The most likely way we could get into a war with China is if we continue to act as a proxy or deputy sheriff for the US in the region. Nancy Pelosi is doing her best to provoke China. (more…)
Category: Defence
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Could a second Trump Presidency leave Australia stranded?
Peter Hartcher’s recent piece on the ramifications of another Trump presidency undermines his usual argument that Australia must join America in confronting China and prepare for war with it. (more…)
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Nuclear submarines – disaster impending
Australia’s decision to acquire nuclear-propelled submarines will be staggeringly expensive and is unfit for the purpose of defending the country. It is prone to reinforce Chinese suspicions that we are determined on joining the United States in ‘containing’ it. (more…)
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A Significant People’s Forum on Peace, not just in Ukraine
Citizens in Australia speak of peace and show how to reach that goal. They do not trust politicians stifled into thinking that security means militarism, or think tanks funded to promote the idea that national defence and arms industry interests are the same. (more…)
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Ending the Ukraine and other wars: putting victims at the centre
A common response from Western nations to the Ukraine war is one of “support for Ukraine” or “standing with Ukraine” as it suffers ongoing attack from Russia. (more…)
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Deceiving cabinet colleagues on submarines? Surely not
Which Australian Defence Minister convinced the Hawke Cabinet to create a submarine production industry at Port Adelaide with no commercial prospects, its product being of only marginal benefit to our defence, with zero local construction expertise, at extraordinary cost to taxpayers yet available economically elsewhere – while obscuring the finding by his Department that submarines suffer critical limitations in defending Australia? (more…)
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A reckless and provocative visit by Pelosi to Taiwan
When the United States has a divided foreign policy on an issue of such grave importance, the world begins a slide onto very thin ice. (more…)
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International law and rules-based order are different in important ways for Australia
Australian politicians appear purposefully blind to domestic developments in America; and especially poorly briefed on the subterranean scholarly debates that suddenly emerge as new policy directions. For instance, understanding the intellectual battle over international law that has been taking place in professional journals and academic monographs is of vital importance to Australia’s public diplomacy and strategic policy. (more…)
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John Quelch: When will Australia break the habit of sucking its thumb whilst clutching the imperial coat tail?
We need to develop the habit of thinking independently in our own national interests. (more…)
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Customary barbarity: Britain’s SAS in Afghanistan
The insistence that there is a noble way of fighting war, one less bloody and brutal, has always been the hallmark of forces self-described as civilised. Restraint characterises their behaviour; codes of laws follow in their wake, rather than genocidal impulses. Killing, in short, is a highly regulated, disciplined affair. (more…)
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Richard Falk: When the centre does not hold in America
I find the prospect of civil wars less disheartening than the related drift toward fascism or the torments of anarchy. (more…)
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Our Defence Minister spurns realism, imperilling Australia
Behind the militarese the professionals know this means that Australia will cough up as much money and forces as necessary to fight China in a high-intensity war on China’s doorstep. (more…)
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Australia should show leadership in nuclear disarmament – a resolution in the UN General Assembly on the use of tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine would help
Australia needs to show leadership in the area of nuclear disarmament, and of more immediate importance, (like, ‘….could happen next week’), of nuclear risk reduction. (more…)
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NATO has an overriding institutional commitment to its permanent existence, if not expansion
This is a comprehensive, sobering review by Jonathan Cook who concludes that Washington’s greatest fear is that, as its economic muscle atrophies, Europe’s vital trading links with China and Russia will see its economic interests – and eventually its ideological loyalties – shift eastwards, rather than stay firmly in the western camp. (more…)
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Anthony Albanese must get real about China
Penny Wong is professional and diligent, but Prime Minister Anthony Albanese needs to change his advisers on China. (more…)
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Mr Marles tugs the forelock in Washington
New Defence Ministers ritually wend their way to Washington to offer up jaded homilies. Full of hagiographic accounts of ANZUS and strained assertions of shared values, they often also display a submission to America’s strategic objectives. The new Minister’s visit, however, foreshadows a dangerous abandonment of fundamental elements of national sovereignty by the Labor government. (more…)
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NATO hasn’t got our back as some think
Anthony Albanese demonstrated that in some respects he remains a prisoner of his predecessor’s national security policies. Amid the glamour of Europe, he revealed once more that Canberra’s security agencies still control how Australia projects itself to the wider world. (more…)
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American authoritarianism and ANZUS
Australia’s major ally, the United States, may soon cease to be a democracy. The Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v Wade – a decision opposed by a majority of Americans – is just the latest example of a country hurtling towards minority rule. Today, it is abortion rights on the judicial chopping block. Tomorrow, it is voting rights. (more…)
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The journey from nuclear non-proliferation to prohibition and disarmament: roadmaps, roadblocks and speedbumps
This is the text of the address delivered by Ramesh Thakur at the launch of The Nuclear Ban Treaty: A Transformational Reframing of the Global Nuclear Order (Routledge, 2022) at the Vienna Center for Disarmament and Non-Proliferation on Friday, 24 June 2022. (more…)
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What is Anthony Albanese up to!
Anthony Albanese has shown during his recent trip to Europe that he is a prime minister addicted to hyperbole and oblivious to how countries can change in unexpected ways. (more…)
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Is Australia in the firing line of a new Chinese campaign against the US?
How can Australia navigate the tough and dangerous strategic environment in Asia today with America and China competing to be the leading regional power? The consensus in Canberra – on both sides of politics – is that we should stick as close as we can to America, in the hope it will win the contest. (more…)
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It’s time – for a top-down review of defence
Labor has a big reputation to protect on defence reform. At historic turning points in Australia’s security it was mostly Labor governments which turned up and delivered. (more…)
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Global agendas 2022 – NATO and RIMPAC
War – its preparation, rehearsal, prosecution, and remediation – is increasingly the concern of 21st century states and peoples. Attention in 2022 focussed on the savage fighting in the Black Sea and Ukraine, but preparations, plans and rehearsals on a hitherto unprecedented scale for conflict were underway around the world, notably in the form of US-led and organised exercises in the Baltic, the East and South China Seas, the Mediterranean and the Pacific. For the most part, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) is in command, though in the case of the Pacific the primary role is played by the US Navy (i.e. the Pentagon). (more…)
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Sorting truth from facts on military spending – the media doesn’t care
Certain statements offered by the defence ministers from Australia and the US about China at the recent Shangri La Dialogue displayed a startling absence of comparative fact-based credibility. Neither of these senior political figures appears to have had the veracity of what they said seriously challenged by the supervising media contingent present in Singapore. (more…)
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Ukraine is the latest neocon disaster
The war in Ukraine is the culmination of a 30-year project of the American neoconservative movement. The Biden Administration is packed with the same neocons who championed the US wars of choice in Serbia (1999), Afghanistan (2001), Iraq (2003), Syria (2011), Libya (2011), and who did so much to provoke Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The neocon track record is one of unmitigated disaster, yet Biden has staffed his team with neocons. As a result, Biden is steering Ukraine, the US, and the European Union towards yet another geopolitical debacle. If Europe has any insight, it will separate itself from these US foreign policy debacles. (more…)
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Oh, for a Prime Minister honest about Australia’s security
How did it come to this? Australia’s defence policy has been baldly sacrificed to US interests via AUKUS with little public discourse. (more…)
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Beijing not Madrid, Prime Minister, would be more in Australia’s interests
In the national security domain, changing governments is like changing spark plugs in that nothing else changes. From their darkened cloisters the militarists befuddle new ministers with gloomy prognostications while proffering prophylactics like deterrence, alliances, and interoperability. And so the Prime Minister is off to the Madrid NATO conference. (more…)
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Ann Wright: Largest ever US and Nato naval war drills in Pacific a threat to both peace and marine life
Military posturing in the Asia-Pacific also risks nuclear war and the potential extinction of the human species. (more…)
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The United States-the Pacific bully
The US dominates the Pacific Islands to an extent China can never hope to achieve. With Australia’s support, the US is now engaged in an arms build-up in its Pacific territories and de-facto colonies in a little known boost to its containment of China. (more…)

