Now that the redistributions in Victoria and WA are completed we can begin to assess the possibilities for the next federal election. Imperfect as it is polling offers some interesting insights. (more…)
Bob McMullan
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Independent candidates are on the rise – and that may not be all bad
The reinstatement of Barnaby Joyce combined with demographic changes raises the possibility that more independents will be elected at the next federal election. A run-down of the most likely electorates. (more…)
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It is not all doom and gloom for Labor votors
The published polling data does not support the prevailing orthodoxy that the ALP is trailing, failing to catch up and headed to inevitable defeat.
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Fairfax’s polling bias
Progressives should not necessarily be concerned about the Crosby Textor connection of the new SMH and Age pollster. The key question is how the polls are reported.
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WA election: an untold story
The main story about the WA election is the scale of the Labor victory. However, there is an untold story: the total failure of the “don’t give Labor total control message”.
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SEAN INNIS and BOB MCMULLAN. Restarting Australian democracy Part Two
The performance of National Cabinet has been the administrative success story of the pandemic. Cooperative and decisive action at the top of our federation has been crucial to successful management of the virus. It is clear that National Cabinet should continue until current restrictions have been removed. But what then? (more…)
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SEAN INNIS and BOB MCMULLAN. Restarting Australian democracy Part One
For many Australians, the relative decisiveness and efficiency of government decision-making over the past few months has been a welcome change. (more…)
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BOB MCMULLAN. Lessons for Labour from Labor
The crushing defeat of the British Labour Party was much worse than that suffered by the Australian Labour Party earlier in the year. However, there were some disturbing similarities and some common lessons to be learnt. The ALP is fortunate to have had the Emerson/Weatherill Review. The British Labour Party needs to do something similar. (more…)