How Trump lost

If he’d governed as he ran in 2016, as an economic populist, he would likely have been reelected. Instead, he reverted to the same old Republican playbook.

Among the richest Americans—those earning more than $100,000—Trump substantially improved his margin of victory over 2016. But in blue-collar America, his support crumbled. Some of that shift may be because of Trump’s opponent, but much of it is because of Trump himself. Except perhaps on trade, he turned out not to be the economic populist he vowed to be in 2016.

For years now, commentators have wondered when the Republican Party would return to normal. By “normal,” they generally mean well-mannered, not openly racist, and not openly hostile to the rule of law. They mean the Republican Party as defined by people like Paul Ryan. But that Republican Party, for all its supposed decorum, has for decades pushed policies that threatened the wellbeing and economic survival of many Americans.

Four years ago, Trump won the presidency in part because he pledged to end that assault. Instead, he escalated it, even during the worst economic downturn since the Depression. Donald Trump didn’t lose reelection because he changed the Republican Party too much. He lost because he changed it too much.

First published in The New York Review November 7 2020, original article here.

Peter Beinart

Peter Beinart is a contributing opinion writer at The New York Times, Editor-at-Large of Jewish Currents, and a professor at the Newmark School of Journalism at the City University of New York. (November 2020)

Comments

6 responses to “How Trump lost”

  1. Maxine Debra Broughton Avatar
    Maxine Debra Broughton

    I think Peter Beinart has nailed it! Yes, historians will debate the exact details, but the most aggravating aspect of the last year in the US simply underlines Beinart’s argument that the underlying, general, Christian values of Trump’s campaign would never, ever be tolerated by those so-called great Evangelicals of the GOP!!!

  2. Hal Duell Avatar
    Hal Duell

    This is another example of preemptive journalism. It may turn out to be prescient, and it may turn out to be erroneous. But either way, Trump hasn’t lost, not yet, and maybe not at all.
    So, let’s hold our horses. There will be ample time to crow or weep once due process plays itself out.

  3. Mercurial Avatar
    Mercurial

    Your transcription contains an error in the last word, which should be ‘little’ not ‘much’.

  4. Harold Zwier Avatar
    Harold Zwier

    The very last word of the article (ie. the short version printed here) shouldn’t be “much” it should be “little”. The full article has this correct.

  5. R.J.E. Avatar
    R.J.E.

    Inaction on the virus with 230,000 dead would in my opinion be fatal for any aspiring President

  6. Paul Matters Avatar

    Trump lost the trade war with China. The manufacturing nirvana didnt appear. They voted . End of story.