Category: Politics

  • COMING SOON – Mike Keating and John Menadue (joint editors). POLICY SERIES

    Mike Keating and John Menadue (joint editors)
    Fairness, Opportunity and Security -filling the policy vacuum

    There is a growing public disquiet that both the government and the opposition keep playing the political and personal game at the expense of informed public discussion of important policy issues.

    As a community we have become concerned about the trustworthiness of our political, business and media elite. Insiders and vested interests are undermining the public interest. Money is unduly influencing political decisions. There is gridlock on important issues like climate change and taxation.

    After a near death experience Tony Abbott has said the he is open to new thinking and ways of governing. Time will tell. Bill Shorten has said that 2015 will be the year of ideas. We hope so.

    From early May in this blog we will be posting a series of articles on important policy issues. Mike Keating and I will be joint editors.

     There will be over 40 policy articles .Each of the articles will be about 2000 words.

    They will be   realistic, given our political and financial constraints.

    It is planned that these policy articles will be published in a book by ATF Press in October/November this year  

    Policy areas to be canvassed

    Economic policy
    Fixing the budget
    Taxation
    Federalism

    Productivity
    Job creation and participation
    Foreign policy
    Security, both military and soft power
    Health.
    Development of our human capital in the fields of education, science,  research and development and innovation.
    Transport and infrastructure
    Population/migration/refugees
    Welfare priorities.
    Retirement incomes
    Indigenous affairs
    Communications, the arts, media and culture.
    Environment and climate change
    Inequality
    Role and responsibilities of government
    Democratic renewal – the lack of trust in government and the hollowing out  of our political  parties.
    Internal security and freedom.

     

  • John Menadue. The price we are paying for the Greens.

    The recent successes of the Greens in state elections in Victoria and NSW show us how populist nonsense can succeed at least in the short term. It has also shown the failure of the ALP to counter the threat of the Greens.

    There are two major issues on which the policies of the Greens have brought disastrous results for Australia. When it really mattered on climate change and asylum seekers, they sided with Tony Abbott.

    The Greens literally shed tears over the plight of asylum seekers. But they must bear a heavy responsibility for what we now see on Manus and Nauru.

    In the Senate the Greens sided with Tony Abbott against the arrangement with Malaysia, which, whilst not ideal, would have been a useful first step in curbing boat arrivals. That arrangement with Malaysia was negotiated with the understanding and broad support of UNHCR. Not only did the Greens side with Tony Abbott opposing amendments to the Migration Act to allow the arrangement with Malaysia to proceed, they embarked on an unscrupulous bashing campaign of Malaysia.

    With the collapse of the Malaysian arrangement boat arrivals in Australia increased dramatically. The result was Manus and Nauru. The Greens cannot be absolved for their populism and the consequences we now see on Manus and Nauru.

    The Greens must also accept major responsibility for the collapse in public support for effective action on climate change. In collaboration with the Coalition in the Senate they opposed the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme of the first Rudd Government. If the Greens had supported the Rudd Government’s CPRS in the Senate, the issue of climate change would not have been fully ‘done and dusted’ but we would be in a far better position on climate change than we are today. As a result of the Greens joining with Tony Abbott in the Senate we have no Emissions Trading Scheme, no carbon tax and a fig leaf of a policy called ‘Direct Action’.

    The Greens have inflicted disastrous damage to Australia on both climate change and asylum seekers. Their sabotage on both has set back real reform and decent policies.

  • David Stephens. Atatürk’s famous words of 1934 questioned

     

    Those heroes that shed their blood and lost their lives …
    You are now lying in the soil of a friendly country. Therefore rest in peace.
    There is no difference between the Johnnies and the Mehmets to us where they lie side by side here in this country of ours …
    You, the mothers, who sent their sons from far away countries wipe away your tears.
    Your sons are now lying in our bosom and are in peace after having lost their lives on this land.

    These famous words may not be what they seem to be – a statement composed by the father of modern Turkey, Mustafa Kemal Atatürk.

    The words appear on many monuments in Australia and Turkey, such as the Ari Burnu monument at Anzac Cove and the Atatürk Memorial in Canberra. They are recited every year at Anzac Day ceremonies around the world.

    Now, painstaking research by leading Turkish scholar, Cengiz Özakıncı, has established that the ‘Johnnies and Mehmets’ words were inserted by a former Anzac from Queensland, Alan J. Campbell, during an exchange of correspondence with the head of the Turkish Historical Society in 1978.

    The research is reported by Walkley Award-winning journalist, Paul Daley, in the Guardian Australia, with additional material on the Honest History website: http://honesthistory.net.au/wp/tracking-ataturk-honest-history-research-note/ .

    ‘The words that are everywhere said to be Ataturk’s from 1934’, says Honest History secretary, Dr David Stephens, ‘actually seem to be a combination of something that Atatürk may have said and an amendment inserted by Campbell, for reasons we don’t yet know, but because he was looking for words to go on the Gallipoli Fountains in Brisbane’. (The Fountains were opened in 1978 and demolished many years later.)

    There is considerable doubt also about whether Atatürk ever said the rest of the words.

    ‘It’s generally been accepted that Atatürk composed the words and gave them to one of his ministers, Şükrü Kaya, for a speech in 1934. But there is no evidence that Kaya gave such a speech in 1934. Özakıncı has uncovered a speech that Kaya gave in 1931 (with input from Atatürk) but that was a very different speech, which clearly distinguished between Turkish soldiers and invading Allied soldiers. Nothing about no difference between Johnnies and Mehmets.’

    The material on the Honest History website also looks at how the famous ‘Atatürk words’ became well-known.

    ‘The words allegedly were said in 1934. Kaya recalled them in 1953 in an interview, which was only rediscovered in 1978, and there were personal and political factors surrounding that interview which need to be taken into account.’

    While there is evidence that words similar to the well-known ones were in use in Turkish publications in 1960 and 1969, recent research has not been able to find evidence of them being used before Kaya’s interview in 1953. Atatürk died in 1938.

    ‘They are lovely words’, Dr Stephens said, ‘but we really don’t know that Atatürk ever said or wrote them. It detracts from the dignity of commemoration, whether it is in speeches or memorials, if we keep quoting these words and putting his name under them without proper evidence. Doing it again and again, as we have done in Australia and Turkey, just sets in stone what may well be a myth.’

    Defence Minister, Kevin Andrews, used the ‘Atatürk words’ in a speech at a conference last month in Canberra. The prime minister quoted them when he launched the Anzac Centenary Public Fund in December 2013. They appear on the Australian-Turkish Friendship sculpture unveiled just last week by Victorian Premier, Daniel Andrews, on the Ataturk Memorial unveiled in February in Sydney, and on memorials in Adelaide and Brisbane. (Links are on the Honest History website.)

    The words have also been used commercially, most recently on tins of Anzac biscuits sold by Aldi. Overseas, British Prime Minister, David Cameron, has also quoted them recently.

    David Stephens, Secretary, Honest History. This article was first published in ‘Honest History’ on 20 April. 

  • Julianne Schultz. The Great War and Australia’s future.

    The Gallipoli centenary provides a unique opportunity to reflect on the many wartime legacies – human, political, economic, military – that forged independent nations from former colonies and dominions. Over the next fortnight, The Conversation, in partnership with Griffith Review, is publishing a series of essays exploring the enduring legacies of 20th-century wars.


    It seems poignantly appropriate that the web address gallipoli.net.au, which features the logo, “Gallipoli: The Making of a Nation”, is owned by Michael Erdeljac of the Splitters Creek Historical Group. Splitters Creek is now a suburb on the western edge of Albury, better known for its active Landcare group, and as the home to the endangered squirrel glider.

    In the competitive market for Great War memorabilia, Erdeljac deserves to be congratulated. He has owned the URL for 14 years, well before commemoration became a national preoccupation. He is motivated by his own conviction that “we must remember”.

    The history recalled on the site is serviceable; the list of names of those killed at the Gallipoli landing, Lone Pine and Nek battles heartbreaking; the opportunity to “own a piece of history” well-priced: A$1200 for a framed print of a photo from the front. The photo was donated by the late daughter of Corporal Herbert Bensch, one of the many Australians of German heritage who fought for the Australian Imperial Force (AIF) in the Great War.

    It was in a camera belonging to his mate, who was one of the nearly 9,000 Australian soldiers, 3000 New Zealanders, 35,000 Brits, 27,000 French and 86,000 Turks who died on the peninsula a century ago. Years after returning, Bensch processed the photo and it became a family heirloom.

    It is poignant because it was settlements like Splitters Creek in the Riverina that were home to many of the almost 60,000 Australians who died during that war. As has been graphically captured on the screen, and is now easily accessible in the digital records of those who fought, many of the young men who volunteered to travel across hemispheres were country lads woefully ill-prepared for the slaughter they would face.

    Not all, like Bensch, traced their forebears back to England. For many of those who fought it was a chance to be involved in a great adventure, albeit often with tragic consequences.

    Did the Great War really create Australia?

    The notion that this blooding and the other epic battles of the Great War made the nation has become a truism. But it is one that needs to be examined.

    Australia was already a (teenage) nation in 1914. It was a nation crafted from the time, eager to assert its independence (in most things) from the motherland, infected by a racism made (almost) scientific by Darwinism, egalitarian, protectionist, and, in important democratic domains (compulsory voting), marked by a progressive spirit.

    In many ways, Australia was a world leader – forging both a civic and an ethnic idea of nation.

    In Europe, by contrast, at the beginning of the war, as David Reynolds details, there were only three republics – France, Switzerland and Portugal – but five major empires: the Ottoman and British, and those headed by the Romanovs, Habsburgs and Hohenzollerns. Five years later, all but one of these empires had imploded. There were 13 new republics and nine nations that had not even existed before the war.

    In Europe, the 16 million lives lost and 20 million injured literally created nations. The carnage emboldened a democratic, nationalist and in some places revolutionary, spirit. It led to major political changes in Great Britain, the beginning of the end of the old aristocracy, and eventually the devolution of Ireland. In Australia, by contrast, it slowed and divided the progressive movement, tingeing the country with grief.

    Although the trauma and loss was profound in Britain, Australia and New Zealand, there were no battles on home soil in either the motherland or the dominions. In Britain, the outcomes were less concrete. They were more tied, as Reynolds argues, to:

    … abstract ideals such as civilised values and even the eradication of war.

    In Australia, as John Hirst has written:

    Gallipoli freed Australia from the self-doubt about whether it had the mettle to be a proper nation.

    So, in Australia, the experience of war became shorthand for nationhood. In New Zealand, it marked the beginning of a long journey to even fuller independence.

    It is an ancient notion that equates battle and blood with independence and freedom; that there is life in death. The very idea that war “was the truest test of nationhood and that Australia’s official status would not be ratified psychologically until her men had been blooded in war” is, as historian Carolyn Holbrook persuasively argues, evidence of:

    … muscular nationalism [that] was given legitimacy by Social Darwinism.

    The Great War did not make Australia – that had been relatively cerebral activity, notwithstanding the conflict of settlement, which reached its conclusion on January 1, 1901, when the colonies federated into a nation. The nation began as penal colonies, prosecuted battles of settlement, welcomed people from many lands and crafted a constitution. But like many adolescents it was conflicted, as Holbrook argues:

    … the very nation that it sought to distinguish itself from was the nation whose approval it craved.

    The Great War was not even the first foreign war that Australians fought in alongside Britain – that was in South Africa. But as the legend of Breaker Morant has captured, there were important differences in attitude between Australia and Britain that came to the fore in foreign battles.

    Many historians have argued that the lingering feeling of illegitimacy, of having a chip on the shoulder that needed to be avenged, helped fuel the idea that participation in the Great War was a coming of age. This was proof, as Hirst noted, that Australia really had the “mettle to be a nation”.

    Eagerness to participate was not universally shared. This is illustrated most powerfully in the failure of two referenda to introduce conscription. This was another important mark of an independent nation, of a place where people had the right to make their own decisions rather than being the property of the state. So those of Irish heritage expressed anti-British sentiment, those of German descent were regarded suspiciously, and Indigenous Australians joined the fight. It was complicated.

    Afterwards, the tragedy of loss and grief was palpable. Australia’s progressive spirit was divided and lost momentum.

    And then, in little more than a generation, another war began which layered trauma on catastrophe, left the air full of human smoke, changed global geopolitics and renamed the Great War, World War One.

    In an enduring sense, it was the Second World War that really changed the world. It consolidated the American Century, defined in part by conflict with the Soviet Republic and its empire; triggered the end of colonialism and its multi-faceted implications; created space for the assertion of international law; and provided the framework for the remarkable transformations of the past seven decades.

    How Australia changed

    Undoubtedly, the wars of the 20th century shaped – arguably even made – modern Australia. But this was not because of an ancient blood sacrifice in distant lands or even the closer strategic battles that followed. It was a product of the responses, realignments and decisions that followed.

    Every country has its most symbolic year from each of the world wars, and can trace the consequences of the bloodletting that accompanied the global realignment of the last century.

    In Australia this can be measured in many ways, but three major legacies stand out: increasing independence from Britain, deeper engagement with the rest of the world and more multiculturalism at home. It was in the aftermath of these wars that Australia found its voice in international forums – at Versailles and in the formation of both the League of Nations and United Nations.

    After excluding the Chinese, deporting German residents and treating the first Australians as subhuman a century ago, Australia slowly let down the gangplank and after the Second World War began again to welcome large numbers of people from all around the world. While the legal separation from Britain took much longer to achieve – and is still a work in progress – the reaction to the knighting of Prince Philip on Australia Day, 2015, suggests this is a project nearing completion.

    At a more prosaic level, one of the greatest media empires the world has ever known can trace its antecedents to the wartime reporting (and political dealmaking) of Sir Keith Murdoch. And it was the wartime experiences of Gough Whitlam that shaped his political agenda that was implemented three decades later, and still upholds the foundations of contemporary Australia.

    Not just an intellectual exercise

    It is striking that 2015 is the centenary of the Gallipoli offensive, the 70th anniversary of end of the Second World War in the Pacific, and the 40th anniversary of the end of the Vietnam War. This is a good time to reflect not only on the actions of those wars, but on their consequences and their enduring legacies.

    The battles are important, but the lessons to be learnt in their aftermath need to be interrogated to explain how we got where we are.

    This is essentially an intellectual exercise. Australians generally shy away from such activity, preferring celebration, commemoration and consumption. This year is replete with travel agents offering guided journeys to far-away battle sites (because, apart from Darwin, none of these modern wars occurred on mainland Australian soil), books, films, television series, exhibitions and coins.

    The ballot for places to attend the Gallipoli commemoration was massively oversubscribed. The Perth Mint’s 99.9% gold Baptism of Fire $5050 coin sold outquickly, but there are still plenty of the 99.9% silver Making of a Nation coins for just $99 and others from the Anzac series. The first episode of Channel Nine’s Gallipoli miniseries attracted more than one million viewers before sinking into ratings netherland.

    And the Splitters Creek Historical Group still has copies of Corporal Herbert Bensch’s colleague’s battlefront photo, and the list of many of those who died at Gallipoli 100 years ago.


    You can read a longer version of this article and others from the Griffith Review’s latest edition on the enduring legacies of war here.

    Julianne Schultz is the Founding Editor of Griffith Review; Professor, Centre for Public Culture and Ideas at Griffith University.

    This article was first published in The Conversation on 15 April 2015.

    See also:  http://honesthistory.net.au/wp/investing-our-legacies/

  • Bruce Kaye. Corporate Tax and Ethics Dodging

    The Senate committee hearings with testimony from high profile executives from some very large corporations have brought to notice the strategies to shift profits in order to avoid paying taxes in Australia.  The companies claim that they are acting legally.  The counter claim is that such manipulation of the law is unfair – it is not ethical.

    I am not competent to deal with the all complexities on tax law or the international agreements that are relevant to this problem.  But even those who are competent do seem to suggest that there are problems largely arising from the failure of the law to keep up with changing technology in relation to the jurisdictional character of a nation state.  Trevor Boucher has provided such a contribution on this blog.

    This is not a new problem.  The growth of large corporations in both Europe and the emerging US was greatly assisted by the introduction in law of limited liability for business corporations.  This change enabled the mobilisation of significant capital in order to undertake extensive enterprises.

    Limited liability was a compromise on the part of the community in which the corporation was located to limit liability where it would normally have arisen in order to get things done for the benefit of the community.  However the internationalisation of business enterprises in the twentieth century has complicated the nation state basis of the location and operation of corporations.  This has been vastly accelerated with the growth of the internet and of information technology generally. It is not surprising that the IT companies Google and Apple are in the spotlight in the present debate.

    Within nation states business corporations have gained significant influence on governments.  To some extent, we see that here in Australia but it is a trend that has advanced to a far greater degree in the US.  The capacity of the US government to secure legislation against the interests of business corporations is now very limited.

    There is no ethical reason that should inhibit governments making laws that favour business corporations, or any other organisations such as unions, charities, or a multitude of other corporations as long as those laws serve a discernible good for the community which the government exists to serve.  Such tax concessions are in principle not much different from grants given to organisations or groups in the community.  Enormous subsidies to the car industry over the years have been justified on the basis of a benefit to the community.  That is in essence an ethical judgement.

    Similarly grants to private schools, sporting bodies and a host of other community organisations are judgements made on the basis of a benefit to the community.  Not everyone agrees with every decision made by the government or particular ministers.  But that is part of the democratic character of the society in which we live.  People are free to seek to influence such decisions either to lobby for them or to campaign against them.  If they are to make a success of such endeavours they need to persuade either the broad community or those with authority to make decisions that their case is based on the benefit of the community.  That becomes an essentially ethical question – what is for the good of the community.

    In the current debate there is some talk about whether the corporation is acting unethically – is the profit shifting for tax avoidance unethical, or in its more usual form in the debate is it unfair.  In a number of senses the corporation has some of the characteristics of a person – it can be sued for example.  It has a corporate memory, it has patterns of internal operating relationships that can be seen to be more or less attractive in ethical terms.  It can be seen to have a corporate memory, though like the memory of an individual that does not mean that that memory will or should determine future actions.  However it is hard to see the corporation as in itself an ethical agent in the same sense in which a human individual is.  Nonetheless it remains the case that the corporation is a complex set of internal and external relationships which are susceptible of ethical appraisal.

    The key issue in the present situation is the decision making structure of the corporation, ultimately of the board.  In general board members are required to decide matters in terms of the purpose and well being of the corporation.  They are bound by what we might call an ethical obligation to the benefit of the corporation.  But as individuals they remain ethical agents who are not just board members but also citizens who belong to a community.  Their obligation to the corporation is secondary to their obligation to the community.

    An analogous issue applies to the taxation laws of a country.  Significantly these are related to treaties the country has entered into in relation to taxation and trade.  Subverting the operation of those treaties is surely an ethically ambiguous activity.  In this sense the actions of Google and Apple, if they are indeed legal under our laws and treaties then it is difficult not to see them as thereby ethical.  If, however, those laws no longer satisfy the community benefit or fairness test then it becomes an ethical obligation to campaign to change them.

    When they seem to us to be somehow unfair our options essentially are to work to reform the terms of operating, the law and the treaties.  Trevor Boucher has shown in his blog that this is not any easy task.

    However I think there are two things that can be attempted that might enable a better judgement.  The actual facts of the law (see Boucher) and the details of what the companies actually do should be made transparent to public examination.  That at least would enable clarity of thought. I think it is entirely reasonable to seek to persuade the company to change its practices.  They don’t have to do what they are doing.  So bringing informed pressure on the relevant board members would be an appropriate strategy.

    Clearly we need to persuade our government to address these issues and to seek to bring the law and the relevant treaties into line with the changed circumstances. Again there is nothing like exposure to public gaze.

    In all this however we would be wise to recognise that Australia is a minnow internationally in this and we should expect the international giants to look after their own interests.

     

    Bruce Kaye is an Anglican Theologian currently an Adjunct Research Professor At  Charles Sturt University. He previously taught a course on the rise and role of the business corporation at UNSW. He was formerly General Secretary of the Anglican Church of Australia. 

  • Trevor Boucher. International Tax : Some Constraints

    I certainly would not want to be seen as an apologist for multinational company groups in the current debate on what to do about profit-shifting tax avoidance activities of groups like Google and Apple.

    But there are some significant legal/technical obstacles in the way of solutions.

    Like other countries, Australia taxes each company in a group on the basis of where it is resident. An Australian resident is liable here on its worldwide income, but a foreign resident is taxed by Australia only on income with an Australian “source”. Put simply, profits have a source where the activity that generates the relevant income is located.

    Our taxing rights are affected by the some 40 legally-binding (but terminable) tax treaties that Australia has with other countries. They are part of a world-wide net of such treaties, based on an OECD model. One key rule is that Australia can’t tax the business profits of a company resident in a treaty country unless it has a “permanent establishment” (PE) here. The concept of “permanent establishment” and the terms in which it is expressed –“ a fixed place of business”- were formulated in pre-information technology “old world” days of bricks and mortar, when there was a clear physical place where income producing activity was carried on.

    In defined circumstances an agent in Australia of a foreign company could be a PE of that company, eg if the agent had authority to conclude contracts on its behalf. However with the availability and speed of technology, and no doubt readily available structuring advice, it is not difficult for groups like Apple and Google to so arrange things that their subsidiary that is drawing income from Australia does not have (for them) unwanted PE status.

    The OECD /G20 is looking at this, with (as far as can be seen) attention being given to to patching up the agency rules. International consensus on changes, followed by bilateral or multilateral treaties and domestic enabling legislation is likely to be a drawn out affair. I am not holding my breath. How readily will the US sign on to measures that cause its companies to pay more foreign tax?

    The UK (with a coming election) is going alone, despite OECD criticism, with its own “diverted profits tax” to address the exploitation of treaty provisions. Is Australia to follow with a similar unilateral approach? If one says that profits are diverted there must be a status from which the diversion takes place. If that status is determined by the existing “old world” tax treaties the UK approach might involve going around in circles. Also, each tax treaty has a standard provision that requires that its rules and limitations apply also to any later substantially similar taxes imposed in addition to the existing taxes.

    On a different tack, let’s look at what a customer in Australia pays for an Apple device. We have been given to understand that this dealing is with a Singapore subsidiary that does not have a PE in Australia. Even if it did, only a small part of sales receipts would properly be taxable here. The devices are manufactured in another country and employ foreign- developed technology for which some royalty expense can properly be charged. Achievement of sales does not require a big marketing effort in Australia. We in Australia would think it inappropriate if China were to say that the whole or a substantial part of an Australian company’s receipts from the export to that country of Australian iron ore or coal was a profit made in China.

    Turning to Google, if you place one of the ads from which it makes its money you are, apparently, dealing with a Singapore subsidiary that does not have a PE in Australia (see above).Courtesy of the technology you may be interacting with a computer or human being in another country/ countries. These days, that is not all that strange – when we ring up about a phone problem we can find that we are speaking to someone in the Philippines who can deal with it from there. A bank matter may involve use of a person in India. A daily newspaper finds it cheaper to have its sub editing done in New Zealand. In other words, use of overseas-located technology does not in itself speak of tax avoidance.

    Coming at it another way, however, Google’s advertising service offered to Australians does have an Australian character. Technically though, it is a business profit shielded from Australian tax by the PE rule. In 1968, faced with a similar inability to tax know-how and other like payments we developed a new definition of “royalty” , gave royalties a statutory “source” in Australia where they are paid by an Australian resident  or are an expense of  a “permanent establishment” here. Without exception, we excluded them from the PE rule in all subsequent treaties.

    The US itself, home to major multinationals, is necessarily part of any solution. A US parent is taxed there on foreign subsidiary profits remitted home as income, credit being allowed for foreign tax paid. Profits diverted into tax haven subsidiaries and not paid up to the parent are not taxed , although they are available for group use. In 1962, “controlled foreign corporations” laws were introduced to tax parents on income so diverted. (BHP has said that it pays our CFC  tax on income of its Singapore marketing company.) However, the US protective rules have major loopholes which Congress has not seen fit to close. Seemingly, the US prefers the extra tax-free clout that the loopholes give to their corporations over the contribution to its revenue that effective taxation would achieve.

    Were the US to tax effectively, US groups would (because of availability of credit for foreign tax paid) have less incentive to avoid Australian and other foreign taxes.

    The Government’s discussion paper would have us believe that a reduction in Australia’s company tax would lessen avoidance incentives. Well, for companies addicted to tax minimisation it would have to be a very big reduction. A reduction in our rate would do two things: for Australian-resident shareholders it would mean smaller imputation credits and thus more personal tax, while for foreign shareholders the benefit would accrue to them or the Treasury of their country.

    It’s not easy.

     

    Trevor Boucher was Australian Commissioner of Taxation 1984-93. This was followed by two years as Australia’s Ambassador to the OECD.

     

     

  • Judith Crispin. Anzac day, the Armenian Genocide and destruction of cultural heritage in the Caucasus.

    “Generally speaking, genocide does not necessarily mean the immediate destruction of a nation, except when accomplished by mass killings of all members of a nation. It is intended rather to signify a coordinated plan of different actions aiming at the destruction of essential foundations of the life of national groups, with the aim of annihilating the groups themselves. The objectives of such a plan would be disintegration of the political and social institutions, of culture, language, national feelings, religion, and the economic existence of national groups, and the destruction of the personal security, liberty, health, dignity, and even the lives of the individuals belonging to such groups. Genocide is directed against the national group as an entity, and the actions involved are directed against individuals, not in their individual capacity, but as members of the national group.”

    Raphael Lemkin, Axis Rule in Occupied Europe: Laws of Occupation – Analysis of Government – Proposals for Redress (1944)

    As we prepare to commemorate one hundred years since Australian forces landed at Anzac Cove, we might spare a thought for the victims of the Armenian genocide.

    Causal connections between the April 25 Gallipoli landings and the order by the Ottoman Minister of the Interior on April 24 to round up and execute Armenian intellectuals, do not feature in our Government-curated Anzac narrative. To our shame, Australia is not among the twenty-two nations that formally recognise Turkey’s massacre of 1.5 million Armenians as genocide.

    One may wonder why it should matter if Australia continues to exclude the Armenian Genocide from its national story. But there are three good reasons to bring this particular genocide into public discourse and our Anzac commemorations.

    Firstly, genocides are not simply crimes against a specific people, they are crimes against all humanity, and participating in their denial shames us as a nation. Common decency compels us to stand beside the Armenians on April 24 to denounce their historical genocide, as, indeed, we should denounce all genocides. This is my first and most important reason for urging Australia to recognise the Armenian Genocide.

    But it is also worth noting that by continuing to deny the 1915 genocide, we miss out on an opportunity to honour Australia’s extraordinary humanitarian response to that event. Captured Australian servicemen held by the Ottomans in Turkey were unwilling eyewitnesses to the Armenian, Greek and Assyrian genocides. They essentially blew the whistle on Ottoman atrocities in the region.

    Captain Thomas Walter White of the Australian Flying Corps, for example, reported mass Armenian graves in northern Mesopotamia and western Turkey. In the Jordan valley, Australian soldiers rescued Armenian refugees and a famously recounted story tells of Colonel Arthur Mills carrying a sleeping four-year-old Armenian girl to safety on his camel.

    During the war, atrocities against Armenians were reported by Australian newspapers. Returning Australian soldiers, many of whom had assisted Armenian refugees in Turkey, joined the civilian Armenian relief fund. This grassroots movement raised millions in relief funds for the Armenian cause, and remains the largest humanitarian effort in Australian history.

    It seems ludicrous that our Anzac commemorations focus on Britain’s failed Gallipoli campaign, which took almost 9000 Australian lives, but do not acknowledge the extraordinary humanitarian efforts toward the Armenians by allied soldiers and civilian Australians.

    Another compelling reason to talk about the Armenian Genocide is to challenge the assumption that all of this occurred in the past and has no connection to current events. Ripples from the 1915 genocide can be clearly observed in Jihardi attacks on ancient Assyrian/Persian culture that we are reading about right now.

    It must be emphasised that Lemkin’s definition of genocide signifies “a coordinated plan of different actions aiming at the destruction of essential foundations of the life of national groups, with the aim of annihilating the groups themselves.” This coordinated plan, which Lemkin suggests might include “disintegration of the political and social institutions, of culture, language, national feelings, religion” extends beyond the mass murder of an ethnic group in its intentions.

    Genocide seeks to wipe out all traces of a people—physically, culturally and historically. The current destruction of cultural monuments across the middle and near east has its very roots in the 1915 Armenian Genocide. When we watch ISIS destroy Assyrian monuments on You Tube, we are seeing something that was set in motion a hundred years ago—something that might not have occurred if the international world had held Turkey to account over the genocide.

    Why, then, has Australia become an active participant in an effort to conceal the Armenian Genocide? Particularly given that Australia’s humanitarian efforts, and the rescue of Armenians by our soldiers in Ottoman Turkey remain unacknowledged as a direct result. The answer appears to be that Australia has buckled beneath the pressure of conjoined denialist efforts by Azerbaijan and Turkey—denial of both the 1915 Armenian Genocide and the ongoing cultural genocides in their countries. Only by bringing these events into the light of day will Australia regain its own dignified and honest history.

    On the evening of April 24, 1915, sometimes called “Red Sunday”, Ottoman officials arrested 250 Armenian intellectuals in Constantinople before deporting and murdering them. The order, given by Minister of the Interior Talaat Pasha the day before the Allies landed at Gallipoli, marked the start of the Armenian Genocide.

    This murderous campaign was part of a wider extermination program targeting Armenians, Assyrians and Greeks who were seen as obstacles to Turkey’s unification with Turkic tribes in Azerbaijan and the creation of a grand Pan Turkish region.

    The 1915 massacres merged seamlessly into later Turkish-Azerbaijani efforts to eliminate Armenian culture in Nakhichevan, in the early 2000s, and current attacks on Assyrian culture in Iraq by ISIS and their affiliates. The Ottomans went on to massacre between 1 and 1.5 million people in a government organised and systematic genocide.

    Often described by Historians as the precursor to the Jewish Holocaust, the Armenian Genocide was chillingly similar in detail to events engineered twenty-five years later by the Third Reich.

    Armenians were murdered in concentration camps. They were gassed or sent on death marches into the Syrian Desert. Approximately 80,000 Armenians were set alight in haylofts and stables across the Muş plain. Thousands of others were taken into the Black Sea or the Euphrates and drowned. So many Armenian corpses were left in the Euphrates, in fact, that the course of the river was temporarily changed. The New York Times described hundreds of Armenians in crammed cattle trains or driven along Syrian roads “strewn with corpses”.

    Like their Third Reich successors, the Ottoman Empire conducted medical experiments on their Armenian prisoners, injecting them with Typhoid infected blood and overdoses of morphine. Armenian businesses, farms, houses and private property were confiscated and financial institutions were ordered to turn over all Armenian assets to the Ottoman government.

    The 1919 trials and court-martials of Ottoman officials firmly condemned Turkish atrocities against Armenians—and, in 1921, assassin Soghomon Tehlirian hunted down and executed former Turkish Grand Vizier Talaat Pasha in Berlin. The trial of Soghomon Tehlirian, which revealed an undercover operation to kill the architects of the Armenian Genocide, horrified international lawyer Raphael Lemkin. He went on, in 1943, to coin the word “genocide” to describe the Ottoman massacre of Armenians.

    Since the 1920s Turkey has undertaken a systematic and highly funded campaign to oppose international acknowledgement of the Armenian genocide.

    But what has this got to do with cultural destruction? The beginnings of Armenian culture can be traced to Nakhichevan’s founding, in modern day Azerbaijan, during 3669BC. According to tradition Nakhichevan, whose name derives from the Armenian “Nakhnakan Ichevan” (Նախնական Իջևան), meaning, “first landing place”, was established by Noah after the Biblical deluge.

    It was in this land, shadowed by holy Mt Ararat, that the theologian Mesrob Mashtots first created the Armenian Alphabet and founded the earliest Armenian schools.

    In 1605 the population of Julfa, an important Armenian centre in Nakhichevan, were forcibly relocated to Persia by Shah Abbas. The town of Julfa was destroyed to prevent the Armenians returning but, recognising the importance of its historic cemetery, Shah Abbas ordered his soldiers to leave it untouched.

    Julfa cemetery, which graced the banks of the river Arax, once held 10,000 ornate Armenian khachkars (cross-stones) from the 15th and 16th century, inscribed with Christian crosses, suns, flowers and climbing plants. Alongside these khachkars stood tombstones from the late 6th century and undated pagan gravemarkers from even earlier. This extraordinary cemetery, spread over three hills on Nakhichevan’s border with Iran, was home to the largest collection of East Christian cultural monuments on earth.

    In 1920 Nakhichevan was declared part of Azerbaijan, a decision reinforced by the Treaty of Kars. This Treaty created a new border between Turkey and Armenia—ceding Armenia’s holy mountain Ararat to Turkey as well as important cities and the ancient ruins of Ani.

    The last remaining 2,000 Armenians were deported from Nakhichevan in 1989. Official Azerbaijani historical records now state that Armenians did not live in the South Caucasus before the 19th century.

    A premeditated campaign to erase all traces of early Armenian culture in Nakhichevan has been undertaken by the Azerbaijan Government. Of around 280 named Armenian churches in Nakhichevan, few remain standing today.

     

    In 2005, in direct violation of the 1948 UN Convention on Cultural Heritage, Azerbaijani authorities demolished Julfa cemetery’s priceless khachkars with bulldozers, loaded the crushed fragments onto trucks and emptied them into the river Arax. Video footage and photographs taken from the Iranian bank of the river captured almost 100 Azerbaijani servicemen destroying Julfa’s khachkars with sledgehammers and other tools.

    Demands by The European Parliament in 2006 that “Azerbaijan allow missions, such as experts working with ICOMOS who are dedicated to surveying and protecting archaeological heritage, in particular Armenian heritage, onto its territory, and that it also allow a European Parliament delegation to visit the archaeological site at Julfa”, were refused.

    Shortly thereafter, Nakhichevan authorities constructed a military shooting range on the very ground where thousands of human remains lie, still unmarked.

    Despite compelling evidence in photographs, video and satellite images, Azerbaijan has consistently denied the destruction of Julfa cemetery.

    What we are witnessing now, in Australia’s refusal to recognise the Armenian Genocide, is the result of a combined denialist campaign by two politically and militarily allied countries, capable of exerting huge pressure on the international community through Turkey’s NATO role and Azerbaijan’s control of oil.

    This combined effort has effectively silenced discourse around the conjoined events of the 1915 genocide and the ongoing destruction of Christian monuments in Azerbaijan, Turkey and elsewhere. In achieving this goal, Azerbaijan and Turkey have concealed important historical contexts for understanding recent attacks on Assyrian culture by ISIS and their affiliates.

    Turkey and Azerbaijan’s deliberate efforts to blind international politics to past and present crimes against humanity has been tolerated by Australia, ostensibly, for the sake of Anzac Cove photo opportunities in 2015.

    Turkey’s exclusion of NSW MPs from the 2015 Anzac Cove ceremony because of bipartisan support for a Parliamentary motion to recognise the Armenian Genocide, demonstrates a clear intention to use Anzac day to blackmail Australia into supporting Turkish denialism. Treasurer Joe Hockey, of Armenian heritage, called for Federal Parliament to formally recognise the Armenian Genocide while in opposition, yet refuses to jeopardise his dealings with Turkey now that he is in Government.

    But the international tide is turning. In response to Pope Francis’s recent statement that the 1915 massacres in Armenia constituted the “the first genocide of the 20th century,” Turkey recalled its ambassador to the Holy See. Following The European Parliament’s resolution to adopt the same term, genocide, in relation to Armenian history, Turkish President Erdogan stated, “It is out of the question for there to be a stain, a shadow called ‘genocide’ on Turkey.”

    Many eminent Turkish academics presently advocate for genocide recognition, motivated by the same desire for historical truth that should be inspiring Australia’s own stance on the issue. Only by acknowledging this genocide can Turkey honour its past national heroes, the Oscar Schindler’s of the Ottoman Empire—men like Mehmet Celal Bey and others who saved thousands of Armenians from persecution.

    Genocide includes massacres, but is not limited to massacres. Any systematised and organised attempt to erase a people should be considered an act of genocide.

    When a force, such as the Ottoman-Turks and their Azerbaijani allies, seeks to destroy all traces of a people through mass murder, through destroying their cultural monuments and through an extensive and well-funded rewriting of history—there can be no doubt that we are speaking of Genocide. Australia’s role in the Armenian Genocide was humanitarian, admirable and praise-worthy. We should never forget that—but we should never have allowed our legacy to be tainted by Turkey’s efforts to suppress historical truth.

    Perhaps this Anzac Day we will remember that our greatest victory at Gallipoli was not at Anzac Cove. What brought lasting honour to our nation is symbolised in the image of a four-year-old Armenian girl carried in the arms of an Australian camel-mounted soldier, to safety.

    Dr Judith Crispin is the Director of Manning Clark House in Canberra. A practising artist, composer and writer, Judith is an honorary fellow of th Australian Catholic University and part of an international research team working on the digital repatriation of ancient Armenian culture.

     

     

  • John Menadue. Best we forget – the Frontier War and the Maori Wars.

    See below post I made on this subject in October 2013. John Menadue

    Repost.  The drumbeat grows louder. 

    In the lead-up to the centenary of Gallipoli in 2015 the military drums are growing louder. We are expected to cheer it all. In the process we will be encouraged to engage in a lot of mindless myths. Amnesia will also play a large part.

    In an interview published in the SMH on October 5 this year, Brendan Nelson, the Director of the Australian War Memorial, former Minister for Defence and Parliamentary Leader of the Liberal Party, said: ‘The soul of the nation is embedded in many ways in the [Australian War] memorial’. Is it? I certainly hope not. He then added ‘the more obscene the war, the more inexplicable for us it seems today, the more many [young people] admire these men and women who went in our name.’ What an extraordinary thing to say!  In short, he is saying that the more ‘inexplicable’ or dubious the war, the more young people admire the values of those that served in those wars.

    Inexplicable or dubious wars must surely include our involvement in Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan. What is the SAS really doing in Afghanistan, in our name? Even the worst of wars like these seem to be an opportunity to burnish the Gallipoli and Anzac legend. In this interview with Brendan Nelson, the correspondent Mark Dapin commented that the kind of ‘rhetoric that you hear today [from Brendan Nelson] lay dormant for decades after the Vietnam War. So there has been a recent militarisation – or a re-militarisation – of the Australian imagination.’

    This growing surge of militarism was triggered by the campaigns of the Hawke and Keating Governments to revive Anzac Day with highly publicised visits and commemorations of the Anzacs at the battle and grave sites in Turkey and France. Interestingly, this campaign to revive Anzac Day did not highlight Australian sacrifices in the Pacific where we live.

    This surge of interest in Anzac has continued. John Howard was proud to note that Anzac Day had been successfully revived.

    In the lead-up to the Centenary of Gallipoli there will be extensive media campaigns and programs in schools. The PR machines in Departments of Defence, Veterans Affairs and the War Memorial will pull out all the stops. Prime Minister Tony Abbott has appointed himself as the Minister for the Gallipoli Centenary. Michael Ronaldson will be the Minister Assisting for the Centennial.

    To help promote the Centenary, the Australian War Memorial will be exempted from reducing costs by providing an “efficiency dividend” like all other Commonwealth departments and agencies.

    Tony Abbott has committed Australia to raise its defence expenditure to 2% of GDP. This can only be directed at deterring China. How absurd it is to suggest that Australia could build a military capacity to deter China. As Mike Scrafton has commented, this is ‘naïve militarism at its worst’.

    World War II was the most critical this century for our future, even survival. But it remains quite secondary to the myth-making about World War I and our service to Britain.

    In World Wars I and II, the fallen were invariably buried overseas and the family notified by telegram or letter from the Minister for Defence. Now the bodies are returned to Australia and their valour acknowledged in a funeral, usually attended by both the Prime Minister and the Leader of the Opposition. One deceased serviceman who accidentally shot himself in Iraq was buried in his home town in Gippsland with full military honours, a three volley gun salute and even a fly past. The Prime Minister and Minister for Defence attended.

    In all this honouring of the valour of service people, we refuse to acknowledge that successive Australian governments have involved us in “inexplicable” and dubious wars. To cover our moral and political failure, we hide behind the valour of our service people. Who was it who said “the sacrifice of brave men does not justify the pursuit of an unjust cause” This hiding behind the valour of others is also a device to hide our slavish adherence to the United States with its militarism both at home and abroad which President Eisenhower warned about over sixty years ago

    In my blog of September 19 ‘Frontier War and asylum seekers’, I pointed out that the most reliable estimates show that over 30,000 indigenous people were killed in this country by police and settlers from the late 18th Century to the early 20th Century.  The killings occurred in small and isolated skirmishes over a long period. It was an epic war for control of a great land mass. In proportion to our population more people died in this war than any in our history.Many more died of disease and a broken heart. We ignore it like the Turks refuse to acknowledge the Armenian genocide. We have memorials all over our land for those that fought against the Turks and Germans in World War I, but not any monuments for the 30,000 indigenous people who died trying to stop the occupation of their land. The Australian War Memorial ignores the Frontier War completely.

    In my blog of April 22 this year, I highlighted that Australia and New Zealand did not first fight together at Gallipoli in 1915. As the State Library of South Australia records ‘between 1845 and 1872, just over 2,500 Australian volunteers saw service in New Zealand. … It took many steps including a local militia and troops rushed in from Australia … to conclude the first Maori war .. In 1860, the grab for land sparked further conflict between Whites and the Maoris … again the Australian colonies were asked for urgent assistance.  The colonies rallied and sent troops. The colony of Victoria even sent its entire navy which comprised the steam corvette HMVS Victoria. NSW also sent gunships to support the troops.’ There was no mention of these events as we celebrated the Centenary of the Australian Navy this month. What convenient memories we often have.

    As we listen to the gathering drum beats that lead us to the Centenary of Gallipoli, we should be careful not to be swept away by militarism and patriotism. We have much to be proud of in our history. We also need to be honest with ourselves.

    As Professor Henry Reynolds put it, we are encouraged to intone ‘lest we forget’ in memory of the fallen For many of our wars the public mood is ‘best we forget’. .like the Frontier War and the Maori Wars.

  • Frank Brennan SJ. Still seeking a way of stopping the boats decently

    This is part of the Gasson Lecture which I delivered at Boston College today:

    I return to Australia accepting that my political leaders will always maintain a commitment to stopping the boats, no matter what political party they represent;  but I return insisting that there is a need for international co-operation to determine how decently to stop the boats while providing an increased commitment to the orderly transfer of an increased number of refugees across our border so that they might live safe and fulfilling lives contributing to the life of the nation.

    This cannot be done in Australia until we shut down the processing centres on Nauru and on Manus Island, until we accept that people should only be held in detention while issues of identity, security and health are determined, and while we negotiate arrangements with Indonesia, India and any other transit countries to which asylum seekers are being returned, replicating the new European regulation:

    No person shall, in contravention of the principle of non-refoulement, be disembarked in, forced to enter, conducted to or otherwise handed over to the authorities of a country where, inter alia, there is a serious risk that he or she would be subjected to the death penalty, torture, persecution or other inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment, or where his or her life or freedom would be threatened on account of his or her race, religion, nationality, sexual orientation, membership of a particular social group or political opinion, or from which there is a serious risk of an expulsion, removal or extradition to another country in contravention of the principle of non-refoulement.

    It might then be possible for Australian officials to conduct prompt, reliable onboard assessments of asylum seekers on vessels determining whether it is appropriate to return them to their last port of call, without the need for an onboard international lawyer to conduct any sort of ‘framing’ exercise.  It should then be possible to avoid the recent obscene scenario of 157 persons being detained on the high seas for a month, regardless of whether or not the non-refoulement obligation applies extra-territorially.

    It is time to concede that none of us has a right to enter another country and that all of us have the obligation not to return anyone presenting at our border to a situation of persecution, torture, or cruel punishment.  Though I doubt the possibility of the EU negotiating appropriate returns of asylum seekers to Libya in the foreseeable future, I continue to entertain the hope that Australia can negotiate appropriate returns to transit countries such as Indonesia for Iraqis, Afghans and Iranians and India for Tamils, so that Australia might then decently extend the hand of welcome to more of the world’s 51 million displaced persons.  For the moment, my country is failing to strike the right balance between human rights and the national interest.  It is stopping the boats indecently, violating the human dignity of those being held in unsatisfactory conditions in Papua New Guinea and on Nauru and failing to ensure appropriate safeguards are in place for the return of asylum seekers to Indonesia.  For as long as international lawyers claim there is no possibility of a legally negotiated regional agreement for safe returns because they argue that asylum seekers have a right of entry to Australia to seek asylum, the Australian government, the Australian parliament, and the Australian courts will maintain, with impunity but with the occasional expression of outrage from international lawyers, a regime of returns insufficiently scrutinized for human rights compliance.  I return to Australia accepting that the boats will continue to be stopped (no matter which political party is in power), but that they should be stopped decently and in compliance with the legal regime enunciated by the European Union which has to deal with a far more pressing issue but subject to the more searching supervision of the European Court of Human Rights and of the European Parliament which has greater sensitivity to the human rights of asylum seekers than do their more pragmatic Australian colleagues.

    By all means, stop the boats.  But also close the facilities on Nauru and in Papua New Guinea.  Abandon the Cambodian shipment plan.  Negotiate a regional agreement for safe returns ensuring compliance with the non-refoulement obligation.  Double the refugee and humanitarian component from 13,750 places to 27,000 places in the migration program, as recommended by the 2012 Expert Panel.  Encourage further community participation in a refugee resettlement scheme which allows refugee communities and their supporters to increase the number of refugees resettled without taking the places of those refugees who would come anyway without community sponsorship.  Why not increase the humanitarian program to at least the 20,000 places which were guaranteed prior to the election of the Abbott Government?  And provide another 7,000 places for community sponsored refugees.  I agree with novelist Tim Winton that there is a need for countries like Australia to turn back, to ‘raise us back up to our best selves’.  That can best be done by securing our borders and increasing our commitment to orderly resettlement of more refugees, rather than by opening the borders, undermining the community’s commitment to further assisting more of those 51 million people who are suffering displacement tonight, most of them having no prospect of employing a people smuggler to get them to the border of a rich democratic country.

    Fr Frank Brennan SJ is finishing his term as Gasson Professor at Boston College Law School.  Anyone wanting a copy of his full address should contact him on frank.brennan@acu.edu.au

     

     

     

  • Alex Wodak. The toxic combination of illicit drugs and politics: Australia confronts ice

     

    John Ehrlichman, the Watergate conspirator, claimed to have come up with the idea of waging a war on drugs while he was a member of President Nixon’s ‘Committee for the Re-Election of the President’, wonderfully referred to as ‘CREEP’. The aim, Ehrlichman told Nixon, was to ensure that the elderly wealthy white voters who turned out in such large numbers to vote for Nixon in 1968 would turn out again in 1972 on polling day. The plan was to appeal to their contempt for the young, poor and black using illicit drugs as the perfect ‘dog whistle’. Despite the albatross of the Vietnam War hanging around his neck in 1972, Nixon won 49 of the 50 states in a landslide victory. Politicians around the world took note. An electoral magic pudding had just been discovered.

    In the early 1970s, US Congress established a National Commission on Marijuana and Drug Abuse but President Nixon got to appoint most of the members. Nixon stacked the Commission with people he thought would support the sorts of recommendations he wanted. When Nixon heard that the Commission was leaning to recommend ending cannabis prohibition he called in the chair, Raymond Shafer. The Watergate tapes recorded the conversation: Nixon: “You’re enough of a pro to know that for you to come out with something that would run counter to what the Congress feels and what the country feels and what we’re planning to do, would make your Commission just look bad as hell….Keep your Commission in line.” Towards the end of the meeting Nixon advised Shafer that he had not heard yet from the committee that was considering Shafer’s application to become a Federal judge. In the end Nixon rejected the Commission’s recommendations and Shafer did not get the judicial position he had applied for.

    Fast forward to 5 September 1989 when US President George HW Bush addressed his nation on television and held up a bag of crack cocaine from a recent arrest close to the White House. President Bush used the address to announce a major ramping up of the war on drugs but he did not tell his fellow Americans that, on instructions, law enforcement officials had lured the reluctant black crack seller to Lafayette Park, near the White House. President Bush was under considerable pressure at the time as opposition rose to his economic restructuring.

    On 8 April, 2015, Prime Minister Abbott, also under considerable political pressure, announced a new Ice Task Force. Yet not so long ago, in December 2014 the Abbott government had established a new drug advisory body, theAustralian National Advisory Council on Alcohol and Drugs (ANACAD) whose top priority was to come up with effective responses to ice. ANACAD had earlier taken over from the Australian National Council on Drugs.

    For decades drug policy has been a very useful prop for those seeking election or re-election or a boost to sagging opinion polls. But communities around the world are starting to be a lot more discerning about fear-based political machinations involving drugs. In the USA, several different polling organisations  have found that a growing majority now supports regulating ‘marijuana’ (i.e. cannabis). In Australia, support for once controversial but pragmatic interventions like needle syringe programs and supervised injecting facilities continues to slowly climb.

    A few years ago, some retired Australian Police Commissioners started commenting that our drug law enforcement was more effective than previously and about as effective as it ever could be but still the impact on the drug trade was negligible. Now even some serving Police Commissioners have made similar comments.

    The community’s favourite drug intervention is education. But the results of mass and school based education campaigns are pretty modest. The expectations of the community and politicians about the impact of drug education are unrealistic.

    Drug treatment has worthwhile benefits but improvements are usually much slower than the dramatic progress the community wants. But drug treatment in Australia, as in most countries, has a limited capacity, range of options and flexibility. During alcohol prohibition in the USA (1920-33), treatment for people with alcohol problems disappeared. Similarly, drug treatment struggles in countries where drugs are defined primarily as a criminal justice issue. Australia will make very little progress with ice while most people badly wanting help have to wait in a queue for six months as they mostly do now.

    Although drug problems are found across the economic and social spectrum, they are more common in severely disadvantaged populations. Also, countries with greater inequality, like Australia, seem to have worse illicit drug problems. Support for reducing inequality in Australia and other countries is growing with the case so far made largely on the grounds of improving the economy. But a fair case can also be made that less inequality would reduce some of our social problems including illicit drug use.

    The $64 million question that has not been asked about ice is why the drug market started providing this drug in the first place. For me the answer seems clear. Drug prohibition encourages more dangerous drugs to replace less dangerous drugs just as bush cannabis morphed into skunk and then Spice, powder amphetamine morphed into ice and ecstasy morphed into related but much more dangerous compounds.

    We haven’t got there yet but Australia is slowly moving to acknowledge that it’s not so much illicit drugs that are dangerous as having a drug market that is completely unregulated. Economic forces ensure a vibrant drug black market while political forces till now have precluded a pragmatic arrangement. In the short term, political forces usually dominate but in the long term, economic forces prevail.

     

    Dr Alex Wodak AM, President, Australian Drug Law Reform Foundation, Board Member, Australia21

  • Government White Paper on Energy – the good, the bad and the ugly.

    In the Australian Financial Review on 15 April, Ross Garnaut comments about the Abbott Government’s Energy White Paper. He says that by failing to take global warming seriously, the White Paper discourages solar power, encourages doomed coal investment, hobbles the RET and misses the chance to raise petrol taxes.  John Menadue.

    See link to article below:

    http://afr.com/opinion/columns/abbott-governments-energy-white-paper-fails-to-face-reality-20150414-1mkroh

  • John Tulloh. An inconvenient centenary Turkey prefers to ignore.

         The Gallipoli battle aside, you can be sure that Turkey will not be commemorating the centenary of another major event in its history this month. A few hours before Australian, New Zealand and other allied forces landed at Gallipoli on April 25, 1915, what has become widely known as the Armenian genocide got under way in Constantinople (Istanbul). But Australians visiting Gallipoli for the other centenary should be careful about what they say. For a Turk to say it was genocide is enough to get punished for insulting the country.

    It is a bitter and contentious argument which has been going on for more than 70 years since the word ‘genocide’ was coined. That was by a Polish jurist to describe not only what the Nazis were doing to the Jewish peoples, but also what Turkey had inflicted on the Armenians starting in 1915.

    Turkey strenuously denies that it was genocide even though it concedes 600,000 Armenians perished. As far as Ankara is concerned, they were victims of wartime action, deportation marches, isolated massacres, disease and malnourishment. They were exiled because the Ottomans regarded the Armenians as war-time allies of the Tsarist Russians who were active along Turkey’s eastern border where so many Armenians lived.

    But independent estimates have put the death toll at between 1 and 1.5 million based on eye-witness accounts. Turkey’s WW1 ally, Germany, told Berlin that something terrible was happening to the Armenians. Australian POWs thought so as well. Even Hitler later referred to their ‘annihilation’.

    Geoffrey Robertson, QC, the Australian human rights lawyer, is the author of a new book called An Inconvenient Genocide: Who Now Remembers the Armenians? He writes: ‘The Young Turks who ran the Ottoman government did not use gas ovens, but they did massacre the men and sent the women, children and elders on death marches through the desert to places we hear of now only because they are overrun by Islamic State. They died en route in their hundreds and thousands from starvation or attack and many survivors died of typhus in the concentration camps at the end of the line’.

    Tony Abbott, as opposition leader, said it was genocide and condemned it. So did the SA and NSW parliaments. But when Turkey in retaliation threatened to ban MPs from visiting Gallipoli, Canberra buckled. Foreign Minister Julie Bishop last year conceded that the events of 1915 were a ‘tragedy’. But, she added, ‘we do not recognise the events as genocide’.

    Pope Francis thinks otherwise. Only this week he infuriated the Turkish government by referring to genocide. The official line from countries like Russia, France, Spain and Canada is that it was genocide, while in Greece, Slovakia and Switzerland among others it is a criminal offence to deny it was genocide.

    Barack Obama in 2008, when campaigning for the US presidency, also condemned the genocide and promised to reiterate that if elected. But he thought better of it following geopolitical pressure from Turkey about the future of US bases and support for American interests in the region. It is much the same story with the British government when so many refugees are camped in Turkey and eager to live elsewhere.

    The Armenians had long been persecuted in Turkey and were the victims of massacres from time to time. They were ancient Christians and generally better educated and wealthier than the Islamic Turks. It was the usual brew for violent resentment of a minority. The 1915 events began with the round-up and deportation or execution of Armenian community leaders and intellectuals. Documents and statements at the time made it clear that Turkey planned and carried out a massive pogrom against the Armenians.

    The Australian author, Louis Nowra, wrote a play for the BBC based on the memoirs of a US diplomat, who witnessed deportations, death marches and atrocities. He says: ‘Led by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, a cynical populist, Turkey is doing all within its power not to confront its own past and also to stop the truth being heard. This is, of course, not unusual (witness Japan’s refusal to acknowledge its horrific crimes in WW2 and Australia’s deliberate amnesia about its treatment of Aborigines), but the evidence of the genocide is so overwhelming that the Turkish denial of what happened is breathtaking in its immaturity and lack of pity’.

    Robertson says: ‘The mental scars and trauma for the children and grandchildren of survivors throughout the diaspora will continue until Turkey makes some sort of acknowledgement and offers an apology’.

    In 2014, Erdogan, then Prime Minister, offered an unprecedented expression of condolence for the massacres of Armenians, saying the events of 1915 had ‘inhumane consequences’. But Armenians want them recognised as genocide. This is unlikely to happen when a recent poll showed that only 9% of Turks questioned believe the events set in train 100 years ago amounted to genocide.

    While thousands of Australians and New Zealanders descend on Gallipoli this month, hundreds and thousands of Armenians will fill the streets of their capital, Yerevan, to observe the centenary of the most terrible event in their history. It is unlikely Australia will be represented. ‘The approach of the Australian government has been not to become involved in this sensitive debate’, Julie Bishop said last year.

    But it has not stopped us from becoming involved in just as sensitive matters just to the south of Armenia on Turkey’s borders, namely Iraq.

    John Tulloh had a 40-year career in foreign news.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

  • Paul Komesaroff, Alphonso Lingis, Modjtaba Sadria. Julie Bishop can reach out to Iran now that confrontation has failed.

    Foreign Minister Julie Bishop’s visit to Tehran this week presents a rare opportunity for Australia to take the lead in global diplomacy. The publicly stated goal of the trip has been limited to the dubious intention of convincing the Rouhani government to allow Iranian nationals seeking asylum in Australia to return without fear of victimisation. But the implications of the visit are much more important and far-reaching than that.

    The need for a diplomatic initiative to change the dynamic in relations with Iran is obvious. As the mounting crisis in the Middle East reminds us every day, the policy of confrontation has failed. Contrary to the efforts of hawks around the world – including in the US Congress – a more nuanced strategy of dialogue and engagement is urgently needed.

    Hawks have made us less secure

    Not only has the approach based on isolation and unrelenting economic and political pressure failed, but it has been catastrophically counterproductive for all sides. International trade has suffered and security has not improved.

    The withdrawal of countries from the Iranian market under pressure of sanctions policies – as in the case of Japan – has simply opened up opportunities for competitors such as China and Russia. It has played no role in generating meaningful progress on the nuclear issue. The Iranian economy has been brought to the point of collapse, with disastrous effects for ordinary citizens but little impact on the opulent lifestyles of many officials and wealthy businessmen.

    If these facts are not enough, the ongoing, desperately tragic events in the region should be the game changer. The long-term stand-off between the US and Iran has prevented solutions to arguably the most important and dangerous problems in the world today.

    There can be no resolution to the civil war in Syria without the cooperation of Iran. Defeat of Islamic State and its hateful ideology requires the forging of a partnership between Iran and the West. The re-Islamisation of Turkey can only be resisted with support from the secular traditions exemplified in Iranian history and culture. Overcoming the impasse in Lebanon and Gaza associated with the continuing influence of Hezbollah and Hamas will only be possible when Iran considers it to be no longer in its interests to support them.

    What can Australia do?

    Julie Bishop’s visit comes at a perfect time. The recent successes in the P5+1 negotiations in Geneva, in which Iran signalled its agreement to accept significant restrictions to its nuclear program, have for the first time in decades created a climate of genuine hope for change. The agreement is yet to be ratified by both sides – and approval by the US Congress is by no means assured. It is, however, an indication that at least some politicians on both sides recognise the urgency of the situation and the need to go beyond the useless hostility of the past.

    This is where Australia can step in and take the lead. Exactly what political rapprochement with Iran will ultimately look like is uncertain but we can play an important role in shaping it.

    The possibilities could involve an agreement to scale down funding of extremist anti-Israeli organisations and a negotiated transition of power in Syria. In exchange, Iran would get renewed access to world markets and all that comes with active membership of the international community. The possibility of a military alliance to bring a quick end to the Islamic State and to restore stability to Iraq – an idea unthinkable only months ago – should not be ruled out.

    Civil society offers many ways to engage

    Relations with Iran involve more than just interactions between governments. There is also direct engagement between our own civil society and the many non-government groups there. This is the approach we must adopt to forge a new relationship between Iran and the West in order to overcome the grim legacy of the last 35 years.

    Iran is a large, complex society with vast resources and a population close to 80 million. More than 20 million are university students and graduates. The members of the vast, educated, entrepreneurial middle class are the main supporters of democracy; they are the natural allies of Western partners hoping for more relaxed and open social policies in Iran.

    Ironically, the members of this group have been the principal victims of sanctions policies. They have been left exposed politically and as a result of the growing unemployment and radicalisation of youth these policies have produced.

    This is the time for a change in direction in the policies of the world community towards Iran to allow normal economic and cultural intercourse to resume. It is time to scale down the sanctions and to become engaged, openly and generously, with different levels of Iranian society.

    The depth of the past hostility may mean that any changes have to occur incrementally. Both sides will need to test the viability and local acceptance of a gradual re-establishment of exchanges between them.

    The places to start are the safe areas of education, culture and business. All these areas offer exciting opportunities for Australia.

    Educational exchanges could help restore our crisis-ridden educational sector, while assisting Iran in overcoming a critical shortage of high-quality knowledge providers. There are almost unlimited possibilities for two-way cultural exchanges that draw on the thriving Iranian culture industry, especially in film, music and literature. Business people will find an inexhaustible thirst for new products, from electronic goods to fashion, to new techniques for producing renewable energy.

    Western countries have discovered again and again that bullying tactics are often counterproductive but that quiet victories can be won by cultural and economic engagement. In the case of Iran the bullying – in which Australia has been a willing partner — has failed. It is time to try the gentle alternative.

    Iranian society is ready for change

    Iran is a complex modern society that is ready for change. We in Australia can support this process by fostering dialogue and cultural and economic exchanges with Iranian civil society. More positive and constructive policies will create a win-win situation for all.

    If the opportunity is lost, the outcomes will be dire for all the players, not just in the region itself, but also in Europe and the United States.

    Let us hope that in her discussions with the Iranian government the foreign minister is able to move beyond the question of asylum seekers and seize the opportunity to stimulate a movement away from the failed policies of the past towards a more fruitful – and safer – commitment to dialogue, reconciliation and mutual prosperity. All of our futures might depend on it.

    Paul Komesaroff is Professor Medicine at Monash University. Alphonso Lingis is Professor Emeritus of Philosophy at Pennsylvania State Uniersity,  Modjtaba Sadria is Desmond Tutu Reconciliation Fellow,  Director, Think Tank for Knowledge Excellence, Tehran, Adjunct Professor at Monash University.  

    This article first appeared in The Conversation on 15 April 2015.

  • Marilyn Lake. Fracturing the nation’s soul.

    You might be interested in this repost. John Menadue.

     

    During World War 1 Australia lost its way. Its enmeshment in the imperial European war fractured the nation’s soul.

    World War I had consequences for individuals as well as nations. HB Higgins’s life would be deeply affected by the British decision to invade the Ottoman empire in early 1915. As a member of the new federal parliament in 1901, Higgins had opposed Australian participation in the Boer War, fearing that this would set a terrible precedent for involvement in other imperial wars, whose purpose, goals and strategy would always be determined by other powers. He also doubted the legitimacy of the European war, writing to his friend Felix Frankfurter, Professor in Law at Harvard, ‘What do you think of it? … [T]here are higher ideals than attachment to a country because it is my country. I blame our British jingoes…’ Higgins was deeply troubled when his only child Mervyn elected to join British forces fighting in the Middle East.

    When his son was killed in battle on 23 December 1916 Higgins and his wife Alice were devastated. Higgins poured his grief – and his bitterness over the imperial cant that had justified the war – into a new commitment to internationalism and disarmament. The only good that might come out of the war was not national pride, but a new world order. ‘Vengeance is a fruitless thing’, he wrote to Frankfurter. ‘I feel that the best vengeance my dead boy could hope for would be an integrated world, an organized humanity.’ No nationalist flag-waving or eulogies to the Anzac spirit for him.

    We tend to forget the doubts and expressions of opposition to Australia’s participation in World War I in which in fact only 30 per cent of eligible men chose to enlist. The anti-war mobilisations have largely gone unheeded in official and contemporary accounts of the war, which have recast the widespread destruction as a creative experience, one that gave ‘birth to the nation’, conveniently forgetting that our distinctive Commonwealth of Australia, with its world famous democratic reforms, made its name on the world stage in the years before the war, between 1901 and 1914. Australian nation-building was a peace time achievement.

    A decade before the outbreak of the European war, in 1904, an American visitor to Australia, Victor Clark, one of a number of investigators who journeyed south to Australasia, noted that ‘New Zealand and Australia are the most interesting legislative experiment stations in the world and they experiment so actively because their political institutions are extremely democratic’. The colony of Victoria had first invented the idea of a legal minimum wage in 1896, which was later elaborated as a living wage calculated to meet the diverse needs of workers defined as human beings, in the Commonwealth Conciliation and Arbitration Court by HB Higgins, in the Harvester judgment of 1907. Australia and New Zealand had pioneered industrial democracy and women’s political rights. ‘While the principles of democracy were first enunciated in the United States’, noted the historically-minded American suffragist, Carrie Chapman Catt, ‘Australia has carried them furthest to their logical conclusion’. Thus did we take our place on the world stage, not in fighting an imperial war.

    In Australia, it was noted by numerous overseas commentators, the working man and the voting woman advanced together, during the first decade of the nation’s existence, which saw a steady increase in the Labor vote, until the Fisher Government was elected, with majorities in both Houses in 1910. By war’s end, however, the Labor Party had split, conservative forces had triumphed, and the British Empire had gained a new lease of life in Australia. In World War 1 Australia lost its way. Its enmeshment in the imperial European war fractured the nation’s soul.

    Let’s look at this impact further through the experience of Higgins, now a largely forgotten Australian, but one of our unsung national heroes. Henry Bourne Higgins was a member of the Victorian Legislative Assembly in 1896, when it introduced the minimum wage. He became an opponent, as noted above, of the British imperial war in South Africa, a member of the federal parliament from 1901 and then, from 1906, President of the Commonwealth Court of Conciliation and Arbitration, whose path-breaking reforms, shaped by a profound commitment to social justice and the public good, won him renown around the world. In 1914, he was invited by the Harvard Law Review to contribute an article on his innovative jurisprudence which he titled ‘A New Province for Law and Order: Industrial Peace through Minimum Wage and Arbitration’.

    By 1920, however, the conservative backlash unleashed by the impact of World War I and the fevered imperialism of Prime Minister WM Hughes, who sought to by-pass the Arbitration Court by setting up his own tribunals saw Higgins submit his resignation. It would seem appropriate to remember Higgins, the Australian idealist, and others of his generation, as we prepare to deal with the veritable tidal wave of military commemoration, funded already by $140 million, even as our universities face further funding cuts, increased student fees and the number of historians employed to teach students actually declines. Which funding bodies, one wonders, might finance commemoration of those who fought for Australia’s distinctive democratic and political ideals and support projects to carry their ideals forward?

    My current research project on the international history of Australian democracy has highlighted Australia’s high reputation around the world before World War I as a distinctive, pioneering, bold, independent-minded democracy. It was the perspective afforded by distance that enabled American Professor Hammond of Ohio State University to write of ‘the most notable experiment yet made in social democracy’ established in Australia in the first years of the Commonwealth, in the years preceding the outbreak of war.

    In 1902, in the shadow of the South African War, HB Higgins wrote an essay called ‘Australian ideals’ in which he asked prophetically whether the new Commonwealth of Australia was to become a militaristic nation or a progressive one: ‘Australia must make her choice between two ideals – the ideal of militarism and the ideal of equality’. Australians had to choose between the opposing standards of militarism and social reform, he suggested. He and his generation dedicated themselves to the latter, while we in our time seem to have committed to the former. Australian values we are now ceaselessly told are military values.

    One hundred years on from 1914, Australia has seemingly become the militarist nation Higgins warned about. Rather than celebrate the world-first democratic achievements forged by women and men in the founding years of our nationhood, the years that made Australia distinctive and renowned, we are told that World War I, in which Australians fought for the British Empire, was the supreme creative event for the nation. But those who lived through it knew that our nation was not born in the carnage of the world war, which left the country divided, disillusioned, disoriented, desolate and dependent on a resurgent British Empire.

    In the inimitable words of novelist Miles Franklin, writing to her American friend Margaret Drier Robins in 1924,

    it seems to me that Australia, which took a wonderful lurch ahead in all progressive laws and women’s advancement about 20 years ago has stagnated ever since. At present it is more unintelligently conservative and conventional than England and I am sad to see the kangaroo and his fellow marsupials and all the glories of our forests disappearing to make room for a mediocre repetition of Europe.

    Miles Franklin knew that although men could do many things they could not give birth to nations. Only women could do that. And in 1902, Australian women’s political ‘lurch ahead’ had made Australia the most democratic country on earth, an object lesson to humanity.

    Marilyn Lake is Professor in History at the University of Melbourne. 

  • Frank Brennan.  Cunneen v ICAC

    Margaret Cunneen is a high profile public prosecutor.  The NSW  Independent Commission against Corruption (ICAC) wanted to investigate her for corrupt behaviour, but not in relation to anything she did as a prosecutor.  They wanted to investigate her behaviour as a private citizen, she being the mother of a boy whose girlfriend was involved in a car accident.  The suggestion was that Cunneen on being called to the accident scene was party to a plan that the driver should fake chest pains to escape a blood alcohol test even though the driver had not been drinking and her blood alcohol content was zero. ICAC’s argument was that the behaviour of Cunneen and her family members could adversely affect the police in performing their official functions investigating the accident.

    Section 8(2) of the ICAC Act defines corrupt behaviour to include ‘conduct of any person (whether or not a public official) that adversely affects, or that could adversely affect, either directly or indirectly, the exercise of official functions by any public official’.  So corrupt behaviour could include conduct by a person in a private capacity (like Cunneen being Mum) that adversely affects the exercise of official functions by a police officer.

    The alleged behaviour of the Cunneen family circle, if proved,  was not behaviour which, if successful, would cause  police officers to act with less probity in the performance of their duties.  Such behaviour would only cause the police officers to act in a less efficacious manner in detecting a crime.

    The case came down to interpreting the phrase ‘adversely affects’.  Four of the five High Court judges sitting on the appeal observed:

    ‘Either it means adversely affect or could adversely affect the probity of the exercise of an official function by a public official, or it means adversely affect or could adversely affect the efficacy of the exercise of an official function by a public official in the sense that the official could exercise the function in a different manner or make a different decision from that which would otherwise be the case.’

    The four majority judges were left in no doubt: ‘The former meaning accords with the ordinary understanding of corruption in public administration and consequently with the principal objects of the ICAC Act.  The latter would result in the inclusion in “corrupt conduct” of a broad array of criminal offences and other unlawful conduct having nothing to do with the ordinary understanding of corruption in public administration or the principal objects of the ICAC Act.’

    There are some High Court cases where you can see the result coming when the barrister is caught out during the oral argument by one of the prying judges.  Cunneen was one of these cases.  It was all the more notable because the prying judge was the new boy on the block – Justice Nettle. It was still his first month on the job.  At the hearing back on 4 March 2015, Justice Nettle asked a few tentative questions and then he moved in for the kill, questioning Mr Kirk SC, the counsel for ICAC who already was having a very bad day having failed to provide the court with relevant papers.  Here is the transcript:

    NETTLE J: Just one more question, in New South Wales any telling of lies to policemen could be a criminal offence? So, any telling of lies, we would say, when someone is arrested and tells lies as they frequently do to policemen about what they are asked would, on this basis, be corrupt conduct?

    MR KIRK: Any telling of lies which has the potential to pervert the course of justice.

    NETTLE J: That is usually why they are told is to deflect the policemen from getting to the truth.

    MR KIRK: But it all depends on the context. Not telling a lie – not every single lie – if a police officer asks your name and you lie about that, that is not necessarily going to have any tendency to pervert the course of justice. I am not saying to avoid your Honour’s question, I am just qualifying.

    The qualifier was meaningless or too fudgy to be workable. It was game, set and match to Cunneen.   ICAC was not alleging that she had done anything to affect the probity of the police in their conduct of the investigation.  At most, ICAC was alleging that she had done something affecting the efficacy of the investigation. That ain’t corruption.  And thus it is no business of ICAC.  ICAC exists to expose corruption.  As the court said, ‘It is not likely that an Act which is avowedly directed to investigating, exposing and preventing corruption affecting public authorities – and for which the justification for the conferral of extraordinary powers on ICAC was said to be the difficulty of discovering and exposing corruption in the nature of a consensual crime of which there is no obvious victim willing to complain – should have the purpose or effect of extending the reach of ICAC to a broad array of crimes having nothing to do with corruption in public administration apart from such direct or indirect effect as they might conceivably have upon the efficaciousness of the honest and impartial exercise of official functions by public officials.’

    The police officers conducting the investigation into the accident were not corrupt.  They were not corrupted by Cunneen and her family. There could be no suggestion that Cunneen was trying to corrupt the police. It’s time for ICAC to get back to work investigating corruption, leaving other matters of errant behaviour to the police to investigate.  It’s also time for Cunneen to get back to work.

    Fr Frank Brennan SJ, professor of law at Australian Catholic University, is presently Gasson Professor at the Boston College Law School.

  • Andrew Elek. Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank is miles ahead of the Trans-Pacific Partnership.

    The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is a far more economically efficient option than the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) for integrating Asian economies to each other and to the rest of the world. While the United States is attempting to thwart China’s AIIB by completing the TPP, it is likely to result in net costs to countries other than the US.

    In 2015, very few products face significant transparent barriers — such as tariffs — when they cross international borders. The most important constraints to the flow of products along modern supply chains are due to weaknesses in transport and communications infrastructure. A 2013 study by the World Economic Forum found that supply chain barriers to international trade are far more significant impediments to trade than tariffs. Reducing supply chain barriers could increase world GDP over six times more than removing all tariffs.

    This study confirms the experience of business people. For more than a decade they have urged governments to stop obsessing about traditional trade barriers that only affect some agricultural commodities and low-tech manufactures. Those managing ever-expanding supply chains want governments to shift attention to the widening gaps in Asia’s transport and communications infrastructure.

    China’s AIIB initiative responds to these realities. It aims squarely at the real obstacles to economic integration. The new multilateral development bank will mobilise finance from international capital markets to reduce the vast gaps in economic infrastructure. It is a timely move to take advantage of the current low borrowing costs to invest in projects with potentially high economic returns.

    With its vast current financial strength, China could have chosen to go it alone. Instead, it sought to draw in as many shareholders as possible to ensure that it is able to expand urgently needed investment as fast as possible. Drawing in other governments will also help the AIIB to draw on the expertise of existing multilateral development banks to acquire and sustain its own AAA rating.

    The proposed TPP has a very different agenda. It comes from the United States Trade Representative, which responds to the wishes of its domestic business interests. The most widely publicised objective is to eliminate all remaining traditional trade barriers. Even such an impossibly ambitious trade deal would only add 0.5 per cent of income to the nations involved. Paul Krugman believes even that is an overestimate. And any actual TPP outcome will fall far short of fully eliminating all trade barriers.

    There is a more important reason for the US push for the TPP. The US is seeking to impose rules that suit its economy on those that are very different. Much-leaked drafts for the TPP reveal many chapters defining new rules for issues such as intellectual property rights, labour and environmental standards, management of state-owned enterprises and many other matters.

    But even if United States views were appropriate for 21st century commerce, they would not create any new trade. If accepted, they would impose costs on emerging economies, weakening their capacity to compete. In practice, if the TPP is signed, United States producers will be able to challenge and disrupt imports that they claim to contravene any of its rules. ANU economist Philippa Dee has argued that the TPP may lead to net costs, rather than benefits, for participants other than the U! nited Sta tes.

    The TPP is likely to be a multiplicity of bilateral preferential trade deals, adding new layers to rules of origin. It hopes to route supply chains around — rather than through — China, the largest trading partner of Asia Pacific economies. By contrast, the AIIB will finance infrastructure to facilitate the creation of essential new production networks. This is necessary as China’s labour costs will continue to rise and labour-intensive production will shift into other countries.

    When the AIIB becomes operational in 2016 it will certainly boost much-needed economic infrastructure and integration in the region. The TPP is far less certain. Even if it is ever agreed upon, the deal will need ratification by the US Congress and many other legislatures and will not make a significant contribution to the market-driven integration of the region.

    Andrew Elek is Research Associate at the Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University. He was the inaugural Chair of APEC Senior Officials in 1989.

    This article was first posted in the East Asia Forum. 

     

  • Ian Webster. On thin “ICE”.

    If we wish to annihilate the junk pyramid, we must start at the bottom of the pyramid: the addict in the street, and stop tilting quixotically for the higher-ups so-called, all of whom are immediately replaceable. The addict in the street who must have junk to live is the one irreplaceable factor in the junk equation. When there are no more addicts to buy junk there will be no junk traffic. As long as the junk need exists, someone will service it.

    (William S Burroughs, Naked Lunch, 1959)

    Are we in the midst of an “ICE” epidemic? Was the PM correct to say methamphetamine (“ICE”) is our “worst drug problem”, it is a “pernicious and evil” drug, it is “far more addictive than any other illicit drug”? Mr Abbott was launching the national task on “ICE”.

    Or is this another cycle of drug alarm and groupthink? Recall, “reefer madness”, the “killer weed”, “the next crack cocaine”, “the meth mouth”, “the faces of meth” and “hashish assassins” ad infinitum.

    On 8th April Leigh Sales introduced the ABC 7.30 Report, “Revelations of ice use and suicide in the Australian Navy have shocked the Defence establishment and Australia’s political leaders.” This followed the previous night’s tragic report by Louise Milligan of nine suicides in young sailors at the West Australian naval base, HMAS Stirling. These perplexing and disturbing events demand reflection on the underlying causes of mental distress and suicide. But these important questions were conflated with “ICE”, a spin-off from the PM’s announcement of the task force. Next day, on Radio National’s AM program, Green Senator Peter Whish-Wilson, himself a military veteran, was interviewed about the parliamentary inquiry he had instigated into mental health in the military community. Again “ICE” was dragged to centre stage, not by the Senator but by Fran Kelly, the interviewer. Other media have been even more caught up in the “ICE” frenzy.

    Addiction is not a switch to be turned off and on. Addiction takes time, months, sometimes years, to develop. Methamphetamine use over a long period becomes the substrate for addiction. The majority of long-term users have already well-established dependence on other drugs – polydrug users. They are drug tolerant and in drug-seeking overdrive; they seek more potent drugs.

    Simple exposure does not cause addiction. Think for a moment of the hundreds of hospital patients receiving pain relief, virtually none will become “addicted”. The same drug, morphine, injected in the ‘street’ carries a high risk of addiction. Addiction (drug dependence) arises from an interaction between a vulnerable person (nature and nurture), the social environment (attitudes, norms of peers) and a drug.

    Medicine is long familiar with amphetamines. They are not new. They have been used in asthma, depression (even anxiety), for appetite suppression and now may be prescribed for narcolepsy and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. University students take the stuff to cram for exams and US pilots are kept alert by amphetamines during combat missions. Their stimulant effects are understood and the potential harms to the cardiovascular system are known.

    Where do the amphetamines, methamphetamine, stand in relation to other substances?

    The population prevalence rate of methamphetamine use in 12 months is 2 – 3 per cent compared with the 83 per cent for alcohol. Alcohol use disorders occur at 15 – 20 times the rate of methamphetamine disorders. For every methamphetamine-related death there are 65 alcohol-related deaths; for every emergency presentation there are 30 alcohol-related presentations; for every ambulance emergency call-out there are 25 alcohol-related call-outs.

    Many suicides are underpinned by illicit drug use, including methamphetamine, but alcohol intoxication and dependence is a far more potent factor in suicide worldwide; of attempted suicides presenting to hospitals, 50 to 80% had been drinking heavily or were intoxicated at the time and at post mortem alcohol is the drug most commonly found.

    The amphetamine drugs are harmful. They can cause psychotic disturbances; about one in seven admissions for schizophrenia have a concurrent stimulant disorder. They cause anxiety, aggression and depression, on withdrawal, as well as affecting the cardiovascular system. These are features too of alcohol intoxication and dependence as well as there being a veritable textbook of alcohol-caused mental and physical conditions and harm to others.

    Policing and law enforcement are important especially to prevent the exploitation of vulnerable people. They can’t solve the “ICE epidemic despite the current wave of interdictions and arrests. Community-based solutions are needed – supports for families and children, educational and work opportunities for young people, early intervention and prevention, access to primary care interventions and to treatment and rehabilitation services; none of which are given priority compared with resources devoted to law enforcement.

    As William Burroughs said,

    When there are no more addicts to buy junk there will be no junk traffic. As long as the junk need exists, someone will service it.

    And he should know.

     

    Ian Webster is Emeritus Professor of Health and Community Medicine at UNSW and patron of the Alcohol and Other Drugs Council of Australia. He was formerly a National Mental Health Commissioner and Chair of the Australian Suicide Prevention Advisory Council.

  • John Menadue. Murdoch is about ideology not tax dodging.

    There was an interesting exchange between Julian Clarke, News Corp’s local boss, and Senator Christine Milne in the Senate Economic References Committee into Tax Avoidance. Julian Clarke spelt it out very clearly that Rupert Murdoch was running The Australian for ideological purposes. The exchange was as follows:

    “With due respect, I don’t expect you to agree with this, but I consider The Australian to be the finest national newspaper operating in Australia,” [Clarke] said in reply to a question from Senator Milne.

    Milne: We are not agreed.

    Clarke: You are in a minority.

    Milne: Not according to your sales.

    Clarke was then asked if our ‘finest national paper’ actually had any direct competitors. He admitted “no there isn’t. But if The Australian wasn’t there, there’d be no one doing what we’re doing.”

    Milne: Precisely.

    Clarke: We have a difference of opinion about why we’re doing it. But every time you tell me we are doing it to run tax losses, I’ll tell you we’re not.

    Milne: I’m happy to accept you are doing it for ideological purposes.

    Clarke: I’m happy with that.

  • John Menadue. Tax dodging may be legal, but is it fair and ethical.

    Senior executives of companies like Google, Microsoft and Apple have all admitted to the Senate in the last week that they have avoided billions of dollars of Australian tax by a range of devices such as transfer pricing and earnings made in Australia being diverted to Singapore which has a lower tax rate. In every case they have told us that it is all perfectly legal. And apparently it is. Other companies such as Westfield and News Corp have also received earlier publicity because of their massive tax avoidance. But it’s all been legal!

    Michael West in the SMH on April 6, 2015 told us that Rupert Murdoch’s US Empire siphoned $4.5 billion from its Australian business, tax free. The Murdoch media complained to the rooftops about this report. It plays hard ball with all its opponents but really squeals when it is under attack.

    Heath Aston  in the SMH on 1 April 2015   reported that according to the Australian Taxation Office ‘Australia’s biggest 900 companies claimed deductions and exemptions worth $25 billion last year – enough to wipe out two thirds of the entire Federal deficit.’  Yet many of these companies have been leading the charge that the government needs to show some backbone and fix the budget deficit. The Abbott government seems to prefer fixing the budget at the expense of the sick and unemployed.

    Michael West in the SMH, who has been so persistent and effective in revealing tax dodging, told us on Feb. 13 2015 that documents obtained from the ATO under FOI show that ‘Australian corporation taxes are in crisis because of the explosion of tax haven dealings of multinational companies.. one of the most telling FOI finds is a comparison between trade and international-related party dealings. Together Singapore and Switzerland account for 40% of related party trade. That level of related party dealings bears little relationship to real trade’. As Michael West put it ‘In laymen’s terms the purpose of these related party deals is often to siphon profits out of Australia to avoid paying tax’.  Is this fair?

    In the SMH on Feb.9 2015 Michael West estimated that Google ‘is making off with at least $130 million a year that belongs to the Australian taxpayer and rising’. Does that sound ethical?

    Peter Martin in the SMH on May 13 last year revealed that 75 ‘ultra high earning Australians paid no tax at all in 2011-12’. Is that fair?

    Michael West again in the SMH on 20 December 2014 reported that Glencore which has recorded revenues in excess of $10 billion p.a. paid only $400 million in tax over three years.

    According to Roman Lanis of UTS the Westfield Empire paid an effective tax rate of only 8% over the last decade. With its chorus of lawyers and accountants, it was apparently able to make this legal. But was it right?

    We hear a lot about dole-bludgers and welfare cheats but is all this tax minimisation fair and right?

    The Tax Justice Network, in collaboration with United Voice, reported that 29% of Australia’s top 200 companies had effective tax rates of 10% or less. Even worse, 14% of these 200 top companies paid no tax at all. It estimated that these top 200 companies are avoiding tax per annum of $8.4 billion. These figures have not been seriously challenged.

    These massive tax avoiders say that is all legal.  They have the benefit of expensive legal and accounting advice that ordinary tax payers cannot afford. Is that fair?

    These major tax avoiders in collaboration with the Australian Taxation Office refused to have their affairs disclosed for public scrutiny. We are told it is ‘commercial in confidence’. Apparently the ATO thinks it should cosy up to wealthy companies and they will then hopefully cooperate. Does that same concern for taxpayers extend to ‘ordinary’ taxpayers?   There is a lot of unethical behaviour allowed for the powerful and wealthy which is not permitted for ordinary people and Australian companies, large and small.

    We now also know that our four big audit firms are advising these tax-dodgers on how to minimise their tax. It is noteworthy that the European Union has recently enacted legislation curtailing the activities of audit firms who have been giving tax advice. Our ATO is apparently moving in the opposite direction by employing staff from the big four audit firms to replace the loss of experienced ATO staff. Talk about Dracula in charge of the blood bank! Michael West in SMH on 15 December 2014 described this quite bizarre action as follows “The ATO is running a pilot scheme whereby it outsources the duty of tax compliance for Australia’s largest companies to none other than the company auditor….The large taxpayers are to pay their own external audit firms.. read the Big Four… to conduct their compliance work as well as doing the audit’. It is hard to think of a more obvious conflict of interest than this.

    The tax dodgers have clearly got many powerful friends amongst the political, business and professional elites. But they are friendless in the community. In March this year, Essential Research asked respondents how they felt about the tax being paid by various groups. They indicated that the following did not pay enough tax.

    Large businesses- 60% did not pay enough tax.
    People on high incomes- 59% did not pay enough tax
    Mining companies- 67% did not pay enough tax
    Companies- such as Google and Apple 73% did not pay enough tax.

    In a panel of over 1400 readers of the SMH, 83 % agreed that the ATO should be free to name and shame companies suspected of not paying their fair share of tax. (SMH April 11-12 2015)

    The same newspaper also reported that in a survey of marginal seats 90 % of people believe that the government has failed to tackle tax dodgers.

    The Swinburne Leadership Institute Survey released today said that business leaders ‘are perceived to disregard .. the wider public good’.

    The boards and CEOs of these companies have a heavy ethical and moral responsibility and dodging the issue by claiming confidentiality and that it is all legal will just not wash.

    Corporations don’t make decisions. It is individuals who make decisions – and those decisions should not only be legal but they should also be fair and ethical.  That responsibility to act fairly and ethically cannot be avoided by individuals or deflected to someone else. Joe Hockey likes to infer that his business chums are ‘lifters’ but is it true of these tax dodgers!

    There is difficulty in getting international cooperation to address this tax avoidance. A good start however  would be full disclosure including full disclosure of all subsidiaries, full disclosure of all related party transactions and balances and a breakdown of taxes paid in Australia and other countries. Jeffrey Knapp has outlined this in today’s The Conversation.

    How can Tony Abbott seriously expect public support on necessary budged repair when we see such massive tax avoidance by large and wealthy corporations many of which are foreign owned.

    Corporations have been given a privileged position in our society. It is called ‘limited liability’ in that shareholders can only be liable for the money they invest in a corporation and no more. That is an enormous advantage that has been conveyed by the community.  If and when a company goes bankrupt, the community, employees and creditors have to pick up a lot of the debts and consequences. But the advantage that we give to companies is obviously not reciprocated by many companies.

    Business people should act in an ethical manner and not inflict damage on the nation for the sake of short-term commercial or personal gain.

    These companies that are avoiding billions of dollars in tax in Australia take advantage of the infrastructure and services that have been paid for by the Australian taxpayer. They rely on highly trained and skilled Australian staff. Those staff have been educated and supported by Australian taxpayers.  In some instances, these companies have taken advantage of research grants – funded by the Australian government (and taxpayers).

    There is also a matter of trust. As a community we need to have trust in our major institutions including corporations. In recent years the media has been full of comment about our loss of trust in politicians, parliament and political parties. But commercial institutions are also critical in our society and a major loss of trust in them has very serious consequences.

    Many of our corporations are forfeiting our trust. We are getting into dangerous territory both for themselves and for ourselves.

     

     

  • Harold Levien. The Coalition Government’s Bankrupt Economic Policies: 

    The Coalition Government seems to have been fighting the next elections since the day it won Office and using the same misleading tactics.  Throughout the last election campaign, and for months before, the Coalition bitterly attacked both Labor’s budget deficit and government debt. Yet when the Labor Government left Office Parliamentary Library statistics show government gross debt was 19% of GDP. The advanced economies’ international organisation, the OECD, apparently calculates the figures differently showing Australia’s debt as 33% of GDP in 2013. This is still much lower than all OECD economies except for tiny Estonia and Luxemburg. Government debt to GDP in 2013 shown for some leading economies was: Germany 86%, Canada 93%, UK 99%, USA 104%, France 112%, and Japan 224%.  NZ was 40%. These figures place into context the Coalition’s bellowing attack on the previous government for the size of our public debt.

    Australia’s annual budget deficit at 2.4% of GDP compared favourably with the Euro area at 2.5%, the UK at 5.3%, the US at 5.8% and Japan at 8.4%. Our deficit resulted from both the stimulus package to save Australia from the global recession and the decline in many export companies’ income tax payments following the impact of the GFC on their taxable income.

    The US Nobel Laureate economist, Joseph Stiglitz, who visited Australia in September 2013, complimented the Government on its uniquely successful economic policy in saving Australia from the GFC which spread recession throughout Europe, North America and Asia including China. Regarding the latter, Treasury published a statement in 2009 that refuted the Coalition’s argument that the Chinese economy saved Australia from the recession. The GFC hit China hard after a great reduction in exports to Europe and the US.

    Increasing the Deficit 

    Following the elections the Coalition Government quickly and substantially increased the deficit with the apparent aim of attributing to the previous Government “an immense deficit” in order to reinforce its accusation of economic irresponsibility. Here is the evidence.

    First, the Government made an $8.8 billion grant to the Reserve Bank which the Bank had not requested. Second, it reinstated the Howard Government’s fringe benefits tax concession for privately owned motor vehicles, which the Labor Government had cancelled on the grounds it had become a tax rort. This reinstatement reduced revenue by around $500 million a year. Third, it cancelled the previous Government’s very modest 15% tax on superannuation income over $100,000 which reduced revenue by about $600 million a year. (This Labor Government tax was designed both to reduce the inequality of the Howard Government’s abolition of tax on superannuation income and to modestly reduce the deficit.) These measures increased last year’s estimated deficit of $49 billion by nearly $10 billion.

    Additionally the Government’s abolition of the carbon tax will cost annual tax revenue $7.6 billion.  And overturning the mining tax will further reduce government revenue.  (Although estimated at $750 million a year the decline in mineral prices is likely to reduce this amount.)  These measures will increase this year’s deficit by around $8 billion. 

    Manipulating Opinion 

    To develop support for its last budget it appears all Coalition Ministers were schooled to imprint on the public mind the Coalition’s new mantra at each television and press interview: “the debt and deficit mess we inherited from the previous government”.  There’s no mention of the Coalition’s increase in the current deficit.  And it recently intensified this message by repetitive recitation of the dollar amount of annual interest on this (increased) debt.

    The Coalition Government accentuates its deception by failing to mention the economic consequences (let alone the human impacts) if the Labor Government had failed to run these deficits.

    For example, at the height of the GFC in 2008 if the Rudd Government had followed the European example of cutting government spending and leading to zero growth (instead of maintaining its growth trajectory of over 3% so the work force could absorb education leavers, new migrants seeking work and the impacts of increasing productivity) this would have caused well over an additional 300,000 unemployed and reduced GDP by more than $36 billion. A continuation of zero growth in 2009 would have similarly increased unemployment (totalling over 600,000) and reduced GDP further (totalling an estimated $72 billion). Budget tax figures indicate this would have led to a decline in tax revenue of least $24 billion and increased social service spending on the unemployed of over $11 billion by 2009. This total of $35 billion budget burden is many times the increased interest on the public debt, part of the Government’s refrain, generated by these deficits.

    Labor’s budget deficits after 2009 were designed to sustain the economic recovery following declining tax revenue– confirmed in Treasury’s last Budget Paper No.1 (Section 10-page 15).  Yet on the ABC’s Insiders program on May 18 last year, following the Coalition’s first budget, the Prime Minister “explained” their budget cuts were necessary because “Labor spent like a drunken sailor”.

    The Coalition Government is perhaps at its most deceptive when comparing the Howard Governments’ budget surpluses with Labor’s deficits. While the Coalition received billions of dollars in unexpected tax revenue during the mining boom, the recent Labor Governments had to cope with first, the GFC and later, the demise of the mining boom.

    How to Reinstate the Budget Cuts 

    In the coming May budget the Government  has the opportunity not only to reinstate the many unfair and economy-damaging spending cuts in last year’s budget but also to begin phasing out the deficit and reducing government debt. If the Coalition Government axed the Howard Government’s tax concessions on superannuation payments, which go predominantly to higher income earners, this would increase revenue by an estimated $30 to $40 billion this year. As mentioned above they were introduced at the height of the mining boom following its great boost to revenue.

    This additional revenue would permit restoration of the projected 20% funding cuts to universities and cancelling the cuts to science research, the ABC and SBS, Medicare, public housing and many other social services.  And the Government could restore the $80 million funding of Youth Connections’ support programs for the educationally deprived, Labor’s

    preventative health programs and the Coalition’s $8 billion annual cuts to the States’ health and education budgets. It would also enable the Government to fund the entire Gonski schools’ program rather than the Coalition’s highly truncated version. The recent decision for a modest increase in funding pre-school education and child care could be supplanted by a considerable expansion and improvement in this critical area incorporating research findings that the quality of intellectual and emotional input in the child’s early years provides the optimal foundation for future intellectual and personal development.

    In an ABC 7.30 interview on February 9 Treasurer Hockey claimed cuts to services are inevitable stating “we just can’t continue to spend more than our revenue”. But his argument becomes nonsense by ignoring the revenue loss from unfair superannuation tax concessions, tax avoidance (discussed below) and negative gearing (costing revenue an estimated $5 billion this year).

    Counter-Productive Policies 

    Many of the Coalition Government’s policies in this year’s budget (2014-15) are counter-productive and likely to entrench a substantial further increase in the deficit or, if that is unacceptable to this Government, lead to greater cuts in government services.

    Perhaps the most counter-productive policy is the elimination of 3,000 jobs in the Australian Taxation Office –with another 1,700 to come. This will enormously reduce the ATO’s capacity to fight tax evasion by wealthy individuals and national and multi-national corporations.  Among the employees to accept redundancies are some of the most experienced in areas where tax avoidance is an art form. Those who have accepted private sector offers will be able to provide their professional knowledge and experience to the very organisations that deprive the Australian economy of huge tax revenue at the cost of essential government services. A recent report by the Tax Justice Network estimated current tax avoidance by the top 200 companies at over $8.4 billion annually. This figure would be significantly increased if more companies and wealthy individuals were included.

    Another counter-productive policy with enormous potential for harming the economy is the $151 million cut to science funding which includes $115 million cut to the CSIRO. While this is critical to Australia’s science budget it’s a minuscule part of the Government’s $415 billion budget. And it comes at the very time that new high-tech developments in industry (rural, manufacturing and tertiary) are required to help compensate for both the decline of the mining industry and the forthcoming demise of the motor vehicle industry. The latter will have a serious impact on employment since, with component manufacturers   and taking account of multiplier effects, this could displace over 100,000 workers.

    The CSIRO reports that, by June 30 this year, funding cuts will have led to the loss of 1391 workers or 21.5% of its work force including 500 science and research staff. They claim this will lead to the cancellation of vital research and that staff morale has reached record lows inducing many future science graduates to lose confidence in our science future and seek jobs overseas. This could deprive Australia of future transformative scientific developments placing us outside the league of the most highly advanced nations. However, the Government saw fit to provide $90 million to search for MH 370, the Malaysian plane believed to have crashed in the Indian Ocean, and it has now promised additional funding.

     

    A third critical counter-productive policy is the Coalition’s decision to cease funding the Labor Government’s renewable energy agency (Arena). The decision is currently blocked in the Senate by Labor and the crossbenchers.  Industry concern over this policy is held to be the likely reason for the 88% decline in renewable energy investment between 2013 and 2014– from $1.3 billion to $240 million. Apart from impacting on greenhouse gas emissions this will reduce both employment and tax revenue.

    Fourth, the Government has scrapped Labor’s modest $368 million four-year States Agreement on Preventative Health and a $201 million Agreement with the States on improving public hospital services. This appears to conflict with the Government’s concern over increased health spending. Health authorities have long regarded preventative measures designed to improve public health as the most effective way of arresting the escalating health budget—leaving aside improving the quality of life.

    Fifth, the Government has, for the first time, dismissed the Head of Treasury and appointed a replacement from outside Treasury who was an investment banker but worked in Treasury until 1993. The apparent reason for such unique action was the Government’s disapproval with the views of both the dismissed Head and his next in line. The chosen appointee’s macro-economic views appear to echo those of the Government. This is a disturbing precedent for future governments and a perilous path for the pursuit of government policy. The purpose of an independent merit-based public service is to provide impartial, fearless policy advice. The new Treasury Head proclaims support for the free market “austerity” policies of the European Union during and since the GFC –the very policies which have led to massive increases in unemployment in almost every European country. Leading Treasury staff, whose academic background would almost certainly have led them to support economic stimulus in times of rising unemployment which we are now entering, will face a serious dilemma. Will the new appointee lead us down the European path?

    There is inadequate space to deal with many other Government policies that are likely to have deleterious effects on the economy and public welfare. These include the watering down of the previous government’s FOFA legislation to regulate financial advisors; the possible adverse effects of the Trans Pacific Partnership Agreement on some controls over the environment, medications and legislation (existing and potential) concerning tobacco, alcohol and food products; the near-free rein given to foreign investment in housing, farmland and corporation takeovers; and continued government subsidies and loans to the many new profit-based private training colleges, who this year will receive $1.6 billion (the science budget was cut $151 million), despite a flood of evidence (revealed on the ABC 7.30 program from ex-students and staff) of many colleges, including the largest, deliberately recruiting unsuitable students, signing them up for expensive courses, providing little effective training and submitting false documents to the Government; and all this while training-based government TAFEs suffer substantial cuts.

    Conclusion

    This Government has demonstrated massive incompetence in formulating their economic policies and their budget. Such is this incompetence since coming to Office they appear to rely on deception as a principal means of gaining acceptance of their policies. 

    Harold Levien is a freelance writer. After graduating in arts/economics he founded and edited a monthly current affairs journal, Voice, The Australian Independent Monthly. It lasted five years. Following its closure he lectured in economics. He is now retired.

     

  • Alcohol is a bigger problem than ice.

    In the Herald Sun on April 8, 2015, Jeff Kennett, the former premier of Victoria, said that it was time to stop the promotion of alcohol. See link to article below.

    In this article he says ‘If it is good enough to ban the advertising of tobacco products, if it is good enough to make the wearing of seat belts compulsory, surely if the serious about family violence, the road toll, our crime rate, it is time to ban the promotion of alcohol. … The time has come to do what we have done for tobacco – ban all advertising of alcohol products and ban all sponsorships by alcohol companies.

    Todd Harper, the CEO of Cancer Council of Victoria tells us in The New Daily of April 10 that ‘There is already a complete ban on alcohol advertising in sport in France and there have been moves to phase out alcohol sponsorship in sport from Ireland, the UK and South Africa.‘  John Menadue

    http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/opinion/time-to-stop-promotion-of-alcohol/story-fni0ffsx-1227294833309

  • Fiona McGaughey, Mary Anne Kenny. Lashing out at the UN is not the act of a good international citizen.

    The United Nations has again criticised Australia’s human rights record in relation to its treatment of asylum seekers and refugees. A report by the UN’s Special Rapporteur on Torture, Juan Méndez, has raised a number of concerns. These include:

    • Australia’s policy in relation to the detention of asylum seekers on Manus Island breaches Articles 1 and 16 of the UN Convention Against Torture. These articles require that Australia, as a signatory to the convention, not allow acts amounting to torture or cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment in any place under its jurisdiction. Méndez found that the reports of conditions in the centre – including increasing acts of violence – combined with the arbitrary and indefinite nature of the detention violated the convention.
    • Failing to respond adequately to specific allegations of intimidation and ill-treatment of two asylum seekers on Manus Island following their statements in relation to the violent outbreaks at the centre in February 2014.
    • Recent legislation passed by federal parliament violates the convention as it allows for the arbitrary detention and refugee determination of asylum seekers at sea without access to legal assistance. Concerns were raised that this could lead to an asylum seeker being sent back to a country where there are substantial grounds for believing they would face torture, in breach of Article 3 of the convention.
    • Amendments to character provisions in the Migration Act violate the convention, as an increase in the refusal of visas on character grounds will lead to those individuals being held in detention indefinitely.

    Australia’s response

    Prime Minister Tony Abbott reacted by saying Australians are:

    … tired of being lectured to by the United Nations.

    Méndez responded, saying:

    I’m sorry that the prime minister believes that we lecture … We don’t believe so. We try to treat all governments the same way and deal with specific obligations and standards in international law as objectively as we can.

    Abbott said the government’s policies had stopped people arriving by boat and ended deaths at sea. Méndez pointed out that prolonged and arbitrary detention should not be used as a deterrent.

    Méndez’s role is to assist the government to develop alternatives that abide by its international obligations, such as appropriate screening with appropriate and fair procedures for the determination of claims of people who are fleeing torture.

    Who is the Special Rapporteur on Torture?

    The Special Rapporteur on Torture is one of a number of independent human rights experts who report to and advise the UN Human Rights Council. As part of their activities, the Special Rapporteur can communicate concerns to States on reports of individuals who may be subject to torture.

    These allegations are provided to the State in writing and the state has the opportunity to respond. The Special Rapporteur then reports on those communications and responses annually to the UN Human Rights Council.

    Méndez is well-respected. He is a Professor of Human Rights Law in Residence at the American University Washington College of Law. Like all UN Special Rapporteurs, he carries out his role on a voluntary basis. He is not a UN staff member and is independent from any government. Perhaps most importantly, he is a survivor of torture at the hands of the Argentinian military dictatorship.

    What is the context of Abbott’s comment?

    The UN has made several high-profile criticisms of Australia in recent months. In September 2014, the new UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, Zeid Ra’ad al Hussein, criticised Australia’s asylum policies in his high-profile opening address to the Human Rights Council. He singled out a number of states or regions of concern – Australia was one of the very few Western states highlighted.

    This was followed closely by Australia’s scheduled review before the UN Committee Against Torture in November 2014. The committee quizzed Australia on a number of human rights issues. In its report, the committee made recommendations on Australia’s obligations not to return people to a country where they may be tortured (refoulement), and on the detention of children seeking asylum, which is only to be used as a last resort.

    Abbott’s defensive response to the criticisms is reminiscent of John Howard’s adversarial relationship with UN human rights bodies. Although governments can get touchy about international criticism, engagement between governments and UN human rights bodies tends to be diplomatic.

    Australia has not always read the memo on that one. Then-foreign minister Alexander Downer famously warned in 2000 that:

    … if a United Nations committee wants to play domestic politics here in Australia, then it will end up with a bloody nose.

    These types of comments would be unlikely from current Foreign Minister Julie Bishop. Bishop has performed well in Australia’s seat on the UN Security Council and has her sights set on a seat on the UN Human Rights Council in 2018. She has said:

    Our strong and principled stand on numerous human rights issues in our role as a temporary member of the Security Council will form part of our campaign … We abide by our international obligations and we are confident that our experience and our commitment to human rights protection and promotion makes us a strong contender.

    Is Australia a good international citizen?

    Contrary to Bishop’s view, UN bodies have consistently found that Australia does not abide by its international human rights obligations in certain key areas such as its treatment of asylum seekers.

    At a national level, the bill Méndez mentioned was also found by the Parliamentary Joint Committee on Human Rights to be incompatible with Australia’s international human rights obligations.

    A less-than-perfect human rights record does not preclude a state from Human Rights Council membership. However, it must demonstrate willingness to provide redress and make improvements.

    Australia’s breaches of international human rights law are increasingly coming to the UN’s attention. Abbott’s recent comments are not compatible with a state willing to provide redress and make improvements – and nor are the individual cases brought to UN human rights committees. Australia has acted on the committees’ findings by providing remedies to those affected in only 17% of cases.

    In November 2015, the Human Rights Council will consider Australia’s overall performance in its peer-review mechanism – the Universal Periodic Review. This review will include information such as Méndez’s report.

    In the previous review in 2011, Australia accepted the majority of the recommendations made by other states. It also made a number of voluntary commitments to the council, including establishing a full-time Race Discrimination Commissioner in the Australian Human Rights Commission.

    This time around, it remains to be seen whether Australia will play the role of a good international citizen, keen to secure a future seat on the Human Rights Council.

  • Vicken Babkenian. Gallipoli’s inconvenient ‘other side’.

    Leading up to the Gallipoli centenary, a growing trend emerged in Australia of presenting the ‘other side’ of the story. From popular books, official histories, films and academic conferences, the ‘Turkish’ perspective of Gallipoli became widely told.[1] According to this perspective, as illustrated in a recent article by Dr Jennifer Lawless, the allied landing at Gallipoli was an invasion of the ‘Turkish homeland’ and by the end of the campaign, many more ‘Turks’ (87,000) than Anzacs (8700) died.[2] The campaign is portrayed as an almost wholly Turkish and Australian affair, contributing to the birth of both nations and a symbol of a centenary of friendship.[3] A deeper understanding of the history, however, reveals that many of these narratives are anachronistic interpretations, promoting nationalist agendas with fundamental errors and omissions.

    In reality, when the Anzacs landed at Gallipoli on 25 April 1915, they were part of an Anglo-French invasion of the Ottoman Empire, not Turkey. The republic of Turkey was not established until 1923. Like the British and French imperial forces, the Ottoman Army reflected the multi-ethnic make up of the Ottoman Empire. While most of the officers were ethnic Turks, the army included large numbers of Arabs, Kurds, Armenians, Greeks, Circassians and Jews. According to Australian military historian Bill Sellars ‘two thirds of the troops who made up Colonel Mustafa Kemal’s 19th Division that faced the first wave of the Allied invasion were Syrian Arabs’.[4] A more comparable casualty comparison should be made between the empires and not ‘Turks’ v Anzacs.

    During the war, the Ottoman Empire was led by a dictatorial triumvirate of Young Turks – Enver, Talaat and Djemal. Since coming to power in a violent coup in 1913, the Young Turks had been pursuing a policy of ethnic and religious homogenisation of the empire in order to create a ‘Turkey for the Turks’. The Young Turk participation in the First World War on the side of Germany allowed them to speedily accomplish this goal under the cover of war.

    ‘Gallipoli’, derived from the Greek word for ‘beautiful city’, was historically a Greek peninsula but had been absorbed by the Ottoman Empire in the 15th century. Just two weeks prior to the Anzac landings, the Ottoman authorities deported about 22,000 of the peninsula’s native Greek population into the interior of Anatolia (current day Turkey). [5]Many would die of harsh conditions. This was only a precursor to the larger persecutions to follow. Triggered by what many scholars argue was the impending landing by the Anglo-French forces on the Gallipoli peninsula, the Young Turk government arrested some 250 Armenian intellectuals in the capital of the Empire, Constantinople (now Istanbul), on 24 April 1915. This marked the beginning of what Henry Morgenthau, the United States ambassador to the Ottoman Empire in 1915, described as a ‘campaign of race extermination’. As a representative of a neutral nation, Morgenthau stood at a critical juncture in the flow of information. His key informants were US diplomats, missionaries and businessmen stationed throughout the Ottoman Empire.

    In almost every town and village in the Empire, the Armenian population was arrested and deported by orders from the central government in Constantinople. The men were in most cases killed just outside their towns and villages. A much worse fate awaited the women and children. After being uprooted from their homes, they were forced to walk southwards in huge convoys to the burning deserts of northern Syria. Most would die of starvation, murder and disease. In the Ottoman war theatre, Anzacs witnessed the Armenian tragedy—some even helped rescue survivors of the death marches. Many Anzac prisoners captured by the Ottoman Army were held in abandoned Armenian churches and homes and they became key eyewitnesses to the unfolding events.

    Every major newspaper in Australia covered the genocide with regularity—the Melbourne Age having published more than 40 articles on the event in 1915 alone. Headings such as ‘Armenians Butchered’, ‘Million Armenians Massacred’ and ‘More Armenians Massacred—girls sold in open market’ were indicative of the tone of the articles being published around this time.[6] By December 1915, the United States consul in Syria reported that some one million Armenians had died and another half-a-million destitute refugees were scattered in or around his consular district. Australian prisoner of war, Private Daniel Creedon of the 9th Battalion AIF, wrote in his diary just two months later: ‘The people say that the Turks killed 1¼ million Armenians.’ Creedon was held captive in an isolated internment camp in the Taurus Mountains of Anatolia and died a few months after he made his diary entry. His figure was close to the figure accepted for the death toll of the massacres and suggests that the magnitude of the outrage was known and discussed by the Anzac prisoners of war.

    The story of Armenian suffering evoked a strong humanitarian response in Australia at the time leading to the establishment of the Armenian Relief Fund, which began in Victoria in 1915, spread throughout the country, and continued its work for over a decade. The Victorian state war council recognised the Armenian fund as a ‘patriotic fund’ – one considered as having been formed for the purpose of supporting Australia’s allies as well as its own soldiers. The relief movement culminated in the establishment of an Australian-run orphanage for some 1700 Armenian orphans in Beirut, Lebanon.

    When the war ended, the victorious Allies arrested over a hundred Turkish officials for their role in the ‘Armenian massacres’ and the ‘ill-treatment’ of Allied (including Anzac) prisoners of war. However, the subsequent rise of a new Turkish nationalist movement headed by Mustapha Kemal (Ataturk) succeeded in revoking the post-war Treaty of Sevres which had stipulated an international trial of the Turkish offenders. When the new Turkish republic was established in 1923, the multi-ethnic Ottoman Empire had become a mostly homogenous Turkish nation state.

    By the mid-1930s, the Armenian genocide had largely faded from the world’s collective memory. It was an observation not missed by Adolph Hitler when he made his infamous remark in 1939: ‘Who, after all, speaks today about the annihilation of the Armenians?’ Raphael Lemkin, a Polish Jewish lawyer who lost 49 members of his family during the Holocaust, coined the word ‘genocide’ in 1944. Lemkin cited the Armenian case as a defining example of what the word meant. International jurist Geoffrey Robertson calls the event an ‘inconvenient genocide’ because recognising and remembering the crime in many countries often results in harsh diplomatic reactions from Turkey. In the case of Australia, the Turkish foreign ministry banned some NSW MPs from visiting commemorations at Gallipoli after having voted in favour of an Armenian genocide resolution in the NSW parliament in 2013.

    It was not until 1967, some 50 years after Gallipoli, that Turkey and Australia formally established bilateral relations. Since then, the relationship between the two nations has developed rapidly with frequent high-level visits and expanding bilateral trade and investment.[7] On the issue of the Armenian genocide, the Australian federal government has been faced with a moral dilemma. For decades, the government has maintained a policy of non involvement in ‘this sensitive debate’. However in 2014, for the first time, Australia’s foreign minister, Julia Bishop, expressed her Liberal government’s position on the issue in a letter to the Australian Turkish Advocacy Alliance organisation. She wrote that the Australian government does ‘not … recognise these events as “genocide”’ adding further that ‘Australia attaches great importance to its relationship with Turkey, which is underpinned by our shared history at Gallipoli, and by the recent cooperation in the G20’.[8] Diplomatic cables between Ankara and Canberra obtained under Freedom of Information laws revealed that last year the matter arose in a letter from Ms Bishop to her Turkish counterpart, Ahmet Davutoglu. Ms Bishop wrote that ‘recognising the important interests at stake for both countries, I assure you that there has been no decision to change the long-standing position of successive Australian governments on this issue’.

    It seems that our nation’s collective memory of Gallipoli and the government’s position on the Armenian genocide are influenced more by current economic and political relations than a true reflection of the past. If, as some historians have suggested, that telling the honest truth about Australia’s First World War experience is the best way to honour our war dead, than it’s time for a more truthful representation of the ‘other side’ of Gallipoli.

    Vicken Babkenian is an independent researcher for the Australian Institute for Holocaust and Genocide Studies, Sydney. He is the author of a number of articles on Australia’s humanitarian response to the Armenian genocide.

     

    [1] Russell Crowe’s movie, The Water Diviner is an example.

    [2] See Dr Jennifer Lawless, ‘Gallipoli: A Turkish Perspective’, Teaching History (NSW), March 2015.

    [3] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-28/friendship-wall-unveiled-at-auburn-for-gallipol-centenary/6270026

    [4] http://www.aljazeera.com/archive/2004/01/200849135129326810.html

    [5] http://honesthistory.net.au/wp/wp-content/uploads/Greeks-of-Gallipoli-1915.pdf

    [6]http://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/result?q=armenian+massacres&exactPhrase=&anyWords=&notWords=&requestHandler=&dateFrom=1915-05-01&dateTo=1923-12-31&sortby=dateAsc

    [7] http://www.dfat.gov.au/geo/turkey/Pages/turkey-country-brief.aspx

    [8] http://www.dailysabah.com/politics/2014/07/23/australian-fm-armenian-case-not-genocide

  • Mike Steketee. Our missed opportunity to tackle wealth inequality

    The Abbott Government has promised a “comprehensive and inclusive” review of the tax system, but appears to have ignored a major issue: rising inequality of income and wealth, writes Mike Steketee.

    The Abbott Government committed itself last week to a “comprehensive and inclusive” review of the tax system.

    But the tax discussion paper it released to kick off the process does not find space in its 196 pages to canvass some of the major issues.

    The rising inequality of income and wealth in developed nations has come into sharp focus in recent years but it does not seem to have made its way on to the Government’s radar, even though it is the tax system that potentially can play the largest role in influencing the trend.

    Remember the Occupy movement that staked out Wall Street and spread to other countries? “We are the 99 per cent,” they said, pointing to the 1 per cent of Americans who held 40 per cent of the nation’s wealth. According to Nobel Prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz, that was a rise from 33 per cent in about 1985.

    The trend in Australia is the same, even if it is not as severe. On the latest figures available, the median net worth of Australian households – that is, their assets minus their liabilities – was 54 times higher for the top 20 per cent than for the bottom 20 per cent in 2011-12. That was up from 45 times higher in 2003-04.

    If you prefer that in dollars, median household net worth increased from $27,508 to $29,600 over this period for those at the bottom, after taking into account inflation, while at the top it rose from $1.24 million to $1.59 million. That is a $2,100 increase compared to $350,000.

    Bear with me for one more statistic: in 2003-04, 2 per cent of households had a net worth of $3 million or more – that is in current dollars, after adjusting for inflation. By 2011-12, that had risen to 3.1 per cent.

    What we should do about such a trend is a value judgment. But hopefully the debate will go beyond declamations about class envy.

    In his landmark study on inequality, Capital in the Twenty-First Century, French economist Thomas Piketty shows that the rate of return on wealth over most of history has run ahead of world economic growth. Although two world wars and a depression reversed the figures during the last century, he argues that all the signs are that wealth is increasing significantly faster than economic growth during this century and will continue to do so. He estimates 4-5 per cent for the rate of return on capital, versus barely 1.5 per cent for world economic growth.

    It is a system that feeds on itself: the more wealth accumulated, the more that can be re-invested at relatively high rates of return. Piketty says world wealth per adult grew at an average annual rate of 2.1 per cent between 1987 and 2013 but at the very top it grew by 6.8 per cent. Bill Gates increased his fortune from $4 billion to $50 billion in the 20 years to 2010, according to estimates by Forbes magazine, while the French heiress Liliane Bettencourt saw her wealth increase from $2 billion to $25 billion.

    Piketty calculates that if the top one thousandth of wealth holders achieve a 6 per cent annual return, compared to average growth of 2 per cent, the top’s share of wealth would more than triple over 30 years and represent 60 per cent of the world’s wealth. That is, not the top 1 per cent owning 40 per cent, as in the US now, but the top 0.1 per cent owning 60 per cent of global wealth. Such disparity, he argues, is hard to imagine under existing political systems “unless there is a particularly effective system of repression or an extremely powerful apparatus of persuasion or perhaps both”.

    It may be that Piketty’s projections turn out to be inaccurate, as economic forecasts and projections often do. But he has documented in great detail a clear trend in rising inequality and there is little reason to think it will stop in the short term.

    Back in Australia, the tax discussion paper argues that our income tax system is highly progressive – more so than most other developed countries and particularly when government payments are included. This is mainly because of Australia’s mean tested welfare system, compared to the flat rate social security contributions levied in many countries.

    However, income tax has become less progressive in recent times, due mainly to the succession of income tax cuts during the Howard boom years. According to The Australia Institute’s Matt Grudnoff, only 3 per cent of taxpayers are in the top tax bracket now, compared to 13 per cent 10 years ago.

    Nevertheless, the effect of a progressive income tax is to moderate the trend towards rising inequality of incomes. But it is a different story when it comes to rapidly rising wealth inequality. This is an area that is taxed very lightly in Australia.

    The capital gain on the family home is not taxed at all, while that on other assets is taxed at half the rate of savings such as bank interest. Superannuation is taxed at a concessional rate that provides the largest benefit to higher income earners. The combination of the 50 per cent capital gains tax and negative gearing makes investment housing an attractive option for many, particularly higher income earners, while lower income earners are increasingly shut out of the market.

    Unlike other developed countries, Australia has no wealth tax, inheritance tax or gift duties, although they potentially provide the most direct means of curbing rising wealth inequality. These options are given short shrift in the discussion paper – two paragraphs in 196 pages. “These taxes generate relatively little revenue,” it says. “…Furthermore, such taxes can be difficult to administer effectively.”

    Piketty argues that the risk is that inequality in wealth will continue to rise unless there is some kind of global tax on capital. He says that a progressive annual tax on wealth at modest rates – for example, 1 per cent on wealth of between one and 5 million euros and 2 per cent above 5 million euros – would affect only about 2.5 per cent of Europe’s population but raise significant revenue – 300 billion euros, equivalent to about 2 per cent of total European GDP.

    He concedes that the risk of evasion is high unless countries share bank information – something governments at least are talking about. But a progressive tax on capital would make it possible to avoid “an endless inegalitarian spiral” that he argues ultimately would undermine democracies.

    If governments in Australia are not prepared to contemplate such a move, at least tackling the gross inequity of the superannuation concessions would be a start. Something approaching a political consensus appears to be emerging on this issue, although that is not to say it could not easily be derailed by the inevitable backlash from those affected.

    Even agreement that superannuation should be used to fund retirement, rather than as a wonderful way to minimise tax and accumulate wealth to pass on to the kids would be a step in the right direction.

    Mike Steketee is a freelance journalist. He was formerly a columnist and national affairs editor for The Australian.

    This article first appeared in The Drum on 6 April 2015.

  • John Menadue. The miners may have been better off with a super profits tax.

    As a result of the lower iron ore prices there is a dramatic shake-up coming amongst our iron ore companies, the largest of which are foreign owned.

    These companies conducted a vociferous campaign against the Resources Super Profits Tax. They were successful. As a result of the failures of the Rudd and Gillard Governments to effectively tax the mining companies, the state governments particularly of Western Australia and Queensland stepped in with very large increases in royalties. The Western Australian Government could hardly have believed its good luck in the royalties it extracted from the iron ore companies in Western Australia as a result of the China export boom.

    But that has now all changed. The mining companies are stuck with these very high royalties whilst their profits have been reduced or eliminated. There is not much doubt that companies such as Fortescue would be now much better served if there had been a Resources Super Profits Tax rather than the large increases in state royalties that they continue to pay. Professor Flavio Menezes, Professor of Economics at the University of Queensland, said in The Conversation on 7 April 2015 ‘Fortescue Metal Group’s Andrew “Twiggy” Forrest was one of the most vocal opponents of the super profits tax. Fortescue’s financial position is currently under significant pressure due to falling iron ore prices caused by oversupply, and the slowing Chinese economy. Ironically, it would likely be better off today under a well-designed RSPT than under a royalties regime.’

    In my blog of 17 October 2013, I pointed out the short-sightedness of the miners and the likely problems that they might face as a result of reduced profits and increased state royalties. See link below.

    https://publish.pearlsandirritations.com/blog/?p=827 

    I drew attention in that blog to the report of the GST Distribution Review of October 2012 that ‘Well designed rent-based taxes are likely to be more economically efficient than royalties, particularly in periods of low commodity prices or high costs. … Other factors, such as the size, variability and timing of the return received by government, as well as administration and compliance costs are also important considerations when choosing between alternative resource charging regimes.’

    Guest blogger, Dr Michael Keating in a post ‘The mining tax debacle’ of 14 September 2014, commented that what was surprising is that the Labor Government did not elect to just extend to all minerals the existing Petroleum Resource Rent Tax (PRRT) which also had a 40% tax rate. This would have been much easier to explain and as acknowledged by the Henry Review, the PRRT can approximate the impact of the Resources Super Profits Tax.  See following link to Michael Keating’s post.

    https://publish.pearlsandirritations.com/blog/?p=2424

    An appropriate mining tax regime is still a matter than needs addressing in Australia. The efforts of the Rudd and Gillard Governments were clearly in the right direction, but very badly managed. The miners took advantage of their lobbying power. Their action seemed to be of great benefit to them at the time, but many miners now and in the future will pay a heavy price for a failure to set up an appropriate taxation regime for miners in Australia.

    The miners are very likely to lament their action in destroying the Resources Super Profits Tax which was levied on profits. In its place, they have been levied with very high royalties by state governments which do not have a direct relationship to profits.

     

  • Ian McAuley. If the government wants price signals, it should stop supporting health insurance.

    Prime Minister Tony Abbott has declared the Medicare co-payment proposals “dead, buried and cremated”, but two related ideas behind it live on: Medicare is becoming “unaffordable” and our universal health system should morph into a program reserved for the poor.

    The government’s original justification for the co-payment was to bring more “price signals” into Medicare. In itself the idea has merit, but the government has been going about it in a ham-fisted way.

    Whether by design or accident, the government seems to be undermining the principle of Medicare as a universal tax-funded program, paving the way for private health insurance toplay a role in funding primary care.

    But private insurance, by its very nature, suppresses price signals and encourages over-servicing and cost escalation. It is an expensive way to fund health care.

    If the government wants more price signals in health care, it can start by standardising the mess of arbitrary co-payments in health care. If those co-payments can be re-designed to carry meaningful price signals, they will guide wise choice and contribute to efficient resource allocation.

    The government should also consider requiring those better-off Australians, who have much more liquid savings than in times past, to contribute more to their own health care from their own pockets rather than assuming that someone else – Medicare or private insurance — will cover the minor outlays they could easily afford themselves.

    The unaffordability myth

    It’s easy to panic about the looming cost of health care as Australia ages. That has been the message of successive Intergenerational Reports, the latest of which suggests that under “previous policy” (Labor government) setting, Commonwealth health expenditure would rise from 4.4% to 7.1% of GDP by 2054, but would be contained to 5.7% of GDP under the government’s “proposed policy”.

    The sensible response to these projections is to ask “so what?”. As the population ages, Australians will indeed spend more on health care.

    But simply shifting costs off-budget and on to individuals, or to private insurance mechanisms is an expensive and clumsy way to fund health care. It does not make health care more “affordable” – we still have to pay for it.

    As John Deeble, one of Medicare’s original designers, pointed out, the simple solution to fiscal pressures on the Commonwealth’s health budget is to raise the Medicare Levy.

    The government said that imposing a co-payment and reducing bulk-billing would result in reduced use of Medicare services, which have risen from 11 to 15 a head over the last ten years.

    That idea would be sound if Medicare services were stand-alone, but any reduction in demand would most probably be among those in most need of care, particularly early intervention to stave off costly episodes of hospitalisation and chronic disease. And there would be a shift of demand on to hospital emergency services.

    The costs to health budgets and to the whole economy (in terms of lost workforce participation resulting from chronic illness), could well be far greater than any saving in Medicare.

    But, as the Public Service Commission’s capability review of the health department points out, the department tends to work in “silos”, and seems to lack the capability of considering “whole-of-health-system policy”.

    Under pressure to cut expenditure, Medicare is the easy target. Costs outside the “Medicare” silo are not their concern, and if they can move some load on to individuals, private insurers or state government hospitals, that’s clever cost-shifting. That’s not so much a “policy”, which would be concerned with the public interest, as an attempt to contain outlays within an arbitrary fiscal limit.

    Exempting the rich from price signals

    The specific co-payment idea came from the government’s Commission of Audit, which saw it as a first step in a stealthy but radical transformation of health services away from universalism, towards a US-style system with “an expanded role for private insurance” to “cover all services covered by Medicare and public hospitals”.

    Medicare would be reduced to a service for the “indigent” (to use the US term).

    Despite dumping the co-payment, health minister Sussan Ley still wants to “reduce the number of bulk billed consultations to people who can afford to pay something”. This suggests she sees Medicare as a charity or distributive welfare system, not a universal system as it was originally envisaged.

    As the freeze on Medicare reimbursements bites harder, bulk-billing will probably fall (as intended), resulting in mounting pressure on the government to change the legislation and permit private health insurance to cover the gap.

    The Commission hypocritically calls for people with means to take “individual responsibility for their health care”, but to be guided by “price signals” while they are herded into private health insurance.

    But private insurance is no more about “individual responsibility” than Medicare is: it’s still about handing over responsibility to a third party. Far from incorporating “price signals”, it simply changes the message from “Medicare will pay for it” to “HCF/BUPA/Medibank Private will pay for it”. This incentive for over-use is known as “moral hazard”.

    Co-payments and personal savings

    It’s easy to forget that we already have co-payments in health care. Out-of-pocket expenses, not covered by public or private insurance, account for 18% of health care expenditure, in line with other prosperous countries.

    But the breakdown of out-of-pocket expenses is messy and haphazard; a reflection of the “silo” arrangements in the health department. Expenses fall heavily on dentistry, specialist services and non-prescription medications. Many are uncapped, meaning the consumer is left bearing open-ended risk.

    It’s also easy to forget that Australians, on average, have enough liquidity to cope with modest co-payments when a need arises. Australian Bureau of Statistics data show that on average, households have A$37,000 in available funds.

    If we want price signals in health care, then there is a good case for requiring personal payments for those with means, without the moral hazard of third party payment.

    Some commentators suggest we should go down the path of health savings accounts, whereby people are required to set aside funds in personal accounts to be drawn on only for health care needs. Only when a person’s health savings account is depleted does the state cover additional expenses.

    Health savings accounts certainly have advantages over private insurance, in that they retain a measure of individual responsibility, and they tend to accumulate with age.

    But they have their own problems, in that when someone’s HSA reaches a high level there is a “use it or lose it” form of moral hazard. And in economic terms, they tend to privilege health spending over other consumption, thus distorting consumer choice.

    In any event, Australia’s compulsory superannuation is already serving some of the same purpose as health savings accounts. Once Australians retire, their superannuation balances become accessible as personal accounts (apart from those whose superannuation is in annuity form). Including superannuation, singles over 65 have on average A$170,000 in reasonably liquid assets, while couples have A$430,000.

    We could be served well by a requirement that all with means pay for their health care up to a limit before Medicare kicks in to cover high costs. That’s essentially the policy the Coalition took to the 1987 election, when it proposed that all who could afford it should contribute the first A$250 a year to their health costs (equivalent to about A$800 now), without the support of insurance.

    That would mean most people make no call on public funds in any one year, while preserving the universality of Medicare as a single national insurer, covering those with high needs or limited means.

    That’s essentially the Nordic model. It combines the best or market price signals and the power of a government insurer, without the distortion and high cost of private health insurance or fiddly and paternalistic measures such as health savings accounts.

    Ian McAuley is Lecturer, Public Sector Finance at University of Canberra. This article was first published in The Conversation on 1 April 2015.

     

  • John Menadue. Cafes and restaurants are booming despite penalty rates.

    Despite the booming café and restaurant industry, the special pleading by employers on penalty rates and minimum wages goes on and on.

    Employers seem to have little appreciation that there is a difference between the market and society. The latter is much more important. The right to a decent wage and time off for recreation and relaxation with family and friends is essential. Markets are important, but they are a means to an end.

    Speaking of penalty rates, Peter Martin in the SMH  said ‘This Easter give thanks for penalty rates, they keep us human. Easter has become sacred even for the non-religious and the non-Christian.’

    Many employers who call for cuts in minimum wages or penalty rates have little appreciation of the difficulties for low income earners. Attacking the low paid is easy pickings.

    Workplace researcher Professor Barbara Pocock warns that cutting weekend penalty rates will erode the time Australians spend on informal relationship building with friends, family and neighbours. As soon as we take that wage premium off we make all time the same and we will see a lot more squeezing of that informal social time on Saturdays and Sundays.

    One of Australia’s great achievements in nationhood was in 1907, the living wage. But employers keep pleading that minimum wages are too high and they should be reduced to increase employment and presumably profits! But there is no conclusive evidence to support that proposition. Late last year more than 600 US economists, including seven Nobel Prize winners, signed an open letter to Congress calling for an increase in the minimum wage. They said that the weight of evidence showed that increases in the wage had little or no negative affect on the employment of minimum wage workers.

    The Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Australia has recently been encouraging businesses that were closed over Easter to put signs in their window saying that it was because of penalty rates that they could not open. The Small Business Minister, Bruce Bilson, repeated this line of special pleading.

    These businesses must have decided to enter business knowing what the penalty rates were. Didn’t they factor that in to their business plans?

    I suspect that a lot of special pleading on penalty rates is to divert attention from bad business decisions. It is so easy to blame ‘the system’ rather than acknowledge one’s own business mistakes.

    In the last five years, spending at restaurant and cafes has climbed 36%. According to the ABS in 2013-14, the net growth in the number of cafes and restaurants was 7%. For all businesses it was 1%. The café and restaurant business is booming, but still the sector keeps complaining about penalty rates.

    Employers who keep up their special pleading on minimum wages and penalty rates should really address the way they run their own businesses, and not always want to get the system changed to their advantage. They need to stick to their knitting.

    If the last 20 years has taught us anything about industrial relations, it is that continual change is costly for all concerned. In 1993 the Keating Government abandoned our centralised IR system. In 1996 Peter Reith downgraded the role of IR tribunals. In 2005 John Howard gave us Work Choices. Then in 2009 Julia Gillard gave us the Fair Work legislation. Now the present government wants more changes. But what we really need is more stability in our industrial relations framework because in the end good relations at the work level are necessary to improve productivity, effective local management and employee participation.

    The vested interests that want to cut penalty rates claim that we have an inflexible labour market that results in high wage costs. But all the evidence is that the annual rate of wage growth has declined substantially and that our labour market is showing considerable flexibility.

    Clearly we need to review penalty rates and minimum wages and all industrial relations from time to time but we seem fixated with the need for change and more change, mainly for ideological reasons or perhaps to hide business failure.

    Whilst employers and governments continue with their special pleading on penalty rates, the attitude of the public is very clear. According to Essential Research in January this year, 81% of voters think that people who are required to work outside normal hours should receive a higher hourly rate. 68% said that they would oppose cutting weekend and public holiday rates for hospitality and retail workers.

    The public seems to have good sense in these matters, which employers and the government would be wise to heed.

  • David Stephens. The magic Anzackery pudding

    Norman Lindsay was busy during World War I. When he wasn’t doing propaganda posters of slavering Huns or sketching buxom young women he was writing a children’s book called The Magic Pudding: being the Adventures of Bunyip Bluegum and his friends Bill Barnacle and Sam Sawnoff. The magic pudding was remarkable for its ability to keep regrowing itself, regardless of how many slices were taken off it.

    There are some people who think Anzackery is like the magic pudding. There are two elements which are essential to the Anzackery concept and which reinforce each other: sentimental and jingoistic commemoration of an Anzac myth; making money from this commemoration. Anzackers hope they can go on doing Anzackery indefinitely (or at least till something better comes along) and the pudding will just keep growing back.

    There are, for example, the promoters of 2015 centenary cruises to Gallipoli via all sorts of exotic places. A ticket on one of these expeditions costs anywhere between $9000 and $90 000 for about 35 days, with the price varying depending on whether you simply want to see out the porthole or, at the other end of the scale, have a room big enough to practice your chip shots in. All comers, though, get to listen to the on-board historians and entertainers.

    The highlight of one of these cruises is standing off Anzac Cove, like Sir Ian Hamilton, before dawn on 25 April, possibly with champagne in hand, with an expert helping you to imagine what it was like heading to shore in those boats a century ago. Unlike those men then (and Sir Ian) you get to leave Gallipoli on the afternoon of Day 1. At some point, one imagines, the strains of the Last Post will drift over the water.

    There are always, as someone said, people with more money than sense. Gallipoli cruises, though, that arrive in Anzac Cove on a date other than 25 April ‘the centenary of the Second Battle of Krithia perhaps, or Lone Pine, or the evacuation’  might not have the same cachet. Will the enthusiasm for military tourism last till the centenaries of Fromelles (1916) or Villers-Bretonneux (1918) or will African safaris or the North-west Passage become the rage instead?

    At home, one feels for the promoters of the Spirit of the Anzacs Arena Tour (‘a musical experience commemorating 100 years of Anzac pride’ tickets $89 with $3 going to charity) who are not getting their show on the road until 21 August. They’ll be signing up bums on seats early in case the punters are bored witless by the Lee Kernaghan song which headlines the program and which will have had saturation airplay by then. (Mr Kernaghan will be able to buy lots of new Stetsons.) In an era of rapid fad turnover how much cloying patriotism can a market stand?

    Those who specialise in more durable commercial Anzackery might do better from the pudding. Somebody sent us a page from a bookshop catalogue which carried blurbs for 20 children’s books about Anzac. Then there are Anzac pot holders, oven mitts, stubby holders, t-shirts, ear-rings and other knick-knacks. Perhaps being less ambitious and taking smaller slices off the pudding is the better option. Even then, how many Anzac-themed items can one acquire before the brand becomes passé?

    Should we care about commercial Anzackery? A radio presenter asked the author that very question just the other day: in a market society isn’t it OK to make money from everything? Are there no sacred cows any more, only cash ones? One answer is: see above, about fools and their money. Another answer is: what would the men of Anzac thought? One could also answer with a question: do buyers of Anzackery assume that some of their money is going to charities like Soldier On and Legacy? One enterprise has been misleading about how much of a cut charities get and another which can genuinely claim to be not-for-profit freely admits that its merchandise provides attractive commercial opportunities for suppliers.

    Then there is the political side. Politicians help mix the pudding. They set people up for commercial Anzackers by promoting and fronting seductive commemorative occasions. When two former prime ministers, Bob Hawke and the late Malcolm Fraser, and other luminaries produced a report to help the Rudd government get things rolling for the Anzac centenary they came up with a ‘partial’ list of some 250 events in our military history that were worthy of commemoration over the years 2014 to 2019. The list was that long mainly because the bureaucrats, uniformed and not, supporting the commission could not agree on whether the object of commemoration was World War I or ‘a century of service’ (by military people to their country) so they decided to do both. The list of 250 events thus dates from the end of the nineteenth century to the beginning of the twenty-first.

    Was there not a concern that Australians might be commemorated out before the anniversary of the Treaty of Versailles, the author and others asked some senior commemorators more than 18 months ago? Might the pudding stop regenerating? (Some of these commemorative events won’t even offer a souvenir t-shirt.) ‘Yes, of course’, was the reply, but ‘it’s what the bogans want’, the ‘bogans’ being not the government but the voters, represented by focus groups, to whom the government was listening. And, we can add, to whom the commercial Anzackers have been selling.

    More recently, Joan Beaumont, joint winner of the prime minister’s history prize for Broken Nation, a book about the Great War, suggested that commemoration fatigue might be setting in. She noted, among other things, the ratings failure of Channel’s Gallipoli. Brendan Nelson, director of the Australian War Memorial, was quick to demur. Promoting an insatiable appetite for Anzackery pudding is good for public budgets as well as commercial revenue, and possibly good for careers, as well. A regenerating pudding is what both the commercial and political Anzackers are counting on, the former because there are potentially big bucks in it, the latter because wrapping oneself in the flag, with moving music playing and a Victoria Cross winner or two nearby, never did a politician any harm.

    David Stephens is secretary of Honest History (honesthistory.net.au) a coalition of historians and others supporting the balanced and honest presentation and use of Australian history during the centenary of World War I. The views in this article are not necessarily those of all supporters of Honest History. There is more on these subjects at honesthistory.net.au; use the Search function.

     

     

  • John Menadue.  Alcohol and junk food – winning at the expense of our health.

    If you seriously follow almost any major Australian sport as I do, you will be conscious of the saturation alcohol and junk food advertising.

    And in the run up to the centenary of Gallipoli there are no holds barred to link heroes and booze… VB now have a new television advertisement filmed at Melbourne’s Shrine of Remembrance which tells us to bow our heads to the 16 th Battalion,AIF at Gallipoli and raise a glass of VB to their heroism. How tacky can you get!

    This is a re run of the campaign that VB have been running since 2009. The 2012 campaign was fronted by General Cosgrove  now our Governor General. He sits at a bar and tells us how good VB is in supporting veterans and their families. There is an explicit link between the military, heroes and alcohol.

    The evidence is clear that  alcohol and junk food are causing long-term damage to our health. We cannot  ignore it.

    The Council of Australian Governments’ (COAG) National Partnership on Preventative Health was established because of the alarming increase in preventable chronic diseases as a result of people’s lifestyles. As Nanny Endovelicus pointed out in this blog in October last year and reposted on 22 and 23 January this year ‘These lifestyle issues – in particular smoking, poor nutrition, alcohol misuse and physical inactivity already account for some 40% of potentially preventable hospital admissions. … The growth of lifestyle diseases worrying those watching health expenditure were primarily in diabetes, various cancers, COPD, strokes and other preventable cardiovascular system diseases.’

    Alcohol Consumption

    Latest statistics are that about 20% of the population continues to drink at levels risky to their long-term health – pretty well unchanged from the ABS results in 2007-08; half of males and one third of females drank riskily for single occasion risk.  The estimated economic and social cost of alcohol is over $30 b. per year.. The good news is that since the 1970s our per capita alcohol consumption has declined although it remains above the OECD average.

    Obesity

    By mid-2012 almost two thirds of Australians over 18 years were over overweight or obese according to the ABS, a significant increase from a decade ago. The current combined level for obesity and overweight is 63% for adults.  Of children between the ages of five to 17, about 18% are overweight and 8% are obese. This is very bad news. Australia is now in the top league tables in the obesity stakes, still lower than the US, but we are catching up fast.

    Smoking

    We have clearly made progress in reducing tobacco consumption despite the activities of The Australian newspaper and Institute of Public Affairs in defending. Big Tobacco. In 1980, 35% of our population smoked. In 2012 it was down to 20%. It has been a success story and major contributing factors have been the bans on tobacco advertising on TV and radio, and major public education programs.  It is quite a success story in showing what can be done although smoking amongst our indigenous communities and country people is still high.

    We have a job ahead of us to address poor health, particularly as a result of alcohol addiction and junk food, including sugary drinks that are driving our obesity epidemic.

    But the signs are that the federal government is turning its back on the problem. .

    In the last federal budget, Program 1.2 for the Health Department which deals with drugs like alcohol, education against illicit drug use and tobacco was reduced from $224 million in 2013-14 to $161 million in 2014-15. According to the forward estimates it will be down to $131 million in 2017-18.  In money terms this is a reduction of 40%.

    The COAG Partnership on Preventative Health with the states has been abolished together with some $400 of promised funding. The programs that will be mainly affected were focused on children, community exercise, nutrition, education and lifestyle risks.

    The Australian National Preventative Health Agency was abolished in the 2014 budget.

    The Australian Institute of Health and Welfare which provided invaluable data on health risks and preventable disease has been abolished and its functions transferred to a large productivity and performance authority.

    The government’s  compromised position  on prevention was also clearly shown a year ago when the Assistant Minister of Health Fiona Nash hired a junk food lobbyist as her Chief of Staff. She tried to wipe out the industry’s voluntary food-star labelling system. With control of ministers’ staff by the Prime Minister’s Office this appointment of a junk food lobbyist could not have been a misunderstanding..

    This all adds up to a story of short term success for the alcohol and junk food industries with the complicit national sports organisations, sports people and the broadcasting media.

    It is also a good example of budgetary cuts for financial short term advantage which have long term and damaging consequences for our health. The bad health consequences of alcohol and junk food consumption don’t show up immediately. But the consequences down the track are clear and horrible.

     

    In this post I have drawn heavily on earlier posts by Nanny Endovelicus, Preventing Prevention.

  • Michael Keating. Tax Reform 2015

    According to the Government its first objective for tax reform is lower taxes. A responsible government would, however, first consider what revenue will need to be raised to efficiently fund the sorts of services that our society expects.

    Of course, opinions may differ on what level of service provision is appropriate, and how it should be paid for. Unfortunately the various Intergenerational Reports and the Government’s decision to abandon its own Budget do not install confidence that lower taxes are in fact realistic.

    Instead, given our present Budget deficit and the consistent projections of future deficits, it would be prudent to approach tax reform with the objective of restoring the present low ratio of taxation to GDP and even increasing it modestly in the future. Indeed, neither of the previous major tax reform packages in 1985 and 2000 reduced tax revenue, but instead they changed the tax mix, and in reality that is what we probably can expect from any future tax reform package.

    In considering any changes to the tax mix, as the Treasury Tax Discussion Paper points out, we should seek to balance the core principles of efficiency, equity and simplicity as briefly discussed below.

    A more efficient tax system

    The Government’s starting point for a more efficient tax system seems to be that our system relies too heavily on direct taxes on income and not enough on indirect taxes on consumption and other immobile factors of production such as land. But if we allow for various forms of compulsory social security contributions plus payroll taxes then direct taxes in Australia comprises around 63 per cent of total taxation in Australia compared to the OECD average of 61 per cent, which suggests that our balance between direct and indirect taxation may well be sustainable.

    However, what probably most concerns the Treasury is that our company tax rate at 30 per cent is higher than many other countries, and with the exception of the United States (whose company tax rate is close to 40 per cent), other countries have been reducing company taxes. Indeed, the Executive Summary to the Discussion Paper (probably written by Mr. Hockey) goes so far as to make the unsubstantiated claim that

    ‘each additional $1 collected by way of company income tax reduces the living standards of Australian households by around 50 cents in the long run because of reduced investment. This impedes Australia’s productivity and, in turn, reduces opportunities for better paying jobs’.

    Living standards are of course determined by productivity and common sense suggests that company tax would cause nothing like a 50 per cent reduction in productivity. Instead Treasury estimates that the marginal excess burden of company tax is 50 per cent, presumably because around half of company tax is passed back into lower wages and forwards into higher prices.  But this ability to pass company tax on makes it less likely to inhibit investment and productivity.

    Furthermore, because of dividend imputation, dividends paid by companies are much more lightly taxed for Australian residents than in most other countries. This means that the argument for a lower company tax really is primarily about what is necessary to attract foreign investors. But experience suggests that the returns on investment in Australia are sufficient, and that there has been no problem in attracting foreign investment, notwithstanding our higher company tax rate. Indeed, it is arguable that there has been too much foreign investment, which has pushed up existing asset prices (for example in property), and that this increase in Australians’ wealth has actually led to lower savings and investment by Australians themselves.

    A proposal floated in the Discussion Paper is that dividend imputation should be scaled back or even dropped, presumably to help pay for a lower company tax rate. This proposal would effectively mean raising the taxes paid by Australian investors in order to finance lower taxes for foreign investors. But it is hard to see why Australians would want to back that, especially when it appears to be quite unnecessary, and when as Treasury used to believe, there are considerable merits in our system of dividend imputation.

    The other major issue of tax efficiency I want to comment on is the taxation of savings. As the Treasury states:

    Australia’s tax system treats alternative forms of saving differently. At one end of the

    spectrum, savings held in the family home are taxed at average effective tax rates

    approaching zero.  At the other end of the spectrum, savings held as financial deposits are taxed at full marginal rates, without any recognition for the costs of inflation.’ 

    The policy rationale for these differences in the tax treatment of savings is not always clear, and they can distort the allocation of investment. In particular, the real estate market has probably been distorted in favour of investor housing by the incentive provided by the 50 per cent discount on the taxation of capital gains, and some would also argue by the possibilities of negative gearing. Removing that 50 per cent capital gains discount, or at least reducing it, would reduce housing demand, thus releasing more savings for other productive investments, and the lower housing prices would help first-time owner-occupier buyers.

    A more equitable tax system

    The proposal for improving equity that seems to be gathering support is to scale back the tax concessions for investment in superannuation funds. Some concession is justified because of the compulsory nature of superannuation savings and the fact that they cannot be accessed before retirement age.

    But the rate of the superannuation concession is about four times as high for people on the top marginal tax rate as for people on a zero tax rate, and more than half the value of these concessions accrues to the top twenty per cent of income earners.  So some scaling back in these concessions for superannuation and also the concessional treatment of capital gains should be a priority. In addition these changes would improve efficiency of the tax system.

    The other change that I suggest will need to be introduced some time to improve equity is a reconstruction of the income tax rate scales to offset the effect of bracket creep as incomes rise over time. As the Treasury Discussion Paper points out unchecked bracket creep affects lower and middle income earners proportionally more than higher income earners. For example, present projections of earnings show that if the present income tax rate scale is maintained over the ten years from 2013-14 to 2023-24, the average tax rates for different multiples of average full-time earnings can be expected to rise as follows:

    • half average full-time earnings by 7½ percentage points
    • average full-time earnings by almost 5 percentage points
    • twice average full-time earnings by less than 4 percentage points.

    In addition, someone earning full-time average earnings could expect to enter the second highest tax bracket as soon as 2016-17.

    The Treasury Discussion Paper raises the possibility that these projected changes in average and marginal tax rates facing ordinary workers may affect their participation rates and thus the efficiency of the tax system. How far that is an issue is a moot point. Furthermore, the evidence suggests that there are other more important factors influencing workforce participation for those most at risk.

    Nevertheless, these presently projected changes in average tax rates would clearly affect the progressivity of the income tax system and for good equity reasons the income tax rate scale should be adjusted in time to maintain the system’s present progressivity. One way would be to index the rate scale, but that does lock in government, arguably to an undesirable extent. On the other hand, if changes to the income tax rate scale are to be discretionary, they should still be factored into future fiscal planning.

    A simpler tax system

    One indication of the complexity of the Australian tax system is that Australians are more likely to use a tax agent to complete their tax return, and our businesses spend a lot on compliance and also on financial planning to avoid taxation.

    A good way to achieve a simpler tax system would be to reconsider many of the present concessions. Indeed one reason for many of these concessions is that they are less transparent and less subject to review than Budget outlays, although their rationale is typically no different. They should be subject to the same level of scrutiny as the outlays.. So given the need for restoring the ratio of revenue to GDP and even a bit more, probably the best place to start would be with a genuine review of the various tax concessions.

    Conclusion

    One of Australia’s leading tax experts, Greg Smith, argued in an article posted here on 4 April, that Australia has a broadly effective tax system but some tidying up is now needed to restore the performance levels of the early 2000s. I would generally agree with this conclusion, although I might go a bit further if, as I expect, additional revenue will be needed to restore a modest Budget surplus and keep it there over the long run.

    The priority for change to achieve the necessary increase in revenue will be to scale back the tax concessions, starting with the superannuation and capital gains tax concessions. In addition, the recent Intergenerational Report assumes more income tax revenue through bracket creep than is really desirable, and avoiding that will most likely require alternative sources of revenue.

    The obvious additional revenue resource is the GST, but as recognised in the Discussion Paper, reforms involving the GST raise major questions regarding the future of federalism in Australia. Accordingly I propose to address the issues of fiscal federalism in another future article.

    Dr Michael Keating AC was formerly Secretary of the Department of Finance and Secretary, Prime Minister and Cabinet.

     

     

     

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