Category: Education

  • CHRIS BONNOR. Reports on schools: lift the bonnet … and ration the petrol.

     

    A couple of reports out on schools this week are urging policy shifts, but in different directions. The latest offering from the money-doesn’t-matter brigade comes from the Productivity Commission in its draft report Lifting the bonnet on Australia’s schools. Meanwhile Jim McMorrow has completed an analysis which shows that when it comes to money, public schools and disadvantaged schools generally face a lean future.

    The Commission wasn’t crudely asked to investigate the alleged non-link between money and results – but it was happy to throw around a few generalisations – and the media reports certainly focused on this issue. (more…)

  • LINDA SIMON. CEDA joins call for urgent VET Review

     

    The Committee for Economic Development of Australia (CEDA) has released a report into aspects of vocational education and training (VET) in Australia. The report is entitled ‘VET: securing skills for growth’ and makes a number of recommendations including the need for COAG to “undertake a long-overdue comprehensive, national review of the sector that aims to examine its role in meeting Australia’s skill needs”. It goes on to say that this review would form the basis of the COAG discussions towards a new VET Agreement between the Commonwealth and states/territories. The following discussion outlines some of the issues raised in the report and comments on the possibilities for change in this under-resourced and under-valued sector. (more…)

  • CHRIS BONNOR & BERNIE SHEPHERD. NSW public schools are bursting at the seams – but which ones and why?

     

    A news report in The SMH August 29th revealed that more than 800 public schools in NSW are operating at 100% of capacity or more. Apparently 180 of these are stretched beyond their limits. The report listed a large number of these schools.

    Where are these schools and why are they in high demand? Most are primary schools, usually located in metropolitan areas. There are 118 of these for which full My School data is available. 98 of these are located in metropolitan areas.

    The most noticeable feature of these 98 schools is that they already enrol advantaged students. Their average Index of socio-educational advantage (ICSEA) is 1069. This compares with the NSW average for public primary schools which is around 100 lower at 967. It is a big difference. (more…)

  • CHRIS BONNOR & BERNIE SHEPHERD. When public schools become part of the problem

     

    School education in Australia has been invaded from the west. In 2010 Western Australia added its contribution to free-market orthodoxy by declaring that its public schools would be given greater control over staffing and budgets. From 2010 an increasing number have become independent public schools.

    Like many reforms (?) over the last few decades it has a certain resonance and indeed was initially welcomed by a large number of schools. School principals have always complained about excessive bureaucratic control of their schools. (more…)

  • LINDA SIMON. Australian VET in crisis! Are there lessons to be learned from the UK?

     

    For some the crisis in vocational education and training (VET) and the fate of TAFE was a critical issue in the recent Australian Federal elections. For others it hardly made the radar. Unfortunately a number of those others included members of the re-elected Federal Government. Karen Andrews is now the fifth Minister or Assistant Minister responsible for VET since September 2013, bringing another new face to the sector. (more…)

  • CHRIS BONNOR & BERNIE SHEPHERD. It’s NAPLAN time again!

     

    August is when the NAPLAN test results come out to schools and parents. It isn’t as exciting as the annual release of Year 12 results, but it is developing a life of its own. We are bombarded with media releases, claims and counter claims about schools and results. Cheer squads or jeer squads form up, the occasional moral panic revived, along with the usual exhortations to do better next year. (more…)

  • DEAN ASHENDEN. State aide, the ALP and the ‘needs policy’.

    When Labor decided to support public funding of non-government schools fifty years ago, it created a legacy that is still misunderstood. (more…)

  • LINDA SIMON. The national scandal in Vocational Education and Training (VET).

    Redesigning VET FEE-HELP

    In late April the Federal Government released a discussion paper entitled ‘Redesigning VET FEE-HELP’. It had become apparent that continuing legislative changes put through the Federal Parliament were not enough to prevent the behaviour of some private training providers. The most recent of those changes was in January this year when the Higher Education Support (VET) Guidelines 2015 were introduced to “further strengthen the scheme and constrain growth”[1] These Guidelines were aimed at capping VET FEE-HELP loans at 2015 loan amounts, protecting students from providers or their agents including new entry requirements, stronger cooling off periods and three fee periods rather than one up-front hit, and new eligibility requirements for providers. It is many of these changes that form the basis of the questions raised in the discussion paper, asking if these are enough or are there other ways of preventing the current ‘rorts’ that have become the centre of this national VET scandal. (more…)

  • LYNDSAY CONNORS. The schools funding question that Turnbull needs to answer

     

    ‘The quality of a student’s education should not be limited by where the student lives, the income of his or her family, the school he or she attends or his or her personal circumstances’.

    This is the statement of moral purpose set out in the preamble to current legislation, the Australian Education Act 2013, where it underpins the funding arrangements put in place by the previous Labor government, based on the 2011 Gonski Review.

    Bill Shorten has made clear that it is a principle that he and his party support (as do the Greens).

    Do Malcolm Turnbull and the Coalition support it – or not? It’s a simple question and it would be good to hear it asked and answered publicly before the imminent Federal election. (more…)

  • LINDA SIMON. Do the Parties really care about vocational education and training (VET) these elections?

     

    National TAFE Day was celebrated on June 16 this year, a little over two weeks before the Federal elections. Both Labor and the Greens took the opportunity to restate their support for TAFE and launch further policies. However the Government’s media release from Senator Scott Ryan, Minister for Vocational Education and Skills, focused only on criticisms of Labor’s policies, with no indication of how the Government might support TAFE. “On National TAFE Day 2016”, he said, “The Turnbull Coalition Government is standing with thousands of TAFE students against Bill Shorten’s knee-jerk plan to charge students thousands of dollars in upfront course fees.” He went on to say: “Labor’s ill-thought-through plan for massive upfront fees stands in stark contrast to the deliberative and consultative approach of the Turnbull Coalition Government, which has introduced more than a dozen measures to crack down on dodgy providers, and put students’ and taxpayers’ interests at the heart of VET FEE-HELP reform.” (more…)

  • FAZAL RIZVI. Migration Ain’t What It Used to Be

    That Asian-Australians are making a substantial contribution to the Australian economy is a fact that can no longer be contested. This contribution is of enormous significance, especially as Australia seeks to become integrated into the regional economy.

    The issues of how this contribution might be mapped and enhanced are examined in a report released by the Australian Council of Learned Academies (ACOLA). The report provides a discussion of the business opportunities that Asian Australians have, as well as the challenges they face. It also provides a discussion of how Australia, and its major institutions, might address these challenges. The report was released by Australia’s Chief Scientist on May 26. (more…)

  • WARWICK ELSCHE. Shorten should play to Labor’s strength.

     

    For more than 60 years, since opinion polling became important in shaping election strategies, there has been for the Australian Labor Party one awkward but stubborn consistency.

    Rightly or wrongly the Australian Electorate, with very isolated and brief exceptions, has always preferred and trusted the non Labor side of politics, the Liberal-National Party Coalition, as managers of the National economy.

    Incredibly, the present Government, which came to power on the strength of a supposed debt and deficit calamity retains that favoured regard on economic issues despite the fact that it has, in just three years added more than 100 billion to the National debt and trebled the deficit – the two things they claimed were threatening Australia’s future. (more…)

  • CHRIS BONNOR and BERNIE SHEPHERD. Will we really get Gonski?

    So the election is in full swing and the word ‘Gonski’ is once more up there in lights. You have to feel a bit sorry for David Gonski. His achievements are indeed stellar but his name has become a proxy for just one: a major review into schools.

    Actually it has become a proxy for school funding – and even more narrowly, a proxy for school dollars going this way or that. After Bill Shorten announced extra school funding, electorate by electorate, we now know how many Gonskis will flow and who gets them. Under Labor it seems everyone will get a Gonski. (more…)

  • Is this the vocational education and training system we need?

    Hearing or reading about vocational education and training (VET) today, we expect it to be another story of rorts and wrongdoings. And it is an horrific story, a story of for-profit private providers accessing public funding and not delivering the education and training students expected. It is a story of a number of private providers using brokers to search out vulnerable and naïve prospective students, and signing them up to a lifetime’s debt with promises of free courses and iPads. How did we get to such a position in such a short time? (more…)

  • DAVID STEPHENS. Honest History’s Alternative Guide to the Australian War Memorial

    Questioning the received view: Honest History’s Alternative Guide to the Australian War Memorial

    Which word should we use to describe what happened on 25 April 1915: ‘landing’ or ‘invasion’? Why do we refer to dead soldiers as ‘the fallen’? Does the ‘freedom’ we are said to have fought for in our many wars include the freedom to have awkward views about how we should commemorate these wars? (more…)

  • MICHELE KOSASIH. Seven years on and still itching for change on the negative impacts of alcohol.

    2016 marks seven years for the Foundation for Alcohol Research and Education’s (FARE) Annual Alcohol Poll (conducted by Galaxy Research), and we continue to see Australia’s concern about the negative impacts alcohol has on the community. (more…)

  • Chris Bonnor. My Gonski is bigger than yours

    We should have known it would come to this. For years both Labor and the Coalition have ducked and weaved while the education sector battled to ensure that at least the Gonski funding hope was kept alive. Labor recast Gonski’s recommendations into a form that the Gonski panel would hardly recognize, and the Coalition was never committed – in fact it is only a few months since they announced that extra Gonski funding wasn’t going to happen.

    But the agitation wouldn’t go away and the May budget included a further $1.2 billion. It comes with certain obligations imposed on the States, somewhat of a backflip from previous Minister Pyne’s rejection of any such “command and control”. It also comes with various other conditions, including performance pay for teachers, something which was amongst the shortest-lived of Labor’s previous initiatives.

    Labor’s current Gonski commitment is $4.5 billion over 2018-19 – a much bigger ‘Gonski’. Labor Leader Bill Shorten has released a state-by-state and electorate-by-electorate breakdown of where the money will go. In effect Labor is promising what it sees as the full Gonski. It certainly isn’t and I’m not referring to money.

    In response, Education Minister Birmingham – in the new Coalition regulatory mode – was quick to point out that Labor will continue a model riddled with inconsistencies in funding between the states, territories and non-government systems.

    He could have added his own government as a contributor to such inconsistencies – but his response does raise significant questions. How will the funding be targeted, will it get there and under what forms of accountability? Even bigger questions include: what will be the purpose of this funding, how will it target need and what steps will be taken to ensure efficiency, consistency and efficacy?

    These are the same questions that Gonski asked, and to which he provided answers, several years ago – but his solutions were never taken up. Funding was to be focused on need and bring schools up to a resource standard to improve student outcomes. It was to be coordinated by a federal/state schools resourcing body to create some logic in the way schools were funded by the two levels of government.

    What has happened in the post-Gonski years is that the way we fund schools from both levels of government, has achieved almost farcical dimensions. Everyone seems to believe in equity and boosting the struggling schools – but the evidence shows that we have not been doing that. Recurrent funding increases (per student) for schools have been at the same rate for the advantaged and disadvantaged for the last six years. When it comes to school sectors, increases for non-government schools are running at double the rate of increases to government schools, the ones which enrol more of the strugglers. As I have previously shown, the differences between the states defy explanation.

    The Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition don’t have to go too far to see what has happened in the absence of efforts to achieve better coordination. Instead of visiting their local schools for the inevitable photo ops they could dig into what the funding data is showing about these same schools. What would they find?

    Let’s start with Bill Shorten’s electorate of Maribyrnong. It includes a variety of government and non-government schools, funded in ways that must have escaped the notice of the local member. A couple of Catholic secondary schools are very well funded, in part because they enrol students with a below-average level of socio-educational advantage (SEA). The Catholic Regional College receives $15,320 per student in combined government funding – but this is over $3000 more than goes to nearby Braybrook College, a government school with an even lower SEA. It is also well ahead of Pascoe Vale Girls Secondary College and St Albans Secondary. Caroline Chisholm Catholic College, also in the electorate, is funded, by governments, at levels ahead of two of these government schools. There are also some inconsistencies between the government schools.

    In effect the Catholic schools have become more public than the government schools – but only in terms of their funding. In their operation they are private schools. Only the government schools must be available to every local student, from every family and under every circumstance. Not only that, there is a raft of quite different obligations, accountabilities, policies and practices impacting on the two sectors. The school playing field is anything but level. Go figure!

    So let’s visit the Prime Minister’s electorate in Sydney’s eastern suburbs. There aren’t too many government schools there because previous governments, in their wisdom, closed them down and the current government is scrambling to meet the new demand for public school places. In NSW public funding of non-government schools seems to have been at more sustainable levels. But Yeshiva College and St Clare’s College, in the Wentworth electorate, manage to receive more public funding than the not too distant Rose Bay Secondary College and Randwick Girls High School. Yeshiva College has just 69 students, so diseconomies of scale apply, something which raises other questions. All these schools have a similar SEA level.

    The electorate of Wentworth reveals more. The level of student achievement, as measured by NAPLAN, doesn’t significantly vary between schools which enrol similar students. But the total level of investment which goes into these similarly high achieving schools varies wildly, from around $12 000 per student in the public schools to double, and in some cases triple, that amount in the local private schools. With his background in business the Prime Minister would know about the need for investments to pay a dividend. It seems that the public investment of around $65 million each year in the private schools isn’t making much difference to student achievement. When he next wants to show that money doesn’t improve results he has the evidence on his doorstep. In the meantime, Bill Shorten might like to think about where the $15 million Gonski money he has earmarked for the electorate should not go.

    In the past, to point to this sort of thing would raise the usual accusations of the politics of envy. There is not envy behind these figures, just dysfunction. Gonski’s sector-blind solution would have avoided this happening. But both parties have avoided most of Gonski’s important solutions, and now have to give urgent attention to resolving the consequences. They either have to reduce funding to the non-government schools or level the playing field in the ways they operate. Doing nothing isn’t an option.

    But nothing is precisely what they will do.

    Chris Bonnor AM FACE is a retired Australian principal, education writer and Fellow of the Centre for Policy Development. He is a previous president of the NSW Secondary Principals’ Council and author of several books including The Stupid Country and What Makes a Good School, both written with Jane Caro. 

     

     

     

     

  • Michael Keating. The 2016-17 Budget. Part 1 of 2.

    The Turnbull Government’s Budget for 2016-17 reflects an essentially ‘steady as she goes’ fiscal strategy. Not that that is a fault – indeed it can be a virtue, especially when matched against the give-aways in other previous pre-election budgets.

    Furthermore, we could not have realistically expected any other sort of Budget, given the extent to which the Government had narrowed its options before Budget day. In addition, a policy of matching every new spending initiative by a saving, is bound to produce minimal change; not least because cutting existing programs typically generates more opposition than the support for the new initiatives. But that said there are a few interesting and useful initiatives in this Budget.

    First, the changes to superannuation go further than just about anybody expected. While the big super funds will not welcome the consequent reduction in the funds that they have to manage, the changes should be widely supported by all but the top 4 per cent of superannuants, as better targeting the tax concessions and improving equity. In particular, I welcome the changes that should help women with broken work patterns. I think, however, that it would have been better to have reduced the threshold for the increased 30% tax on superannuation contributions to $180,000 rather than the proposed $250,000 per annum; the lower $180,000 threshold would then correspond with the threshold for the maximum income tax bracket.

    Second, the other useful initiative is the new approach to assisting young unemployed people make the transition into employment. This represents a marked improvement on the Abbott Government’s harassment of these young people, as if their unemployment was purely their own personal fault. Of course, there are risks that the new approach might be exploited by unscrupulous employers – and that has happened in the past – but this approach does seem worth trying. My main concern is that governments tend to spread the funding too thinly with labour market programs, in favour of assisting more people with the limited funds available, but at the risk of dropping the quality of the assistance to the point where it loses effectiveness.

    Nevertheless, overall, and in stark contrast to the 2014 Budget, this Budget does seem to generally pass the test of ‘fairness’. Perhaps the biggest future concern for fairness is that the Government clearly intends to increase the fees paid by university students to cover an average of 50% of course costs, instead of the present average of 40% of course costs. So far as I am aware there is no evidence that the private benefit from a university education is as high as 50% of the course costs, in which case this change will be unfair and it will very likely particularly impact on enrolments by disadvantaged students.

    I also think that it would have been fairer if the Government had kept the deficit repair levy in place which affects the people in the top tax bracket. After all the deficit is as far as ever from being repaired, and lower income people have been called upon to make bigger sacrifices to help repair the deficit in the past, and they are not now going to get any relief.

    The major criticism of this Budget, however, is that it does not really represent any further progress towards achieving fiscal repair and a return to surplus. On the relatively optimistic Budget projections we are being promised that a surplus will be achieved by 2021. But we have heard that one before, and many have ceased to believe such projections.

    Of course, some will say why should we worry? Certainly Australian Government debt is not high. Even at its projected peak in 2017-18 it will still represent only 19.2 per cent of GDP, much less than half the ratio for the US. And as for the rating agencies they lost all credibility after their incredibly optimistic ratings leading up to the Global Financial Crisis, and they still seem happy to give the US Government a AAA rating.

    Instead, the real concern about continuing budget deficits is that they have already greatly reduced Australia’s capacity to respond to the next external shock to our economy. Furthermore, these deficits are continuing even after twenty-five years of uninterrupted economic growth in Australia. While on the other hand, the risks of an external shock are if anything increasing as the world economy continues to be highly volatile and uncertain, with the outlook for China – our most important trading partner – being perhaps especially problematic.

    Frankly Australia needs a more ambitious medium-term approach to Budget Repair. The Government, however, continues to proclaim that this repair must come from more restraint on the expenditure side, and rules out increases in taxation; even if this is achieved by reductions in tax concessions, which really are an alternative form of expenditure.

    The reality is that on the evidence in this Budget, this Government is running out of options to further reduce expenditure. The Government has made great virtue of its claim that since the 2015-16 MYEFO all policy decisions have been more than fully offset, resulting in a small surplus over the four years of $1.7 billion. But this claim is itself suspect. The claimed surplus of $1.7 billion over the next four years is dependent on a projected net surplus from policy decisions of $5.9 billion in the final year, 2019-20. In the other years, policy decisions have in fact added to the budget deficit, including as much as $3 billion in the forthcoming financial year. While the likelihood of the net $5.9 billion saving being achieved in the last year is highly problematic.

    In addition, this budget is continuing to factor in $13 billion of previous expenditure savings and $1.5 billion worth of revenue increases that have not passed the Parliament. Maybe that will change after the election, and maybe it won’t. In fact, the likelihood seems to be that following the election even if the Government is returned it will not have a majority in the Senate, in which case it really needs a better fiscal strategy to repair the Budget.

    Instead of continuing to remove funding from a lot of small programs, with a loss of services – especially cultural and welfare services – the Government needs to refocus on achieving improvements to the efficiency and effectiveness of the big spending areas such as education, health, infrastructure and defence (as discussed in my article “Fixing the Budget – Part Two” and published in Fairness, Opportunity and Security). But even if the rate of growth in the Forward Estimates for these expenditure functions were reduced by as much as a feasible two percentage points per annum, it is doubtful that would be enough to restore a Budget surplus equivalent to around 1 per cent of GDP which is the medium term target.

    Furthermore, this pre-election Budget strongly suggests that this Government does not envisage that the majority of Australians actually want smaller government. Thus the overall Budget outcome according to the Government’s own figuring is that, even in four years’ time, in 2019-20, total receipts will still represent 25.1 per cent of GDP and payments will represent 25.2 per cent of GDP – both higher than under Labor’s last year in office in 2012-13 when they were 23.0 and 24.1 per cent respectively.

    As the Balanced Budget Commission of experts, appointed by the Committee for the Economic Development of Australia, found Australia has a revenue problem rather than just an expenditure problem. Furthermore, that Commission identified sufficient revenue options that had a reasonable chance of gaining majority support to play the major role in restoring the Budget to a satisfactory surplus (see my post 29 March 2016).

    In sum, sooner or later politicians will find that they have to talk about the revenue options if we want to maintain the present nature of our society and the social obligations that involves. And frankly the sooner that conversation begins the better. But unfortunately don’t expect that conversation to happen over the next two months of this election campaign.

     

  • Evan Williams. The seven sacred cows of Australian politics

    We are indebted to the Hindu religion for that useful term sacred cow. As every schoolboy knows, Hindus venerate the cow and forbid its slaughter or abuse. Our political landscape abounds in sacred cows – institutions or practices that are considered beyond criticism, immune to scrutiny and supported by politicians of all parties. Some sacred cows are worth having, of course. Perhaps the most sacred is the Parliamentary Remuneration Tribunal – much loved by MPs when it delivers them well-deserved salary rises at regular intervals. Other sacred political cows are harder to account for. Here’s my list of the top seven.

    The family home – This venerable institution has been a protected species for generations. Never mind that families are leaving the family home in increasing numbers, and one’s “principal place of residence” is quite likely to be standing empty while its owner decides whether to sell it at a hefty profit in an overheated property market. Since 1985 the “family home” has been exempt from capital gains tax – a concession Treasury estimates will cost the budget around $50 billion in 2015-16. On top of that, people with multi-million-dollar homes at Point Piper or Toorak can still claim the old-age pension. According to Canberra University’s National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling, almost 90 percent of the current GST exemption benefits the top half of income-earners. And neither side of politics wants to know.

    Defence – When was the last time a politician questioned the defence budget or dared suggest possible savings? There has been much argument about whether the Navy’s fleet of 12 new submarines should be built in Australia, but where is the argument about the cost of the subs (around $4 billion a pop) and how many we actually need? The last time an Australian sub fired a torpedo in anger was 1942. Perhaps we could manage with just ten new subs, or eight, even half a dozen. The rule at budget time seems to be that once the military have submitted their shopping lists, no one can question them. Who can argue with the experts about national security? But we pay a big price. According to the Government’s defence white paper, designing and constructing the new subs will cost at least $50 billion up front, with ongoing maintenance on top of that – all part of hefty upgrade of the overall defence budget. You could build a lot of schools, hospitals and very fast trains with that sort of money.

    The car – Motorists love their cars and politicians love motorists. After all, if enough people drive cars governments are saved the expense of building railways and other decent public transport services. I’d better confess that I’m a regular motorist myself, having driven an ancient Honda for the past 22 years and contributed my fair share to traffic congestion, air pollution, global warming and the incidence of obesity. Car manufacturing plants in Australia may be closing down, but that hasn’t stopped us buying cars in record numbers – 1,155,408 new ones last year, up 3.8 percent on the year before – which means more government revenue from petrol taxes, registration fees and the rest. And since the car is a sacred cow, the correct political response is to build more roads for it – bigger, more expensive freeways like Mike Baird’s extravagant West-Connex now hacking its way through Sydney’s western suburbs. The result: more pollution, more congestion, more cars.

    Wealthy private schools – The fathers of Federation laid it down that education in Australia should be free, secular and compulsory. Those were the days! For millions of Australians today, education is expensive and religiously based, and if parents opt for home-schooling, it is no longer compulsory for kids to go to school. So-called “State aid” was a source of deep sectarian bitterness until Gough Whitlam entrenched the principle of needs-based education in the 1960s. Yet many of the wealthiest private schools continue to receive lavish public subsidies. Why have the most privileged schools become a sacred cow? Julia Gillard shares some of the blame for promising that under the Gonski funding reforms no school would see its funding cut. It is now the norm for schools charging parents $30,000 a year to receive generous public funding enabling them to build extra tennis courts, swimming pools with underwater cameras and auditoriums with orchestra pits and state-of-the-art performance facilities. Fairfax media reported recently that five of Sydney’s most expensive schools have received more than $92 million in state and federal funding since 2012. Do politicians object? Not that I’ve heard.

    Development – By development I mean anything built by developers, that revered new breed of public benefactors who give us vast shopping malls, giant office towers and high-raise apartment blocks, often in unsuitable locations, whether we want them or not. Developers also build infrastructure – roads, railways and the like – which used to be called public works and were funded from the public purse, unlike today, when major infrastructure is more likely to be built and run by private operators for their own profit. But then, developers give us growth and jobs and prosperity and other features of the good life, so who can complain? Yet somehow I find it strange that using my seniors’ Opal card I can travel half way around NSW and home again for $2.50, but if I take the privately-run rail service with five stops between the city and Mascot airport (also privately run), it will cost me $19 each way, Is anything wrong?

    Sport – Of course sport is a good thing, but I’m talking here about Big Sport – sponsored professional football, big payouts for exclusive TV coverage, naming rights for multi-million-dollar stadiums funded by the taxpayer. Politicians don’t dare criticise the elite sporting establishment, and no premier or prime minister would dream of turning down an invitation to a footy grand final. Now that Malcolm Turnbull has pronounced AFL the most exciting football code – a brave call – and since this is a most exciting tiome to be an Australia, Aussie Rules must be the game to follow. Bad luck for rugby and soccer fans. The NSW Government is spending $1.6 billion on new sporting stadiums when there’s no shortage of good ones already. Why not spend some of that money on school ovals and local council sports grounds to encourage more people to participate in healthy recreation?

    The flag – The flag may be a sacred symbol, but why should the present design be considered sacred? You don’t have to be a rabid republican to wish for an Australia flag with a more distinctive national character. The Canadians removed the Union Jack from their flag in 1969. New Zealanders stuck with their old flag in a recent referendum, killing any prospect of change in Australia for the foreseeable future, but surely we can do better. Politicians hate talking about the flag because it divides public opinion and upsets the RSL. The same goes for Anzac Day. Rather than celebrate a great military disaster, why not celebrate peace, the end of the Second World War, the most lethal and destructive cataclysm in recorded history? Why not celebrate VP Day, the end of the war with Japan? Paul Keating, in his usual combative style, had this to say: “The Liberals were always soft on the Pacific War. For them it was all about Gallipoli, while our Second World War battles in places closer to home came second. I went to Kokoda to make the point that Gallipoli looked back at Britain, whereas Kokoda looked to our independence.”

    No doubt there are other sacred cows, and a few old ones , like the Monarchy and the Church, that are regularly lampooned these days and are no longer as sacred as they were. So let me round off my list with the cow herself. I don’t mean that Daisy is a sacred creature. I’m talking about the industry to which she belongs – the beef cattle industry, earning an estimated $7.27 billion in export income every year. There are roughly 26 million head of cattle in Australia and politicians love them all. Never mind that many cattlemen treat their animals cruelly, trucking them long distances in confined spaces to be put to death in blood-drenched slaughterhouses, or exporting them live for even more brutal treatment overseas. People have long wondered whether animals feel suffering as we do. I think Shakespeare had the answer, as he often did: “The poor beetle that we tread upon in corporate sufferance feels a pang as great as when a giant dies.” I couldn’t have put it better myself.

    Evan Williams is a former newspaper editor and Walkley Award-winning journalist. He wrote speeches for Prime Minister Gough Whitlam and a succession of NSW premiers. He headed the NSW Government’s cultural sector from 1977 to 2001, and for 33 years wrote regular film reviews for The Australian. He is a Member of the Order of Australia.

     

     

     

     

     

     

  • David Stephens. Invading our smugness: thoughts on a diversity toolkit

    Wednesday, 30 March, must have been a slow news day at the Daily Telegraph. It is difficult to find any other reasonable explanation for the fuss the Telegraph made about the ‘diversity toolkit’ it discovered on the website of the University of New South Wales. What followed, however, spoke volumes about how careless some in the mainstream media have become about evidence and, more importantly, how easy it is for ‘hot button’ issues to provoke massively disproportionate reactions.

    First, on evidence. Despite the Telegraph’s fulminations that students were being directed to say Australia was ‘invaded’ rather than ‘settled’, and to accept various concepts that the Telegraph blamed on ‘nutty professors’, the toolkit was a fairly mild document. A statement from UNSW insisted the toolkit contained nothing mandatory, merely lists of ‘more appropriate’ and ‘less appropriate’ terminology relevant to settler-Indigenous history in Australia.

    The university rejects any notion that a resource for teachers on Indigenous terminology dictates the use of language or that it is designed to be politically correct … The guide does not mandate what language can be used.

    Even Wiradjuri journalist Stan Grant (Guardian Australia) fell for the idea that UNSW was trying to suppress free speech. Those who delved a little deeper also found the UNSW guidelines had been obtained under licence from Flinders University, Adelaide, that there were similar guidelines in place at the Australian National University, Monash University, the Queensland University of Technology, the University of Melbourne and probably other institutions, and that the UNSW Indigenous guidelines were based on material that has been used in New South Wales schools since – wait for it – 1996.

    Secondly, on the reaction. Paul Daley (Guardian Australia) argued that ‘invasion’ was the correct word to use. He attracted more than 2600 comments in two days, both strongly supportive and strongly resentful, and an unusual number ‘deleted by Moderator’. Shock jocks Hadley, Jones and Sandilands frothed although morning television was fairly laid-back. (The Telegraph’s original outrage had found willing support from Keith Windschuttle and the Institute of Public Affairs.) In non-MSM media, Alex McKinnon in Junkee kept a level head. Up in Queensland, Premier Palaszczuk supported QUT’s similar guidelines. Among the exercised, there was some confusion about whether Cook or Phillip was the invasion leader.

    As usually happens, the best analysis arrived a couple of days after the initial explosion.

    [W]hy is this hysterical response so entirely predictable? [asked Waleed Aly in Fairfax] Why is it that the moment the language of invasion appears, we seem so instinctively threatened by it? This isn’t the response of sober historical disagreement. It’s more visceral than that. Elemental even. It’s like any remotely honest appraisal of our history – even one contained in an obscure university guide – has the power to trigger some kind of existential meltdown. What strange insecurity is this?

    Archaeology professor Bryce Barker in The Conversation also provoked trenchant comments pro and con. He made an important connection.

    It is telling that [Kyle] Sandilands suggested people “get over it – it’s 200 years ago” when we so revere the notion of Lest We Forget when remembering our role in a foreign war (WWI) 100 years ago … [W]ho we, as Australians, choose to remember and what events we commemorate are inherently entwined with how we view ourselves and how we want the world to see us as a nation … Is not a Walpiri man’s death defending his way of life [at Coniston, NT, in 1928, when 31 men, women and children were killed by police] just as worthy of remembrance as a World War I digger’s ten years earlier?

    Why are we as a nation so reluctant to face up to this part of our past? Inconvenient truths that risk tainting the white “pioneer/settler” narrative are, it seems, not to be commemorated but forgotten.

    You could write a history of Australia around two invasions: Australia from 1788; Gallipoli 1915. You would need to explain, though, why one invasion has attained cult status while the other, for many of us, is euphemised out of mind. Smugness reigns.

    ‘Invasion’ or not? Semantics can lead us up a dry gulch. Not all invasions look like D-Day, the War of the Worlds or the Gallipoli ‘landing’ but none of them end when the last soldier splashes ashore. An invasion, at its simplest, is entering and remaining in a place where you are not welcome.

    If the initial reaction of the Eora to Phillip was more one of puzzlement than hostility this did not remain so for long. The invasion went on to take various forms, from loss of land to poisoning to massacre. Indigenous resistance commenced within months of the First Fleet and persisted, led by warriors like Pemulwuy, Windradyne, Jandamarra and unnamed others.

    According to recent research by Evans and Ørsted-Jensen the invasion of Australia led to more than 65,000 Indigenous deaths (men, women and children) in Queensland alone and perhaps 100,000 across Australia. That’s many more Australian deaths than in World War I and about as many deaths as in all our overseas wars.

    ‘Get over it’, or not?

    You cannot “get over” a colonial past that is still being implemented today [responded Indigenous writer Luke Pearson in Guardian Australia]. You cannot come to terms with a national history that the nation refuses to acknowledge ever happened. We cannot “reconcile” what happened yesterday when we are too busy bracing ourselves for what will inevitably come tomorrow.

    That initial ‘wound in the soul’ has been reopened many times and still festers beneath Indigenous family violence, incarceration and mental and physical illness. The strand of our history that traces from 26 January 1788 has left a mark that many of us cannot fail to see and feel but that many more of us refuse to recognise.

    David Stephens is secretary of the Honest History coalition and editor of its website (honesthistory.net.au). Sources for the article can be found here or by using the search function on the Honest History website. The views in this article are not necessarily those of all supporters of Honest History.

  • John Menadue. The fake discussion about state taxes.

    Malcolm Turnbull’s ruse is obvious. He wants us to forget all about deficits and debt and the need for budget repair. To avoid these issues, he now tells us that if we want improved health and education services, we cannot have them because the states have refused his offer on state taxes and he will not increase commonwealth taxes.

    But we know that large increases in commonwealth government revenue are possible without any increase in income tax rates.

    There are numerous proposals on ways to increase revenue without increasing tax rates. The most recent was from the Committee for Economic Development of Australia (CEDA). That Committee suggested various ways in which revenue could be increased without increasing income tax rates.

    • Reducing the superannuation concessions.
    • Reducing the capital gains discount
    • Halving the fuel tax subsidy scheme.
    • Removing negative gearing.
    • Removing the private health insurance rebate exemption.
    • Reducing industry tax concessions.
    • Reducing work-related deductions.

    The other obvious way to increase revenue is to ensure that large multinational companies, private companies in Australia and trusts pay their fair share of tax. Many don’t pay any tax at all.

    None of this involves increasing tax rates. But these proposals would not be welcomed by the wealthy vested interests that support the Liberal Party.

    There is probably $20 b. to $30 b. of increased revenue per annum by addressing the issues above.

    All public surveys that I have seen suggest that Australians are prepared to pay increased tax, even increased rates of tax, if they believe that the tax system is fair and the money is spent efficiently.

    I have posted blogs earlier about the remarkable successes of the Nordic countries – Denmark, Sweden and Norway. These countries have some of the most successful economies and societies in the world yet they have very high rates of taxation. The Nordic countries have a basic trust in government. They broadly believe that the tax system is fair and services are efficiently delivered.

    It is something badly lacking in Australia.

    See links to two earlier articles on the Nordic successes – Postcard from Denmark on the Nordic success (17/1/2015);  Why are the Nordics so successful? (18/1/2015).

     

     

  • Chris Bonnor. Malcolm abandons the middle in schooling

    Two plus years of conservative government has given oxygen to a number of strange solutions to ill-defined problems. Malcolm Turnbull’s proposal to have the States alone fund government schools, leaving the Commonwealth to look after private schools, is the latest.

    As a serious suggestion it has been widely condemned, but it would be premature to dismiss it as a piece of spontaneous kite flying. Conservatives have been playing in this space for some time. In April 2014 the Centre for Independent Studies (CIS) flagged having wealthy parents paying fees for public education. Around the same time Tony Abbott commissioned another Tony (Shepherd) to come up with ideas, including about funding for schooling. Most of his suggestions were wisely ignored – but issues arising from having schools funded by two levels of government struck a nerve.

    Then in June last year the Abbot government’s green paper on federation reform contained a proposal for the Commonwealth to abandon funding of public schools. It was one of four options – but it seems Turnbull’s current proposal has won the day. Malcolm has lurched to the right again. That emotional attachment of the Coalition to private schools, once declared by Christopher Pyne, won’t be shaken.

    It’s not that having two levels of government play around with schools isn’t a problem. It certainly is – and it helps explain why our current framework of schools is largely unsustainable. It’s just that sensible solutions to date have been placed in the too hard basket – or modified out of contention after lobbying by sectional interests.

    The best example is Gonski’s recommendation that a Commonwealth/State schools resourcing body be established to help restructure school funding to reflect student needs, regardless of sector. Both levels of government would contribute, but the allocation of funding would be well outside the political sphere and arguably manageable across levels of government.

    The fact that it didn’t happen is regrettable – because the Prime Minister’s current proposal is going to open a pandora’s box of new problems, while failing to resolve longstanding ones. In their most generous moments there will be few observers who would believe that a Coalition government will slow down galloping funding increases to private schools.

    Even leaving aside the school sector trench warfare that would be renewed, shifting all funding of public schools to the states, in the absence of any overarching equity monitoring, risks cementing the inexplicable variations between the states in the way they currently fund schools.

    There are many examples, best illustrated by comparing recurrent funding for secondary schools with an average level of socio-educational advantage (ICSEA 950-1050). On average the state and territory governments across Australia fund each student in these schools at around $10,260 (2013 figures from My School). Location alone suggests that there will be noticeable differences between the states/territories: Students in the Northern Territory, for example, are funded at $16,400, well above the national average.

    But secondary students in Victoria are funded at around 60% of the level of students in the ACT. In fact Victorian public school students are funded by their state government at levels well below those in other states. If you want to be a well-resourced public secondary student, don’t attend high school in Victoria, or for that matter in Tasmania. Aside from the two territories, the best funding per student comes from the state governments of South Australia and Western Australia.

    It’s not as if current Commonwealth funding solves any of these problems. The average federal recurrent funding to state public secondary school students was $2000 three years ago. Victoria, Tasmania and especially Queensland are well below this figure. There may be a good explanation for these variations but I’ve missed it.

    The patterns of capital expenditure on schools by the states…just don’t seem to form any pattern at all. The last time I checked (two years ago) annual capital expenditure per government school student in NSW and Victoria averaged around $500, but had generally declined over four years. In contrast, capital expenditure per student in Queensland government schools almost trebled, to around $1700 per student in 2012. Capital expenditure increased in South Australia. It also increased in Tasmania to 2011, yet all but disappeared in 2012. Western Australia showed a three year decline followed by a substantial boost in 2012.

    In the light of all this it is instructive to read the following in Matthew Knott’s SMH report. He showed how last year’s green paper warned that the option now adopted by Turnbull

    “could, however, lead to very different funding models being applied across the states and territories and between the government and non-government sectors, leading to differences in the level of public funding for schools with similar population characteristics.”

    Too late, that’s already happening – and on a large and inexplicable scale. Left to their own devices – especially the political ones – governments at both levels won’t get it right. We have to get back to Gonski’s recommendation to set up a schools resourcing body, funding schools on need with the money coming from both levels of government. Yes, where the money comes from is important, but where it goes, and who is checking, is critical.

    In the meantime and while he is licking his COAG wounds, the Prime Minister could do worse than read Jessice Irvine’s piece in the Fairfax media. Why would a canny investor like Malcolm Turnbull ignore the big dividends which would come from investing in schools?

    “Kids from low socioeconomic backgrounds are our greatest untapped source of potential growth. They are our most undervalued stock…..Investing in our most vulnerable kids remains the best social investment strategy around. Only a foolish investor would turn his back on it.”

    Chris Bonnor is a Fellow of the Centre for Policy Development and a Director of Big Picture Education Australia.

  • Michael Keating. The Turnbull Proposal for State Income Taxes

    Prime Minister Turnbull says his proposal for the States to levy their own income tax ‘is the most fundamental reform to the Federation in generations’. Well maybe. It certainly would be a significant change, but reform? Furthermore, even if this proposal were ever implemented, it is hardly new. For example, the Fraser Government actually legislated to allow the States to raise their own income taxes, but none took up the opportunity.

    In principal I agree that governments would be more accountable, and possibly more responsible, if they raised all or most of the revenue needed to fund their expenditures. Consequently, I accept that a move towards reducing the present degree of vertical fiscal imbalance and better match revenue and expenditure responsibilities should be seriously considered.

    At this stage, however, Prime Minster Turnbull is only proposing to transfer 2 percentage points of the income tax rate to the States; effectively an annual transfer between the Commonwealth and the States of about $14 billion. This compares with the $8 billion a year that the Abbott Government took away in the notorious 2014 Budget, and if nothing else changed this extra $14 billion would be quite a carrot to induce the States to agree.

    The Turnbull Government, however, is indicating that it is prepared to restore around $3 billion of these cuts to State payments, and so allowing the States to raise $14 billion in income tax revenue would leave the Australian Government Budget a net $9 billion down. Further savings would therefore be necessary, either from the Commonwealth’s own programs or from payments to the States. In this context it is not surprising that the Treasurer has floated the idea that another $6 billion could be clawed back by the Commonwealth ceasing its funding of State schools as part of the $14 billion package.

    But apart from this fiscal problem, realistically much more would be needed to realise the Prime Minister’s vision of the States taking over full responsibility for a variety of functions and thus ending the ‘blame game’. Indeed, the $14 billion a year that has so far been floated would not even cover the cost of the Commonwealth contribution to hospitals as well as schools.

    Most importantly, in this context, is that $14 billion is well short of the total of $50 billion paid each year to the States to cover all presently tied grants. For the States to be fully responsible for funding all their services would therefore require a far larger share of the income tax than has so far been mentioned, or alternatively allowing them much more freedom and capacity to increase income tax rates.

    But until the States get the taxable capacity to raise all or most of this annual $50 billion does anyone seriously believe that this relatively small change to give them a 2 percentage point income tax rate would make the States much more accountable and responsible?

    In my opinion there is some further scope to rationalise the respective roles and responsibilities of the Commonwealth and the States. For example, if Mr. Turnbull is fair dinkum why doesn’t he offer to return to the arrangements established by the Keating Government under which the Commonwealth was totally responsible for funding national highways, while the States and local government had total responsibility for all other roads. This arrangement was a sensible separation of responsibilities, but it fell foul of the pork-barrelling National Party, and so the Howard Government reversed it.

    As both John Menadue and I have emphasised, however, for many joint government programs there are good reasons why we have adopted our present shared funding arrangements (see my earlier article on Federalism, reposted on 31 March, and John Menadue’s post on the same day).

    Most importantly, in many cases the Australian Government has responsibilities that cannot be separated from those of the States. For example, education and training is vital for the future of innovation, productivity, employment participation, and economic growth, all of which are key Commonwealth responsibilities. While health necessarily involves both levels of government, as the Australian Government responsibilities for Medicare and aged care necessarily interact with the State Government responsibilities for hospital care.

    Indeed, the Turnbull Government seems to be prepared to acknowledge that separating the roles and responsibilities of the two levels of government presents a particular problem. According to some media reports the Australian Government may not withdraw from health funding, but it could withdraw totally from having any responsibility for Schools. Certainly the Australian Government has less at stake in schools, where its intervention has never achieved a great deal in the past. But in that case, maybe the Australian Government should take over total funding responsibility for vocational education and training which is necessarily closely related to the needs of industry, and where most of the funding is increasingly being provided to both private and public providers using a competitive model.

    Perhaps the most important Australian Government responsibility that would be compromised by the States setting their own tax rates would be the potential impact on fiscal policy. In the immediate future this is not expected to be a problem as the proposal envisages that the States would initially only be getting what would effectively be a share of the income tax, and the change would be revenue neutral. But once the States start setting their own income tax rates then this would compromise the necessary independence of the Australian Government to determine fiscal policy for the nation. Indeed, time is of the essence with fiscal policy and we cannot afford to have it run by some sort of Federal-State Committee. While on the other hand if governments set tax rates independently of one another, there is a risk that any time the Australian Government lowers its tax rates, then the States would seize the opportunity to take advantage of the extra taxation capacity available, and raise their own State income tax rates.

    In addition, although the Australian Tax Office would continue to be responsible for administering the tax system, and each taxpayer would continue to file only a single return, there would be a number of administrative problems with the Prime Ministers’ proposal that would not be easy to resolve. Thus, unlike the GST revenue, which has a common tax rate and can therefore be distributed on a per capita basis, this per capita distribution makes no sense for income tax revenue if rates of taxation differ among States. Accordingly, companies are already demanding that the states should not have a share of company tax because of this sort of complication. Many individuals, however, also derive income in more than one state, and it still remains to be worked out how their income tax payments can be distributed between two or more States where the rates of taxation vary.

    As John Menadue points out in his accompanying post, given its many problems and lack of clarity, this proposal by the Prime Minister is essentially a diversion from what is or should be the major concern of the Council of Australian Governments (COAG). The most critical challenge, which all Australian governments are facing, is first to repair the substantial Budget deficit, and in the longer-run to reconcile the demands for public services that are presently projected to run well ahead of likely government revenues.

    What COAG should therefore be discussing is how to raise more revenue and/or reduce the demand for services or improve their efficiency. Personally, and as I have argued in other postings, I think it will prove to be impossible to meet reasonable demands for future services without at least some increase in overall taxation in the decades ahead (see, for example, my recent article posted 28 March).

    In this regard the response by the Labor leader, Bill Shorten, to any suggestion that income tax might rise sometime in the future was most unhelpful. Mr. Shorten has already ensured that the possibility of raising the necessary extra revenue by increasing the GST was taken off the table, and now he seems to be intent on doing the same to any possible increase in the income tax in the decades ahead. One wonders how Labor could deliver its vision of society, and what it has supported, without increasing the overall tax take in the future – certainly Mr. Shorten has so far not told us.

    By contrast, allowing the States to determine their own tax rates raises the risk that at worst the States may enter a new race to the bottom. This is what happened after payroll tax was handed over to them by the McMahon Government in 1971. The States have since dropped the payroll tax rate and increased the tax threshold and exemptions. Ostensibly this was in response to tax competition generated by a perceived need to attract new firms, but most of the changes did little to attract industry because they mainly helped small business which is not geographically mobile.

    On the other hand, this time the Australian Government may force States to raise taxes by further squeezing their remaining tied grants. In that case the Australian Government would continue to solve its own fiscal problems by short-changing the States so that they are forced to raise taxes and thus take the blame for solving a problem of the Australian Government’s own making.

    A better alternative would be to adopt the proposal by SA and NSW that the States all get a fixed share of the income tax. This hypothecated share of the income tax could then be increased if all governments agreed to raise the rates for this purpose. Furthermore, by thus achieving an agreed increase in the overall level of taxation nationally, it would help to resolve Australia’s most important longer-run fiscal problem.

     

  • Ian McAuley. Labor’s policies.

    Amid all the political chatter about tensions between Turnbull and Morrison, a possible early election, and the laundering of donations to the Liberal Party, Labor has released a substantial policy document –Growing together: Labor’s agenda for tackling inequality.

    With a gathering of Labor luminaries – Jenny Macklin (who has main carriage of the policy), Bill Shorten, Chris Bowen, Andrew Leigh – it was hardly surprising that the media had a strong presence at its launch at ANU late last month.

    But it turns out that the journalists were more interested in a photo shoot than in public policy, because the document got little media coverage. Those who believe in an anti-Labor media conspiracy would not be surprised, but my view is that the journalists were looking for “deliverables” in the form of specific proposals (they found a few tidbits), but they weren’t equipped to do justice to a document outlining a major shift in policy emphasis.

    The document has two strong policy messages. First is its focus on inequality. Not welfare transfers or redistribution, but inequality. Second is its dismissal of any idea that there is a tradeoff between “economic” and “social” objectives.

    To understand how far these messages are out of sync with our present thinking, imagine Christian Porter, Alan Tudge, Scott Morrison and Mathias Cormann on one platform giving unscripted statements on the economic importance of dealing with inequality?

    These policy principles should really be no-brainers. Who would not say inequality is a major problem? And who would not believe that good economic policy and good social policy are inseparable?

    Unfortunately, they are not obvious.

    While most people may understand the moral case against rising inequality, they do not necessarily grasp the fact that inequality has bad economic consequences. High and persistent inequality destroys incentives, creates an “underclass” dependent on social security transfers, deprives people of the opportunity to develop and use their capabilities, and in the long run undermines the political legitimacy of the economic system. It’s no surprise that worldwide we are seeing the emergence of populist politicians with simplistic prescriptions for complex problems.

    And to suggest that we must sacrifice social objectives for the sake of “the economy” makes no more sense than the (probably apocryphal) story out of the Vietnam War: “we had to destroy the village in order to save it”.  As the philosopher Karl Polanyi stressed, we live in a society, not in a market: markets are, or should be, subservient to society, and should be subject to society’s norms. There is no superior entity called “the economy” to which we must pay homage. Economic policy that goes against our desire for a fair and just society is just plain bad economics.

    Yet that’s not the way the public see it. Poll after poll gives Labor a strong lead over the Coalition in “social policy”, while giving the Coalition a strong lead in “economic policy”.  Such a contradiction could be sustained only if the idea of a tradeoff is ingrained in people’s minds.

    So while Labor is on the right track in bringing together economic and social policy, it has a lot of convincing to do. Some of that work has to be directed at the public in general, some at journalists who have difficulty in understanding public policy, and some has to be directed at enthusiasts on the “left” who are too ready to dismiss economics, and who abandon the quest to find ways of overcoming inequality and social exclusion that are based on sound economic principles.

  • John Menadue. State income taxes – another political diversion?

    Malcolm Turnbull’s suggestion of states entering the income tax field may please ‘state rightists’ in the Liberal party, but it will damage our national aspirations and our national society and economy.

    In the repost below, Michael Keating, almost two years ago emphasised the importance of the commonwealth government’s domination of income taxes since 1942. This commonwealth government supremacy has been a key factor in building our successful national economy and society. Or as Paul Keating has said, the commonwealth’s income tax monopoly ‘is the glue that holds us together’.

    We federated to overcome the confusion of six different state tariff regimes. Do we now want eight different incomes tax regimes?

    The commonwealth’s supremacy in income tax is critical for economic management across the country. Do we want to weaken that national leadership and responsibility?

    We have national markets in every field and with a very mobile workforce. Do we now want to put up state barriers to this?

    Malcolm Turnbull’s proposal would put pressure on the states to reduce their own tax rates. Perhaps this is what his ‘state rightist’ supporters would like. We saw that in the 1970s when Queensland reduced state taxes and abolished death duties. All other states followed and we are now much worse off as a result. If states decided to introduce their own income taxes, we could see another race to the bottom.

    What Malcolm Turnbull is trying to do was tried forty years ago by Malcolm Fraser. The details may be different, but the Fraser proposal went nowhere.

    The Turnbull government has become very agile in diversionary tactics. The Abbott government spoke of a debt and deficit disaster but the Turnbull government wants to divert attention elsewhere. A GST was deliberately floated but then our attention was directed elsewhere. One critical issue above all else is budget repair. The Committee for Economic Development in Australia (CEDA) and others have suggested options for overcoming our persistent budget deficit, including increases in revenue. But the government doesn’t want to hear about that, so our attention is diverted to state income tax.

    I believe that strong national economic and social leadership is essential for the commonwealth government in the 21st Century, particularly in the global world economy in which we live. That globalisation will continue to grow. Why should we handicap ourselves in meeting such a challenge?

    I have always believed that ‘cooperative federalism’ although less sexy and requiring hard work, is the much better way to proceed. In the health field where states spend up to 30%of their budgets, I have proposed for many years a joint commonwealth-state health commission in any state that will agree. Perhaps a joint commonwealth-state health purchasing agency in regions would be a more practical way to start. I will be writing more about cooperative federalism in the health field.

    Tony Abbott has left us with many unfortunate legacies. He abolished the COAG Reform Council which had been trying to lead an informed debate on ways that the commonwealth, state and territory governments could cooperate to harmonise their responsibilities. One task of that Reform Council was to build a ‘seamless national economy’.

    Malcolm Turnbull seems to want to pull the seams apart.

    Michael Keating will be writing further on this subject.

  • Chris Bonnor and Bernie Shepherd (researchers). School Myths Busted.

    What My School really says about our schools. (Text of press release of 28 March 2016)

    In the wake of the latest version of My School two researchers have published a startling account of what the numbers behind the website actually show. Former school principals Chris Bonnor and Bernie Shepherd have revealed new findings which challenge myths about Australia’s schools.

    While reports are frequently about the ‘drift to the private schools’ Bonnor and Shepherd have found that the drift could be equally seen as one from low socio-educational advantage (SEA) schools to higher SEA schools. As recently reported on Lateline, they show that enrolments are increasing in higher SEA government schools, but declining in low SEA government schools.

    Lower SEA schools in all sectors are tending to lose their more advantaged students, while higher SEA schools, again in all sectors, are not only getting bigger but are increasing their enrolment of the most advantaged.

    “The flipside, as Gonski warned, is that disadvantage is being compounded in lower SEA schools”, Chris Bonnor said. “Hence the student achievement gaps between advantaged and disadvantaged schools are widening. My School data shows Australia’s school equity problem is worsening, especially in the secondary school years and in metropolitan areas’.

    The two former principals warn against using rusted-on beliefs, rather than evidence, to decide future directions for Australia’s schools.

    “The current trend is to make public schools more like private schools, in the belief that the latter get better results. We use both NAPLAN and HSC results to show this is a myth.”

    They also found that government recurrent funding (per student) to private schools is increasing at around double the rate of increases to public schools.

    “We are already seeing large numbers of private schools getting more public funding than goes to public schools serving similar students”, Bonnor and Shepherd warn. “The idea that private schools save public funds is at best a half-truth – on the way to becoming a myth.”

    Their analysis also shows that the high spending on students who are already advantaged is not improving measurable student outcomes.

    “The government portion of this overspend is around $1.5 billion each year. It would be a better investment if it was redirected to more needy schools,”.

    Bonnor and Shepherd’s new publication School Daze – what My School really says about our schools, is available for free download at www.edmediawatch.com

    For more information contact Chris Bonnor on 0411048200

  • John Menadue. Making the Federation work better.

    The Abbott Government decided that over the next decade commencing in 2017 the Commonwealth Government would reduce grants to the states for education and health by $80 b. This is likely to produce a major and concerted campaign by the states to protect their hospitals and schools. It does provide an opportunity for more effective cooperation between the Commonwealth and the States in the health sector. I have reproduced below an article on this subject which was posted in May last year as part of the policy series co-edited with Michael Keating. I argue for the establishment of a joint Commonwealth State Health Commission in any state that will cooperate. In addition to this state by state approach, it might also be possible to build cooperation on a region by region basis. I do not think that a major change in constitutional arrangements is possible or that the Commonwealth will concede completely to the States or vice versa. But I believe that a pragmatic and step-by-step approach could be successful.  See repost of article below.

    Repost

    State governments spend about 25% of their budgets on health and another 25% on education. A cooperative arrangement between the commonwealth and state governments in one of these areas would greatly improve the operation of our federation. This article will focus on possible cooperation in health.

    A State handover of health services to the Commonwealth, as suggested by Tony Abbott many years ago, would be one way to overcome the waste and buck-passing between the Commonwealth and State governments in health. Kevin Rudd suggested that his government might take over state hospitals. Opinion polls suggested that the public would support this approach. But Kevin Rudd backed away. In passing it should be noted that the Commonwealth has no recent experience in running hospitals. It is not an easy task.

    But as a Commonwealth takeover is most unlikely, an alternative would be to establish a Joint Commonwealth/State Health Commission (Joint Health Commission) in any State where the Commonwealth and a State government can agree – a coalition of the willing, a Commonwealth/state partnership on a state by state basis.

    It is envisaged that the joint commission, with shared Commonwealth/State governance would be responsible for funding, planning and integrating all health services in that State. Consistent with an agreed plan, the Commission would then buy health services from existing providers – Commonwealth, State, local, NGO and private.

    A political agreement between the Commonwealth and any State is essential. If this political agreement is achieved, we would see a more cohesive and integrated health service, delivered much more efficiently. Once the benefit was clear in one State, hopefully other States would follow.

    I believe that this proposal would have strong public support. We are tired of the blame game.

    Either the Commonwealth government or any State government could initiate the breaking of the impasse.

    Background

    The Commonwealth Government provides about 43% of national health funding and the State Governments and territories 26 %. Another 31% of funding is from non-government sources (mainly individual users of health services).

    In both the NSW and SA health reviews that I chaired some years ago, a view was widely expressed that it’s all very well for State governments to review their health systems, but a major problem is the inefficiency, fragmentation, gaps, cost and blame shifting which results from the different roles of the Commonwealth and State governments in health’. This view was expressed, not only by those working in the health system, but also by the community generally. It was also frequently expressed by the media. The problem of divided responsibilities is well understood. The public doesn’t really give a hoot who plans and delivers health services. The public’s real concern is that the services are provided efficiently and equitably.

    Integration of commonwealth and state health functions are essential. Professor John Dwyer, in this blog, estimated   that more than 600,000 state hospital admissions per year could be saved if there was more timely community intervention which is funded by the Commonwealth.

    A solution requires a political agreement between the Commonwealth government and at least one State. The political issue cannot be avoided and attempts to get around this issue are likely to be unsuccessful, time-consuming and cumbersome. A bureaucratic or organisational response to a political problem will be unsatisfactory. The issue must be addressed politically. If there is political agreement, governance, financial, administrative and other issues could be successfully managed.

    Such an approach would not produce a unified national health system, but six (excluding the territories for the moment) joint health systems which are State-based. Nonetheless, this would be superior to the present division and fragmentation. The six State-based joint commissions may also better reflect the different history and needs of respective States. One size doesn’t necessarily fit all.

    The states may also be now more interested in what is proposed here because the 2014 budget suggests that over the next 10 years the Commonwealth will contribute $ 50 b less to state hospitals than the outgoing Labor government proposed. There was no certainty that this 10 year funding would have remained in place but I don’t think there is any doubt however that the Abbott government will attempt to shift more responsibility to the states for hospitals and schools.

    A Joint Health Commission in any State where the Commonwealth and the State could agree would have the following characteristics.

    1. Coverage of Joint Health Commission

    The wider the coverage the better to ensure real and comprehensive resource allocation and integration of services across the full continuum of care. The following programs should be included as the planning responsibility of the Joint Health Commission.

    • State Health (including Health Care Agreement)
    • High level residential aged care
    • Department of Veterans’ Affairs (DVA)
    • Home and Community Care (HACC)
    • Commonwealth Regional Health Services in rural and remote areas.
    • Medical Benefits Scheme (MBS)
    • Pharmaceutical Benefit Scheme (PBS)
    • Aboriginal Health
    • Local Government health
    • NGOs (e.g. nursing services)
    • Public health

    State Health, HACC, etc. would tender for the provision of services to the Joint Health Commission. Similarly, local government and NGOs would tender, although allocations to them would probably need to be made through the State Health department.

    Private hospitals could probably be excluded from this coverage, as they depend on private contributions rather than direct government funding – except for occasional seed money. But provision should be made for private hospitals, along with local government and NGOs, to tender for supply of services to a Joint Health Commission, (see 3 below). The private delivery of health services should be encouraged where it is consistent with the state-wide plan and is delivered efficiently.

    Importantly, existing providers would continue to operate and provide services, and where appropriate, ministers – both Commonwealth and State – would continue to be responsible for their own services. But those services would be purchased by the Joint Health Commission as part of a state-wide plan, which I refer to under ‘functions’ below.

    2. Pooled Funding of Joint Health Commission

    The Joint Health Commission would receive a negotiated pooled allocation of funds from the Commonwealth and the State government. which reflected the coverage of programs for which it would be responsible (see 1 above), with appropriate population growth and cost indexation add-ons. As a starting point the shares of the two governments would reflect their current funding shares. Changes in the shares and total funding would be subject to the advice of the National Health Performance Authority (NHPA). That Authority would provide public advice to the two governments. The two governments would need to agree on annual funding arrangements.

    Whilst confidence in the funding formula is developed, it might be useful to consider shadow funding in the first 3 years and move to actual pooling of funds thereafter.

    3. Functions of Joint Health Commission

    1. a) Shared Resource Allocation through the purchase of various services from providers – Commonwealth, State and local government, and NGOs as part of a joint strategic plan.
    • In this case, shared resource allocation can be achieved through the establishment of a minimum set of Commonwealth and State programs.
    • The major changes associated with the JHC would provide an opportunity to move from producer dominated health care delivery to an output/patient focussed delivery system. So many of our health programs reflect provider interests; the MBS reflecting the interests of doctors and the AMA, the MBS reflecting the interests of the Pharmacy Guild and Big Pharma and public hospitals reflecting the interests of their providers, state governments. Patients are a secondary concern. We need to shift to a patient focussed health system in such key areas as chronic, acute and occasional care.
    • Funding would be allocated with agreed short and long term integrated outcomes, rather than siloed program outcomes, with specified standards and levels of performance.
    1. b) Shared Performance Management

    Oversee continuous improvement of the health system, monitor progress and establish reform targets and timelines:

    • Development of standard measurement
    • Benchmarking
    • Patient-centred best practices

    The NHPA provides an excellent opportunity for the establishment of a system that can meet the needs of consumers, community and health services. The NHPA can provide an approach that examines health status and outcomes, determinants of health, and health system performance.

    The NHPA should facilitate the mapping of progress for the population of a State, region or service. It could also be used to examine progress in tackling a particular health problem (e.g. aboriginal health), and to take a wider look at the interface between health and other government departments, the private sector and non-government organisations.

    4. Joint Health Commission Governance

    The following features could be included, and would ensure full Commonwealth and State government input into the state-wide plan:

    • Membership of the board should be high level to enable strategic decision-making on broad and longer-term issues.
    • Maximum transparency and disclosure of the Joint Commission’s work and final recommendations in order to neutralise special pleading and vested interests and to ensure public understanding and support.
    • The board of directors must have clear ‘governance’ responsibility and not a junior role. They should reflect the broad interests of the whole community and not be seen as representative of the Commonwealth or State or ‘insider interests’ that so dominate health systems in Australia.
    • Independent chair appointed by the two Ministers from a short list provided by the respective Commonwealth and State Health CEOs. It might be useful to have the chair from another State.
    • Apart from the chair, no jurisdiction to have more than 50% representation.
    • Representation could include other Commonwealth and State jurisdictions (e.g. Indigenous Affaires) and people having experience in the private sector.
    • The board would appoint the CEO who would be responsible to the board and not the two jurisdictions.
    • The board would approve the strategic plan and budget.
    • A constitution may be useful to provide more user-friendly objects, role, function and operating procedures, including engaging the private sector.
    • Subsidiarity should be an important principle for governors in developing the state-wide plan. Management and service delivery should be driven down to the lowest and most local level possible, consistent with state and nation-wide standards.
    • The Board should have a small secretariat, but rely on Joint Health Commission for planning etc. It must avoid a new level of bureaucracy.
    • Board costs would be shared by Commonwealth and State.
    • The Commonwealth and State minister would be responsible for negotiating high-level policy principles, including overall funding on the advice of the board. This would help reduce the risk of the board dividing on Commonwealth/State lines. Ministers must reach broad agreement if the Joint Health Commission is to work.
    • The board should be responsible to the Commonwealth and State minister, with one financial report to both. If there is not agreement between the two ministers, there would be a public dispute resolution procedure which would encourage cooperation and dialogue between the two ministers. This would encourage public trust in the integrity of the process. I would expect that this would produce an agreement in almost all cases. If resolution is not possible, the Commonwealth minister would prevail; given the need for a stronger national role and that the Commonwealth Government provides 43 % of national health funds compared with 26 % by the states.

    These governance arrangements could be reviewed in 5 years.

    Summary   

    A Joint Health Commission established upon agreement of any State with the Commonwealth would be a substantial improvement on the present arrangements. It would help break the impasse on federalism and better integrate health services. It requires a political decision between the Prime Minister and premier.

    The public is tired of the blame shifting and fragmentation in health and would respond to a sea change such as this. Such a joint health commission in any State that agreed would help achieve what both of them are seeking in health – a better integrated health system and a favourable community response, A committed Commonwealth government could use its financial leverage to make such an offer attractive to the states.

    A Joint Health Commission in any one State could begin to address the ‘big ticket’ problems in health delivery – the Commonwealth/State fragmentation, an eroding primary health care system, an antiquated workforce structure and obvious system failures in safety and quality.

    Of course, the fragmentation in health is not just caused by Commonwealth-State fragmentation. The two big Commonwealth programs – MBS and PBS – are not effectively integrated.

    All these big-ticket issues are lost sight of in the argy-bargy of Commonwealth/State blame and cost shifting.

    Not only would a Joint Health Commission in one State be a substantial improvement, it would also be very symbolic, demonstrating that governments can address hard political issues in a cooperative way.

    We must stop asking continually for more money or tweaking the health dollars, when many problems are structural. A lot of health spending is counter-productive – throwing money at problems to get them out of the media or for short-term political gain, rather than solving systemic problems. Any increase in health dollars must be accompanied by system change. A Joint Health Commission starting in one State is a sound way to begin breaking the impasse.

    The key is political will by ministers. If there is the political will, the governance problems can be resolved.

    There is no reason that the principles proposed above in health could not be applied in other fields such as education.

    John Menadue AO was formerly Secretary Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet, Secretary Department of Trade, Ambassador to Japan and CEO of Qantas.

  • Jonathan Page. The Inspiration of Vietnam

    Postcard from Hanoi:

    I have been an oncologist for some 35 years, treating adults with advanced cancer. Despite a far greater understanding of the disease, with the discovery of quite remarkable “targeted” therapies, most patients still die of this disease. Many are not suitable for these treatments, many don’t respond or respond poorly and briefly, and of course many simply present very late in the course of the cancer.

    As an oncologist I am thus confronted by uncertainty, sadness, despair and grief on a regular basis, as are all the members of the oncology team, but at times leavened by the joy of success, the gratitude of families and the deep insights into the human “soul”.

    Through my own adult life I have had a mixed relationship with death, particularly my own, beginning with a simple non-acknowledgment, then noticing an increasingly intrusive terror, with quite visceral reactions to certain patients as they moved towards their own demise under my care. I was in my forties at that time and would experience profuse sweating, tremors, nausea and a curious clouding of consciousness. I thought I may have malaria (a noble affliction) but to whom should I go for wise counsel? There was little wisdom to be found. Over time my symptoms evolved into a depression, but this only became clear to me years later, in retrospect.

    Technically I had been suffering “thanatophobia”, that is “fear of death”. A common complaint, but rarely considered (in our society) since we prefer a “cultural denial”. Thus, more recently, over 15 years or so I have pursued a deeper understanding of death, my own and that of others. This universal phenomenon unites us all. As John Donne reminds us: “any man’s death diminishes me, because I am involved in mankind, and therefore never send to know for whom the bell tolls: it tolls for thee”.

    I have learnt much from Joan Halifax who wrote “Being with Dying: Cultivating Compassion and Fearlessness in the Presence of Death” and the late Stephen Levine who wrote both “Who Dies? An Investigation into Conscious Living and Conscious Dying” and also “A Year to Live: How to Live this Year as if it were your Last”. I have completed a one year course based on this latter book.

    Death has now become less fearsome to me and more interesting! As Buddhism has told us for 2,600 years, a regular meditation on one’s own death will invigorate one’s life and shed some light on the true nature of the world and the meaning of our own experience.

    The complete practice of oncology requires some exploration of one’s own mortality, to more deeply understand the experience of each patient, to be of service and, importantly, to learn. There is a long history in most cultures of a specific “companion to the dying”. Medical practitioners including oncologists are ideally placed to occupy this role.

    Over the years I have been greatly supported by a mindfulness practice including regular meditation. Again, this cultivation of mindfulness, bringing one’s mind into the present moment with awareness and “heartfulness”, is an ancient Buddhist practice, taught also in other spiritual traditions and in more modern secular environments. This practice enables a deeper understanding of one’s inner emotional life, allowing one to be more “available” for patients, rather than locked within a defensive carapace. The risk of “burnout” and depression is far less.

    Strangely (or perhaps not) these skills have never been a substantial part of medical education or the oncology specialty, with some notable exceptions such as the programme at Monash University in Melbourne and the long-running “The Healer’s Art” course developed by Dr Rachel Naomi Remen at University of California, San Francisco School of Medicine.

    What about Vietnam?

    I have had the privilege of visiting this astonishing country many times, firstly as a medical student in 1974, then more recently with colleagues, supported by the Hoc Mai Foundation, travelling to Hanoi to teach Medical English, oncology and other specialty topics. However, at a deeper level, I (and I suspect my colleagues also) travel to Vietnam to learn from this resilient, gracious and warm-hearted people. I feel there is a spiritual nature to the Vietnamese society, reflecting elements of Buddhism, Confucianism and Taoism.

    It is helpful to leave one’s ‘ego” or one’s “sense of an important self” at home and thereby immerse oneself in this enriching and restorative culture. The Vietnamese (to my eye) seem to embody a friendly mindfulness, a universal respect, remarkable patience and lack the reactivity so often seen in more “Western” cultures.

    I am looking forward to a further visit to Hanoi, to renew friendships and, importantly, to imbibe the pervasive spiritual vitality in that city that now has a direct positive impact on my work.

     

    Jonathan Page, Medical Oncologist, Manly and The Mater Hospitals, Sydney, NSW.

  • John Menadue. Postcards from Hanoi.

    I will be in Hanoi from February 17-26, attending a Hoc Mai Foundation workshop on learning from each other about health issues in Vietnam and Australia, and assisting in the learning of English in the health field. Hoc Mai means ‘forever learning’.

    The foundation was established in the late 1990s. University of Sydney was a very active partner.  Over 30 groups of Australian clinicians and others interested in Vietnam have travelled to Vietnam since the late 1990s. 29 Australians will be in our group in Hanoi.

    Emeritus Professor Kerry Goulston will be leading our group. He has made almost 30 visits to Vietnam as part of the Hoc Mai Foundation.

    During this February visit, a few of us will be sending ‘postcards’ from Hanoi. The first postcard  from Jonathan Page, a medical oncologist, follows.

  • Reversing the Flight to Private Schools Depends on Reforming Australia’s Incoherent and Unfair Funding System

    New school enrolment data show that the long-term shift of students to private schools has stopped in recent years. But, whether it will be sustained is uncertain given school funding trends that massively favour private schools.

    Figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics this month show no change in the share of enrolments between public and private schools over the past three years. Public schools enrolled 65.1 per cent of all students in 2015, the same as in 2013 and 2014. Prior to this, private schools had regularly increased their share since the 1970s.

    The figures show different trends in primary and secondary school enrolments. Public primary schools increased their share of enrolments from 68.9 per cent in 2011 to 69.5 per cent in 2015, with small increases each year.

    However, the shift to private secondary schools has continued at much the same rate as in previous years, although it did slow markedly in 2015. The public school share fell from 60.3 per cent in 2011 to 59.2 per cent in 2015. The year-on-year growth in private secondary school enrolments has averaged about 0.3-0.4 per cent since 2010, but in 2015 it was 0.2 per cent, the smallest increase since 2009 and 2010.

    The shift in primary school enrolments to public schools came largely at the expense of Catholic schools. The share of Catholic school enrolments declined from 19.4 per cent in 2011 to 18.9 per cent in 2015. The Independent school share fell only in 2015, down from 11.8 per cent in 2014 to 11.6 per cent.

    The Catholic share of secondary school enrolments fell slightly in 2015 for the first time in decades, from 22.6 to 22.5 per cent. The Independent school enrolment share increased from 17.7 per cent in 2011 to 18.3 per cent in 2015.

    While it is important not to read too much into small changes, the figures do suggest a significant change in trend in primary school enrolments. Families now seem to be more inclined to enrol their children in public schools than for many years.

    There appear to be a couple of factors behind the change.

    One is that there has been a significant slowdown in average weekly earnings growth in the past few years and some families may be finding it harder to pay fees at private schools. Wages growth has been at historically low levels over the past three years – increasing at about 2 per cent a year compared to 3.5-4 per cent in the decade before.

    The slowdown in wages growth has probably more affected the ability of Catholic school families to pay fees than those in Independent schools who tend to attract better off families. When families are feeling the pinch, their first option is likely to be reduce expenditure on primary schooling rather than secondary.

    The second is that over the past few years there has been increasing awareness in the community that there is little academic advantage in attending private schools. Public schools achieve similar results to private schools for a given socio-economic background of parents. Research findings consistently show that students from a given socio-economic background achieve similar results in public and private schools. Increasing awareness of these findings may be affecting decisions about whether to enrol in private schools.

    There can be no certainty that the change in trend will be sustained as the long-term shift to private schools has been fuelled by increasingly skewed government funding. Between 1998-99 and 2013-14, government funding (Commonwealth and state/territory) per private school student, adjusted for inflation increased, by 39 per cent compared with only 17 per cent for public schools.

    The situation has been even more dire in recent years. Real government funding for public schools has decreased while funding for private schools continued to increase. Between 2009-10 and 2013-14, public school funding per student fell by 3 per cent but private school funding increased by 10 per cent.

    Many private schools serving the most privileged sections of Australian society continue to receive large funding increases while many schools serving the most disadvantaged communities have received only small increases and, in some cases, reduced funding.

    For example, government funding of Korowa Anglican Girls School in Melbourne, with 83 per cent of students from the highest socio-economic status (SES) quartile and 1 per cent from the lowest quartile, increased by 38 per cent between 2009 and 2013. In contrast, funding for Northern Bay P-12 College in Geelong, with 73 per cent of students from the lowest SES and 1 per cent from the highest quartile, had its funding cut by 18 per cent.

    In Sydney, government funding for Ravenswood Girls School, with 85 per cent of students from the highest SES quartile and none from the lowest quartile, increased by 28 per cent while funding for Punchbowl Boys HS, with 63 per cent of students in the lowest SES quartile and only 2 per cent in the highest quartile, had its funding cut by 3 per cent.

    Given this, it is a big call to expect that public schools can hold or increase their share of enrolments. Australia has a distorted, incoherent and unfair school funding system in which privilege trumps disadvantage.

    The Gonksi plan promised change. However, it was sabotaged by the refusal of the Abbott and Turnbull governments to fund the last two years of the plan when some $7 billion was due to flow to schools, including $5.8 billion to public schools.

    At least Labor has given voters a clear choice on education by promising to restore a large part, though not all, of its original commitment made when it was in government. It offers hope that disadvantaged schools and students will finally get some justice and that public schools will be able to reverse the enrolment shift to private schools over the longer term.

    Trevor Cobbold is National Convenor of Save Our Schools

    http://www.saveourschools.com.au

    https://twitter.com/SOSAust