Though it started well earlier this year, the signals now flashing from across the Arafura Sea are no longer cheering. The world’s third largest democracy celebrated a successful poll in April when the voters made their wishes clear. Since then Indonesia’s politicians have ignored the electors and set about imposing agendas never revealed during the campaign.The key word in Indonesian President Joko Widodo’s Kabinet Indonesia Maju is Advance. It would be better labeled Mundur – Retreat.
Duncan Graham
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DUNCAN GRAHAM – Threatening unity by seeking harmony
Maintaining harmony (rukun) is a quality embedded in Javanese culture. This is one explanation for Joko Widodo publicly calling bitter rival Prabowo Subianto his ‘best friend’ at the Presidential inauguration.
A few days later Widodo offered Subianto the Defence portfolio. Some interpreted this as a reconciliation gesture to heal post-poll divisions. Others, particularly human rights activists and supporters of democracy, see Widodo’s decision as foolhardy and a threat to national cohesion.
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DUNCAN GRAHAM How not to engage with Asia
Every decade or so a Western Australian politician on the cast-iron balconies of the State’s Parliament glances outwards. Looking away from the Darling Range rippling in the heat rising from the Swan Coastal Plain, the watcher wonders: What opportunities lie North West?
Maybe adolescent markets hungry for the abundance of minerals and foods coming from the State’s hinterland? Just seeing neighbours as consumers is a bit crass, so policies need to be packaged with ribbons labelled ‘relationships’ and ‘friendship’. The latest is ‘engagement’. Unwrapping reveals a mostly empty box.
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DUNCAN GRAHAM Bali alert! Busybodies at large
It was excruciatingly embarrassing.
The hotel receptionist was adamant: We either proved our marriage or we left. Voices were raised which drew more staff and onlookers to the foyer. Security guards appeared. (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM. PM in gaffe-strewn Indonesian TV interview
Scott Morrison has given a rambling error-littered interview to Indonesian TV where he fudged the figures of casualties in the 2002 Bali bomb blast. The Prime Minister told English-speaking journalist Andini Effendi that “more Indonesians were killed than Australians” when the reverse is true. The official final death toll of 202 men and women in the 12 October terrorist attack was 88 Australians, 38 Indonesians, 23 Britons and 53 from other nations.
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DUNCAN GRAHAM. Indonesia’s Dr Strangelove takes final flight
Indonesia’s fourth president, the late Abdurrahman ‘Gus Dur’ Wahid, was never short of a quip.
“First president (Soekarno, who had nine wives) was crazy about women. The second (Soeharto, who allegedly stole US$35 billion) was crazy about money. The third (Habibie) is just crazy.” Assessing himself, Wahid added: “I just drive people crazy.” (more…)
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Raising the racist flag
The ironies were stark and troubling. On 17 August most Indonesians joyfully commemorated their nation’s proclamation of independence from the Netherlands 74 years ago.
A few weren’t having fun. Next afternoon young Papuans studying in East Java and who are suspected of wanting self rule, were brutally bashed and teargassed on the pretext they’d ‘slandered’ the Republic’s flag.
The bloody clash came three days after the national release of a much trumpeted film recounting the struggles of Javanese against colonial oppression.
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All hail, Queen Mega
This week Indonesian streets are bursting with red and white bunting, celebrating the late leader Soekarno’s proclamation of independence from the Netherlands on 17 August 1945.
Then followed a four- year protracted guerilla war against the stubborn Dutch who couldn’t sniff the stench of post-war rotting colonialism. After an estimated 150,000 deaths, the majority civilians, the United States of Indonesia was internationally recognized. Australian unions were active supporters of the revolutionaries.
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DUNCAN GRAHAM. Joko Widodo is no Lee Kuan Yew
Even read in English it’s a stirring speech with hints of John F Kennedy’s inaugural address: ‘Ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country’. By the standards of Indonesian President Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo, a normally awkward public performer, it was well delivered, calling on voters to move on from the hates of the 17 April election campaign and embrace Pancasila.
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DUNCAN GRAHAM Focusing on Washington, glancing at Jakarta
The 17 April Indonesian elections and fallout could have been big news in Australia. According to some experts they should have been.
Instead media consumers Down Under got more of US President Donald Trump’s distant domestic political shenanigans than they did of the blood and fire crises facing their neighbor nation and its re-elected President Joko Widodo.
The result from the world’s third largest democracy staging the world’s biggest one-day election will impact many countries, but most particularly the adjacent southern continent.
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DUNCAN GRAHAM Roaming for relevance
Politicians hunting the grey vote stalk retirement villages and pensioner clubs. Handy because electors mustered in dining rooms and community halls lean to groupthink. Dissidents don’t do well in confined spaces where they’re condemned to stay mum or risk exclusion. Wrong spots. Hucksters should stake out the hills and river banks where independent thinkers and determined doers thrive and allegiances can be shifted – the backblock campgrounds.
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DUNCAN GRAHAM – Past their use-by date but still current
They ignore the local statistics, but hang on to the exceptional example, Mahathir bin Mohamad. Next month the Malaysian Prime Minister will turn 94 and although he promised to hand over to Anwar Ibrahim, 71, that has yet to occur. (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM Hungry for a result in the Indonesian election?
The differences are stark. When Labor lost Bill Shorten quit and said: ‘Now that the contest is over, all of us have a responsibility to respect the result, respect the wishes of the Australian people and to bring our nation together.’
In Indonesia police are preparing for mass protests when the official results of the Presidential contest are announced on Wednesday. Foreign embassies have warned their nationals to stay indoors. Bomb plans have allegedly been uncovered. (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM Why didn’t Widodo do better?
Slowly, carefully, nervously, Indonesia is retreating from the threat of a bloody revolution following the 17 April election.
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DUNCAN GRAHAM Kingsford Smith forecast: Expect churls Inbox x
In his 9 April post on this website ANU Professor Ramesh Thakur put the question: Who Will Bell the Sydney Airport Security Madness? The expert on disarmament then asked:
Is it possible that pranksters with a perverse sense of humour are in charge of security procedures at Sydney InternationalAirport? Perhaps they are trying to test the limits of traveller tolerance.
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DUNCAN GRAHAM Last post for the old guard?
Have Indonesia’s oligarchs performed their final farewell tour? More than two decades after the fall of second president Soeharto’s authoritarian New Order government a commoner has retained the presidency. (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM. Indonesia – after the count – chaos?
The alphabet of election campaign hyperbole runs from Absurd through Fatuous and Stupid to Zero (as in logic). Most statements are ephemeral for the nonsense spruikers know little is taken seriously once the losers are trampled by the triumphant.
But in Indonesia pledges by the former champion of the 1998 ‘People’s Power Revolution’ are causing deep disquiet.
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DUNCAN GRAHAM: Vote patriotism – who wouldn’t?
Impossible to imagine: Scott Morrison and Bill Shorten start a pre-election national TV debate with handshakes and a hug. Two and a half hours later after gently tapping a few verbal shuttlecocks to-and-fro they pledge to remain friends forever.
That was the scene in Jakarta last weekend when President Joko Widodo and challenger Prabowo Subianto faced off 18 days ahead of the election.
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DUNCAN GRAHAM The Fear of Trading Dangerously
In early March The West Australian published an opinion piece by Professor Stephen Smith on selling to Indonesia; (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM Doing democracy differently
Outsiders who propped their eyelids apart to watch Indonesia’s third TV ‘debate’ ahead of next month’s national elections would have concluded the campaign is bloodless.
For 150 minutes – minus about a third for commercials and promos – vice president hopeful and hidebound Islamic cleric Ma’ruf Amin, shared a platform with challenger and business tycoon Sandiaga Uno.
Amin is coupled to incumbent President Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo; Uno supports former general Prabowo Subianto in his bid for the top job. In this show only the VP candidates performed. (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM Could Kiwi values fly north?
New Zealand’s image has always been less coarse than Australia’s.
Both nations claim to be egalitarian, peopled by ‘can-do’ improvisers. The Jolly Swagman’s cousin is A Good Keen Man. They salute the ‘fair go’, sharpen scythes to slash tall poppies and assert Jack and Jill are as good as their masters and mistresses. (The NZ Governor General and PM jobs are held by women).
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DUNCAN GRAHAM. Old soldiers don’t die – they just imagine
Historians and older Westerners know well what followed the 1933 events in Germany known as ‘the burning of the books.’ Few Indonesians are aware that the forceful Student Union campaign against literature which didn’t promote the ‘German spirit’, fomented fascism. They should because it’s happening in their young democracy and threatening its future. (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM When sinking looms, jump.
Imagine if almost six per cent of the Coalition reckoned they’d lose their seats at the next election so switch to Labor.
Chances are they wouldn’t be piped aboard, as ship jumpers are not favoured in Australian politics, distrusted by the party they betrayed and the one where they seek to stowaway. (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM. Ignoring the Doings Next Door
On a recent edition of ABC TV’s free-for-all Summer Drum, participants sounded off about possible Democrat nominees for the 2020 US Presidential election.
Social commentator Jane Caro sprayed the screen with alternatives. The Australian columnist Greg Sheridan, who comes across as reasonable on the telly, and community advocate Aisha Novakovich tossed in their suggestions.
Host Adam Spencer assumed viewers knew all names and understood the American selection process, so didn’t intervene with descriptors. Nor did the talent interject: ‘Hey, this is asinine. We’ve got swags of homegrown issues to air.’
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DUNCAN GRAHAM. ASEAN: Wethers, not rams.
Half a century ago five neighbouring nations got together with a set of fine ideals. These included boosting economic growth, promoting peace and lifting living standards. That was the excuse. The real purpose was to block the spread of Communism, now a spent force outside China and satellites like North Korea. So why keep the Association of Southeast Asian Nations alive? (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM.Jerusalem and a Free Trade Agreement with Indonesia
Now here’s the weirdest thing about the way we handle policy with the neighbours:
Canberra politicians are proven fumblers and bumblers when dealing with big Muslim-majority Indonesia. Yet at the Australian National University just a ten-minute bike ride across the lake are some of the world’s foremost experts, able to inform, advise and caution.
Instead we have policy on the run when Scott Morrison edged the idea that our embassy in Israel might shift 70 kilometres inland from the Mediterranean. Unsurpisingly he was caught in the slips.
The PM’s office has instant access not only to government think-tanks, but also leading academics. They speak slang garnered in kampongs while doing doctorates. They’ve savoured durians, recited dawn prayers, sweated through nights of wayang magic. In brief they can feel the nation’s pulse.
Last century Cornell in the US, and Leiden in the Netherlands, were the specialists on the archipelago to our north. Now Melbourne University, Monash, the ANU and to a lesser extent Murdoch in Perth and Flinders in Adelaide have taken over.
Does no-one in Parliament House have scholars on speed dial? ‘A quickie, mate … whaddya reckon? The boss might give Ambassador Chris Cannan a new pad in Jerusalem. Good idea – or what?’
Had the calls been made the profs would have been of one voice: ‘Are you joking? Indonesians will go spare … they back Palestine all the way. You’ll blow the whole Free Trade Agreement.’ (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM. Troubled by truth telling in Indonesia
Does the present government really understand Indonesia? Or want to? Ministers get detailed briefings from diplomats in Jakarta squirreling away in our biggest embassy, plus wisdoms from academics close to home. (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM. Putting the zing into statecraft
Foreign affairs (the political version, not dalliances abroad) is seldom a synonym for fun.
The standard photo has a line of suits trying – and failing – to look human.Their media statements, labelled ‘communique’ to maintain the mystique, are triumphs of euphemism, so bland they make laundry lists sound like Hamlet.
Few would bother to read unless they got paid well for the pain. (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM. When giving aid, be humble.
In 2015 then PM Tony Abbott sought to save the lives of two convicted heroin traffickers. He reminded Indonesians that Australians had given $1 billion in emergency aid and rehabilitation following the 2004 Aceh tsunami, so please show mercy.
He should have been better advised: Indonesians reacted angrily and made gestures of raising funds to repay. Instead of softening attitudes, Abbott’s clumsy comments hardened President Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo’s stand against what he called ‘foreign interference’. (more…)
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DUNCAN GRAHAM. Robbing Roads To Keep Rice Cheap.
Unlike their southern neighbours, Indonesians know when they’ll go to the polls – 17 April 2019. That Wednesday will be a public holiday to encourage a big turn out. Voting is not compulsory.
In the 2014 election 135 million electors punched a hole in a ballot paper to make their choice – around 70 per cent of those on the roll – in the world’s third largest democracy.
Next year voters aged over 17 will get the chance to directly elect the president, 580 members of the People’s Consultative Assembly (known as the DPR) and 128 to the Regional Assembly, (DPD).
Fifteen parties will bid for seats but there are only two rematch contestants for the top job – incumbent Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo, 57, and former general Prabowo Subianto, 67, who lost his 2014 bid by just under seven per cent.
Though campaigning is not supposed to start till 13 October, jostling is well underway. Now is the time for Australia to keep its head down; if we get dragged into the contest the collateral damage to relationships could be lasting. (more…)