Category: Politics

  • COLIN HESELTINE. In a war against Huawei, we are the likely losers. (AFR 20.12.18)

    Let’s call a spade a spade. The efforts by western powers, Australia included, to cut Huawei out of major telecommunications projects such as 5G, where Huawei is arguably the world’s leader, are aimed at containment of China (of course, we don’t officially call it this – we call it “push-back”). Much has been reported recently about the so-called technology war between China and the west (“Huawei: Australia fears the Canadian Club, AFR, 16 December 2018). Huawei is clearly at the centre of this battle. The recent arrest in Canada of Meng Wanzhou, the daughter of Huawei’s founder, is the latest – and most dramatic – development in this saga (“Meng arrest is part of America’s economic war on China”, AFR 13 December 2018).   (more…)

  • ALISON BROINOWSKI. Most favoured notions just take time.

    There are said to be no votes in defence or foreign affairs in Australia. Years of bipartisanship on both, and an Alliance that is unquestionable, have disempowered debate. The time for change may be in 2019.   (more…)

  • PETER RODGERS: Morrison and Jerusalem – a special sort of dunce

    We have to hand it to Scott Morrison. He has been at the heart of two major shifts in Australian political life. One made him Prime Minister, the other overturned a sensible long-standing approach on Jerusalem. Yet the new PM struggles to offer a coherent explanation how either development benefits Australia. His approach on Jerusalem exhibits a rare talent to combine the stupid with the pointless.   (more…)

  • GEOFF RABY. Xi Jinping’s Year of Living Dangerously.

    2018 may well go down as a defining year for President Xi Jinping’s leadership – one that marks the beginning of the end for the “President for Life”.   President Xi began the year in full command of the country, seemingly ascendant on the world stage with his signature Belt and Road Initiative and, in the face of President Trump’s unilateralism, incredulously a newly found champion of the multilateral trading system and defender of the WTO and other features of the fast-receding liberal multilateral order.  But by year’s end, Xi is under pressure.  (more…)

  • ANDREW FARRAN. Brexit – Putting off the inevitable

    The British Government is in total disarray, thrashing about for a way to minimise public outrage when the country crashes out of the EU without a deal on 29 March, which now appears inevitable. Its energies are now being devoted to planning for that catastrophe. 

    What is remarkable is how little understanding its Ministers and their MPs have shown of international trade law and practice, and options otherwise available to them in their predicament were they to open their minds to them. (more…)

  • BOB DOUGLAS. My Unsolicited Advice to Australia’s political leaders.

    This week I cheekily wrote to the leader of the Federal Opposition seeking an urgent appointment before he embarks on his party’s convention this weekend. Because I doubt that I will get to meet with him, here is what I would like to say to him and to the leaders of each of the other political parties as well as the cross benchers.
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  • Hugh White: The New East Asian Jigsaw (The Straits Times (Singapore), Caixin Global (Beijing), 18.12.2018)

     If 2018 was the year of unscrambling, the next year will offer a clearer picture of how the U.S.-China power struggle has reshaped the region, with Taiwan being a potential flashpoint

    In 2018 all the big pieces in the East Asian international order were thrown up in the air. The U.S.-China economic relationship was transformed by a trade war, their strategic relationship became one of open and declared rivalry; Korean affairs took off on a new and quite unpredictable trajectory; Taiwan edged back towards a central place in regional geopolitics; and countries throughout Asia found themselves facing tougher and tougher choices between Washington and Beijing. (more…)

  • DUNCAN GRAHAM. ASEAN: Wethers, not rams.

    Half a century ago five neighbouring nations got together with a set of fine ideals.  These included boosting economic growth, promoting peace and lifting living standards.  That was the excuse. The real purpose was to block the spread of Communism, now a spent force outside China and satellites like North Korea. So why keep the Association of Southeast Asian Nations alive?  (more…)

  • MICHELLE GRATTAN. Rudd says Murdoch media is a “political party” (The Conversation, 18.12.2018)

    Former prime minister Kevin Rudd has used an address to the Labor national conference to deliver a fresh swingeing attack on the Murdoch media, declaring “it is not a news organisation, it is a political party”. (more…)

  • MICHAEL KEATING. The Government’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook Statement

    As widely heralded by the Government in advance, the mid-year update of the economic and fiscal outlook shows an improvement in the budget balance. A larger surplus is forecast, starting in the next financial year and increasing thereafter. Whether this reflects good management, as the Government would have us believe, is a moot point. Equally, if the Government wants to maintain that forecast surplus, it is doubtful that there is much, if any, scope for new policy initiatives in the run-up to the election that would lower taxes or increase expenditure.   (more…)

  • HAL PAWSON. Shorten places housing at the centre of the 2019 election

    With his weekend announcement of a $6.6 billion affordable rental construction program, Bill Shorten has dramatically reinforced Labor’s emphasis on housing as central to the Party’s 2019 election policy pitch. The initiative, Labor’s first significant housing investment pledge in four federal elections, aims to help qualifying low-to-moderate income earners increasingly squeezed out of urban housing markets. It builds on Chris Bowen’s vow, ahead of the last federal contest, to restrict landlord investor negative gearing tax handouts to those helping to expand supply through newly-built housing acquisition. (more…)

  • MUNGO MACCALLUM. Nightmare draws to a close.

    The darkest hour, they say, is just before dawn. And it just may be that a glimmer of light is appearing in the five year nightmare of the Abbott-Turnbull-Morrison dynasty. (more…)

  • ALLAN PATIENCE. It’s time to cleanse the Augean stables of corporate and political governance in Australia.

    It will require a Herculean effort to clean out the greed, corruption, sense of entitlement, selfishness and ideological blindness at the “commanding heights” of Australia’s government, economy and society. The banking royal commission has exposed merely the tip of this ugly reality. In business, in the professions, in the media and in politics, many of those at the top are the custodians and reproducers of a culture that is morally fetid.  They remain obsessed with themselves, their cronies, their salaries and bonuses, their perks of office. (more…)

  • Favourable currents for ASEAN–China relations in the South China Sea (East Asia Forum, 12 December 2018)

    Despite increased friction between the United States and China, on balance, positive developments in the South China Sea outweighed negative ones this year. (more…)

  • TONY SMITH. The unacceptable road toll.

    We should not accept that it is inevitable that people will die on our roads. While drivers must behave responsibly, governments need to take actions which might seem radical in a society obsessed with cars.  (more…)

  • MICHAEL KEATING. Slow Wage Growth and Its Implications for the Government’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts

    On Monday the Government will release the mid-year update of its economic and fiscal outlook. The Government hopes that the announcement of a return to budget surplus in 2019 will underpin its claims as an economic manager in the run-up to the May election. Clearly, however, that projected surplus will depend upon the assumptions employed, and it is contended here, and in advance, that we should be very suspicious of the most critical element in the government forecasts – the wage forecast.   (more…)

  • MUNGO MACCALLUM. Morrison prepares for the next world.

    It appears that Scott Morrison has now given up on this world and is planning to move on to the next. (more…)

  • GEOFF MILLER; Whatever Happened to North Korea?

    There was a lot of scepticism about the Singapore summit between Trump and Kim and what it might produce, but some sort of process between North Korea and the US seemed the logical next step.  However, while further summits between North and South Korea have taken place, and there has been actual progress between the two and plans for more, nothing appears to be happening at a senior level between the Unites States and North Korea.  And in the absence of such movement the whole North Korean issue, so recently the centre of world attention, has been well and truly relegated to the back pages by the China-US dramas, Trump’s and Mrs May’s troubles and other events. (more…)

  • NILE BOWIE. 1MDB dragnet closes in on Najib, Goldman Sachs (Asian Times, 14.12.18)

    Legal wheels are turning fast in Malaysia and US to jail the ex-premier and hold the American investment bank responsible for money laundering and fraud worth billions of dollars (more…)

  • GOOD READING AND LISTENING FOR THE WEEKEND

    A regular collection of links to writings and broadcasts in other media (more…)

  • PM’s anti-corruption commission is a picture of impotence (The New Daily, 14.12.18)

    No public hearings? Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s proposed Commonwealth Integrity Commission is deeply flawed in its current conception under the authorship of Attorney-General Christian Porter and the Attorney-General’s department. (more…)

  • India’s 2019 general election suddenly becomes a lot more interesting

    India’s recent elections in five states (Chattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh (MP), Mizoram, Rajasthan, Telengana) were largely a contest between the Congress as the country’s grand old party led by Rahul Gandhi, and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led by PM Narendra Modi. Congress did not just lose office in 2014, it was routed, winning just 44 of the 543 seats in Parliament. Now it is back as a serious contender once again. (more…)

  • JOHN MENADUE. The Transition of Pearls & Irritations

    To readers and supporters

    With good content and only word of mouth promotion we have over 6500 subscribers and about 5000 daily readers. There is steady growth. P and I helps set the agenda on important public issues.It will not come as a surprise to you that we are looking to migrate P & I to a safe home, either an individual(s) or an organisation that shares our values and beliefs.

    P & I doesn’t attempt ‘balance’. It has a point of view.   (more…)

  • LUKE FRASER. Canberra has abandoned roads to inflationary spending and policy chaos

    Botched State road projects, toll road fee hikes and congestion grab big headlines and make good sport for critics of State governments.  (more…)

  • Peter Drake- Vale FRANK HAMBLY AM.

    Francis Sutherland Hambly, the doyen of university education in Australia, died in Canberra on 21 November 2018, aged 83.  Frank served the universities as Director and Secretary of the Australian Vice-Chancellor’s Committee (AVCC) from 1966 to 1996; indeed he personified the AVCC. (more…)

  • JEFFREY D. SACHS. The War on Huawei (Project Syndicate, 11.12.18)

    The Trump administration’s conflict with China has little to do with US external imbalances, closed Chinese markets, or even China’s alleged theft of intellectual property. It has everything to do with containing China by limiting its access to foreign markets, advanced technologies, global banking services, and perhaps even US universities. (more…)

  • ANTHONY PUN. The arrest of Huawei CFO Sabrina Meng in Canada.

    The arrest of Meng Wanzhou (Sabrina), the CFO of Huawei, has sent shock waves in China.  It would appear that the US-China Trade Cold War has escalated to new level of conflict which involves the arresting of personnel.  Canada is the accessory to the “kidnapping” of Meng on behalf of her American master by choosing on which side the bread is buttered.  Trudeau’s action has put the China Panic into Canada and questions whether this short term gain is more attractive than the long term loss of service revenue with China.  A lateral plan to escape this uncertain diplomatic dilemma has been suggested by one Chinese Canadian.  (more…)

  • JOHN MENADUE. Fake news, spin and media complicity on border protection and boat arrivals.

    In his desperate political situation, Scott Morrison last week became even more shrill in telling us ‘Bill Shorten is a clear and present threat to Australian security … and I’ll fight them [the ALP] using whatever tools or tactics I have available to me to ensure that we do not weaken border protection laws’. 

    His tools and tactics are designed to appeal to fear and are based on deception and misrepresentation. 

    The Coalition sees boat arrivals or the threat of boat arrivals as a means to advance its political interests. It is as sordid as that. As a ‘senior Liberal party official’ told the American Embassy some time ago, ‘the more boats that come, the better for us’.    (more…)

  • JERRY ROBERTS. Sir Joh and The Donald

    Queensland’s longest-serving Premier, Sir Joh Bjelke-Petersen, cultivated the public image of a country bumpkin. A book about his career was called The Hillbilly Dictator. Donald Trump has taken a similar act to the international stage. Has the world ever seen such a performance? No Hollywood star goes close to The Donald. The President of the United States wins all the Oscars.   (more…)

  • ANDREW FARRAN. Brexit: Reenter the Grand Old Duke of York.

    The Grand Old Duke of York was said to have marched his troops right up the hill and then marched them down again. At least he is supposed to have had some (loyal) supporters.

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