation from a Trust in the UK.  So what began as a very modest idea began to grow bigger and bigger and last January I visited the forty villages and schools which now have tanks, some 3000- 5000 gallons, depending on requirements.  The cost of each tank is about $US2000…  When I returned in December 2014, the 74th water-tank was being built, much to the delight of the villagers and the little local school.  A special joy was being accompanied by a young woman who had come to Australia as a refugee with literally nothing in the early 1980s and was sponsored by our local refugee resettlement group.  Her family has already financed four water-tanks and Hieu-Duc is already planning another fund-raiser.  What an asset to Australia and to the world are these refugees that we provide protection for.

    The building of the tanks is quite simple – there is a dedicated team which goes round the villages. This means these men now have a regular income. Guttering is put on the roofs, pipes affixed and the tank is built on site, using metal mesh, bamboo and cement.  When the monsoon rains come, the tanks quickly fill up.  The local people in the villages help by getting the gravel, stones and water.

    Their labour has been estimated at 17% of the cost.

    At my last visit, a number of school principals and village headmen came to ask if they too could have a water tank. There is still great need.  As one headman said simply, “Please help us – we are so thirsty!”  Last season there was less than usual rainfall. Some tanks were empty but for as little as $20, it was possible to hire a driver and bullock-cart to refill the tanks by making numerous journeys to a well.

    One very great need that I discovered is for a second-hand 4WD. The roads are mostly sandy tracks and often the taxis I had hired could not get through. We had to get out and walk or go by bullock-cart which tested my aged bones!

    Saya Toe has organised all this without any remuneration. He visits each village four times, to discuss the proposition and educate the people who will be responsible for the tank’s maintenance. It has been a mammoth task for him.

    Since last May, the project has come under the auspices of the Global Development Group which looks after sending receipts to donors and getting the money to Saya Toe in Myanmar which previously was quite a problem.  Another advantage is that it is now tax-deductible.

    So to date, 74 villages now have clean drinking water, thanks to donors all round Australia, in the USA and recently the UK.  I pass on to you all the gratitude of so many who have seen clean water as a luxury beyond their reach which we just take for granted.  I still get really moved seeing the school children drinking clean water and know it is thanks to so many who have been inspired to help.

     

    (Living Water Myanmar is an approved project (J812N) with Global Development Group – issuing tax deductible receipts for gifts over $2.   Donate at: www.gdg.org.au/GiveToJ812N)

     

     

    Rosemary Breen can be contacted at lrbreen@nsw.chariot.net.au

  • John Menadue. Is the public sick of reform?

    The business sector and the media have each been asking this question. It is not surprising perhaps in view of Tony Abbott’s plummeting approval rating and the election results in Victoria, Queensland and South Australia.

    In the Australian Financial Review on 2 February 2015, Laura Tingle said ‘The biggest national question to flow from Queensland’s historic 2015 election result is not whether the Prime Minister will survive, but whether, after 30 years, voters have had enough of political rhetoric about reform and change and whether both sides of politics back away from ambitious reform as a result.’

    Perhaps election day in Queensland was ‘a disappointing day’ for the Business Council of Australia and the ‘reforms’ its rent seeking constituency would like, more privatisation.

    My contention is that the public will respond to well developed and explained policies for change. But that was not what we are being presented with. What we have been hearing about for many months is a burnt out ideological agenda from the Government and the BCA that markets are always right and that privatisation is the way of the future. Surely privatisation reached its high water mark years ago and it has been ebbing ever since.

    Queenslanders have particularly shown that asset sales are now off the agenda. Even the Liberal National Party in Queensland has now disowned asset sales.  It should have learned a lesson from former Queensland Premier, Anna Bligh, who decided that her Labor Government would sell Queensland Rail. She was defeated after a long period of Labor Governments, but the sale of Queensland Rail really soured the public attitude to her government.

    In all these cases of privatisation, there is a strong public perception that wealthy financial advisers, underwriters and brokers have drained hundreds of millions of dollars in fees at the expense of the public.

    It will be interesting to see what the NSW Premier, Mike Baird now does about his proposal to lease the state-owned transmission company Transgrid and over 50% of distribution businesses Ausgrid and Endeavour Energy for 99 years to the private sector. Recent polling by Reach Tel for Stop the Selloff Campaign reveals that 67% of people in Victoria and 74% of people in SA believe that they were worse off with privatised electricity networks.

    The question will also be asked in the NSW election in eight weeks’ time that with the interest rate at record levels, the most prudent thing to do would be to borrow rather than sell valuable assets to build new infrastructure. The 10 year bond rate is the lowest in living memory at 2.25%. We could lock in a record low interest borrowing for 10 years. With our inflation rate at about the same as the bond rate the real interest rate would be close to zero.

    At the national level Tony Abbott has not put forward well-developed and explained policies. At the last election, he had a lot of one-liners but very little developed thought on policy. Tony Abbott didn’t win the last election with his so-called ‘policies’ he won because of the shambles of the Rudd/Gillard era.

    Tony Abbott’s wrecking ball approach which was so successful in opposition is not working in government. His policies have not been carefully developed and explained. In his National Press Club speech he spent a large amount of time trying to sheet home responsibility to the Rudd and Gillard governments rather than defend his own record and explaining his vision for the future.

    The public is clearly not impressed with policies like asset sales and taxes that benefit big business and the wealthy, but leave the public the loser. That is why Joe Hockey’s budget is in ruins. It was regarded as unfair. No attempt was made to wind back the benefits of the generous superannuation concessions, concessions on the capital gains tax, negative gearing, salary packaging and the very widespread failure of wealthy companies, many of them international, to pay tax – Apple, Google, Glencorp, Westfield, News Corp and Ikea.

    I am confident that the public will respond to well-developed policies that are efficient and fair.

    Tony Abbott has never developed a credible narrative. He has not thought much beyond one-liners. He has done very little in credible reform and the bits and pieces he talks about don’t fit into a coherent story.

    Bill Shorten speaks of 2015 as being the year of ideas.  There’s a lot of policy development to do, but will he go the same way as Tony Abbott and attempt to gain office by default.

    The public is certainly sick of the type of ‘reform’ that we are being offered by the government and its friends in big business. But I am confident that the community, if treated respectfully, will respond to relevant policies that are well developed, tested, fair and properly explained. We have had very little of that in the last 18 months.

     

  • Rod Tiffen. Murdoch blames Credlin

    Does ‘Red Rupe” have any remaining ‘red’ beliefs? Murdoch was called ‘Red Rupe’ by his fellow Oxford students in the early 1950s.  He had a bust of Lenin on his mantle, was a member of the Labour Club and generally espoused the need for radical change.  Many thought that his stance was more posturing than any deep seated set of intellectual commitments.  Later, and especially from the time he went to live in New York in 1974, his beliefs have tended towards the far right – neo-liberal economics and hawkish foreign policies – and there is a solid, indeed simplistic, consistency to them.

    Perhaps the one trace of his youthful radicalism that survives is his republicanism.  Murdoch has always been against the British monarchy.

    This posed problems for one of his closest confidantes in Britain, Woodrow Wyatt, originally a Labour MP, who was knighted and then made a life peer by Thatcher.  Wyatt was a snobbish and bigoted influence peddler, but his three volumes of diaries make fascinating reading.  In a 1988 entry, the Queen’s new press secretary asked Wyatt how can we deal with Rupert Murdoch?  Wyatt said there was little to worry about even though Rupert was against the whole idea of monarchy.  Wyatt dissuaded the official from meeting with Murdoch on the grounds that ‘Rupert likes causing a bit of a commotion’ and to give him the impression you were worried would only make him go stronger.

    The next year at dinner with the Queen Mother, she said to him Rupert’s ‘against us, isn’t he?’  Wyatt said Murdoch liked the queen and queen mother, but it is ‘the others he doesn’t like’, and that is why he runs so many scandals.  Again in 1992, Wyatt was at a dinner with the Royal family, and again he had to assure the Queen Mother that Rupert’s mother was a ‘terrific monarchist’, that Rupert was afraid of her, and so he would ‘never launch direct attacks on the monarchy’.

    So given his anti-monarchical beliefs (and that his mother was no longer alive to inhibit their expression), it is not surprising that he was among the many to express criticism of Abbott conferring an Australian knighthood on Prince Philip.  Murdoch called it ‘a joke and embarrassment’, and added that it was ‘time to scrap all honours everywhere, including UK’.

    This was, I think, Murdoch’s first public criticism of Abbott as Prime Minister, but given that he was repeating what nearly everyone else was saying – an IPSOS poll for Fairfax Media found 74 per cent opposed and only 15 per cent supported the Duke’s knighthood – it failed to create what Wyatt would consider a ‘commotion’.

    Soon after, Murdoch created a very large commotion, however, by sending three tweets, all saying that Abbott had to replace his chief of staff Peta Credlin.  Abbott had to ‘forget fairness’; ‘leadership is about making cruel choices’; firing Credlin was ‘the only way to recover team work’.  If Abbott wouldn’t fire her, Credlin should ‘do her patriotic duty and resign’.  He opined that Credlin was a ‘good person’, and he was appealing to her ‘proven patriotism’.

    Let’s put aside Murdoch’s equating the good of the Abbott Government with patriotism, and instead ponder the curious situation of a media proprietor publicly commenting on the composition of a prime minister’s office.    According to a report by the Australian Financial Review’s Phillip Coorey, Abbott had already replaced his press office director Jane McMillan last December on Murdoch’s recommendation.  Credlin and McMillan had both worked for Howard Government Communications minister, Helen Coonan, in 2006, when she introduced legislation which did not give News Limited what it wanted, according to Crikey’s Bernard Keane.

    Laura Tingle reported that, within the government, ‘there has long been a deep unease about Peta Credlin’s role because she was seen as the centre of an obsessive and inappropriate insistence on control over everything.’

    It is ironic then the public pressure for her to resign followed Abbott’s act of unparalled prime ministerial idiocy in giving the gong to Prince Phillip.  While the main line of criticism has been Credlin’s degree of control, now she was being hounded for lack of control, for failing to protect her boss from himself.

    News Corp columnists, especially Miranda Devine, joined in the hunt, at first arguing that Abbott should show his colleagues he’s changed by sacrificing something very important to him, Credlin.  She also thought Credlin should be replaced by another News Corp columnist, former Coalition staffer, Chris Kenny, who ‘various high-level media and political figures’ had urged should be appointed.  Then in the Sunday Telegraph, Devine gave a long catalogue of Credlin’s ‘Stalinist’ behavior, and how the ‘Credlin Choke’ is strangling the business of government.

    In the short term, such public pressure from Murdoch and others makes it much harder politically for Abbott to dispense with Credlin, whom he and several of his closest colleagues credit with playing a pivotal role in their election victory.  Whatever the immediate consequences, this intermingling of personnel, of private and public comments, is unprecedented.  Where does the Liberal Party end, and News Corp begin?  We have come a long way from the Fourth Estate.

    Rod Tiffen is Emeritus Professor of Political Science in the Department of Government and International Relations at the University of Sydney.

     

     

     

     

  • John Menadue. Stopping the boats and turn-backs at sea

    In the Saturday Paper of January 24 this year, in an article by Mike Seccombe, two refugee advocates were quoted as saying:

    ‘Things like offshore processing and TPVs, mandatory detention – these sorts of measures don’t stop the boats.  It’s turnbacks that stop the boats.  It’s when you start dragging people back to Indonesia. That’s what we saw in 2002-03. That’s what we’ve seen again now.’

    and

    ‘The one thing that stops people is sending them back.  If you look back, the way they stopped the outflow from China in 1994, it was by interdiction. The same from Haiti to the US.  Deterrent measures don’t work. Even Nauru, et cetera, by themselves, are not deterrent enough.’

    The facts tell a very different story as I pointed out in an earlier blog of 8 December 2014 “Tony Abbott did not stop the boats ‘which is reposted below. In short, that blog contended

    • It was the decision of the Rudd Government on 19 July 2013 that in future any persons coming by boat and found to be refugees would not be resettled in Australia. People arriving by boat fell dramatically from 4,145 in July 2014 to 837 in September when the change of government occurred. The number continued to fall thereafter. There are obviously lags following a government announcement but the trend after July 2013 is clear. (This downward trend was also helped by two other actions by the Rudd Government. The first was getting Indonesia to impose a visa requirement on Iranians, thereby denying them a visa transit point to Australian territory. The second was ‘enhanced screening’ of Sri Lankans that resulted in high rejection rates and fast return to Sri Lanka).
    • The effects of Operation Sovereign Borders and turn-backs of boats to Indonesia where minor by comparison. In any event OSB would have been impossible if boats had continued to arrive at 47 per month as they had in July 2013.
    • The game changer was Kevin Rudd and offshore processing and denial of resettlement in Australia and not OSB and turn backs.

    John Howard was similarly successful in stopping the boats. In 1999-2000 there were 75 boat arrivals. It fell in subsequent years to 54, 19, 0 and 3.  It worked in the short term but it was undone by two factors.

    • As the concern about long-term detention of asylum seekers in Nauru grew, the Howard Government relaxed its policy and many of the asylum seekers in Nauru were resettled in New Zealand and Australia. It became clear to people smugglers and asylum seekers that even the horrors of Nauru were acceptable if they knew that after some delay they were likely to be resettled in Australia. Andrew Metcalfe, the Secretary of the Department of Immigration and Citizenship, told the parliament that the Pacific policies of John Howard could not be repeated because asylum seekers knew that at the end of the day they were likely to be resettled in Australia or New Zealand if they were found to be refugees.
    • The Rudd Government abandoned the Pacific policies of the Howard Government and boat arrivals steadily grew. They increased from 3 in 2007-08 to 23, 117, 89, 110 and 403 by 2012-13. Asylum seekers coming by boat were confident that even if intercepted, they would eventually be settled in Australia if they were found to be refugees.

    There is a good deal that refugee advocates can do to advance the cause of asylum seekers and refugees rather than put a gloss on the facts about offshore processing and denial of resettlement in Australia.

    • Advocate a speed-up in the processing of the 30,000 asylum seekers in Australia whose status and future is still to be determined.
    • Increase the humanitarian quota to 25,000 p.a.
    • Abolish mandatory detention that punishes, does not deter and is very expensive.
    • Negotiate orderly departure arrangements with Sri Lanka and Afghanistan.

    Advocacy in these areas is likely to be more productive than continuing an argument which we as refugee advocates have lost. Offshore processing, which the Rudd Government introduced was the game changer. We may not like it but the issue of boat arrivals is really concluded for the foreseeable future. It has been decided by agreement by all the major parties.

    Refugee advocates like me have reluctantly concluded that offshore processing, coupled with denial of any resettlement in Australia did largely stop the boats. That is a fact and claiming that the turn-backs to Indonesia did the job is just not supported by the evidence.

    I concluded some time ago that offshore processing is acceptable provided it is humane, just and efficient – and supported by the UNHCR. None of that is occurring on Manus or Nauru.

     

    Repost:  Tony Abbott did not stop the boats (8 December 2014)

    The data just does not support the never-ending claims by Tony Abbott and Scott Morrison that they stopped the boats. The under-resourced and uncritical media accepts the Coalition’s line.

    I will come to the recent data, but first the evidence is clear that action by the Coalition along with the Greens in the Senate to prevent amendments to the Migration Act greatly assisted people-smugglers and boat arrivals from 2011 onwards.

    The rejection of the arrangement with Malaysia by the High Court started the rot. The High Court decision may have been sound in law, but it had powerful consequences for boat arrivals. The arrangement with Malaysia needed improvement but it did provide guarantees that Malaysia had never provided before. The UNHCR was prepared to actively cooperate. When the High Court rejected the Malaysian arrangement in August 2011, irregular maritime arrivals were running at less than 300 per month. That number increased to 1200 by May 2012, and kept on rising.

    The Labor Government attempted to amend the Migration Act to address the problems identified by the High Court but the Coalition together with the Greens blocked the amending legislation. They bashed Malaysia at every opportunity. The failure of the Malaysian arrangement sent a very clear message to people smugglers that boat arrivals would succeed. Boat arrivals were running at over 4,000 per month in July 2013.

    The action by Tony Abbott and Scott Morrison in association with the Greens triggered this dramatic increase in boat arrivals. Both Tony Abbott and Scott Morrison made it abundantly clear that they did not want to stop the boats with an arrangement such as that with Malaysia. They wanted to stop Labor stopping the boats. Their political intentions were revealed by WikiLeaks that reported that ‘a key Liberal Party strategist told the US embassy in 2009 that the more boats that come the better’. (SMH 10 December 2010). Scott Morrison became Shadow Minister for Immigration and Citizenship in December 2009.

    Action by the Coalition in the Senate triggered a large increase in boat arrivals in 2012 and into 2013.

    But did Tony Abbott and Scott Morrison really stop the boats when they came to power?

    The data shows that the downward trend in boat arrivals occurred from July 2013, two months before the Coalition came to power. See data below.

    2013 Boat people arrivals(excluding crew) Boats
    January 2013 471 10
    February 925 16
    March 2455 37
    April 3396 47
    May 3315 47
    June 2715 41
    July 4145 47
    Aug 1591 25
    September 837 15
    October 339 5
    November 207 5
    December 355 7

    Source: Department of Immigration and Border Protection, and Australian Parliamentary Library.

    What largely stopped the boats, although not completely, was the announcement by Kevin Rudd on the 19th July 2013 that in future any persons coming by boat and found to be a  refugee would not be settled in Australia. We may argue about the wisdom of that policy, but it effectively crippled the business case of the people-smugglers.

    In the data above, there are undoubtedly some leads and lags and seasonal factors, but the data shows that the Rudd announcement of 19 July 2013 dramatically cut the number of boats and people arriving by boat. The major turnaround occurred between July and August, before the Coalition came to power.

    As the Abbott Government was not sworn in until 18 September 2013, its policy on boats would also have had only marginal effect on September arrivals.

    So between July and September, people arriving by boat fell from 4,145 to 837 and the number of boats fell from 47 to 15. The trend largely continued after that time.

    Peter Hughes a former deputy secretary in the Department of Immigration and Citizenship put it this way in an article in the Canberra Times in late 2013. ‘The arrival of 546 asylum seekers in October and November 2013 represents only 14% of the number of arrivals for the corresponding months in 2012. This is a dramatic reduction … The announcement of long-term resettlement of refugees in Papua New Guinea and Nauru by the previous government has likely been decisive in changing the decision to travel to Australia on the part of those asylum seekers who have not yet handed over their money to a smuggler. ‘

    The game-changer was Kevin Rudd’s announcement of 19 July 2013 on no resettlement in Australia for boat arrivals. It is also likely that tighter visa procedures on Indonesia’s part would have helped reduce the number of boat arrivals.  In effect the Rudd Government slammed the door although the boat turn a rounds pushed the final bolt home. In other words, if there was any doubt in the minds of people smugglers and asylum seekers trying to come by boat those doubts were removed.

    The Abbott Government capitalised on a trend which the Rudd Government clearly started in July 2013.

    Tony Abbott and Scott Morrison have wrung every political advantage they could from boat arrivals. But the evidence is clear that they helped accelerate the numbers before they came to power and it was the action of the Rudd Government, before they came to power in September 2013 that put boat arrivals on a downward track

    Operation Sovereign Borders has really been quite marginal and would not have been ‘successful’ without the July 2013 decision. Navy and Customs were able to turn a few boats around. This would have been impossible if boats had continued to arrive at 47 a month as they were in July 2013. OSB has been very high profile and very expensive – and offensive to Indonesia. But OSB has not been the main game.

    The game-changer was Kevin Rudd’s announcement in July 2013.

     

  • Brian Johnstone. The Right to Freedom of Speech

    During his flights to Sri Lanka and the Philippines, Pope Francis spoke of the massacre of the staff of a French magazine Charlie Hebdo and others at a kosher supermarket, which killed 17 persons. The attack was in reprisal for satirical depictions of the prophet Muhammad.

    “One cannot make war [or] kill in the name of one’s own religion, that is, in the name of God,” Francis said. “To kill in the name of God is an aberration.”   But, the Pope added, freedom of speech does not imply total license to insult or offend another’s faith.  “Every religion has its dignity . . . and I cannot make fun of it.”

    Spokespersons of the Orthodox Churches have also protested against the publication of the cartoons satirising religion.  The World Russian People’s Council chaired by Orthodox Patriarch Kirill stated:  “We call on journalists worldwide to observe a moratorium on publishing caricatures offending Muslims, Christians and followers of other faiths.”  The statement continued:  “Calls to reprint them are irresponsible and unjust–a blow to millions of innocent Muslims, and a show of disrespect for an entire civilisation.”

    Some Muslims reacted strongly and even violently to the republishing of the cartoons.   Muslims are reported to have protested in Niger, Sudan, Somalia, Senegal, Mali, Mauritania, Algeria, Jordan, Pakistan and the Russian republic of Chechnya.  In Niger there were reports of three deaths in the capital, Niamey, and another five in the second city, Zinder. The BBC reported that some 45 churches were set on fire or looted, and three dead were found in churches.  About 800 Muslims gathered to protest in Lakemba in New South Wales, Australia; a spokesperson rejected the Western value of freedom of speech. The protest was peaceful.

    Not everyone agreed with Pope Francis. As Christopher Lamb reported in the Tablet, on 19 January 2015, when the British Prime Minister, David Cameron, was asked about Pope Francis’s remarks by the American television channel CBS, said: “I think in a free society, there is a right to cause offence about someone’s religion.”  He went on:

    I’m a Christian – if someone says something offensive about Jesus, I might find that offensive, but in a free society I don’t have a right to, sort of, wreak my vengeance on them. We have to accept that newspapers, magazines, can publish things that are offensive to some, as long as it’s within the law. That is what we should defend.

    The UK Catholic Herald on 19 January 2015 interpreted this as contradicting Pope Francis’s comments.  This is not completely correct; the Pope would agree with Cameron on some points, but would disagree on others.

    Cameron said it was wrong to take revenge if someone insulted your faith.  Pope Francis would agree that vengeance in such a case is morally wrong and that the one who is offended does not have a moral right to take such vengeance.  He would also accept that in some countries there is a legal right to cause offence to someone by criticising that person’s religion, in the sense that it is not prohibited by the civil law.  The Pope did not require that that there should be a law prohibiting offensive speech against some people’s religious beliefs.

    There are three issues that emerge from these reports.

    Religion as solely private?

    The first is the meaning of religion itself.  In a modern secular society a typical view of religion might be as follows.  Religion may be a good thing, but it is a purely private matter.  Religious people may form communities such as Churches, but this is a free, personal decision.  Religious faith is a personal matter and it consists of individual convictions that are the expression of religious sentiments; there is no such thing as a ‘Christian culture’ except in the most general sense. The state exists basically to enable individuals to follow their personal projects and to protect them from intrusions from others that might hinder them from this pursuit.

    A right is essentially a claim to be able to act or to speak to express one’s convictions provided one does not harm anyone else.   Because religion is considered to be largely a matter of private sentiment, people generally find it difficult to appreciate that actions and speech that offend the religion of another can cause serious harm to that person.  It is moreover presumed that democracy requires freedom of speech.  Thus, whatever harm may be caused to someone by offensive speech will be outweighed by the benefit of maintaining freedom of speech for the sake of democracy.

    For various reasons, however, society may decide to set limits to the exercise of this freedom, for example by prohibiting “hate speech.”  But where there is no law against it an individual must be presumed to be free to offend others.  Since there are no generally agreed ethical norms governing such speech, one who desires to speak offensively does not need to justify his speech by providing ethical arguments, apart from a general appeal to his ‘democratic rights.’

    For the three groups that have been mentioned, the Catholic Church as represented by Pope Francis, the Orthodox Churches as represented by Patriarch Kirill and Muslim communities in general, religion is not merely an individual matter; it requires community and exists in specific communities.   Further, religious faith is not merely a matter of individual sentiment; it is a deeply personal commitment that expressed a person’s reason for living and constitutes that person’s identity.   An offence to a person’s religion is considered to be an offence to the person himself or herself.

    Religion and the state

    This second issue is the relation between religion and the state and in particular to the law of the state.  There are complex differences between the ways these three groups, Catholic Christians, Orthodox Christian and Muslims, relate to the state.  The Catholic Church has come to recognise a separation between the two; the Orthodox Churches would appear to favor a closer form of positive collaboration; the Muslim religion in principle requires the laws of the state to embody religious teaching. Such laws are called Sharia law.

    However, it does not follow that the members of such groups would require that their religion and its beliefs and practices should be protected by the law of the country in which they reside. In Australia where there are at present over two hundred different religious traditions represented, such a law would not be practically viable. This was the view of the judge in a case brought by the then Archbishop of Melbourne, George Pell in 1998. The case concerned the exhibiting of a photograph of Christ entitled “Piss Christ” that the Archbishop claimed was “blasphemous libel.”

    Justice Harper, while he acknowledged that the image was indeed offensive to Christians, found that there was no legal basis for the court to ban it. “A plural society such as contemporary Australia operates best where the law need not bother with blasphemous libel,” said the judge.

    Ethical aspects

    The third issue is that of ethics.  Cameron would seem to presume that, if there is no law against offending the religion of members of a society, such offences are justified.  However, an act may be legally permitted and nevertheless be ethically wrong.  A person who exhibits an image or makes a statement that offends the religion of others is not justified in doing so merely because he wants to express himself.  Nor may he claim a right to the freedom to do so on this basis. Such a right to freedom must be socially justified.

    The justification of the right to freedom of speech is that it is required to enable the relatively powerless to challenge the abuse of power by the more powerful.  For example, when a government official abuses his power to grant favours to his friends, a reporter may claim the right to freedom of speech to investigate and publish the facts of the case.

    But it could happen that a journalist or publisher who has significant power abuses the right to freedom of speech by attacking another who is relatively weak since he or she has fewer financial or political resources.   The effect of such an attack could be the destruction of the other’s reputation and the reduction of the capacity of that other to function effectively in society.  I would argue that this was the case when the journalist Andrew Bolt accused several persons who are light-skinned of claiming Aboriginal identity for motives of personal gain.

    The Australian Racial Discrimination Act (1975) was later amended to include a new Section 18C which prohibits: “Offensive behaviour because of race, colour or national or ethnic origin”.  The Act states:  (1) “It is unlawful for a person to do an act, otherwise than in private, if:  (a) the act is reasonably likely, in all the circumstances, to offend, insult, humiliate or intimidate another person or a group of people; and (b) the act is done because of the race, colour or national or ethnic origin of the other person or of some or all of the people in the group.”

    It is noteworthy that the act prohibits offending, but does not include religion as one of the factors that could be the basis of the offence.  The alternative later proposed by the federal attorney general Brandis stated the following:  “3. Whether an act is reasonably likely to have the effect specified in sub-section (1)(a) is to be determined by the standards of an ordinary reasonable member of the Australian community, not by the standards of any particular group within the Australian community.”

    This means that the judgment as to whether the act is offending or not is to be made not, for example, by the Aboriginal person who experiences the offence, or by the Aboriginal community, but by the “ordinary reasonable member of the Australian community.”

    This is a clear example of imposing the judgment of the more powerful group on the relatively less powerful which is a criterion for an abuse of the right of freedom of speech.  It means that the judgment as to whether the person who experiences offence is really offended is to be made not necessarily by those who might be offended, but by any member of the community.  This criterion is discriminatory; it could include those who may well be engaged in doing the offending.

    What is to be said of the use of violence in response to an offence against religion?   It is clear that Pope Francis would not justify such violence.  The connection between religion and violence was explained some years ago by René Girard, who argued that the strong commitments and even passions that are connected to religion must be channeled in a relationship with transcendence, for example with a transcendent God. When that connection is lost or abandoned the intensity characteristic of religion can be attached to a culture, a way of life, a political system or a race.

    These become invested with absolute importance and violence can readily be justified in their defence; there are incontrovertible examples of this in the history of Christianity, as in the violent suppression of heresy, the wars of religion and the persecution of the Jews.  The history of Islam includes comparable instances.

    The key word is one invoked by Pope Francis, ‘dignity.’  Dignity implies a two-way relationship: it is impossible to preserve one’s own dignity while undermining the dignity of another.  I cannot ask another to recognise my dignity, when I am refusing to recognise the dignity of that other.  This is what one does when one offends another by mocking what he holds most dear: his religion.

     

  • War on terror leads to unusual friendships.

    Paul McGeough in the SMH of January 31 draws attention to our dubious links to Middle East countries that have appalling human rights records. Our Governor General, Sir Peter Cosgrove, having given advice to Prime Minister Abbott on a knighthood on Prince Philip decided that he need  not be in Australia for Australia Day, but went off to the funeral of the late King of Saudi Arabia. What a strange order of priorities! See link below.

    http://www.smh.com.au/world/war-on-terror-leads-to-unusual-friendships-20150128-12xntq.html

  • John Menadue. Tony Abbott at the National Press Club

    In his speech today, Tony Abbott recycled many of his one-liners that we heard at the last election. Let’s examine several of them.

    First, he said that his government was a low-taxing government and that it would reduce the budget deficit by reducing spending, rather than increasing taxes. But the most recent mid-year economic forecast shows that tax receipts are increasing substantially as a result of allowing budget creep as people move into higher income tax brackets. Government receipts/taxation are projected to increase by 2% from 22.8% of GDP in 2012-13 to 24.8% in 2017-18. Further the coalition said it would reduce debt. At the end of 2013 actual net debt was $178 b. The Department of Finance tell us that at the end of 2014  the net debt was $239 b, an increase of $61 b or 35%

    Tony Abbott said that he would stop the boats. But despite being told about the success of this ‘signature policy’ and the uncritical response of the media, the facts are that Tony Abbott did not stop the boats. What started the reduction in boat arrivals  was the announcement by Kevin Rudd on 19 July 2013, two months before the last election, that any new boat arrivals would be processed offshore and if found to be refugees, would not be settled in Australia. That was the real game changer, not Operation Sovereign Borders and the turn backs of a few boats to Indonesia.The number of people arriving by boat in July 2013 was 4,145. It fell substantially to 837 by the time the Abbott Government took power. The downward trend began in July 2013, two months before Tony Abbott came to power.

    As part of a dishonest and exaggerated scare campaign, Tony Abbott said that he would abolish the carbon tax. He did. But now without a carbon tax or an emissions trading scheme, we have no credible policy in place to address the growing threat of climate change. If Malcolm Turnbull comes back as leader an emissions trading scheme will be quickly back on the agenda.

    Tony Abbott said that he would abolish the mining tax. And he did – and Australia is much worse off as a result. Giant international mining companies like Glencore are paying very little company tax at all. Is that good economic management and is it fair?

    In his press club speech, Tony Abbott said that his government was on track in the building of roads. But many of the roads he claims to be building are really recycled projects from the previous government which Anthony Albanese had announced. In any event, we don’t need more roads for the reasons I have written about in this blog. We need to invest in new public urban rail systems.

    In his press club address, Tony Abbott complained about the Senate. Certainly the Senate has refused to pass some key government budget items, but that has been because the Senate came to the view, which I generally agree with, that many of the government’s budget proposals were unfair. Furthermore, Tony Abbott now prefers that we forget that at the last election he said that he would not hesitate to take the parliament to a double-dissolution if it was necessary to tame the Senate and the ALP. We have heard nothing more about this threat if the senate continues to misbehave. The media has completely forgotten this threat or was it a promise.

    One liners may be effective in opposition and at election time but they don’t usually make for good policy.

  • John Menadue. Freedom of speech and Charlie Hebdo


    The attacks on journalists and others at Charlie Hebdo have quite rightly attracted a great deal of attention.  But Charlie Hebdo can be outrageously provocative. See below this ‘Merry Christmas’ greeting which Charlie Hebdo published in its last edition of 2014.

    It says:

    Shit in the creches
    Finish off the handicapped
    Shoot all military personnel
    Strangle the priests
    Make mincemeat of the cops
    Burn down the banks.

    hebdo
    I say no more!   John Menadue

  • John Menadue – 30th anniversary of Medicare

    John Menadue – 30th anniversary of Medicare

    This article was initially posted on 1st February last year, the 30th anniversary of Medicare. (more…)

  • John Menadue. Health Part 2 – what can we learn from overseas health services?

    Part 2 in this series was originally posted in August last year.

    In my blog of 6th October on what we can learn from overseas health systems, I drew attention and warned against government subsidised private health insurance. Any growth in this industry spells trouble for a good health service.

    Another thing that we could learn from overseas experience is that our fee for service (FFS) for GP consultation results in higher costs and inferior treatment. There are many disadvantages in FFS.

    • It drives up costs
    • It encourages ‘turnstile medicine’ whereby the GP earns more money the more patients he or she treats. It is sometimes called ‘ten minute medicine’. Follow up appointments are encouraged.
    • FFS leads to overprovision of care through over servicing. In Australia for example we see our doctor much more than patients in the UK or NZ where FFS is not practised at all or is being wound back.
    • For many patients with chronic or multiple health problems, FFS is inappropriate.
    • FFS is paid to the general practitioner in such a way that it discourages ‘team medicine’ and the use of other health professionals, particularly practice nurses, nurse practitioners and many other allied health persons, such as dieticians and physiotherapists.

    Many countries have moved away from FFS in favour of paying GPs, at least in part, on a capitation basis. Patients are enrolled in a practice and the GP is paid for ‘looking after them’. FFS may be appropriate for occasional care but it is not appropriate for long-term care of chronic patients.

    Capitation arrangements are widespread in NZ particularly for those with chronic healthcare problems. For 100 years capitation has been the principal means of paying GPs in the UK. In ‘managed care’ in the US capitation is widely used.

    A capitation scheme in Australia could not be introduced overnight but we need to scale back FFS to improve the quality of care and to discourage over-servicing and over prescribing. FFS is a perverse incentive. It rewards doctors when patients are sick. Doctors should be paid to keep people healthy.

    Another matter that we could learn from overseas is that we must find ways to overcome the split between commonwealth and state responsibilities in health. Broadly, the commonwealth funds general practice in the community and the states run public hospitals.

    This division of responsibility between hospital and non-hospital care is a major barrier to integrated and effective health care. Successful countries in health care, again like the Nordics and the UK, don’t have this split responsibility. They all have unitary systems with delegated health delivered  to local levels within a defined national policy.

    A major objective of any health service should be to keep people out of hospital. Hospital care is intrinsically more expensive and much more traumatic for patients. In his blog on August 20      Professor John Dwyer pointed out that if we had had a more effective integration of hospital and non-hospital care, we could have avoided 600,000 hospital admissions if there had been appropriate general practice care in the three weeks before hospital admission. That would be a very large saving.

    A good health service must have a strong grounding in primary care and general practice. This is one reason why the UK system is so good. In the UK they understand better than we do that hospitals should be the last and not the first resort.  Unfortunately government ministers put priority into iconic hospitals rather than primary care. We spent for too much in hospitals and not enough in primary care

    Primary and GP care provides the cheapest and best quality care and it can keep hundreds and thousands of people out of hospital. And when we have a good linkage between hospital and non hospital care, patients discharged from hospital can be effectively supported again by their local doctor.

    But because of our federal system the integration of hospital and non-hospital care is difficult. In my blog of June 3, 2014 I outlined a way to address this issue through a single funder in each state. This is fundamentally a political problem which causes difficulties in the health sector. Unfortunately commonwealth and state health ministers and their health bureaucracies seem more concerned about health territory rather than a health system that best serves our needs. The ‘blame game’  in health is unresolved.

     

  • Europe and the Greek elections.

    The Greeks have been suffering for decades at the hands of a political and business oligarchy. Corruption and massive tax avoidance have been commonplace. It is not surprising that the Greek people rejected the mainstream parties and have thumbed their noses at the the EU, the European Central Bank and the IMF. Europe looks to be headed into new territory. Leonid Bershidsky on ‘Bloomberg View’ has an interesting take on ‘Syriza, Le Pen and the Power of Big Ideas’.  John Menadue.

    http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-01-26/syriza-le-pen-and-the-power-of-big-ideas

  • John Menadue. Health Part 1 – what can we learn from overseas health systems?

    This article was initially posted in June last year.

    There has recently been quite a number of articles, including in The Conversation, about what we can learn from overseas health systems.

    Before looking at these international comparisons, it is worth reminding ourselves that we do have a pretty good health service in Australia. It is not as good as it should be, but Medicare has stood the test of time since 1974. It costs less than the average of all OECD countries, as a percentage of GDP. Nevertheless there are some things that we can learn from overseas experience that should guide us.

    In my view the most important thing we can learn from overseas experience is to be extremely wary of corporate welfare to the private health insurance industry. If it is allowed to grow in Australia through government subsidies it will represent a major challenge to an efficient and universal system of health care. The taxpayer subsidy to the private health insurance industry in Australia is about $5b billion per annum. That subsidy is about three times the annual subsidy which we used to pay to our automobile industry. Private health insurance is an expensive financial intermediary that does not deliver any health services.

    The evidence around the world is clear that private health insurance is both extremely costly and very unfair. At one end of the spectrum is the US which has one of the worst health systems in the world in terms of equity and value for money. It is horrendously expensive. That is due largely to the fact that the funding of so much of health care in the US depends on private health insurance.

    Americans pay about 8% of their GDP in private health insurance premiums. These premiums are really private taxes. If these premiums could be transferred to the federal government, the US would have a better health service through a single funder and it would also eliminate in one swoop the US federal deficit. See my joint blog with Ian McAuley of December 26, 2013.  The scale of these private health premiums in the US gives some idea of the cost and the political power that private health insurance brings to bear. Experience in the US shows that a multitude of private health insurers cannot control costs and they weaken the power of the public funder to do so as well.  President Obama may have expanded coverage of health care but reliance on private health insurance instead of a strong public payer, or price control, means that he will not be able to control costs.

    At the other extreme in private health insurance is the UK and the Nordics who all have strong public funders and health service and with little or no reliance on private health insurance. The result is that these countries have amongst the best health services in the world.

    The growth of private health insurance in Australia is the greatest risk we face in health… This threat should not be underestimated. The $5 billion p.a. subsidy should be abolished and transferred to a Medicare Dental scheme. This would shore up Medicare as a strong public funder for the future and expand the coverage of Medicare.

    But the signs are that the Coalition Government wants to go in the opposite direction and extend private health insurance. We know from experience in this country that the administrative cost of private health insurance are three times higher than Medicare, that private health insurance favours the wealth and , that private health insurance particularly through gap insurance  makes it more difficult for Medicare to control costs because of such policies as gap insurance. Furthermore private health insurance has not taken pressure off private hospitals.

    Private health insurance enables the wealthy to jump the hospital queue ahead of other people. The private health insurance industry is now trialling in Queensland, and is lobbying to extend its role into general practice. An inevitable outcome of that would be that privately insured patients would be able to jump the queue in seeing their general practitioner.  But there is more from these destructive private health insurers. Despite the denial by the CEO of Medibank Pte, George Savvides, the AMA insists that Savvides told an AMA dinner in March this year that he would like to see private health insurance policy holders receiving priority in admission and treatment in emergency departments of public hospitals.

    International warnings are clear. Private health insurance is a real threat to an efficient and equitable health service. Maintaining Medicare as a single funder of health services in a critical issue.

    Whether health services are delivered by the private sector or the public sector is a secondary issue. For example in Australia at the moment private medical services are overwhelmingly delivered by private doctors even though Medicare is a public funder. Health services should be delivered by people and organisations that can ensure quality and best value for money. But a single public funder is essential in my view.

    The private health insurance lobby in Australia is unremitting. It never convincingly argues its case. It relies heavily on secret lobbying. Before the 2007 election the industry made a secret deal with Kevin Rudd that a Labor Government would maintain the government subsidy for private health insurance.

    If people want to waste their money on private health insurance that is their choice. But it is extremely bad public policy for taxpayers to subsidise this pernicious industry. Warren Buffet described private health insurance as the tapeworm in the American health service.

    It is the same problem in Australia and we must resist any growth in taxpayer subsidised private health insurance that would take us closer to an American style disaster.  The corporate privileges for the inefficient and dangerous private health insurance sector must be rolled back.

    That is the most important lesson to learn from looking at overseas health services.

  • US Government unveils goal to move Medicare away from fee-for-service.

    On 27/28 and 29 January 2015 I posted three articles on Health Policy Reform. One issue I discussed was the major problem of fee-for-service (FFS) as a means of remunerating doctors. Such a scheme remunerates quantity rather than quality of service.

    On 26 January, the US Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary, Sylvia M. Burwell, outlined a major change in the way that doctors and hospitals will be remunerated in future. She said ‘HHS has set a goal of tying 30% of traditional, or fee-for-service, Medicare payments to quality or value through alternate payment models.  … Today’s announcement would continue the shift towards paying providers for what works, whether it is something as complex as preventing or treating disease, or something as straight-forward as making sure a patient has time to ask questions’.

    See statement by Sylvia M. Burwell below. Australia is increasingly out of touch as we cling to fee-for-service style payments. We are lagging behind most developed countries with FFS and even the US which has the most expensive and inefficient health services in the world.

    Better, Smarter, Healthier: In historic announcement, HHS sets clear goals and timeline for shifting Medicare reimbursements from volume to value

    In a meeting with nearly two dozen leaders representing consumers, insurers, providers, and business leaders, Health and Human Services Secretary Sylvia M. Burwell today announced measurable goals and a timeline to move the Medicare program, and the health care system at large, toward paying providers based on the quality, rather than the quantity of care they give patients.

    HHS has set a goal of tying 30 percent of traditional, or fee-for-service, Medicare payments to quality or value through alternative payment models, such as Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) or bundled payment arrangements by the end of 2016, and tying 50 percent of payments to these models by the end of 2018.  HHS also set a goal of tying 85 percent of all traditional Medicare payments to quality or value by 2016 and 90 percent by 2018 through programs such as the Hospital Value Based Purchasing and the Hospital Readmissions Reduction Programs.  This is the first time in the history of the Medicare program that HHS has set explicit goals for alternative payment models and value-based payments.

    To make these goals scalable beyond Medicare, Secretary Burwell also announced the creation of a Health Care Payment Learning and Action Network.  Through the Learning and Action Network, HHS will work with private payers, employers, consumers, providers, states and state Medicaid programs, and other partners to expand alternative payment models into their programs.  HHS will intensify its work with states and private payers to support adoption of alternative payments models through their own aligned work, sometimes even exceeding the goals set for Medicare.  The Network will hold its first meeting in March 2015, and more details will be announced in the near future.

    “Whether you are a patient, a provider, a business, a health plan, or a taxpayer, it is in our common interest to build a health care system that delivers better care, spends health care dollars more wisely and results in healthier people.  Today’s announcement is about improving the quality of care we receive when we are sick, while at the same time spending our health care dollars more wisely,” Secretary Burwell said. “We believe these goals can drive transformative change, help us manage and track progress, and create accountability for measurable improvement.”

    “We’re all partners in this effort focused on a shared goal. Ultimately, this is about improving the health of each person by making the best use of our resources for patient good. We’re on board, and we’re committed to changing how we pay for and deliver care to achieve better health,” Douglas E. Henley, M.D., executive vice president and chief executive officer of the American Academy of Family Physicians said.

    “Advancing a patient-centered health system requires a fundamental transformation in how we pay for and deliver care. Today’s announcement by Secretary Burwell is a major step forward in achieving that goal,” AHIP President and CEO Karen Ignagni said. “Health plans have been on the forefront of implementing payment reforms in Medicare Advantage, Medicaid Managed Care, and in the commercial marketplace. We are excited to bring these experiences and innovations to this new collaboration.”

    “Employers are increasingly taking steps to support the transition from payment based on volume to models of delivery and payment that promote value,” said Janet Marchibroda, Health Innovation Director and Executive Director of the CEO Council on Health and Innovation at the Bipartisan Policy Center. “There is considerable bipartisan support for moving away from fee for service toward alternative payment models that reward value, improve outcomes, and reduce costs. This transition requires action not only by the private sector, but also the public sector, which is why today’s announcement is significant.”

    “Today’s announcement will be remembered as a pivotal and transformative moment in making our health care system more patient- and family-centered,” said Debra L. Ness, president of the National Partnership for Women & Families. “This kind of payment reform will drive fundamental changes in how care is delivered, making the health care system more responsive to those it serves and improving care coordination and communication among patients, families and providers. It will give patients and families the information, tools and supports they need to make better decisions, use their health care dollars wisely, and improve health outcomes.”

    The Affordable Care Act created a number of new payment models that move the needle even further toward rewarding quality.  These models include ACOs, primary care medical homes, and new models of bundling payments for episodes of care.  In these alternative payment models, health care providers are accountable for the quality and cost of the care they deliver to patients. Providers have a financial incentive to coordinate care for their patients – who are therefore less likely to have duplicative or unnecessary x-rays, screenings and tests.  An ACO, for example, is a group of doctors, hospitals and health care providers that work together to provide higher-quality coordinated care to their patients, while helping to slow health care cost growth. In addition, through the widespread use of health information technology, the health care data needed to track these efforts is now available.

    Many health care providers today receive a payment for each individual service, such as a physician visit, surgery, or blood test, and it does not matter whether these services help – or harm – the patient. In other words, providers are paid based on the volume of care, rather than the value of care provided to patients. Today’s announcement would continue the shift toward paying providers for what works – whether it is something as complex as preventing or treating disease, or something as straightforward as making sure a patient has time to ask questions.

    In 2011, Medicare made almost no payments to providers through alternative payment models, but today such payments represent approximately 20 percent of Medicare payments. The goals announced today represent a 50 percent increase by 2016. To put this in perspective, in 2014, Medicare fee-for-service payments were $362 billion.

    HHS has already seen promising results on cost savings with alternative payment models, with combined total program savings of $417 million to Medicare due to existing ACO programs – HHS expects these models to continue the unprecedented slowdown in health care spending.  Moreover, initiatives like the Partnership for Patients, ACOs, Quality Improvement Organizations, and others have helped reduce hospital readmissions in Medicare by nearly eight percent– translating into 150,000 fewer readmissions between January 2012 and December 2013 – and quality improvements have resulted in saving 50,000 lives and $12 billion in health spending from 2010 to 2013, according to preliminary estimates.

    To read a new Perspectives piece in the New England Journal of Medicine from Secretary Burwell:http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp1500445

    To read more about why this matters: http://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Fact-sheets/2015-Fact-sheets-items/2015-01-26-2.html

    To read a fact sheet about the goals and Learning and Action Network:http://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Fact-sheets/2015-Fact-sheets-items/2015-01-26-3.html

    To learn more about Better Care, Smarter Spending, and Healthier People:http://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Fact-sheets/2015-Fact-sheets-items/2015-01-26.html

    Participants in today’s meeting include:

    • Kevin Cammarata, Executive Director, Benefits, Verizon
    • Christine Cassel, President and Chief Executive Officer, National Quality Forum
    • Tony Clapsis, Vice President, Caesars Entertainment Corporation
    • Jack Cochran, Executive Director, The Permanente Federation
    • Justine Handelman, Vice President Legislative and Regulatory Policy, Blue Cross Blue Shield Association
    • Pamela French, Vice President, Compensation and Benefits, The Boeing Company
    • Richard J. Gilfillan, President and CEO, Trinity Health
    • Douglas E. Henley, Executive Vice President and Chief Executive Officer, American Academy of Family Physicians
    • Karen Ignagni, President and Chief Executive Officer, America’s Health Insurance Plans
    • Jo Ann Jenkins, Chief Executive Officer, AARP
    • Mary  Langowski, Executive Vice President for Strategy, Policy, & Market Development, CVS Health
    • Stephen J. LeBlanc, Executive Vice President, Strategy and Network Relations, Dartmouth-Hitchcock
    • Janet M. Marchibroda, Executive Director, CEO Council on Health and Innovation, Bipartisan Policy Center
    • Patricia A. Maryland, President, Healthcare Operations and Chief Operating Officer, Ascension Health
    • Richard Migliori, Executive Vice President, Medical Affairs and Chief Medical Officer, UnitedHealth Group
    • Elizabeth Mitchell, President and Chief Executive Officer, Network for Regional Healthcare Improvement
    • Debra L. Ness, President, National Partnership for Women & Families
    • Samuel R. Nussbaum, Executive Vice President, Clinical Health Policy and Chief Medical Officer, Anthem, Inc.
    • Stephen Ondra, Senior Vice President and Chief Medical Officer, Health Care Service Corporation
    • Andrew D. Racine, Senior Vice President and Chief Medical Officer, Montefiore Medical Center
    • Jaewon Ryu, Segment Vice President and President of Integrated Care Delivery, Humana Inc.
    • Fran S. Soistman, Executive Vice President, Government Services, Aetna Inc.
    • Maureen Swick, Representative, American Hospital Association
    • Robert M. Wah, President, American Medical Association
  • John Menadue. Murdoch, Abbott and Credlin

    In August 2013 I wrote about Rupert Murdoch’s abuse of power and his intense fascination with party politics. That blog is reproduced below.

    Rupert Murdoch is a frustrated politician. He loves the political game. Usually he works indirectly through ultra-loyal and uncritical editors and journalists. But new technology, particularly twitter, allows him to indulge his love of political intrigue more personally. The family must hope that sometime soon he will call it a day, but I think Murdoch will persevere to the end.

    I can’t recall such a blatant abuse of power as Murdoch’s call on Tony Abbott to sack Peta Credlin. ‘If [Abbott] won’t replace Peta Credlin she must do her patriotic duty and resign’. Murdoch should admit that his unprofessional and biased support of Tony Abbott at the last election was misplaced. But rather than directly state the view he clearly holds about Tony Abbott, he blames a staffer and a woman. What a gallant performance by Murdoch.

    This personal attack on Tony Abbott via his chief of staff is even more bizarre than the appointment of Prince Phillip as an Australian knight. Tony Abbott described the social media reaction to Sir Phillip’s appointment as ‘electronic graffiti’. He may think the same now about Murdoch’s social media effort.

    Murdoch wants to micro manage Tony Abbott’s office but failed in managing scores of telephone hackers in the London Sun and News of the World!

    Every politician that Murdoch supports pays a price in the end. Tony Abbott is now paying that price and his attempts to oblige Murdoch particularly with his attacks on the ABC, count for very little once Murdoch has determined that a political change is necessary.

    Perhaps Julie Bishop gave Murdoch an insightful briefing when she called on him when she called on him a few days ago in New York.

    Hopefully this latest bizarre twitter effort by Murodch will bring home to him and his family how much he has overplayed his hand. How much more will his loyalist staffers be prepared to accept?

    I have no doubt that Murdoch’s intervention will produce a quite contrary effect to what he intends. If Tony Abbott gave way to Murdoch’s demands and sacked Peta Credlin, he would make himself look quite absurd.

    Rupert Murdoch’s abuse of power (First published 7 August 2013)

    Controlling 70% of Australia’s metropolitan newspapers, one would hope that Murdoch would exercise some responsibility in the use of that power. But none of that responsibility for Rupert Murdoch!

    The Australian is the ‘intellectual’ leader of the mad-hatter’s tea party in Murdoch’s Australian media. No matter how badly the government is performing, The Australian can always make it worse. Then the Murdoch tabloids follow.

    I worked for Rupert Murdoch for seven years 1967-74 as the General Manager of his Sydney newspaper operations. Looking back on those years, what strikes me most is his convenient memory about important events. The Murdoch media played an important role in backing Whitlam in 1972. Murdoch wanted a favour in return. He raised with me his possible appointment as the Australian High Commissioner to London. He said he would put his newspapers and television interests in a trust so that there would not be a conflict of interest. He also told me that he believed that he could influence other Australian media proprietors in order to avoid flak for the new government. I put Murdoch’s request to Gough Whitlam. In  rather colourful language he said ‘no way!’.  Rupert Murdoch denies that he sought the London job. I stand by my account. (For more background see ‘Things you learn along the way’ on my website at page 113.)

    I had lunch with Rupert Murdoch in Canberra four days before the Whitlam dismissal on November 11, 1975.  He told me that he was quite certain that there would be an election before Christmas and an election specifically for the House of Representatives. I pointed out that the half-Senate election was the only possibility. He rejected my view and said that he would be staying in Australia for the election. To reassure me, as I was then the Secretary of Prime Minister and Cabinet, he said that I had no need to worry as I would be appointed in the event of a Liberal victory as the Ambassador to Japan. Malcolm Fraser had obviously told him. About 18 months later I was in Japan as Rupert had predicted. Once again, Rupert denies my account but I stand by it. (See page 157)

    What drives Murdoch is that he is really a frustrated politician. He wants to play the political game. He can’t help himself. He is a political addict. He loves the exercise of power.  He once discussed with me that he might seek to become a member of the Australian parliament. He was close to Jack McEwen who was the leader of the Country Party. I assumed he would seek Country Party pre-selection for the seat of Hume within which his country residence of Cavan near Yass was situated.

    What impertinence it is for the Murdoch media which abuses its power everywhere and hacked telephone conversations up and down the UK to tell the Australian voters in such an aggressive way how they should vote. He leads an organisation without a moral compass.

    Rupert Murdoch is not even an Australian citizen. For business advantage in the US, he gave up his Australian citizenship long ago. What role should a grumpy 80 year old American Republican billionaire play in Australian politics today?

    In the 1975 election, journalists on the Australian went on strike  over Murdoch’s election bias. I wonder if any of his courtiers now, whether executives or journalists, will make a stand for editorial independence and integrity.

  • John Menadue. Health Policy Reform: Part 3 – Principles for reform

    In Part 1 of this series I described the areas in our health sector that need reform. In Part 2 I spoke of the obstacles, particularly those imposed by vested interests in the health sector to protect their own interests by delaying or stopping reform. In this article, I will be suggesting ways in which we can overcome these obstacles to health reform. But make no mistake: it will be hard without political leadership and political will.

     

    Don’t rush the process

    The political process encourages parties seeking election or re-election to address problems with high political salience – waiting lists in public hospitals, needs among certain groups with chronic illness, and identified funding gaps. The political response is to develop specific proposals, usually involving carefully-calculated calculations of budgetary costs.

    Such a process, while providing short-term solutions to proximate problems, fails to address the structural problems identified in Part 1 – the fragmented nature of our health care arrangements, inequities, gaps in services, such as dental care, the allocation of resources towards high-cost hospital interventions at the expense of promotion, prevention and primary care, and the distortions associated with private health insurance.

    It also privileges those vested interests outlined in Part 2, who can mobilize resources to block all but the most minor reforms.

    Those pursuing reform need to go over the heads of the vested interests and find out what the community really wants, rather than paternalistically assuming that they know what’s best. In recent years the paternalistic assumption has been that the community prefers tax cuts to improved health services, even though evidence tends to point in the opposite direction.

    System-wide reform takes time. And it takes open minds. Governments need to realize that even when they can set aside their own financial or professional interests, “insiders” find it hard to imagine any significant departures from existing arrangements. That was a major shortcoming of the Rudd Government’s Health and Hospital Reform Commission. Outside perspectives are important.

    In order to lift the process beyond immediate concerns, those pursuing reforms can set out a basic set of principles, and, in a well-managed consultation process, can inform the community of options, and invite the community to discuss and agree or amend these principles. Such a path to reform contrasts with the quick-and-dirty proposals which emerge from processes such as the Abbott Government’s Commission of Audit. Rather, reform can draw on the tradition of white paper – green paper policy development and the reform process pursued by the Hawke-Keating Government. The Senate Committee system should also be utilised.

    Guiding principles

    As in any public policy the basic principle should be pursuit of efficiency and equity. Contrary to some simplistic notions, there is not necessarily a trade-off between these principles. An inefficient system is a high-cost system, and a high-cost system generally tilts the balance towards those who have most ability to pay. That is the basic failure of the United States system.

    Economic considerations should extend beyond governments’ own fiscal costs. Rather they should take into account costs and benefits throughout the community. There is no benefit in saving people $1.00 in taxes through Medicare if the result is that they have to pay $1.10 of $1.50 for the same or inferior services in private markets through PHI.

    Equity should be concerned with ensuring that income, wealth or personal influence does not give individuals preference in treatment, displacing those with greater needs but lesser means.  A related principle should be one of solidarity or social inclusion. This means that all should have access to the same high-quality services, rather than a segregated system with special services for the poor or “indigent”, to use the derogatory American term. In Australia we should resist most strongly the conservative notion that Medicare should be reduced to a safety net for the poor. The same high quality service should be available for all .While people with different means may make different payments, they should all be using the same services. The present “two tier” arrangements, where those with means are more likely to use private hospitals, violate this principle.

    Within such a shared system, there should be scope for users to exercise autonomy and choice, so long as these do not impose costs on other users. Financial incentives on providers and users should not detract from the principles of personal responsibility. Health care services need to be perceived as components of a set of policies promoting good health. In this regard, the community’s health should be seen as an asset worthy of attention in all government policies – taxation, urban design, trade agreements (patents), labour relations and wages policy, social security, environmental protection, sport etc. Public health should be of concern across all portfolios, and health ministers, state and federal, should have the same standing as treasurers.

    The government should consider alternatives to fee-for-service remuneration for primary care and other services. The New Zealand Government, for example, pays episodic care by doctors on a fee-for service basis but chronic care is paid on an annualized basis.

    Health programs should have a user focus, rather than a provider focus. The user drawing on different services should not have to confront multiple institutions with their own funding arrangements, records and protocols of care. Policies should aim to integrate and not merely coordinate medical services, pharmaceutical care, hospital care and rehabilitation. Such flexibility should be guided by the principle of subsidiarity. That is, services should be managed at the most feasible local level, provided such autonomy does not conflict with needs for central standards in important areas.

    Funding needs to be based on a judicious balance between individual (“out-of-pocket”) payments and pooled payments. While a lack of means should never present a barrier to those who need care, there is no reason why those with means should not make personal contributions.

    The balance between individual and collective funding is one which needs community consultation. There are arguments for a completely free, tax-funded system, and there are arguments for more individual payments where price signals play a role, but the choice needs to be put to the community in a way that explains the costs and the benefits of each method of payment. Most probably the community, presented with an informed choice, will opt for some balance.

    For that proportion of costs the community chooses to share, this sharing should be through a single national insurer, with the capacity to use its purchasing power to keep costs under control, and guided by principles of ensuring access for those with limited means and covering all against high expenses. As with other high-cost and heavily-subsidised industries, such as clothing and footwear, the $7b plus per annum subsidy to PHI should be steadily phased out. If people wand private health insurance that is their right but there is no reason for the taxpayer to provide a subsidy.

    While the government should take responsibility for pooled funding, provision of health services should allow for both government and private involvement. In regulated markets private providers should be assured of reasonable returns on their investments (including their investment in human capital), but they should not be permitted to take advantage of any privileged position in the market. Public policies should recognize that commercial incentives which are about expanding markets and good public policy which is often about encouraging personal responsibility and reducing dependence on health services do not always align.

    All systems of remuneration, to private or public providers, should be subject to full accountability, and all services should be subject to the general principles of competition policy but without promoting competition where it serves no public purpose, such as a proliferation of look-alike high-cost private insurers. Accounting systems should expose all instances of cost-shifting – from Commonwealth to state governments, from governments to individuals, and from present outlays to future outlays. While there may be reasons for costs to be reallocated between different parties, such reallocations should be for reasons of equity or efficiency, and not for budgetary impression management.

    All health care services should be subject to professional governance and accountability, with clear charters of responsibility but at arm’s length from executive government. We really don’t know much about how doctors perform in private practise. We hear about occasional mal practise but very little about general performance and competence.

    The related issue of Commonwealth-state relations needs resolution. There are many possible paths to reform. One possibility for consideration is for health services to be administered by joint Commonwealth-state commissions in each state, with pooled Commonwealth and state funding. Tasmania with its small and comparatively aged population could provide the basis for a trial.  See link to ‘The Blame Game in Health’ that I posted on 3 June last year  https://publish.pearlsandirritations.com/blog/?p=1756/.

    The role of institutions

    Health reform is too important to be left to health departments particularly the Commonwealth Department of Health and Ageing and bodies with superficial mandates such as the recent Commission of Audit.

    Fortunately the Commonwealth has bodies such as the Productivity Commission, an organisation with not only technical expertise to analyse policy proposals, but also with the capacity to sound out those with policy interests. It gives all a forum to voice their concerns, to tease out likely unintended consequences of policy proposals, and to direct corporate interests to contribute to problem-solving and policy design rather than to defending their vested interests. Most important, it can bring an “outside” view to public policy, addressing questions and options that may be beyond the imagination of “insiders”.

    While the Productivity Commission can bring forth practical recommendations, the questions in health reform are so basic, however, that they require a wider and more inclusive process before specific issues can be addressed. Questions such as how costs are shared, and how scarce resources should be allocated, particularly for high-cost interventions with minor benefits, involve basic moral considerations.

    One possibility is to establish a Health Reform Commission composed of independent and professional people to inform and lead public discussion and advise on important health reform issues. Clinicians should be included, but not the AMA or any of the vested interests. The Law Reform Commission established by the Whitlam Government in 1975 is an example of how enquiries and consultations can be conducted with the community in order to make recommendations to government that are well-informed. The Law Reform Commission estimates that over 85% of its reports have been either substantially or partially implemented making it an effective and influential agent for reform. The Reserve Bank is another example of how a respected, professional and independent body can be a leader in public discussion of important issues. A major objective of a Health Reform Commission would be to outflank the vested interests and carry an informed discussion with the community, particularly of the key principles that should drive health care. Ahead of establishing such a commission in government it would be useful to establish an interim group of professional and independent people who can facilitate informed public discussion and provide advice.

    There are various ways to deal with public participation but the basic approach and method is that communities should be consulted to find what they want, and in successive rounds experts should analyse and report back on the costs and consequences of their proposals. For example, explaining that a completely free system would involve higher taxes and may involve greater waiting times.

    One other model is the “citizen jury” – so named because the citizens to be consulted are selected on a random basis, and are informed by professional and independent experts. They could be asked to provide their advice back to government on such key issues as: to what extent do we want to share the costs of healthcare; how co-payments should be reformed; how to overcome the commonwealth state blame game; how the workforce should be reformed.  End of life issues could also be canvassed as well as many expensive interventions that have limited effectiveness. These citizens’ juries in health could be important vehicles for a national conversation on health, a conversation that we do not have at present.

    I see parts 1,2and 3 on Health Policy Reform as outlined as, hopefully, a means to put the debate on health reform onto a more constructive and pragmatic path. Unless we get our processes working more effectively and particularly how to bypass vested interests, reform will continue to be very difficult. When we improve our processes we can be more confident of addressing the particular policy issues outlined in these three papers.

    Unless we address the issue of power and how and who exercises that power in the health sector we will not achieve worthwhile reform. Power is in the hands of providers. It is not in the hands of the public or governments. That is the key issue. We need leadership, institutions and processes to focus on how we overcome this central issue.

  • John Menadue. Health Policy Reform: Part 2 – Why reform is difficult. Health ministers are in office but not in power.

    In Part 1 on health policy reform I outlined the main areas where health reform is necessary. In Part 2 I examine the reasons why I think health reform is so hard. In part 3 I will consider ways in which the necessary path of health reform can be quickened.

    There is a major barrier to health reform. It is the power of providers or at least their assumed power. When I was asked by the National Hospital and Health Reform Commission to describe in a sentence or even one word the obstacles to health reform I said ‘power’, the power of providers. I don’t the Commission got what I was driving at!

    A succession of Australian health ministers may have been in office but they have not been in power. Aneurin Bevan who launched in the 1940’s in my view the best health service in the world knew a few things about health but more importantly he knew much more about political power and how to exercise it in the public interest. He drew on the strong support of the community, a minority of doctors and the majority of nurses. He won the day and not surprisingly the UK National Health Service was the centre piece at the London Olympic opening ceremony in 2012.

    The previous Australian health minister said we needed a conversation on health. The new minister says she will consult widely after the fiasco on co-payments. But if past practise repeats itself the conversation and consultation will be limited to the AMA and the Pharmacy Guild.

    The difficulties of sensible reform are obvious in the health field but they are a generic problem in public policy today. It has been most obvious in climate change policy where Ross Gaunaut has described the power of vested interests as a ‘diabolical problem’.

    The power of insiders – or the faintheartedness of politicians

    Reform disrupts established arrangements. In general, the longer those arrangements have persisted, the greater becomes the pent-up need for reform, meaning that reform is going to be disruptive to existing interests. By the same token, as arrangements become more entrenched, the more do those who benefit from them feel threatened, and the more political clout they develop to resist reform.

    That resistance is often based on financial self-interest, but it also aligns with a general fear of change and professional conservatism. It is difficult for those who are “inside” a system – be they administrators, professionals or policymakers – to conceive of other ways of delivering services.  Institutional inertia is a strong force. And in health care it is easy to lose sight of the fact that delivering services is not, in itself, the objective. That objective surely is serving the community by helping to keep the population healthy.

    One group with a stake in current arrangements are those who administer health services. Health is a highly technical, large and complex field that is difficult for outsiders to come to grips with. This gives disproportionate power to health administrators on the inside.

    “Joined at the hip” with these administrators are much the same vested interests (rent seekers) that batten on the health service and dominate the public debate. These are much the same vested interests who so selfishly and ferociously led the opposition to Medibank in 1975. They are still with us today but in a different guise. The AMA has a long and dubious history in opposing key health reforms going back to its opposition to the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme In 1942.

    These vested interests include the Australian Medical Association (AMA), the Australian Pharmacy Guild, the private health insurance funds, Medicines Australia and the state and territory health department bureaucracies. In addition, there is a general “pro-business” push to open up all aspects of health care more to the private sector, particularly pathology and radiology.

    The AMA in its role as a medico- political organisation opposes reform of the fee for service (FFS) system of remuneration. FFS is an administratively convenient means of remuneration, but it carries perverse incentives because it rewards over-servicing, over-referring and over-prescribing. It is particularly inappropriate for care of the chronically ill.

    Even among the most dedicated professionals, financial incentives influence behaviour, and tend to reinforce professionals’ desire to apply their skills to problems – rather than encouraging people to become less dependent on health services.

    Where possible, financial incentives should encourage practitioners to keep people healthy, rather than to deliver services to the sick. There is no “one-size-fits-all” method of remuneration – FFS has its place, but it should stand alongside other systems, such as capitation and salaried payments.

    The perverse incentives in FFS come to play particularly strongly when health care takes on a corporate structure, where business objectives such as return on shareholders’ funds displace professional service objectives traditionally associated with medical practices. Businesses operate on the basis of expanding their markets, not on the basis of telling customers they may be over-using their services. The AMA, however, is turning a blind eye to the growing corporate takeover of general practise and the associated vertical integration into radiology and pathology.

    Excuse me for dropping names but in a round table I attended with Margaret Thatcher in the late 1980s she was asked, “Now that you have fixed the restrictive work practices of the miners and the printers, what are you going to do about the restrictive work practices of the doctors? She replied that she would leave it to her last term. She never got around to it.” And so far neither have we.

    The Pharmacy Guild strongly defends the privileged position pharmacists have gained through political influence. On the one hand the Guild strongly defends the many restrictions on competition enjoyed by pharmacists – prohibition on pharmacies in supermarkets, prohibition on price advertising, restrictions on location of pharmacies and exclusive rights to sell many non-prescription medications. On the other hand it does nothing to encourage integration of pharmacy with general practice. Thus there persists the anachronistic practice of a separation of pharmaceutical from medical services.

    It is not only in retail pharmacy that Australians are overpaying. Governments are also generous with taxpayers’ money for the mainly foreign pharmaceutical firms who are able to exploit their power in patents. Medicines Australia, the body representing manufacturers and distributors of drugs, has successfully lobbied the Commonwealth to pay high prices for prescription pharmaceuticals. Twenty years ago Australia stood out as a world leader in using government purchasing power to keep pharmaceutical prices under control. Now Australia pays top prices: for example, Australians pay $2 billion per annum more than New Zealanders pay for equivalent drugs.

    The private health insurance companies are expensive financial intermediaries, receiving a $7b annual taxpayer subsidy through the rebate, and additional support in the form of the Medicare Levy Surcharge, which subsidises those with high incomes to hold PHI. Not even at the height of manufacturing industry protection were people actually given cash subsidies to buy Holdens and Falcons.

    Private insurers don’t deliver any health services; they are simply high-cost financial intermediaries taking commissions. As I outlined in Part 1, PHI benefits the wealthy and most importantly weakens the power of Medicare to control prices. Gap insurance through PHI has underwritten an enormous increase in specialist fees. Now the private insurers are edging their way into general practice. The Managing Director of Medibank Private also reportedly told doctors that private health insurance policy holders should have priority in public emergency departments. What an outrageous proposal.

    Government subsidized private insurance is a major threat to health care in Australia. At first sight it may appear to relieve public budgets and to take pressure off public hospitals, but that’s not the way it plays out. It actually sucks resources out of the public hospitals. The remeration of most specialists in private hospitals are multiples of the remuneration of specialists in public hospitals. And as PHI pushes up costs, governments, still left with funding a large part of health services, find that they become passive players, accepting prices set by private service providers and insurers. As a result, In the United States the government’s partial programs – Medicare and Medicaid – now cost more as a proportion of GDP than do completely publicly-funded insurance systems in the United Kingdom and many other European countries. The cause of this problem in the US is PHI.

    Yet, in spite of this economic danger, and the example of the clearly dysfunctional American system, governments in this country – Coalition and Labor – have been reluctant to take on the PHI industry. Before the 2007 election Kevin Rudd wrote to the industry assuring it that their taxpayer subsidies would continue.

    In an economy where many traditional industries, from manufacturing through to print media, are facing huge competitive pressure and disruption, health care is seen as one last remaining growth sector, offering easy picking for business – if only the government would get out of the way.

    Those are the private interests. We also have eight state and territory health department bureaucracies supported by their ministers. In a nation where state governments feel that more and more financial and political power is accruing to the Commonwealth, it is natural that they defend their shrinking turf. Such considerations override any concern to see an integrated national system. In response, the Commonwealth is reluctant to stare down the parochialism of the states.

    Reform is possible

    Australian governments have a strong record on economic reform. In the 1980s the Hawke-Keating Government took on vested interests, and negotiated a wide-ranging set of reforms in the manufacturing, transport and financial services industries. Earlier, in the mid-1970s, the Whitlam Government, when it introduced Medibank, successfully stared down the AMA and the health insurers. Although the Fraser Government unwound many of these reforms, the Hawke Government successfully resurrected universal public insurance in the form of Medicare.

    But there has been no significant reform of the health sector since then. In 1977 the Productivity Commission recommended a comprehensive inquiry into health financing, but no government has initiated such an inquiry. Corporate interests have become more involved in health care, and PHI has become established once again.

    Governments generally over-estimate the power of lobby groups. They can make a lot of noise – particularly when, as a result of successful rent-seeking in the past, they have accumulated large funds to spend on scare campaigns at the public’s expense, but the capacity to make noise does not equate to a capacity to influence voters. Opinion polls consistently show that the public believe Coalition governments are too much influenced by big business, which means reforming governments should be able to gain electoral advantage from standing up to rent-seekers.

    The problem is not just about financial self-interest, however. It is also about the inertia of established practices, and an incapacity of those on the “inside” to imagine any significant variation on current arrangements. Practices such as the separation of pharmacies from medical services, fee-for-service funding, the dependence of private hospitals on private insurance, the separation of medical from hospital services in private hospitals, and so on, have become entrenched in the thinking of policymakers, politicians and many journalists. There is a deficit of imagination, an incapacity to think beyond the present.

    A large part of the problem lies in the Commonwealth bureaucracy. Commonwealth Ministers for Health are very dependent on the Department of Health and Ageing, particularly, as is often the case, when ministers are not across the issues and don’t have a clear policy program themselves. Aneurin Bevan showed how important political leadership is.

    The Department is ill-equipped to cope with policy reform. Rather, its objective seems to be to keep the peace with provider lobbies, and to keep the minister out of any public brawl or argument.

    The Department is structured in ways that reflects the interests of providers such as doctors and pharmacists, rather than on the basis of community interests, such as acute care, chronic care or demography. It has expertise in administering existing programs but it has little economic expertise. Fiscal concerns tend to crowd out any consideration of economics.  One very senior Commonwealth official said to me that the Department does not have any strategic sense in health policy.

    In fact the Department doesn’t even effectively integrate the Commonwealth’s own major programs, let alone make any real progress in bridging the Commonwealth and state divide. During the difficult negotiations with the states on health reform during the Rudd Government period, the Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet effectively had to step in because DHA was not up to the job. Even the task or rolling out e-health, a minor but important reform, proved to be a difficult one for the Department. DHA sees Medicare as a funding vehicle and not a policy instrument. Medicare is, in fact, is not even within DHA. Health policy is an after-thought and health reform is right off the agenda.

    The Ministerial/Departmental model in health has failed. It is incapable of contesting the power of the rent seekers. The community is effectively excluded.

    Unless the health debate is taken to “outsiders”, away from the insiders – the rent seekers and vested interests– we are unlikely to see significant progress in health reform. The vested interests invariably win out over the public interest, time and time again.

    Political struggles between the public and rent-seekers are not uncommon, but there are reasons why in health care the public interest has a hard time securing a voice. Most of the public most of the time have little contact with health services. The intense users tend to be the chronically ill (who are reasonably active but do not constitute a majority) and those who are nearing the end of their lives and are not in a position to exert political influence. It is unlike services we all experience such as education or transport, where strong public lobby groups naturally arise. Also, health lobby groups are able to exploit the public’s trust in health care provider’s services – a trust which is well-justified on the grounds of professional competence, but which should not logically extend to trust on financial or political matters.

    The media stories tend to be about failures – often in public hospitals because they handle the most difficult cases – and about corporate activities. Press releases from pharmaceutical firms, health insurers and other rent-seekers provide easy material for under-resourced journalists. It is easy for governments and so-called “business interests” to raise scare campaigns about the affordability of government health services. They don’t mention that when those services are privatized they are generally more expensive), but it is very hard to engender a debate about health policy. The superficial slanging match about the Commonwealth’s GP co-payments is illustrative of the paucity of the public “debate”.

     

    In Part 3 I will address governance and issues of process which are necessary to break through the inertia and counter the power of the vested interests that batten on the health system.

     

  • John Menadue. Health Policy Reform: Part 1 – Why reform is needed.

    I will be posting three articles on health policy.

    This article outlines the priority areas where reform is necessary.

    Part 2 will explain why reform is so difficult but not impossible. The key issue is power and how it is exercised

    Part 3 will be about processes and governance issues that are necessary to move us beyond the present inertia, incrementalism and tinkering, with suggestions for policy directions. I will not be proposing specific policies. 

    The Rudd-Gillard Government – lost opportunities

    Traditionally, in Australia and elsewhere, Labor and similar governments have been the initiators of health reform. Conservative governments, in general, have opposed or wound back health reform.

    In Australia the Labor Party, guided by principles of universalism, equity and economic efficiency, gave us publicly-funded health insurance – initially through Medibank and then through Medicare.

    In spite of high expectations in health reform, however, in its 2007-2013 period in government Labor really did little more than muddle through. Kevin Rudd promised to take over state hospitals if the states continued to stonewall, and polling suggested that the public agreed with his approach. But in the end he gave way: fragmentation of services between the Commonwealth and the states continued, as did the practices of cost and responsibility shifting between those two tiers of government. He focussed on hospitals and not on primary care.

    The Rudd Government established a National Hospital and Health Reform Commission (NHHRC), but it was composed largely of health insiders who seemed to be incapable of seeing health policy from a broad perspective, and who failed to grasp the basic economics of health care. The process achieved very little and chewed up a great deal of time and money. It was a wasted opportunity.

    To its credit the Rudd and Gillard Governments had one major policy achievement – plain-packaging of cigarettes, and before it lost office was making progress on other aspects of public health. The success of these public health reforms, in contrast with the minor achievements of health care programs, is consistent with the possibility that reform of these programs is impeded by institutional inertia and the power of rent-seekers, a point taken up in Part 2. The tobacco industry is well-heeled, but it does not have friends in health departments.

    Case mix funding to improve hospital efficiency was also a useful reform

    Indigenous, mental and rural health all remain in a parlous state. Health programs operate in isolation from one another. The funding of health care through multiple public, corporate and private channels results in serious inequities. And, in general, there are administrative inefficiencies and a poor allocation of scarce resources.

    Since 2013 the situation has worsened. The Abbott Government has abolished the Australian National Preventive Health Agency and Medicare Locals, has foreshadowed deep cuts in funding for state hospitals, and has put up ill-considered proposals for GP co-payments.

    Getting the most from what we have

    In considering health reform, we need to start with an appreciation that we have one of the best health services in the world in both efficiency and equity, thanks to Medicare. But Medicare was established over 40 years ago. It is now a bits and pieces operation – some parts added in good times and with cut-backs in difficult times. Some additions have been made by Labor governments and some by anti-Labor governments. There is little coherence or consistency in what we have at the moment. Our health care arrangements could not be called a ‘system’. They have no clear and underlying principles or philosophy.

    As a result of that lack of coherence and fragmentation there is waste in our health care arrangements. Nurses, doctors, paramedics and others are all working hard and professionally, but there are managerial inefficiencies and high bureaucratic costs in both the private and public sectors: I have estimated that reforms would result in a saving of at least ten per cent of our health bill or about $15b in today’s costs. Abolition of the taxpayer subsidy of over $7b per annum to private health insurance would represent about half of these savings.

    But a big waste is in misallocation of scarce resources. Capacity to pay often overrides consideration of therapeutic needs. Governments seek savings in public health and primary care – savings which are more than offset by higher needs for hospitalization and high cost specialist care. Demarcation rigidities result in overwork for some and under-utilisation of skills for others such as nurses. In all, the whole is far less than the sum of its parts.

    Seldom do we stand back and ask the central issue: what do we need and expect from a health system? That question should be a starting point for reform.

    The concerns of health policy – a system approach

    Incremental reforms addressing real or perceived shortcomings in particular programs, even if they achieve some economies, are going to do no more than to perpetuate existing problems. Reform needs to cut across programs, and concerned with the following six issues.

     

    1. Primary care. Primary care has been largely ignored in health reform. It should be the starting point for any consideration however of preventive health and chronic care. Early interventions and health check-ups can head off costly and debilitating illnesses.

    Specialist care has become very expensive. We have an obsession with hospitals. But hospitals should be the last resort rather than the first. Countries such as the United Kingdom and New Zealand have high quality care in part because of the philosophy underlying their systems, but also because those systems are grounded in primary care, which is the most efficient and equitable way to deliver health services for all regardless of income. It is where care is best integrated.

    Fee for service (FFS) remuneration in primary care has encouraged “turnstile medicine”, excessive treatment and increasingly the corporatisation of general practice.  FFS is a major barrier to reform in primary care. FFS may be appropriate for episodic or occasional care for walk-in patients but it is not appropriate for chronic and long term care, particularly mental and indigenous health care. Our governments have failed in this key area.

    A major barrier of course to improved health services through primary care is that the Commonwealth funds GPs and other medical services, other than those in public hospitals, while the states operate public hospitals. There are substantial savings in keeping patients out of hospitals but with different funding steams there are few incentives to do so. In fact, when the Commonwealth is more concerned with its fiscal balance than with sound economics, it has every temptation to skimp on primary care, essentially imposing higher costs on the states and poorer health outcomes on the community. The Commonwealth’s fiscal obsession has outweighed any sense of economic responsibility

    2. Workforce. Health is the largest and fastest growing sector of the Australian economy. Its structure and workforce are riddled with 19th Century demarcations and restrictive work practices. For example there are several hundred nurse practitioners in Australia when there should be thousands, performing routine functions such as administering regular vaccinations. About 10 per cent of normal births in Australia are delivered by midwives: in New Zealand that figure is over 90 per cent.

    We don’t have a shortage of doctors so much as a misallocation of doctors. Nurses, allied health workers and ambulance staff are denied opportunities to upgrade and realise their professional potential and improve services.

    Pharmacies should be providing more basic health services for the community and should be active partners with doctors in the front line. Pharmacists are the most underutilised and highly-qualified professionals in our health sector. They need to be integrated into primary health care.

    There will never be adequate delivery of service to people, particularly the aged, without radical workforce reform, mainly within primary care. As Minister for Health, Nicola Roxon enabled some nurse practitioners and midwives to access the Medical Benefit Scheme but the access was quite minor. The MBS can be the lever for major workforce renewal.

    It is quite remarkable that we have endless talk about the need for workforce reform everywhere but in the health sector. Surely governments could not be frightened of the AMA! In our modern economy the restrictive work practices and demarcations in the health sector are a disgrace.

     

    3. Program structures. Health services are structured and funded around providers – medical services by doctors, pharmaceuticals through big Pharma and the Pharmacy Guild, and hospitals through state governments and private agencies. The structure of the Department of Health and Ageing reflects this provider focus rather than a focus on consumers.

    Such a provider-based structure, rather than a user- or customer-based structure, is reminiscent of corporate structures abandoned in the private sector a half-century ago, and is inconsistent with the “outcomes” focus of public sector reforms of the 1980s. Yet it survives in the health sector with the only institutional recognition of consumers is through the Health Consumers Forum of Australia, a body funded by the Commonwealth and which seems more like a marketing arm of the Department of Health and Ageing than a group representative of consumer interests.

    We need to progressively change the focus of health programs to serve the community rather than providers. One possible structure would be around types of users – acute, chronic and occasional. It would help reduce the competition between different provider areas for limited resources. The Department of Health and Ageing shows no serious interest in consumers but together with the Minister always seems to have an open door for the rent seekers such as the Pharmacy Guild.

     

    4. Funding. Funding of health services is a mess, resulting in serious inequities, high administrative costs, and misallocation of scarce resources. Some services, financed either through private health insurance or Medicare, are free at the point of delivery, while others can leave consumers with massive out-of-pocket expenses.

    We have some of the highest co-payments in the developed world but they lack rhyme or reason. They are a “dog’s breakfast” with the level of government subsidies varying enormously. Some co-payment arrangements work on a safety-net basis, while others, such as for psychologists, leave the consumer bearing open-ended risks. The Abbott Government’s “reforms”, if implemented, would make the situation worse. Medical and pharmaceutical co-payments have little in common, and dental services are much more poorly funded than medical services. The safety nets are unfair and lead to abuse.

    Persons on high incomes should pay more for health services through efficient and defensible co-payments. A “universal” service does not necessarily mean it should be free. Subject to a means test, there needs to be more discipline by consumers in their use of health services. Jennifer Doggett at the Centre for Policy Development has proposed workable means-tested reforms in this area with a Health Credit Card. See http://cpd.org.au/2009/07/out-of-pocket-rethinking-health-copayments/ There is no sign the Commonwealth is concerned about the problem however, even though most other countries have better models to emulate. The Nordic countries, for example, insist on a single public funder and universality but with efficient and equitable co-payments.

    The other great funding distortion in Australian health care arrangements is private health insurance (PHI) – essentially a high-cost mechanism which allows some, particularly those with high incomes, to jump the queue for health services, thus worsening waiting times in public hospitals and diverting resources to private hospitals, contrary to the claim that it takes pressure off public hospitals.  It penalises country people because there are few private hospitals in the bush. Australia’s arrangements also mean that private and public hospitals operate on different funding streams and with little integration of services.

    The government, through means testing rebates for PHI, has removed some inequities, but PHI remains a costly and inequitable way to do what the tax system and Medicare do much better. Also, PHI is administratively inefficient with bureaucratic costs about three times higher than Medicare.

    Private gap insurance promoted by PHI has facilitated enormous increases in specialist fees. Most importantly, the expansion of PHI progressively weakens the ability of Medicare to control costs. The evidence world-wide is clear that countries with significant PHI have high costs without any better health outcomes.

    The stand-out example of PHI causing high costs and poor outcomes is the United States.  President Obama may have substantially achieved universal coverage, but PHI with its lack of cost control will ultimately cripple and finally destroy his reforms. Warren Buffett has described PHI companies as the “tape worm” in the US health sector.

    The Commonwealth already has a sound model of a single payer operated through the Department of Veterans Affairs – a model which retains the strong control of a single payer accountable to the community whilst allowing private practise involvement in service delivery.

    The Commonwealth has failed to understand the damage that PHI is already doing in Australia. PHI is a Damocles sword hanging over Medicare. We must assert the key importance of a single public funder.

    It is interesting to note that the $7b plus per annum taxpayer subsidy to PHI is more than would be required to fund a Medicare dental scheme!

     

    5. Defining Medicare. This great Labor monument needs a review. Medicare has become a passive but efficient funding mechanism, providing a partial subsidy for certain health expenses, rather than the public insurer it was intended to be. After all, it is still called the “health insurance commission”, but it is nothing of the sort, and it is not even within the health portfolio.

    Medicare has a remarkable database which should be used to highlight and inform policy concerning over and underutilisation of services across the country. Why for example do rates of caesarean section vary enormously across the country and why are Australian rates very high in world rankings? There are many other large variations in clinical procedures that must be made public and explained.  Medical services should be subject to the same rigorous cost-benefit examination as pharmaceutical services. Medicare is not doing it.

    Even more potential lies in the use of that database for research into efficacy of treatments. This was an intention of Medicare’s designers, who envisioned the day when computing power could extract clinical information from that database. That day has arrived, but the government, although willing to invest billions in some areas of medical research, shows no interest in using this valuable resource, or in the integration of MBS and PBS data which would provide rigorous pharmaceutical evaluation at a tiny fraction of the cost of clinical trials.

     

    6. Cost and blame shifting. Governments, more concerned with their fiscal balances than with economic efficiency, try to shift costs on to other governments, Commonwealth to state and vice versa, on to individuals, or on to future generations for example in neglect of public health. Attempts to resolve the Commonwealth/state blame and cost shifting have been largely unsuccessful and certainly expensive with the Commonwealth succumbing to state political pressure without fixing the lack of integration.

     

    In Part 2 I will be looking at the major obstacles to health reform, including the influence of the vested interests who are concerned to protect their own territory rather than serve the public interest.

  • John Menadue. Health Workforce Reform.

    Conservative commentators and the Business Council of Australia speak endlessly about the need for industrial and workforce reform particularly in the blue-collar area where there has already been very substantial reform and improvement. Changes in the Australian workforce have helped transform the Australian economy in the last 30 years. It was begun under the Hawke/Keating governments and continued under the Howard governments.

    But the health sector has scarcely been touched. I ‘guesstimate’ that there is a potential productivity dividend of at least 40% in health workforce reform over the next decade. That 40% may be on the low side. The Productivity Commission estimated a few years ago that a 10% efficiency improvement in health would deliver an $8 b dividend at that time.

    Reform of the health workforce structure, work practices, multi skilling, teamwork, and flexible training, are the key micro-reform issues that we face.  The most obvious example of restrictive practices in health is in obstetrics and midwifery.  In Australia, less than 10% of normal births are managed by midwives.  In the Netherlands it is over 70% and in the UK over 50% In NZ it is 90%.  The reason why Australia is so far behind the field is opposition by obstetricians who want to protect their market share and high incomes. They are highly favoured through the Medical Benefits Scheme.

    Health is Australia’s largest industry, and employs about 7% of the civilian workforce.  About 70% of every health dollar of expenditure is in labour costs. Such a large area of expenditure cannot be excluded from workforce reform. It is more important than any other workforce issue. Health workforce reform will not be easy but it is essential. Above all else it requires political courage to face down the special and entrenched interests that dominate the health sector.

    Several years ago, an emeritus professor at University of Sydney, Professor Kerry Goulston described the problems he saw as follows.

    Our medical workforce management in hospitals is rigid and antiquated. Job sharing is rare. … Most hospitals are staffed on the front line at nights and weekends by junior medical staff, often without onsite supervision…. The traditional roles of doctor, nurse and allied health personnel have to be redesigned around the patients’ needs.  Many procedures carried out by doctors could be done by non-doctors. Many medical duties could be done by other health professionals. In places where it has proven impossible to recruit doctors, nursing staff have been upskilled to provide a higher level of clinical care. It is clearly possible to extend this model for use in public hospitals where better supervision is available, but would require a reduction in the strict demarcation of clinical roles. … The morale of our hospital workforce is low. Disengagement and loss of commitment is a real issue.

    We clearly need to dramatically reshape our health workforce. The Productivity Commission made the first serious attempt to address the problem. But progress has been very slow.

    My own view is that the financial lever of the Medical Benefits Scheme is the best way to promote reform. Nicola Roxon made a few changes in this regard but it was quite minor.

    We need concerted and strong political and administrative action to break down  the old historic workforce boundaries and boxes and  establish new ways of working – teams working across professional and organisational boundaries; flexible working to make the best use of the range of skills and knowledge of staff; streamlined workforce planning and development which stems from the needs of patients not of professionals; maximising the contribution of all staff to patient care, doing away with barriers which say only doctors or nurses can provide particular types of care; modernising education and training to ensure that staff are equipped with the skills they need to work in a complex, changing health system; developing new, more flexible careers for staff in all professions; expanding the workforce to meet future demands and more flexible deployment of staff to maximise the use of their skills and abilities.  .

    We need for example to consider nurses undertaking greater responsibility for prescribing, diagnosis and triage in hospitals; nurse anaesthetists complementing and substituting for medically qualified anaesthetists; enrolled nurses taking on some of the tasks currently done by registered nurses; midwives substituting for obstetricians; new allied health assistants supporting allied health workers to increase their capacity to treat more patients; practice nurses undertaking some of the work currently performed by GPs, including some prescribing, screening and triage.

    Professor Peter Brooks  has drawn attention to the 60,000 physician assistants in the United States who grew out of the ‘medics’ in Vietnam. They are trained for about two years in 100 professional programs across the United States, concentrating on science and clinical aspects.

    Clearly nurses, allied health, ambulance officers and community health workers could undertake more skilled work except for the barriers erected by other professionals.  Pharmacists need to employ their professional skills in primary care with less of their time spent as shop keepers.

    The great problem is that our health and community services workforce is trained and works in boxes – ‘there are boxes everywhere’. We need dramatic change, up-skilling, multi-skilling, broad banding and teamwork.

    Failure to tackle these major workforce problem results in clear loss of morale and high staff turnover across the health and community sector. We see the problems like the tip of the iceberg, only when they are revealed before a court or medical board. The powerful sectional interests still call the shots and resist change. If they had blue collars, rather than white coats, the story would be different.

    What is lacking is courage and determination to address the problem. Excuse me dropping names but in the late 1980s, I attended a round table discussion with UK Prime Minister, Maggie Thatcher in Sydney.  She was asked ‘now that you have reformed the work practices of the printers and coal miners in the UK, what do you propose to do about the restrictive practices of doctors and lawyers?’  She replied, ‘It is a very serious problem, but if you don’t mind I will leave it until my last term’.  The coal miners and printers were fair game, but not the doctors and lawyers who were put in the ‘too hard’ basket.

    The health and community workforce structure is at the end of its design life. The whole health system is built around provider demarcations. It must be efficiently built around patients’ needs.

     

     

  • Nanny Endovelicus. Preventing prevention Part 2

    This is part 2 of a series on health prevention. It was initially posted in October last year.  John Menadue.

    Yesterday, in part 1, I began the task of analysing the cuts to the Commonwealth’s health budget and to the promised payments to the States and Territories in the area of prevention. Are the cuts well justified by the statistics?

    Obesity – Nutrition and Physical Inactivity

    Other than tobacco and excess alcohol consumption, the rising rates of obesity are the most concerning statistics in the area of preventable diseases. People’s diets and their levels of physical activity both contribute to obesity and overweight. By mid 2012, almost two thirds of Australians over 18 years were either overweight or obese according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, a significant increase from a decade ago. The current combined level for obesity and overweight is 63% for adults (70% of men and 56% of women). Of children between the ages of 5 – 17, about 18% are overweight and 8% are obese; this is very bad news, but at least it isn’t worse news – these numbers for children are largely unchanged since 2007-08. Unsurprisingly, a clear pattern of socio-economic disadvantage is visible: the prevalence of obese children, for example, is four times higher in disadvantaged areas.

    Australia is now in the top league tables in the obesity stakes, still lower than the United States but we’ve been catching up fast.

    On specific metrics for exercise and nutrition, the AIHW (Australian Institute of Health and Welfare is also being abolished as a standalone statutory body by decision of the 2014 Budget with the functions to be amalgamated in a mega ‘productivity and performance’ entity) reported this year that: 92% of Australians did not eat 5 serves of vegetables per day and 52% did not eat 2 serves of fruit; and only 43% of adults were active enough to meet recommended guidelines of 150 minutes per week of walking or other moderate or vigorous activity.[1]  

    The nation has a long way to go on the obesity problem. Dutton often cites the alarming obesity statistics – but mainly as a precursor to argue for his plans to charge people more for primary care from their GP – which is of course where a lot of prevention advice is given and where lower-income people are most likely to go. Given the current minister is well aware of the problem, presumably there are major initiatives to tackle obesity. However, there is no evidence in the federal budget of anything much being done. Perhaps the government is making good on its comment that this is a matter for people’s personal responsibility.

    Other Risk Factors

    There are of course other risk factors both behavioural and biomedical – eg. high blood pressure, high cholesterol, high salt intakes – but it is in particular the key risk factors described above which drive the major increases in chronic disease.   So while not unimportant, the Commonwealth, States and Territories chose to focus their efforts and funds on the SNAP behavioural risks that could potentially be influenced in a better direction.

    Where to now?

    So, with the data under our belts, does the picture suggest less attention or a reduction in funding for prevention activity?  The answer is self-evident.  More emphasis on prevention is clearly in order.  And that is what most countries are doing – increasing considerably their attention to the difficult area of lifestyle risk factors in order to counter the significantly increasing burden of preventable chronic diseases. The head of the World Health Organization, Margaret Chan, has noted that chronic noncommunicable diseases have overtaken infectious diseases as the leading global cause of morbidity, disability, and mortality and stated that “prevention must be the cornerstone of the global response.” So what’s going on in Australia? Why this attack on lifestyle-related prevention activity.

    There are perhaps two interrelated answers.

    That the Abbott Government is proving to be highly ideological – not a feature of their campaigning before the election – is hardly a matter for debate any longer.  The extent of the ideological thrust is however a surprise to many as is the extent of the influence of the far right think tanks like the Institute of Public Affairs. The IPA had waged a highly visible campaign against nanny state prevention activities in the election lead up. During the Budget, the ideological tenor of the government was especially on display when increasing spending. More money for medical research! Terrific idea? In principle, you’d think so. But the funds are for Medical – big M – research; Dutton made clear that it’s a Medical Research Future Fund – not a Health Research Fund – which is far more likely to rule out research into, for example, factors influencing behavioural elements like fast food or alcohol consumption. Particularly ironic (depressing) – but sending the clear ideological message – the savings from killing off the COAG Preventative Health Partnership and abolishing the national Prevention Health Agency are being directed into the Medical Research Future Fund according to Budget Paper #2.

    Just as worrying, and well documented by others, is the influence of the alcohol and food industries on the government (see for example Big Food with a regional flavour – how Australia’s food lobby works). The embarrassing Fiona Nash’s behaviour in hiring a junk food lobbyist as her chief of staff was probably just the visible tip of a very large iceberg. Her hamfisted attempt to delay the website and possibly wipe out the food star labelling system – and this is a voluntary system for the industry! – created the first scandal for the then new government. Given the level of control over ministerial staff appointments out of the PM’s office, one could suppose the PM thought there was no problem with having a junk food voice so intimately involved in the food minister’s work — a supposition largely confirmed in his refusal to have his non-performing junior minister resign over the matter. (As an aside, however, his reluctance could well be compounded by that fact that there are rather few women in the ministerial club and losing one – and a Nat at that – might have been rather problematical). At least they don’t let Nash out in public very often – although her launching of the most recent phase of the national tobacco campaign from a party base that still accepts Big Tobacco funding had a number of us seriously exceeding the NHMRC alcohol guidelines for single occasion risk!!

    Where the industry influence and the ideology will take us eventually is probably not to better health outcomes. Cuts to areas like prevention, just like undermining investment in newer green technologies, do not have outcomes that are immediately visible – the negative results take some time to manifest.   Eventually, our performance or rather lack of it, in prevention will become evident in the burden of disease measures and in comparison with other countries who are diligently tackling the tough lifestyle issues. The actions of an ideological government, out-of-touch with international evidence and action on these matters, is not likely to serve Australia’s longer term interests.

    [1] Australia’s health 2014, AIHW

  • Nanny Endovelicus. Preventing prevention. Part 1

    This repost is an outstanding article on prevention that I originally posted in October last year. Part 2 will follow tomorrow.  John Menadue

     

    One of the more curious decisions of the Abbott Government in its 2014 Budget was the decision by Health Minister Peter Dutton to reduce Commonwealth expenditure on prevention.

    Funding for population health broadly is set to decline substantially – although the brunt of the cuts are for later years and the real devil is in the finer detail.

    For the Commonwealth Department of Health in Outcome 1 – Population Health, the pain in the first full Dutton year is minimal – a decrease from $167M in 2013-14 to $166M in 2014-15 – peanuts! But even in this set of numbers, there are interesting messages. Prevention includes activities that “look like” medical work, for example immunisation and cancer screening programs. These areas were largely protected.

    But prevention also includes the more difficult and contentious health promotion tasks – regulatory policy for alcohol and tobacco and food (which requires examining industry behaviours like advertising of junk foods, salt levels used in processed food, and alcohol promotions) as well as programs targeting people’s lifestyle choices in areas such as smoking, alcohol use, physical activity and eating habits. As we saw last week with Liberal Democrat Senator David Leyonhjelm’s outburst on “excessive’ smoking taxes and his right to accept Big Tobacco donations, these lifestyle messages and the regulation of these industries in the interests of population health is political by definition and is likely to be an anathema to libertarians and the hard right. The imagery reached for is that of a ‘nanny state’ – see the Institute of Public Affairs (another recipient of Big Tobacco largesse) for a detailed exposition of the position.

    It is this latter area of work that took the real Budget hit.

    Programme 1.2 of Outcome 1 (for us non-bureaucratic mortals this is the part of the budget dealing with drugs like alcohol, education against illicit drug use, and tobacco) was reduced from $224M in 2013-14 to $161M in 2014-15.   And it goes on. This area will be further reduced to $131M by 2017-18 according to the forward estimates – a decrease in nominal terms of over 40% – while some of the other population health activities actually see some modest increase in that period. The axe is being swung not only at the federal level. With the Dutton death blow to the COAG[1] Partnership on Preventative Health, some $400 million of promised funding for the State and Territory Governments’ lifestyle prevention initiatives were axed as well – programs in particular focussed on children’s physical activities, community exercise and nutrition initiatives, education about lifestyle related risks and so on.

    Is there good logic to this – why cut prevention rather than, for example, reducing funding for some of the 150 low-value medical interventions that have been identified?[2]  Had the need for work in prevention lessened?  Were the metrics now moving so clearly in the right direction that government could turn its attention (and money) elsewhere? Almost all other developed countries had also been significantly increasing their attention and expenditure on prevention in the 21st century, were they cutting back too?

    SNAP – but no crackle and pop

    In 2011, the primary driver for establishing the National Partnership on Preventative Health was the alarming increase in preventable chronic disease related to people’s lifestyles.  These lifestyle issues – in particular Smoking, poor Nutrition, Alcohol misuse and Physical inactivity – the SNAP lifestyle risk factors – already accounted for some 40% of potentially preventable hospital admissions according to the Australian National Preventive Health Agency (not just a cutback but abolished in the 2014 Budget).   The growth of lifestyle diseases worrying those watching health expenditure were primarily in diabetes, various cancers, COPD, strokes and other preventable cardiovascular system diseases.

    Let’s check how the SNAP risk factors are doing.

    Tobacco

    Tobacco reduction strategies are the star performers on a population basis – a national decrease from about 35% in 1980 to 16% in 2012.  That’s one of the lowest adult smoking rates in the world.  But with some big holes. The COAG Reform Council, whose job was to assess performance of governments against their stated targets (the Council was also abolished in the May 2014 Budget), reported on the performance of the Preventative Health Partnership in 2013 and noted that Indigenous smoking rates were much higher than those of the rest of the population – still over 40%. Also important were socio-economic factors – if you are in the lowest socio-economic demographic, you have a 25% likelihood of being a smoker as compared to a someone in a more advantaged situation. Further, the city-country divide is extraordinary.  The National Health Performance Authority (to be abolished as a standalone statutory body by decision of the 2014 Budget with the functions to be amalgamated in a mega ‘productivity and performance’ entity) reported in October 2013 that in areas such as the Grampians, smoking rates were 28% as compared to city areas such Inner West Melbourne where the rate was 8%. In general, on most of the risk factors for chronic disease, the further from the city you live, the less healthy you are likely to be![3]

    While overall population figures might suggest that smoking is largely ‘done’, what the more granular data suggest is that success has been high in higher-income higher-educated urban populations and that significant effort is needed elsewhere where rates look like statistics from 30 years ago. Some focused attention was in fact occurring, in part. A major initiative – Tackling Indigenous Smoking – spearheaded by Tom Calma – was rolling out across Australia; it has had its expansion “paused” to undergo a review of its efficiency during 2014. One note of optimism: although not quantified in terms of expenditure, the May 2014 Budget committed to continue Australia’s defence of the plain-packaging of tobacco cases brought within the WTO and bilateral trade treaty arrangements.

    Alcohol

    There’s good news and bad news on alcohol. The evidence about alcohol as a risk factor has been mounting, and it’s a Group 1 carcinogen (ie good evidence it’s harmful to humans). This led a couple of years ago to a tightening of the guidelines from the NHMRC on alcohol consumption (the NHMRC is a medical research funder – and medical research is Abbott’s favourite thing – so it wasn’t significantly cutback, planned to be amalgamated or otherwise mauled in the Budget apart from the plan to set up a duplicating bureaucracy in the new Medical Research Future Fund).

    Harmful consumption of alcohol has two forms – long-term consumption at risky levels and single occasion risky consumption (basically binge drinking).   Latest stats are that about 20% of the population continues to drink at levels risky to their long-term health – pretty well unchanged from the ABS results in 2007-08; half of males and one-third of females drank riskily for single occasion risk. These are quite high statistics at a population level. The good news is that since the 1970s, our per capita alcohol consumption has declined although it remains above the OECD average.

    By far the most concerning SNAP areas are the ones leading to the disturbing trends in obesity and overweight. Both nutrition and physical activity contribute to obesity – more on the statistics and their implications in the next blog tomorrow.

     

    ***************

    [1] Council of Australian Governments

    [2] Elshaug AG, Watt AM, Mundy T, Willis CD. Over 150 potentially low-value health care practices: an Australia study. Medical Journal of Australia, 20212; 197(10): 556-560.

    [3] Risk Factors Contributing to Chronic Disease, AIHW, 2012.

  • Brian Johnstone. The right to freedom of speech.

     

    The recent murders perpetrated in France have been rightly condemned by all people who take seriously morality and human rights. However, the accompanying discussion of the right to freedom of speech has reflected different points of view. For some the right to freedom of speech means the claim to be free to say whatever one wants to say, whether this injures the rights of others or not. This view can justify any kind of remark from adolescent attempts to shock to the inane “sledging” in which our politicians so frequently indulge. The right to freedom of speech as a right has meaning only in the context of justice.

    Does it make sense to claim, as Amanda Vanstone does, that we cannot realistically support Charlie Hebdo and not support Brandis’ contention that everyone has a right to be a bigot to express that bigotry? (The Age, Monday, January 19, 2016, p. 16). Justice would require that we construct and support the social and legal institutions that are needed to protect journalists from violent attacks. But justice does not require us to accept whatever an individual or group might want to say.   Justice clearly does not require us to accept the inflammatory rhetoric of the propagators of jihad. A bigot is defined by the Concise Oxford Dictionary as one who holds some view irrespective of reason and attaches disproportionate weight to that view. Other dictionaries add to the definition intolerance of other views. Since the bigot is by definition irrational in the views he holds, he cannot ask rational persons to listen or to take any notice of what he says. Similarly, he cannot demand that otherwise tolerant persons and communities tolerate his own intolerance; he has set himself outside the tolerant community.   The appropriate sanction for the bigot is to ignore him since he has declared himself immune to reason and to vote against him if he, or she, should seek election.

    The statement: “I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it,” has been cited frequently in connection with the recent events. The words are often attributed to Voltaire, but Voltaire did not say this. To accept this literally, would mean declaring oneself ready to defend to death the right of the jihadi to continue his rabid discourses. To better understand the right to freedom of speech it is worth recalling Voltaire’s own campaigns. A most notorious case was that of the French Protestant Jean Calas. Calas was falsely accused of murdering his son in order to prevent his converting to Catholicism. After being tortured, which included “water-boarding,” Calas was condemned by the court of Toulouse to death and tortured to death by being broken on the wheel. Voltaire took up the case and defended Calas. The verdict was eventually overturned. In 1765 Calas was posthumously exonerated of all charges. This was a genuine exercise of the right to freedom of speech on the part of Voltaire. The basis of the right to freedom of speech is an obligation in justice to use speech in defense of the violation of the rights, those of others or one’s own rights in justice. The assertion, “Everyone has a right to be a bigot,” is rightly rejected as nonsense.

    The recent gathering of European leaders in Paris was no doubt a genuine gesture of solidarity with the victims and a protest against violence. It was also a manifestation of commitment to freedom of speech. It is easy to proclaim one’s support for this freedom; but such proclamations are empty unless one uses freedom of speech on behalf of justice. For example, none of the three, France, Britain or the U.S.A., have an unblemished record on this. Both the French and the British governments have suppressed freedom of speech. The most egregious examples have been in relation to torture, which both governments and their agencies have condoned.

    The practice of torture and killing carried on by French officers in Algeria during the conflict that preceded Algerian independence was documented by the French-Algerian journalist Henry Alleg in his book La question. When the book was published French authorities banned it. The celebrated 1966 film The Battle of Algiers that depicts the torture carried out by French commanders Massu and Aussaresses was banned and shown uncensored only decades later. President Hollande has called colonial rule in Algeria “brutal and unjust” but did not apologize for its violations.

    Aussaresses taught his torture methods throughout the world. The notorious U.S. Phoenix Program in Vietnam applied the French tactics of interrogation, torture and summary execution. He also instructed the Chilean secret police under Pinochet. Unlike Aussaresses, his commander in Algeria, Massu eventually abandoned his defense of torture and urged the French government to condemn its use in Algeria. Former French soldiers admitted that the torture they practiced had produced a mass of misinformation and that the lives they may have saved were far outnumbered by those taken by the new terrorists they created.

    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/12/04/french-torture-mastermind-paul-aussaresses.

    In 2013 the Guardian revealed that the British government was still concealing secret government files from the closing period of colonial rule. These included documents concerning the mistreatment and torture of Kenyans suffered during the Mau Mau insurgency. The foreign secretary William Hague promised that these documents would be declassified and opened to the public. Elderly Kenyans were trying to sue the British government for compensation.

    The files that were withheld are part of a cache of documents that were hidden in a secret archive of the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO). This was in violation of the laws that govern the handling of official papers. Hague ordered an inquiry and promised disclosure.

    He told MPs: “I believe that it is the right thing to do for the information in these files now to be properly examined and recorded and made available to the public through the National Archives. It is my intention to release every part of every paper of interest subject only to legal exemptions.” The documents were not released. The Foreign Office held back the documents, claiming a legal exemption based on a clause within the same law that it broke by maintaining the secret archive in the first place.

    (http://www.theguardian.com/uk/2013/apr/26/national-archives-colonial-documents-secret)

    The mistreatment and torture was revealed in a book by Caroline Elkins in a book published in 2005 entitled Imperial Reckoning, the Untold Story of the British Gulag in Kenya. Eventually, in 2013 a judge compelled the Foreign Office to release its documents. The British government made an unprecedented apology and agreed on a settlement. Each surviving victim received about $4,000. Elkins reported that the official documents confirmed, in explicit detail, the accounts of victims, both male and female, that she had collected. There was “forced sodomy with broken bottles and vermin and snakes and just horrific, horrific things,” she says. “So not only was it absolutely wrenching to read these, but it was also validating on so many levels and particularly that the British government had been calling them liars,” she says, “All the while sitting on the evidence proving that they were actually telling the truth.”

    (http://www.npr.org/2013/06/09/189968998/britain-apologizes-for-colonial-era-torture-of-kenyan-rebels.)

    The U.S.A., the Senate Intelligence Committee report on CIA torture is an historically significant example of the exercise of the right to freedom of speech by a government body. A 525 page portion published on December 9th. 2014 included key findings and an executive summary. However, the rest of the document remains classified.   It will be interesting to see whether a fuller publication will ever follow. Governments have seldom been exemplary practitioners of freedom of speech.

    Voltaire would have found an appropriate pungent phrase for this kind of official behaviour regarding freedom of speech. Caroline Elkins and others like her have taught us what freedom of speech really means.

     

    Brian Johnstone is a Catholic priest who taught moral theology in Rome for nearly 20 years. Currently he teaches at the Catholic University in Washington.

     

  • Robert Douglas. Senate report on Australian inequality.

    Bridging our growing divide: Inequality in Australia is an important report tabled without fanfare in the Senate by its Community Affairs References Committee. The report is clearly argued and well-buttressed by data and references. The points it makes about an issue central to the kind of society we are developing in Australia deserve wide community discussion.

    The inquiry terms of reference called for a review of the extent of income inequality, the rate at which it is increasing and its impacts on access to health, housing, education and work.

    The senators were also asked to inquire into specific impacts on disadvantaged groups. These included the likely impact of government policies – especially 2014-15 budget measures – on rates of inequality, the principles that should underpin social security payments and practical measures that government could implement to address inequality.

    The six-month inquiry engaged 13 senators – five from the ALP, five from the Liberal Party, two Greens and one independent. The 273-page report, tabled in December 2014, drew on 64 written submissions and seven public hearings involving 59 witnesses from government and voluntary agencies around the nation.

    The report makes it clear the non-government representatives reached consensus on the key findings. The government members, led by Zed Seselja, were uncomfortable with the conclusions. They tabled a dissenting report.

    I was a co-author of a report by the Australia21/Australia Institute, Advance Australia Fair? What to do about growing inequality in Australia. This was released in mid-2014. I met the committee as a witness and spoke about the origins of the report in a roundtable of experts at Parliament House in January 2014.

    Arising from that rich discussion we proposed ten ways to move to a fairer Australia. These included promoting a national conversation about inequality, its effects and ways of dealing with it.

    The stark inequalities of Australian wealth feature on the cover of the Advance Australia Fair? report. Australia21/Australia Institute
    Click to enlarge

    What did the inquiry find?

    The committee’s majority report states that income inequality has increased in Australia since the mid-1980s. It asserts that the budget measures will be likely to exacerbate income inequality and poverty. The report emphasises that the Newstart payment is too low – for a single adult recipient it is more than A$100 per week below the poverty line.

    The report points to the important role of the minimum wage and the fact that lower incomes are associated with poorer health outcomes. In addition, low transfer payments or low incomes often compound the disadvantage felt by groups such as Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples, people with disability, people living with mental illness, single parents and new migrants.

    It also argues the need to consider how the income-support system can assist the large and growing group of people with insecure work. The report notes that regional variations in labour markets can seriously limit people’s employment opportunities.

    It goes on to underline the importance of Commonwealth rent assistance and of long waiting lists to enter public and social housing. According to the report, a decent wage is the best way to lift people out of household stress.

    Finally, the report discusses the importance of a one-on-one approach for reconnecting people with education, training and employment opportunities. It argues the need to invest in programs that connect with young people at risk of leaving school early, that develop tailored training for workers aged 50 and above and that provide long-term unemployed people with mentors.

    The report makes 13 recommendations to act on these key findings.

    The Senate report cites research that suggests the public differs from the government on the urgency of acting to reduce inequality. Australian National University, Australia Election Study 1987–2013, CC BY-NC-ND
    Click to enlarge

    What is the government position?

    The government senators’ dissenting report affirms that Australia is a prosperous egalitarian society, which provides security and opportunity for all. It argues that while Australia has some significant issues with poverty and much can be done to improve opportunity and circumstances for all Australians, the majority report adds little to the debate. It says history has shown that a strong economy that provides employment is the best way to build a prosperous society.

    The dissenting senators say arbitrary comparisons between relative income levels pale in significance compared to Australia’s capacity to grow wealth and lift people out of poverty through employment and education. The majority report fails to make the case that inequality is driving poor socioeconomic outcomes, they say, and does not meaningfully engage with budget policies to improve these outcomes.

    The five-page dissenting report has a single recommendation:

    That the Senate implements the government agenda to build a strong and prosperous economy for the benefit of all Australians.

    That this is the government members’ response to inequality in Australia shows why the public needs to join the debate.

    Robert Douglas is Emeritus Professor, National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health at ANU. This article first appeared in The Conversation on 13 January 2015.

  • Ian Coller. Liberty, equality, fraternity: redefining ‘French’ values in the wake of Charlie Hebdo.

    Beyond the tourist fantasy of the Louvre and the Eiffel Tower, France today is a fabulously colourful mixture of Christians, Muslims, Jews, Buddhists, Hindus, atheists. This is the situation all over Europe. Yet many Europeans are deeply uneasy with this diversity.

    The names of Charlie Hebdo victims reveal the diversity hidden by the Je suis Charlie hashtag: cartoonists and writers Charb, Cabu, Wolinski; psychoanalyst Elsa Cayat; proofreader Mustapha Ourrad; policemen Franck Brinsolaro and Ahmed Merabet; two students killed in a kosher supermarket, Yoav Hattab and Yohan Cohen.

    Yet media and government often still refer to Muslims as “them”: tolerated foreigners, immigrants graciously accorded rights by the state. And Muslims often respond by considering themselves unwanted outsiders, even enemies.

    Until the Second World War, many believed that Jews could not be French. That lie was at the heart of the Dreyfus Affair that tore the country in two. Under the Nazi occupation, millions of Jews were arrested across Europe and sent to their deaths. Since the 1980s, France has come to terms with the ugly truth about its role in those deportations. When it comes to Islam, however, many Europeans still suffer from historical amnesia.

    Most French people forget that Algeria was part of France for 130 years. They are unaware that the current Republic was born out of the bitter struggle over Algerian independence. France’s colonial domination extended through Asia, Africa, the Caribbean and the Pacific, but its heart was in the Muslim lands. Algeria became an integral territory of France after the Revolution of 1848.

    In that year French men were the first to gain universal suffrage. Muslims, however, were excluded from voting for almost a century. Only after 1945 could Muslim men vote, along with French women. It took another 13 years for Muslim women to gain that basic right.

    The Fourth Republic collapsed in 1958, when settlers fighting to keep Algeria French carried out a wave of terrorist attacks across France, culminating in an attempted coup d’état. Wartime leader Charles de Gaulle was hurriedly recalled and given emergency powers.

    Against violent settler opposition, de Gaulle signed Algeria’s independence in 1962. A million European settlers, along with hundreds of thousands of Algerians, crossed the Mediterranean to France. French companies kept their lucrative interests in petroleum and mining. The two countries remained indissolubly linked.

    Yet after decolonisation, most French citizens simply erased the colonies like a bad dream. Algerians could not do the same. In the 1990s, things turned nasty after the secular, French-backed regime in Algiers annulled elections won by an Islamist party. A bloody civil war broke out, killing more than 100,000 people. For Algerians in France, this horror left trauma, distrust and anger.

    In 1995, the violence hit France when a bomb in the Paris subway left eight people dead. The atrocity ramped up French support for the authoritarian Algerian regime’s “war on terror”.

    At home, the Muslim headscarf was increasingly targeted as a dangerous symbol of defiance against French secularism. The authorities banned the hijab in public schools, and made face covering in public illegal. Women wearing facial veils could be arrested in the street, forced to undergo searches, or pay fines. Rather than promoting secular freedoms, these laws fanned extremism, and pushed Muslims further to the margins.

    A position once associated with the far-right, denouncing the loss of “French identity”, has now moved into the centre, where even elements of the former Left have joined it. The French values trumpeted by this republican fundamentalism are abstractions that have little connection to the reality of French society. Freedom of speech is one of these.

    Right-wingers and libertarians alike enthusiastically applauded Charlie Hebdo’s bravery for publishing cartoons offensive to Muslims. Yet it is not clear what they were actually meant to achieve. To insist on abstract principle over negotiation, respect and compromise is what we usually think of as fanaticism.

    Leaders of the fascist-leaning Front National (FN), eager to profit from the potential backlash, now mourn a magazine that consistently reviled them. Je suis Charlie, agreed former leader Jean-Marie Le Pen – adding that he meant Charles Martel, who expelled Muslims from France in the Middle Ages.

    The attackers, French citizens of Algerian descent, also saw things in black and white. Their Islamist beliefs were built on a violent rejection of difference, a refusal to tolerate disagreement, dissent and compromise. This virulent religious nationalism is a mirror of movements like FN that rely on fear of Islam to build their constituency.

    But all is not lost. Asked what he was thinking during the minute of silence for the victims, one man said he was staring at the words on the column before him. Liberty, Equality, Fraternity.

    These are not French values. They belong to everyone. They are not easy, nor are they unstained by violence. Heads on pikes, the guillotine, wars, revolutions: it took a century of struggle for French people to agree on these words. They were almost lost in the brutality of colonial oppression, in the dark years of the German occupation and the anti-Semitism that some French people – including, sadly, many Muslims—perpetuate even today.

    We must confront the past in its richness and its ugliness. France has never been the postcard fantasy of cheese and baguettes. There have always been Muslims, Jews and Christians in France. As one Muslim wrote during the French Revolution:

    No matter where I first drew breath, or the religion in which I was born, we are brothers.

    Many Muslims feel the same today.

    Of liberty, equality and fraternity, the last is the biggest challenge. It is not just an idea but a way of life with deep roots in the French tradition. It is equally familiar in Islam. Fraternity is more than solidarity. It asks us to engage in the difficult project of living together, not as “us” and “them”, not in black and white, but in celebration of the vibrant colour that is Europe today.

    Ian Coller is senior lecturer in History at Latrobe University. This article first appeared in The Conversation on 13 January 2015.