John Austen

  • JOHN AUSTEN – Road pricing; an update

    Reports about the Grattan Institute’s assessment of Sydney and Melbourne traffic is the latest re-ignition of road pricing arguments.  However, the risk that policy falls further into the hands of vested interests needs to be addressed.  There is an urgent need for Commonwealth advisers to lift their game. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Priorities for Infrastructure Australia.

    The new Infrastructure Australia chair said the organisation is open to ideas and seeks priorities from the public.   Sitting in the public gallery I suggest three priorities: (1) revisit some of its advice; (2) set out the Commonwealth’s role; and (3) become more independent.  The aim is to improve its reputation as a Commonwealth adviser.  (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Doubts about infrastructure go beyond Sydney Metro.

    John Menadue recently asked for an open public inquiry into the NSW Metro scheme.  Given the momentous questions about that scheme and its supposed evaluation there is no doubt such an inquiry must be Australia’s highest infrastructure priority. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Infrastructure advice – worse than expected.

    Previous articles in this blog suggested serious problems in Australia’s infrastructure assessment and approvals arrangements – upon which tens of billions pivot.  The recent Sydney and South-West Metro Rail review by Infrastructure Australia provides troubling evidence of this problem.  (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Infrastructure in Australia- the continuing policy confusion and advisory mess.

    Infrastructure Australia’s ‘reform’ reports and its updated priority list – which assesses particular projects – add to evidence about problems with infrastructure advice.  This article deals with the latest reform report – corridor protection – and the resulting depressing high speed rail humbug. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Road spending incurs billion dollar new debts annually – nobody notices (Repost from 27 June 2016)

    It’s traditional that election time in Canberra brings out the road lobbies who ask for ‘all that extra cash’ which governments raise from fuel excise to be ‘put back into our roads’. The problem is that the facts no longer bear this out. Australia is spending more on roads than it collects from fuel excise and vehicle registrations. It is going into more and more debt to build roads. What is worse, it appears that official figures are being fudged to obscure this inconvenient truth from scrutiny – lest it get in the way of more promises for more and more multi-billion dollar road projects. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Does Infrastructure Australia understand its ideas for public transport franchising?

    A recent report by Infrastructure Australia recommends franchising state public transport services, with Commonwealth incentives for so doing. It claimed that this would realise around $16 bn of financial savings, which could be spent on infrastructure. The report assumed there to be inherent but undisclosed inefficiencies in state government services, without providing evidence of such inefficiencies. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Infrastructure misuse and mistakes – the Hume Highway.

    The value of infrastructure depends on how well it is used. Australia’s main infrastructure problem is misuse of what we have; a symptom of an absence of sensible policies, advisory failures and lobbying to build monuments to keep the concrete flowing.

    This article, about the Hume Highway, is the first in a series on this issue. Misuse of the Hume, Australia’s most important highway, has damaged the rail and trucking industries, caused harmful traffic in Sydney and led to sub-optimal locations of industry. The solutions – highway charging and removal of unnecessary truck restrictions – are well known; the continuing stubborn inaction on these is a sad reflection on Australia’s infrastructure advisers and decision makers.  (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN: The Commonwealth is ‘meddling’ in NSW rail – at last!

    There are indications the Prime Minister wishes to modernise infrastructure policy.   Reports regarding rail to Badgerys Creek highlight the discomfort this causes to the NSW Government- and enormous benefits if the Prime Minister gets Commonwealth involvement right.  
    (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Where to for Commonwealth infrastructure policy?

    Legend has it that Charlton Heston flashed a Rolex wristwatch during a chariot race in the 1959 Ben Hur movie. Some recent Prime Ministerial comments could be considered flashes of a policy Rolex in an infrastructure discussion fitted to the setting of Ben Hur – in ancient Rome.  (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. NSW rail projects – a lot of explaining to do

    Yet more questions arise about projects set off by former NSW Transport Minister now Premier Ms Berejiklian. This time about light rail. As for the port privatisations and metro, real answers are yet to come. The sooner a Commonwealth inquiry gets to the bottom of all this the better.   (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. The Sydney metro – the doubt and mess continues.

    A little more real information about Sydney rail development is coming to light. It is not dispelling the doubts about metro. A decision on Badgerys Creek rail, which would have been straightforward without the metro, is now ‘years off’. The extent of metro disruption is becoming evident – spreading to even non-metro lines.   (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. The Premier and privatisation; selling silverware for transport tupperware?

    Commentators on Premier Baird’s years focussed on short term matters such as money from privatisations or inconvenience caused by infrastructure building. The most important question, the merit of infrastructure built with sale proceeds, may take years to answer. NSW will be lucky if it ends up with transport infrastructure of lasting value from the sale of the state’s silverware.   (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Badgerys Creek – testing times

    The new airport at Badgerys Creek will test national competition and state transport infrastructure policies and may reveal the latter to be gravely flawed. The usual Commonwealth-state funding fight spectacle should be treated as a trivial pantomime and not distract from the serious policy issues that must be addressed and their permanent consequences for many Australians. In any event, rich spoils extracted from the public purse await the airport’s owners and infrastructure industry players.   (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Roads – another year of congestion-causing deficits

    We are spending enormous sums on roads and increasing our national debt. Communities are being seriously disrupted and the congestion is increasing. When will we put a stop to this nonsense?  
    (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Sydney, metro again: $10billion more to ‘build something later’?

    John Austen suggests that the NSW government’s approach to railways is at least back-to-front and probably misconceived.  (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Sydney Metro – a disaster in store.

    The public has been given no serious justification for why Sydney needs a separate, distinct and very expensive new rail system like Metro. All we have is a very big bill and more on the horizon.

    Sydney could spend almost as much on its metro rail as Australia will pay for its new submarines, with little to no scrutiny of whether metro is the right solution and whether it might actually be working to the detriment of the existing commuter rail network and therefore to the detriment of Sydney’s economy and people overall. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Urban rail projects: property developers should be servants not masters

    There is plenty of advice on how to plug the supposed infrastructure gap in Australia’s big cities. One popular idea is for passenger rail projects to be led and funded by property development. [1]

    The idea has intuitive appeal. The origins of some railways many years ago was land development. Land use has been put as the sine qua non for major rail projects, recently via agglomeration theory. The idea would be a step towards the holy-grail of integrating the yin of land use and the yang of transport planning.

    Yet caution is needed. There were reasons why privately led railways fell out of favour. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. How port privatisation will hobble Newcastle

    Commonwealth action is necessary to undo potential penalties on Newcastle Port.

    While the infrastructure conversation focusses on major projects like electricity grids it can ignore more significant matters.

    One such matter in NSW that deserves immediate attention is port privatisations. A deal included in the sales of Botany (2013) and Newcastle (2014) impedes the development of Newcastle Port and city. That deal also effects public confidence in privatisation.

    The deal, a ‘port commitment’, is that the state government would compensate Botany for competition from Newcastle using funds from Newcastle Port. [1]

    The deal reportedly requires Newcastle to pay around $100 to the NSW state Government for each container it handles in excess of an annual 30,000 ‘cap’. The cap increases modestly each year, as might also payments per container. The state government would pay this amount to the new owners of Port Botany. The deal lasts for another 47 years, yes 47 years. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Is there a simple way of dealing with national infrastructure issues? Yes, but it is not a simple matter of adopting Infrastructure Australia’s ‘project list’.

    The argument

    Recent pieces offered a seemingly simple way forward to deal with national infrastructure issues.

    It should be simple. All parties should commit to (Infrastructure Australia’s) “project” list – in part or in full – and then stop spending. These “projects” have been properly assessed and found to be worth doing, and specifically worth doing by the federal government because they have some national significance. [1]

     

    Indeed, governments should limit project spending to proposals that have been properly and publicly assessed. We are entitled to know what is being done in our name and why. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. The High Court – The Williams case and transport

    This article expands on previous comments that the Williams (No. 2) case is reason to reconsider Commonwealth engagement in land transport. [1]

    The challenge to Government spending programs

    Williams (No. 2) was the third recent challenge in the High Court to Commonwealth Government spending.

    Before these three cases it was widely assumed the Government could spend as it sees fit. Governments worked on that assumption using the equivalent of Jack Sparrow’s compass to guide them; Conservative administrations set course towards rural roads, Labor steered to cities.

    The three High Court cases should consign the assumption, the compass and lack of proper Commonwealth direction to the deep. [2] (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. High speed rail – here we go again.

    Another proposal involving high speed rail Sydney-Melbourne recently surfaced; from CLARA (Consolidated Land and Rail Australia).

    Extensive media reports noted an advisory board including former Trade Minister the Hon. Andrew Robb, ex Premiers the Hon. Barry O’Farrell and the Hon. Steve Bracks , and former US Transportation Secretary Ray Lahood. A figure of $200billion was mentioned, with a claim it will not rely on government funding.

    So far the outline is sketchy.There are four website pages and a sub three minute video. The idea seems to be to create a series of new cities in inland NSW and Victoria linked to the state capitals by high speed rail. It is a decentralisation plan of which high speed rail is one aspect. Decades would pass before such a plan came to fruition, if ever. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Road pricing rather than more road funding must be the priority.

     

    Road pricing is a hot topic for policy advisers although less popular with the public and elected representatives. This article attempts a (overly) simple explanation of what, why and whereto of road pricing. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. Infrastructure summit – reported highlights

    Is there such a thing as bad or wasteful infrastructure or is it like motherhood, all noble and good?

    (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN. High speed rail – where to? Competing with airlines or cars?

    This article proposes a change in focus for the high speed rail debate. Rather than seeking to compete with airlines, rail should contribute to settlement that eases pressures on capital cities. This change of focus does not require ego stoking thousand kilometre distances at 350kph plus speeds, but trains for comfortable commuting between second tier cities and capitals. Costs would be lower and demand higher. Newcastle-Sydney is the obvious first candidate. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN and LUKE FRASER. Urbane transport policy. Part 3 of 3

     

    This article is the third in a series about transport. The first two dealt with topics raised by the Prime Minister; mass transit, 30-minute cities etc and noted some challenges for the Commonwealth.[i]

    Urbane Transport policy. Part 1 of 3

     Urbane transport policy. Part 2 of 3

    The articles draw on public information – the basis for the community trust necessary for effective democracy. Unfortunately, some information has reduced trust. Restoring that trust begins with the top tier of Australian government – the Commonwealth – and depends on how a future Government approaches land transport. (more…)

  • JOHN AUSTEN and LUKE FRASER. Urbane transport policy. Part 2 of 3.

    Urbane transport policy

    This article is the second in a series about transport infrastructure. Part 1 dealt with the Prime Minister’s focus on mass transit and 30-minute cities. This deals with other matters raised by the Prime Minister: value capture, city deals. A final article will deal with the Commonwealth’s role.[i]

    Value capture

    Value capture – levying taxes on properties improved by infrastructure projects – is not novel in Australia; contributions to local infrastructure are made for some developments. But it is relatively new for major transport projects. (more…)

  • John Austen and Luke Fraser. Urbane transport policy. Part 1 of 3.

    Prime Minister Turnbull made a splash on urban transport recently. He sketched a vision of ‘30 minute cities’ where residents spend on average just one hour a day travelling to regular activities like work and shopping. He also considered mass transit solutions rather than just more motorways.

    This article is the first of three raising questions about where politics and bureaucracy find themselves in transport and its infrastructure – and where they might head next. In a subsequent post, more on funding and the role of the Commonwealth. For now, the PM’s focus on mass transit and 30 minute cities:

    Mass transit                                                                   

    There is a case for favouring mass transit systems over motorways. In this, the current Rhodes Scholar distinguishes himself from the previous PM, who was more of a roads scholar (guided, one suspects, by Margaret Thatcher’s famous views on the emasculating shame of public transport ([i])). If PM Abbott’s objective was reducing travel time to power the city economy, he had it wrong: new motorways can appear liberating, but when ‘aimed’ at major centres in cities can induce more and more cars to use them – until they soon become full again ([ii]). You can’t bust congestion just by building more motorways.

    30-minute capital cities

    There is a theory, based on historical record, of long-term constant average travel times in some major cities of around half an hour. But these places mostly aren’t Australian capital cities. Our cities have around 200 years of development to consider; most evolved intensively only after the advent of the motor car; they spread out and luxuriated in wide spaces. Many Australians, especially in the biggest cities, already spend considerably more than 30 minutes commuting each way every day. Data for Sydney shows total average daily travel time to exceed 40 minutes, 35 minutes on work trips alone ([iii]).

    Little wonder that a 30-minute city is an attractive political stance. Even less wonder that sections of Sydney and Melbourne’s media dismissed the Prime Minister’s proposal as ludicrously ambitious ([iv]).

    What can the PM do about this? Will spending enough billions on big projects break the mould and reduce Sydney or Melbourne commutes to 30 minutes? Settled economic theory around equilibriums would say no. Whether the travel time is 30, 40, or 50 minutes, attempting to change these numbers could hazard many scarce billions for little long term gain: it is difficult to drop travel times sustainably through infrastructure, least of all by roads, and by inference through housing.  Naturally, this view won’t be popular with the infrastructure industry that stands to profit most directly from massive spending. But in this respect, as someone or other said recently, Canberra is not an ATM – not for the states, not for civil engineering firms either.

    So is it all hot air? No. But Prime Ministerial effort will benefit most from avoiding blank-cheque public transport evangelists and instead playing a strong and focussed hand in the game, with an eye on creating a robust Commonwealth legacy:

    • Canberra can influence better city transport design through road pricing. As distinct from charging to pay for roads, road pricing has the best potential to reduce congestion. It also can help resolve the vital but usually ignored question: which mix of transport, including public transport, gets the best results? This is especially the case if road profits are available to systems separated from car use, such as rail and bus rapid transit. Canberra can put its oar in the water here by asking for the theoretical application of road pricing in the identification and assessment of every major urban transport project proposal. An ‘as if there was road pricing’ test is a practical way of doing this today, without needing another bureaucratic study or debate on how to introduce road pricing.   Indeed, to not use such a test now entails major risks to the design, economy and amenity of Australia’s cities.
    • Distributional effects of transport projects merit closer examination. The largest economic and social gains, such as increased workforce participation, may well be reaped by helping those at the physical and social margins of our cities; in this sense, the discussion should be more about access to services and less about speed/mobility. More about the ability of the young to get to good jobs; less about pandering to the privileged few by making their drive to the CBD or holiday home a little faster under the guise of ‘congestion busting’.
    • Arising from this, as Mike Keating and Luke Fraser wrote for last year’s Fairness Opportunity and Security series ([v]), there is a need to give renewed consideration to buses in the Australian setting, including redesign of new housing developments to better accommodate buses, rather than just giving the westies a motorway, or inner city dwellers their longed-for token ‘iron pony’ (aka light rail), or some obscure minister his or her bronze dedicatory plaque on a motorway that points itself at a city centre.
    • Lastly places like Newcastle, Wollongong, Geelong and Townsville seem a much more feasible testbed for the 30-minute city than Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane. Among other things, unlike in the big capitals, this would not require an archaeological understanding of historical agendas for these cities, and avoids angsts such as having attractions close to where people live and not just near the CBD.
    • Higher Speed rail connections between places like Newcastle or the Central Coast and Sydney can create a much larger ’30-minute city’ and the value capture from such projects might be larger than for projects confined to Sydney’s already expensive property market. This deserves proper consideration, in contrast to the eccentricities seen in Canberra’s recent high speed rail studies.

    So, lots to be done – and none of it even remotely attended to by Canberra to date. Plenty of ideas for a Prime Minister who wants to take cities seriously. But to set up a real legacy, any Prime Minister, whether Turnbull or Shorten, must ensure their Government’s actions align with a proper and sustainable role for the Commonwealth.

    John Austen is a happily retired former official. He was Director of Economic Policy for Infrastructure Australia from its inception in 2008 to his retirement in 2014. Further background is at: thejadebeagle.com.

    Luke Fraser is the founder and principal of a transport policy and investment advisory. In 2012 he was appointed to the board of the Prime Minister and Premiers Road Reform Project. Prior to this he was a national freight industry chief executive and provided advisory services to Infrastructure Australia. He recently authored a tax-rebate-based road pricing reform model for the SA government. The views expressed here are his own.

    [i] Worth quoting, a reminiscence, albeit from the other side, from UK Hansard (2 July 2003, Column 407): ‘The hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West (Rob Marris) said that the Conservatives had no policy on buses, but that is hardly surprising in view of the most famous quote of all time about the buses, delivered by Margaret Thatcher …in 1986:

    A man who, beyond the age of 26, finds himself on a bus can count himself as a failure”.’

    [ii] http://www.citymetric.com/transport/does-building-more-roads-create-more-traffic-934

    [iii] 2012-13 Household Travel Survey at http://www.bts.nsw.gov.au/Statistics/Household-Travel-Survey/default.aspx#top

    [iv] http://www.smh.com.au/comment/the-30-minute-city-is-a-silly-idea-but-malcolm-turnbulls-cities-policy-isnt-as-hollow-as-it-seems-20160502-gokk5e.html

    [v] https://publish.pearlsandirritations.com/blog/?p=3834

  • John Austen. Grattan Institute on transport projects: a better mousetrap?

    In ‘Road to riches: better transport investment’ the respected Grattan Institute joined commentators, independent authorities and lobby groups in advancing ideas on transport ‘investment’. Like others it proposed publication of assessments for public spending; a better mousetrap to ensnare politically motivated proposals.

    The report proposed a three stage process for government transport ‘investment’:

    1. Spending only after publication, by tabling in parliament, of a benefit-cost assessment;
    2. Spending on all proposals that pass such an assessment;
    3. Independence of spending from Grants Commission processes.

    There is merit in the ideas. There also are pitfalls.

    1. Spending only after publication

    This has already been proposed by various organisations.

    Sensible transport spending choices can be made for many reasons, including ‘political’ ones. At times the electorate might want decisions for reasons other than ‘economic’ criteria set out in assessment manuals. Still, in a democracy it is important for the electorate to know what is done in its name and why.

    The case for parliamentary tabling of assessments is compelling for the Commonwealth after the High Court’s decision in Williams (No. 2). It is less important and more questionable for the states.

    1. Spending on all project proposals that pass such an assessment

    According to assessment manuals an ‘economic’ transport project need not increase GDP, because benefits are often dominated by travel time savings. Investing in all ‘economic’ transport projects would bankrupt Australia.

    Instead of just reducing travel time, transport should increase the ability of communities, particularly those with ingrained disadvantage, to participate in activities enjoyed by the more privileged. Such an accessibility agenda has better prospects for economic growth, fairness and community support than the current travel time paradigm that dominates transport ‘investment’ thinking.

    1. Independence of spending from Grants Commission processes

    The concern is that a state’s gain from Commonwealth transport gifts can be offset by reduced Commonwealth general grants.

    The concern arises when the Commonwealth spends outside the national transport network, hence the issue is network definition. That the current network does not match its description is well known, easily fixed and a national disgrace.

    The ‘problem’ would disappear if the network reflected the Commonwealth’s proper role. In fact, the problem would become a strength; providing Commonwealth and state governments with an incentive to focus on their respective responsibilities.

    Fundamentals

    Behind these specifics are fundamental questions. I become concerned when transport commentary blames politicians but ignores problems that contribute to ‘political’ decisions like:

    • Some published work being embarrassingly wrong;
    • Poor attitudes and discontinuity in transport policy;
    • The wide gap between transport and broader public policy.

    Harsh? Consider a few recent public examples relevant to major investments:

    • The Productivity Commission claimed the national access regime is not intended to apply to roads. The relevant legislation gave roads as one of the two examples of infrastructure covered by the regime;
    • Infrastructure Australia overlooked it’s (offices) own 2013 suggestion that all urban transport projects be tested ‘as if’ there was road pricing;
    • In consecutive years Bureau of Infrastructure Transport and Regional Economics revisions to road data have been nothing less than radical;
    • The High Speed Rail study purported to demonstrate a ludicrous proposition, that demand in the NSW southern highlands would be of the same magnitude as for Newcastle or the Central Coast;
    • Sydney metro apparently forgot the (extraordinary) independent and expert review by Mr Ron Christie AM which warned about the ‘breaks of gauge’ it appears to making.

    Other examples exist, such as reluctance to talk about true national objectives like defence or railway standardisation.

    Given this it would be foolhardy to fund all transport proposals with a published positive economic assessment or that pass other tests administered by bureaucracies.

    That more than just published assessments are needed is the reason for the infrastructure audit recently conducted by Infrastructure Australia. The real problem today lies in identification rather than assessment of investments.

    Stability in political and commercial systems is essential for good investments. In Australia the bedrock for such stability is the Constitution.

    A root cause of problems in Australian governments’ transport investment is a drift away from Constitutional concepts of federalism and separation of powers and instability in the Commonwealth’s ‘role’. That the drift continued under numerous governments suggests it is not the sole fault of politicians. The drift should have stopped with the decision in Williams (No. 2) but continues, unremarked.

    The real need is to improve governance of transport by:

    • Constitutionally faithful roles of: the Commonwealth in transport; the executive and Parliament within the Commonwealth. Professor Saunder’s principles warrant consideration;
    • Publishing (proposed) infrastructure contracts, including those which restrain competition to established or new infrastructure;
    • Applying Government Trading Enterprise reforms and the National Competition Policy to roads;
    • Greater conformance with precepts such as: alignment of responsibility with power; independence of decision making from beneficiaries; public sector as protector of the public interest;
    • Scrutiny of the practices of advisory institutions and departments.

    A discussion on these will not be universally welcomed. However, the Grattan Institute would be helping the community and those in the transport sector by pursuing these deeper questions rather than, like so many others, just refining a mousetrap.

     

    John Austen is a happily retired former official. He was Director of Economic Policy for Infrastructure Australia from its inception in 2008 to his retirement in 2014. Further background is at: thejadebeagle.com.

    References

    Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics, Infrastructure Statistics Yearbooks 2014, 2015.

    Department of Infrastructure Transport and Regional Development, High Speed Rail Study, Phase 2 Report, 2013.

    Independent Public Inquiry into a Long Term Transport Plan for Sydney (Chair Ron Christie AM) Final Report, May 2010.

    Infrastructure Australia, Urban Transport Strategy, 2013.

    Productivity Commission; National Access Regime Final Report, 2013.

    Productivity Commission; Financial performance of government trading enterprises (various).

    Saunders, Cheryl and Crommelin, Michael, Reforming Australian Federal Democracy, University of Melbourne Law School Legal Studies Research paper 711, 2015.

    Terrill, Marion, Roads to riches: Better transport investment, Grattan Institute, April 2016.